Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, March 19, 2016
Major Stock Market Reversal Signal from Waning Enthusiasm for Share Buybacks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
"State of the Global Markets Report -- 2016 Edition" (excerpt)
Editor's note: The following article was adapted from the just-published State of the Global Markets Report--2016 Edition, one of our most anticipated annual reports for technically minded investors and analysts around the world. We are making the first 10,000 copies of this $99 report available 100% free. Click here to get your free copy now >>
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Saturday, March 19, 2016
Stocks Bear Market Rally Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The week started at SPX 2022. After a small rally to SPX 2025 on Monday the market pulled back to 2005 on Tuesday. After that the market continued to rise for the rest of the week, with only 10 point pullbacks, to SPX 2052 on Friday. Ending the week at SPX 2050. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.80%, the NDX/NAZ gained 1.05%, and the DJ World gained 1.40%. On the economic front reports continued to come in with a negative bias. On the uptick: the NY/Philly FED, business inventories, leading indicators housing starts, and the WLEI. On the downtick: retail sales, the CPI/PPI, building permits, industrial production, capacity utilization, consumer sentiment, GDPN, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we get reports on Durable goods, the Q4 GDP and more Housing.
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Saturday, March 19, 2016
Stock Market Rally Keeps Going.....Fed Responsible Again.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
What is left to say that hasn't been said already. When you look at the charts from this report over the weekend, you will see that they are very self-explanatory. It's been a straight up move leaving the bears feeling sick. You would think that after so much upside action, the market would have hesitated at the S&P 500 2044 gap. Not to be. Right through at 70 RSI on the daily chart. The Dow got to near 81 RSI today on its sixty-minute, short-term chart. Nothing stopping this machine.
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Friday, March 18, 2016
Surge in Negative Headlines Usually Very Good Stock Market Omen / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Watch out for emergencies. They are your big chance. Fritz ReinerOver the past few weeks, the number of individuals in the neutral camp rose, as did the number of bulls, and only the number of bears experienced a drop. When we combine the neutrals and the bears, the total is 72%, and that tells us that the sentiment is still too negative for a crash.
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Friday, March 18, 2016
Rise of the Quantitative Robots / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
I read an article at Bloomberg the other day that focused upon a former mathematics professor who now runs his own Mom & Pop ‘quant’ shop (his home) from the desert plains in New Mexico. The article noted that there are big, powerful quants in New York City and there is a constellation of little guys out there writing their algos and skimming the markets with the precision that mathematical codes instruct.
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Friday, March 18, 2016
Rising Stock Market Vollatility - Watch out below! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Good Morning!
I have profiled the 4.3-year trendline which was violated yesterday. You can see that there was another false breakout on September 29. Whether that breakout remains standing at the end of the day is uncertain, since there is a double Trading Cycle Pivot on Saturday.
Today is all about options expiration. This week is known as quadruple witching, which adds to the potential volatility.
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Friday, March 18, 2016
$NYAD (NYSE Advance-Decline Issues) and $SPX (S&P 500 Index) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The AD line is making higher highs. There is virtually no doubt at this point that the 7 year cycle low is complete and a new 7 year cycle has begun
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Friday, March 18, 2016
It's a Currency and Financial Extinction Level Event / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
The Financial Repression Authority is pleasured to be revisited by Ty Andros, Chief Investment Officer of the Sanctuary Fund. FRA Co-Founder Gordon T. Long has has a stirring conversation with Mr. Andros on a number of current economic developments and consequently, the things to unfold.
Read full article... Read full article...Ty began his commodity career in the early 1980's and became a managed futures specialist beginning in 1985. Mr. Andros duties include marketing, sales, and portfolio selection and monitoring, customer relations and all aspects required in building a successful managed futures and alternative investment brokerage service. Mr. Andros attended the University of San Diego, and the University of Miami, majoring in Marketing, Economics and Business Administration. He began his career as a broker in 1983, and has worked his way to the creation of TraderView of which he is the CEO. Mr. Andros is active in Economic analysis and brings this information and analysis to his clients on a regular basis. Ty prides himself on his personal preparation for the markets as they unfold. Ty is an expert in applying the indirect exchange method as a principle of the Austrian School of Economics in his investing approach.
Friday, March 18, 2016
Market Explodes on FOMC News / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices had an interesting session with a mixed close, although they did come way off the lows early on when the indices had an early dip. They then stair-stepped their way higher in a 5-wave advance, pulled back to hold support, and then rallied back to resistance. When they couldn’t get through, they backed off into the close. At the end of the day, they did close green on St. Patrick’s Day on the blue chips.
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Thursday, March 17, 2016
Russian Stock Market Great Long Term Buy: Inflation Down 50% YOY / Stock-Markets / Russia
For a long time, we have been stating that the Sell-off in both the Ruble and the Russian stock market provided the astute investors with a great long-term buying opportunity. Well, This chart proves that things are getting better and that the Sanctions that the West imposed on Russia at the behest of the America was a stupid idea, but more importantly, it has made Russia even stronger. The chart below is proof of this; inflation is down over 50% year over year. Translation things must be getting better.
