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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Friday, January 24, 2014

What Could go Wrong for Stocks and Right for Gold in 2014 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Clif_Droke

Are investors too bullish on the stock market’s prospects for 2014 and too bearish for gold’s? It would certainly seem that way based on the near unanimity of analyst consensus. Most institutional analysts have published bullish forecasts for equities in 2014 and a bearish, or at least cautionary, outlook for gold. The favorable forecast for stocks and bearish gold outlook is based on the assumption that deflation remains at bay for the coming year.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 24, 2014

SPX Stock Market Sell Signal Confirmed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

My best reading on the decline so far is the Minute Wave [i] may be complete and Minute Wave [ii] of Minor Wave C] may now be underway.  Wave (c) of Minute Wave [ii] has a potential target between 1829.00 and 1833.00.  The Minute Wave [iii] target may be near 1775.00, with a minimum of 1800.00. 

SPX may spend the rest of today bouncing to its 1833.00 target.  Tomorrow we may see the larger Wave [iii] decline. 

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 24, 2014

Gold and S&P500 Inverse Relationship - Elliott Wave Forecast / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Dan_Stinson

Gold has bounced as a double bottom and it is likely that we should see further upside. The downside for the metals and especially Silver has been bearish, but the declined for the metals was relentlessly while the equity markets have gone parabolic. This is a very substantial inverse relationship and suggests reversals for both. Parabolic advances always end poorly and further upside for the metals is expected after the recent over sold conditions.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 23, 2014

Citigroup - U.S. Taper Is Not QE Tightening / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Bloomberg

Michael Corbat, Chief Executive Officer of Citigroup Inc., talks about the structure of the bank, Federal Reserve monetary policy and global growth rates. He speaks with Erik Schatzker on Bloomberg Television's "Countdown" on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum's annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland. Corbat told Schatzker, “People shouldn’t want us to be everything to everyone…We’ve gone through a pretty significant transformation. We’ve got the right business mix.”

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 23, 2014

Stock Market Volatility Increases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

TNX may be taking another dip lower this morning. It is uncertain whether it will make a new low or simply a partial retracement.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 23, 2014

Weak Q1 Corporate Earnings to Finally Trip Up Illogical Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings

By: DailyGainsLetter

John Paul Whitefoot writes: Stock markets are only as healthy as their stocks—well, at least they technically should be. But despite its stellar year in 2013, the S&P 500’s component stocks weren’t supporting the growth with strong revenue and earnings growth.

I might sound like a broken record, but the fact of the matter is that the S&P 500 was fuelled by the Federal Reserve and its $85.0-billion-a-month quantitative easing efforts and artificially low interest rates, and the fact that businesses were streamlining operations and implementing aggressive share repurchase programs.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 23, 2014

Stock Market Closing In On S&P500 1850... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

The S&P 500 has refused to give it up. It's in a trading range from 1812 support horizontally to 1850 resistance, which is also horizontal support. It's a 2% range, and within 2% can come a lot of emotion. However, it's been riding off the 20-day exponential moving average lately currently at 1833. This tells me the bulls are readying themselves for another move up, so the bears better get busy and fast. If we can clear 1850, and close above with a little force, it means the bears will have to take inventory of what they're holding. That also means they will likely want to lighten up, thus, some added fuel from short covering.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 23, 2014

Davos Philanthropy, Income Inequality and Private Equity / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Bloomberg

David Rubenstein, CEO of Carlyle Group, joined Bloomberg Television's Stephanie Ruhle and Erik Schatzker today live from Davos to discuss philanthropy, income inequality and the state of private equity.

Rubenstein told Bloomberg TV he sees plenty of opportunity for private equity, having only "touched the surface in the emerging markets."

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 22, 2014

Has US Already Sown Seeds for Next Macro Financial Markets Deflation Crisis? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014

By: John_Mauldin

Greg Weldon has long been my favorite slicer and dicer of data – his charts and insights on charts really help me keep my eyes peeled. But in order to get across to us the drastic state of the economy as we plunge headlong into 2014 – a year that we all know will be pivotal – Greg has felt it necessary to resort to a rather trenchant metaphor from the year just past. Yes, says Greg, the economy is … Breaking Bad.

But – listen up now – bad is now good. At least temporarily.

