Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, January 25, 2016

Where Is The Stock Market Turmoil Taking Us? - Audio / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: John_Rubino

On Monday, stocks tanked around the world and so did oil, breaking $27. On Tuesday things looked better. Central banks were jawboning, with Mario Draghi making noises about intervening. The Chinese were also busy buying stocks. The true test is when the banks really start intervening and whether they will be able to reflate another cycle. At some point this strategy is bound to fail. Will it be now or the next time? That past couple of weeks have seen a very brutal bear market. If you look at the average stock, it has lost more than 20 percent. Sounds like a bear market in the making with tech stocks leading the way.

Sunday, January 24, 2016

Stock Market Counter Trend Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Severe correction underway.

SPX: Intermediate trend - counter-trend rally!

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Sunday, January 24, 2016

Is the Stock Market Bottom In? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

Stocks are rallying this morning.

They are not rallying because of a change in fundamentals.

They are not rallying because of a significant debt restructuring.

Sunday, January 24, 2016

Financial Collapse 2016 - Could This Be “The Big One”? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Mike_Whitney

Everyone take a deep breath. This isn’t 2007 again.  The banks aren’t loaded with $10 trillion in “toxic” mortgage-backed securities, the housing market hasn’t fallen off a cliff wiping out $8 trillion in home equity, and the world is not on the brink of another excruciating financial meltdown.  The reason the markets have been gyrating so furiously for the last couple weeks is because stocks are vastly overpriced, corporate earnings are shrinking, and the Fed is threatening to take away the punch bowl. And to top it all off, a sizable number of investors have more skin in the game than they can afford, so they had to dump shares pronto to rebalance their portfolios.

Sunday, January 24, 2016

Charting The Stock Market Crash - How Far Will The Bounce Get?... / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Clive_Maund

The purpose of this update is to define exactly where we are on the market clock, because if we know where we are, broadly speaking we will know where we are going.

Before going any further I want to point out that so far we have tracked this nascent market crash well, first looking for the market to cave in last Summer, in the Preparing for the Crash series, calling for the Biotech sector to plunge before Christmas in Biotech Inverse ETFs update – Perfect Entry Point for New Shorts, for China to crater at the end of December in the China update and more recently calling for a waterfall decline in the US stockmarket right at the start of the year in Broad US Stockmarket Still Perched Atop a Cliff

Sunday, January 24, 2016

First Uptrend of Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started off at SPX 1880. After a Monday holiday the market gapped up to SPX 1901 on Tuesday, and then immediately headed lower. On Wednesday the market gapped down at the open, hit a new low for the downtrend at SPX 1812, and then began to rally. The rally continued through Thursday and Friday with the SPX clearing 1900, and ending the week at 1907. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.05%, the NDX/NAZ gained 2.60%, and the DJ World gained 0.90%. Economic reports for the week were mostly negative. On the uptick: existing homes sales and the Q4 GDP estimate. On the downtick: the NAHB, CPI, housing starts, building permits, leading indicators, the WLEI, the Philly FED, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week the FED meets Tuesday and Wednesday, and we get our first look at Q4 GDP.

Saturday, January 23, 2016

Finally, Some Stock Market Buying....What Is It Telling Us?......Scenarios Discussed... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

What's unique about the stock market is its unpredictable nature. We're always trying to understand the message being sent through the oscillators along with price action. What is it saying! It can be very confusing and always emotional. Is it only a correction within a bigger picture bull market that's still on going? Is this a counter-trend rally that will fail on a weekly basis below the uptrend line at 1935? Will it head fake well above 1935 only to close back below on a weekly basis? It's really hard to know what's taking place when the move off then top has never shown classic bear-market distribution on any of the key daily index charts.

Saturday, January 23, 2016

Chronicle Of A Debt Foretold - When Central Banks Buy Equities / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: John_Rubino

Critics of today’s fiat currency/fractional reserve banking world have (for what seems like forever) made the common sense point that when debt rises faster than cash flow, bad things are bound to happen. In every cycle since 1980 this has been dismissed by the vast majority who benefit from inflating bubbles — until the bubble bursts.

Saturday, January 23, 2016

Yield Curve, 2016 Predictions - “There is No Wizard Behind the Curtain!” / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

FRA Co-Founder Gordon T. Long discusses with Global Macro CME Floor Trader Yra Harris, the difficulties of investing in the currently suppressed global market. Yra has been a member of the CME since 1977 and is a well-known global macro trader. Yra currently works with Vine Street trading.

Saturday, January 23, 2016

What is Happening to Stock Market Inflowing Liquidity? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Marty_Chenard

The old saying is that "Money makes the world go round." It doesn't stop there ... money also makes the stock market go up or down.