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Thursday, March 17, 2016
Kuroda, Draghi, then Yellen Pull the Trigger on Blanks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Good Morning!
As expected, the SPX Premarket is down again this morning. The “goose” that the markets got at the FOMC announcement are but a temporary reprieve from what is to come.
I will be gone all day to a conference in Indiana, so here is the level at which the market trend turns south. The trendline is self-evidennt, along with Intermediate-term support at 1994.28 as the confirmation of the change in trend.
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Thursday, March 17, 2016
More Stock Market Volatility Following Fed's Decision Release - Uptrend Reversal Or Just Consolidation? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,050, and profit target at 1,900, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish, as we expect a downward correction or short-term uptrend's reversal at some point. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence. We decided to change our long-term outlook to neutral recently, following a move down below medium-term lows:
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Thursday, March 17, 2016
FOMC Bring on the Clowns, Dollar, Gold and Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Honestly, more and more that seems to be the best phrase to describe when waiting for these FOMC statements to be revealed.
If we are not seeing a case of deliberate attempts to break the back of their own currencies among these Central Bankers, then "Scotty, beam me up!"
With the Fed Fund futures showing sharp increases AHEAD of the FOMC statement of rate hike probabilities, today's ultra dovish statement had everyone positioned on the wrong side of the currency markets yet once again. The result was yet another unleashed chaos courtesy of our Central Bankers.
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Wednesday, March 16, 2016
State of the Global Financial and Commodity Markets Report 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Dear Investor,
State of the Global Markets Report -- 2016 edition, one of the most anticipated annual reports for investors and technical analysts, has just been released, and for a limited time, it is available, free of charge. Soon it will cost $99 per download, where it will stay for the rest of the year.
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Wednesday, March 16, 2016
Stocks Premarket is Down, Awaits the FOMC / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket is down, but not sufficiently to break the next support level at 1988.79. Should the decline continue, I would expect to see a bounce in that vicinity.
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Wednesday, March 16, 2016
Stock Market Bear Counter Rally Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Europe continues to disintegrate politically.
On the 26th of February the Irish people went to the polls in a general election. Nearly 3 weeks later a government has not been formed due to the fact that no main party won an outright majority. It looks like this instability will remain for at least another month or so. Spain went to the polls 3 months ago and still no government has been voted in. Belgium was unable for 541 days to form a government, following its general election in 2010.
Wednesday, March 16, 2016
The Four Blind Mice At the Cliff, Booms Built Reserves, Busts Liquidate Them / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
"They Keynesian economists urge adoption of a "managed currency" and various forms of government intervention in the economic life of its fellow citizens. The idea is that government should supply an economic wisdom that private enterprise lacks or is unable to use. But even these economists see the uneconomic results of the government intervention which they advocate....Can government ever supply private enterprise with an economic wisdom which it would otherwise lack?" - Away From Freedom (1952) Vervon Orval Watts, pg 70
"Lenin is said to have declared that the best way to destroy the Capitalist System was to debauch the currency. By a continuing process of inflation, governments can confiscate secretly and unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their citizens....As the inflation proceeds and the real value of the currency fluctuates wildly from month to month, all permanent relations between debtors and creditors, which form the ultimate foundation of capitalism, become so utterly disordered as to be almost meaningless; and the process of wealth-getting degenerates into a gamble and a lottery." - The Economic Consequences of Peace (1919) John Maynard Keynes, pg 235 & 236
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Tuesday, March 15, 2016
Stock Market Trading Cycle inverts... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Good Morning!
SPX closed yesterday above both its 200-day Moving Average at 2019.41 and its mid-Cycle support/resistance at 2012.67. However, this morning’s Premarket seems to have knocked it off both perches.
Today we have an inverted Trading Cycle Pivot. I originally anticipated it to be a Cycle low, as the vast majority of Trading Cycle Pivots are. Today’s Pivot corresponds with the November 16 and January 20 lows. As a result, I had miscalled the rally, expecting it to end much sooner. It appears that the rally far exceeded many other analysts calls as well.
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Tuesday, March 15, 2016
Stock Market Crash is Imminent - This Chart Explains Everything... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
The story on Wall Street and CNBC continues to be that we’re in a correction and this is a buying opportunity. Even Warren Buffett joins the chorus of stock market cheerleaders for the skeptical public. Well, I agree with the skeptical public, not the experts here!
The bull market from early 2009 into May 2015 looks just like every bubble in history, and I’m getting one sign after the next that we did indeed peak last May.
I’ve been telling our Boom & Bust subscribers for months now that the dominant pattern in the stock is the “rounded top” pattern I show in the chart below:
Tuesday, March 15, 2016
Flat Close for Stock Market Indices / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices started the week off with an interesting day today and finished mixed on the session. The day started out with a move up in the morning in a 5-wave advance, they pulled back in the afternoon, that held support, they rallied to nominal new highs with about forty minutes to go, and then backed off into the close to close mixed.
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