Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, December 31, 2011
Stocks Bull Market Relief Rally Sends Dow to 5.5% Gain for 2011 Before Dividend Income / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The DJIA closed an extremely volatile 2011 up 5.5% at 12,217 (11,577) before dividend income is taken into account, which in terms of the indices is about the minimum return one should expect from long-term stock market investing, so as to beat Inflation. Now before readers start stating a string of indices that failed to end the year in positive territory i.e. showed significant divergence to the DJIA. In which respect the Dow has always been my primary stock index for analysis and trading for the past 25 years, and highlights the mistake many analysts tend to make which is to play pick and mix with stock indices, such as the perma-bear's who jump from index to index, whichever with the benefit of hindsight supports the bear point of view, which at this point would have many opting for the european stock markets, China's SSE (-21%) or for a really big 'ouch' factor India's BSE (-24%), though it is unlikely the bear trends in any of these markets would have actually been capitalised upon since most are only being mentioned with the benefit of hindsight.
Saturday, December 31, 2011
2011, Wall Street Shysters Stock Market Targets Year in Review / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: James_Quinn
“It ain't what you don't know that gets you into trouble. It's what you know for sure that just ain't so.” - Mark Twain
I published my predictions for 2011 on January 3, 2011 in my article 2011 – The Year of Catch-22. Humans evidently enjoy being embarrassed by how pitiful they are at predicting the future, because we continue to do it year after year. The mainstream media pundits don't dare look back at their predictions or the predictions of the Wall Street shills that parade on CNBC and get quoted in the Wall Street Journal, eternally predicting 10% to 15% stock market gains. The multi-millionaire Wall Street strategists like the spawn of the squid, Abbey Joseph Cohen, have used all of their Ivy League brain power to predict at least a 10% stock price gain every year since 1999. The S&P 500 stood at 1,272 on January 6, 1999. As of this writing it currently stands at 1,261. ZERO appreciation over the last twelve years.
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Saturday, December 31, 2011
2011 A Year Of Odd Global Stock Market Divergences! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Sy_Harding
Global economies and stock markets have always had a strong tendency to move in lockstep with each other. That tendency has become even more pronounced as global economies have become increasingly dependent on each other in international trade of their goods and services.
So the divergences this year have been rather odd.
Saturday, December 31, 2011
Preparing Your Finances for 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: EWI
It's hard to believe that 2011 has passed so quickly and that 2012 will soon be here. Now is a good time to look back over the past year and assess your finances. Did your choices this year put you in better or worse circumstances? Do you have the information needed to make wise decisions in the next year? Are you prepared to protect your financial future?
Friday, December 30, 2011
Financial Crisis Script for 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes:
Welcome to 2012, the third act of a tragic play. As an investor, you have a part in it.
So, if you haven't been paying attention to character development or lost sight of the plot, you're going to be frozen onstage when it's your turn to act.
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Friday, December 30, 2011
U.S. Markets and Election 2012, Pull Out The Big Guns! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: UnpuncturedCycle
You know it's only a question of time. Ron Paul is in the lead in Iowa and running a strong second in New Hampshire so the press is bringing out the big guns in an effort to knock him down. The top two articles on MSN.com are "Is Ron Paul A Homophobe?" and "Romney Surges in Iowa" with the latter implying that his move to overtake Paul is all but in the bag. I know a thing or two about the Midwest since I grew up in Illinois and I can tell you that the folks in Iowa won't lose a minute's sleep if Paul came out against homosexuals or not.¹ The problem is no one expected him to be "in the game" right now and folks on the Republican side of the isle are very nervous. That means things will get very dirty.