As Jesse Livermore said in the 20's ... "The stock market is all about money. If money goes in, the stock market goes up. If money goes out, the stock market goes down."

Friday, January 22, 2016

Square Holes and Currency Pegs / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Raul_I_Meijer

When David Bowie died, everybody, in what they wrote and said, seemed to feel they owned him, and owned his death, even if they hadn’t thought about him, or listened to him, for years. In the same vein, though the Automatic Earth has been talking about deflation (for 8 years, it’s our anniversary today) and the looming China Ponzi disaster for a long time, now that these things actually play out, everybody talks as if they own the story, and present it as new (because, for one thing, well, after all for them it is new…).

Friday, January 22, 2016

Japanese Nikkei Stocks Bear Market is Over / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market

By: Austin_Galt

The Japanese stock market, the Nikkei, looks like it may have completed its bear market yesterday at the 16017 quote which was just over 23% down from the previous high. Let’s take a bottom up approach to the analysis beginning with the daily chart.

Friday, January 22, 2016

Stock Market Short-Term Bottom in place: You will lose money if you Short Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The whole world is in disbelief that the stock markets are not collapsing, right now. It is going to be a slow bear market decline. I had written an article called “The Power Of Seven”; many were skeptical of my suggestion warning investors for move to cash. I was right on target. Now, the markets are tanking and experts are calling for all sorts of levels, I believe I am correct again, by calling for an intermediate bottom in the markets that may last much longer than traders expect.

Many believe that catching the top and bottom, is not only difficult, but impossible. With my predictive trend analytics models, I constantly identify both bottoms and tops on varous timeframes rom intraday to monthly charts, which if you have been following me for some time very well know.

Friday, January 22, 2016

Is Stock Market SPX Topping? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX jumped in the overnight markets and it appears that Wave (i) of [c] may be complete. Thus far it has retraced 35% of the decline. Should SPX reach 1914.75 (the 38.2% retracement) in only one continuous impulse from [b], I suggest your longs be taken off the table.

Should SPX retrace modestly, then go higher, I suggest that it may reach its 50% Fib level at 1946.50 yet today. That would be the second level at which to take profits, since things may become dicey over the weekend.

Friday, January 22, 2016

Stock Market Swing Baby, Swing! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

This article assumes one is trading the up and down swings in the stock market.  Swing traders are just one segment of a market population that includes those sitting in cash (and/or risk ‘off’ vehicles like Treasury Bonds), maintaining longer-term short positions, our always bullish friends, the “stocks for the long-term” contingent and of course, the indomitable Gold Bug “community”, focusing as ever on one asset class while a world full of other assets is in motion.

“Let’s go let’s go, he’s no batter, he’s no batter… (pitch comes to the plate) SWING BATTER!!!”

Friday, January 22, 2016

Stock Markets Waiting on U.S. Dollar / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It appears that the outcome of the world markets may depend on the behavior of the USD. The pattern is now clear, after a long consolidation. The rising domestic markets have been dependent on the rising dollar. This has made especially so by the emerging markets as they have to buy back dollars to repay dollar-denominated debts which they so eagerly took over the past several years. This has caused a terrible squeeze on their economies and the Emerging Markets stocks and bonds.

Thursday, January 21, 2016

The Fed’s Role in the Stock Market Slide / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Mike_Whitney

When the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and S&P peaked in May 2015, investors were still confident that the Fed “had their back” and that any steep or prolonged downturn in stocks would be met with additional liquidity and a firm commitment to maintain zero rates as long as necessary. But now that the Fed has started its long-awaited rate-hike cycle, investors aren’t sure what to expect.

Thursday, January 21, 2016

Fantasy Stock Market: “NIFTY NINE” FINALLY BECAME JUST “FANTAsy”! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

In the November Issue of Triggers we discussed “FANG & NOSH”. In December we further discussed the mutation of this group to the “NIFTY9”. This month as markets fall we need to discuss how the “NIFTY9” finally became just “FANTAsy” and the potential $1T seriousness of what this means.

Thursday, January 21, 2016

S&P 500 Fell 15% Below Last Year's All Time High - Correction or New Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is now neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence. However, we decided to change our long-term outlook to neutral, following recent move down below medium-term lows.

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Thursday, January 21, 2016

Stock Market Indices Rally to Cut Huge Sell-Off in Half / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a really interesting day today, which included a very sharp decline in the morning, getting the indices to an extremely negative tick of minus 1373, and the McClellan Oscillator to minus 200-plus. After reaching a level midday where the indices seemed to be washed out, they staged a very strong rally, taking the Nasdaq 100 from 3993 all the way up to 4180, a 187-point rally straight up with a 5-wave advance. The S&P 500, during that time, went from 1812 to 1878, a 66-point rally.