Friday, December 30, 2011
New 2012 Massive QE Investor Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“Even as the Dow struggles higher, the internals of the stock market grow weaker. It’s as if a mortally wounded soldier, a bayonet thrust into his stomach, rises to make a final dash towards the enemy. With his last breath he still presents the picture of a fierce fighting man.” Richard Russell, 12/28/11
Friday, December 30, 2011
When Ticks Outnumber Dogs, What to Expect for Investment Environment 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
A new year is upon us. What should we expect from the investment environment in 2012. Over the past several years, the stock markets have been transformed from markets to casinos, from investing to gambling, and from skill to fortune. Central bank intervention and manipulation has morphed into domination and control. We have witnessed, and continue to witness, a profound change in the way our economies function. We must adapt or we shall perish. If there is one fundamental difference that distinguishes today from decades passed, it is this. Going forward, I believe the key theme will be that the ticks now outnumber the dogs. Let me explain.
Thursday, December 29, 2011
Stock Market Looks Poised to Reverse Hard to Downside Within Days / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: David_Banister
The market has been in the process of a near 13 Fibonacci week corrective rally since the October 4th 2011 lows at 1074 on the SP 500. So far the highs reached on the initial rally of 218 points were in October at 1292. That has remained the high water mark as we have consolidated over the last many weeks. I expect the market to complete this counter-trend ABC bounce during the Dec 27th-29th window, followed by a good sized correction into Mid-January ahead of the earning season.
Thursday, December 29, 2011
Stock Market Back on Crash Alert / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Yesterday the SPX decline to mid-cycle support/resistance at 1249.27. This morning it is taking a brief bounce to retest the 200 day moving average at 1258.87. As an alternate, it may challenge the 50% Fibonacci retracement at 1259.02.
Additional support may lie at the 50 day moving average at 1235.61 or the intermediate-term trend support at 1230.87. However, other circumstances dictate that those supports may have little influence on the decline.
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Thursday, December 29, 2011
Stocks Are Topping, Gold Has Topped and Gold & Silver Are Moving Lower / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The last week of the year volume tends to be light due to the fact that big money traders are busy enjoying the holidays and waiting for their yearend bonuses.
I was not planning on doing much this week because of the low volume but after reviewing some charts and risk levels on my top 5 trading vehicles I could not help but share my findings with everyone last Friday.
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Thursday, December 29, 2011
Get Ready for Another Stock Market Plunge! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The VIX has staged a breakout of its smaller Ending Diagonal Formation, but is still underneath mid-cycle support/resistance at 26.94 and the upper trendline of its larger Declining Wedge formation. The VIX is posing a challenge to the equities markets again. My best interpretation of the cycles is that the VIX may be challenging the upper trendline of the Declining Wedge formation by the end of this week.
Thursday, December 29, 2011
Stock Market Back To No Control........ / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
The market getting back up to the breakout area of 1267 on the S&P 500 looked so promising if you're a bull. We headed into the holiday weekend with breakouts that were the talk of the stock market world. The bulls were talking the talk as it seemed Europe was under control for the moment. The reports in the United States, currently, aren't at all bad. The reasons for a breakout seemed real. That is, until today when the bears, not so fast, stopped us cold when we tried to break things down. But now, we're stopping the bears as well. No one in control. Volume is light, thus, both sides need not apply too much pressure to hold the other side off from making the bigger move. Holiday time of year when volume is basically light.
Wednesday, December 28, 2011
Euro Holds Key For Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
The best way to monitor the sustainability of the current push higher in stocks (SPY) is to keep an eye on the euro and U.S. dollar. The correlation between stocks and the euro has been strong in recent months. In the current environment, when the euro strengthens, stocks tend to come along for the ride.
Wednesday, December 28, 2011
Stock Market Volatility Lurks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Fred_Sheehan
The European Union is putting its money where its mouth is. Never taking the slightest blame for euro woes, its New York employees are moving to new offices at 666 Third Avenue. The EU's United Nations delegation will "take about 45,000 square feet .... and pay about $60 a square foot annually for 15 years...." reported Bloomberg on December 23, 2011. Negotiations with its prospective new landlord, Tishman Speyer Properties L.P., are nearing completion. The real estate company should consider an anti-EU hedge at the moment the EU signs up.