Good, because bad macroeconomic data means an ongoing (if slightly tapering) supply of monetary steroids (Greg's term) will be forthcoming from our pushers, the central banks of the developed world.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 22, 2014

Debt, Economy and Markets - 14 Questions for 2014 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: DeviantInvestor

Those who cannot remember the past, are condemned to repeat it." - George Santayana.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 22, 2014

Stock Market Overbought Consolidation Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - As a result of minor cycles due to bottom in late February, a short-term top appears to be in the making.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 22, 2014

Why it is Important for Bankers to Attend Davos / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks

By: Bloomberg

Bank of America President/CEO, Brian Moynihan joined Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker and Stephanie Ruhle today live from Davos and said trading operations were profitable almost every day last quarter as the lender helped clients adjust to the prospect of higher interest rates, "I think we made money on every trading day except for two or three. Quarter after quarter, that's been trust. It's because it's a client business." Moynihan also said:

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 20, 2014

Did We See Stock Market Cycle Top Last Week? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

I have been reviewing my long-term charts and have been updating them. I was surprised when I discovered that today (January 18) is exactly 5.16 years from the November 21, 2008 low in the NDX. I have often been referring to the NDX Cycles, since they seem to be much more accurate than the Dow/SPX Cycles. The deviations from the measurements above are often within 3 days and no longer than 8 days, so this is a wonderful monitoring chart. I am constantly amazed at the relationships between the Cycles and the Waves.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 20, 2014

Shocking Stocks, Bonds and Dollar Market Predictions for 2014… And the Evidence to Prove Them / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Money_Morning

Robert Hsu writes: Each January, we hear a chorus of pundits making predictions about where the markets will go in the 12 months ahead. The number and volume level of the "predictions" is matched only by the utter lack of evidence to back them up.

These talking heads will be the first to shout "I told you so!" But when they get it wrong, well... the silence is deafening. Their predictions are of little use to us.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 19, 2014

Stocks 2014 - It’s All About Corproate Earnings / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings

By: John_Mauldin

Piloting on the Mississippi River was not work to me; it was play — delightful play, vigorous play, adventurous play – and I loved it… – Mark Twain

In the 1850s, flat-bottom paddlewheel steamboats coursed up and down the mighty Mississippi, opening up the Midwest to trade and travel. But it was treacherous travel. The current was constantly shifting the sandbars underneath the placid, smoothly rolling surface of the river. What was sufficient depth one week on a stretch of the river might become a treacherous sandbar the next, upon which a steamboat could run aground, perhaps even breaching the hull and sinking the ship. To prevent such a catastrophe, a crewman would throw a long rope with a lead weight at the end as far in front of the boat as possible (and thus the crewman was called the leadman). The rope was usually twenty-five fathoms long and was marked at increments of two, three, five, seven, ten, fifteen, seventeen and twenty fathoms. A fathom was originally the distance between a man's outstretched hands, but since this could be quite imprecise, it evolved to be six feet.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, January 18, 2014

Stocks and Bonds Tops, Gold and Silver Bottom Climacterics Now / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“We view prospective near-term and multi-year returns as strongly unfavorable, and prospective market risk as unusually elevated.”John Hussman, January 2014

Choppy, decidedly Unbullish Equities Market Action thus far in 2014 is one Major Clue the Climacterics we earlier forecast have arrived in Key Markets. They may take a few days to a few weeks to fully develop, but they have arrived.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 17, 2014

Pandoras Box 2014 - The Largest Financial Collapse in History / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014

By: Ty_Andros

Looking for an accident/black swan

As we begin 2014, it is important to recognize the levels of INSANITY currently existent in the world  enabling us to understand the apocryphal nature of the times we live in and prepare ourselves to meet the challenges it represents.  The world is leveraged to an extent that has never before seen in history! Debt now masquerades as NOMINAL growth and REAL growth has ceased.  Headline economic reports are now nothing more than POLITICALLY CORRECT HOAXES to FOOL the public at large and mask the betrayal of the public by the leaders who hold the reins of power.  ECONOMIC Stagnation emerged after the 2008 Global financial crisis and in real terms has NEVER ENDED!

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 17, 2014

Timing Major Stock Market Peaks, Bear Market Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: John_Hampson

Starting on the smallest timescale, and working up to the largest.

1. Timing within the month

Lunar phasing influences human sentiment. It produces fortnightly oscillation in the stock market: positivity/optimism around the new moon and negativity/pessimism around the full moon. The cumulative influence of this can be seen in stock market returns over the last 20 years:

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 17, 2014

Happy 100th U.S. Fed Birthday / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: EWI

On December 23, the U.S. Federal Reserve celebrated its 100th birthday. When legislation creating its existence was signed on December 23, 1913 (in a sneaky move during a holiday week), Congress granted the Fed a monopoly on creating dollars backed by debt.

The ongoing QE program is an unprecedented use of that power. This chart of the Fed's stated capital of $55 billion compared to its total assets of $4 trillion shows the extent to which the Fed is the focal point of dollar creation and therefore credit creation.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 17, 2014

Can the Fed Beat the Stock Market Expanding Wedge Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Marty_Chenard

If it wasn't for the Fed, this DJI chart would already in big trouble. While the yearly DJI chart does show its first 2014 tick as being inside the expanding wedge pattern, a lot of money is being pumped in to try and get the DJI back up higher.

The question will be: Will this turn out to be money well spent? I ask the question because expanding wedge patterns typically identify exhaustion levels where a pull back occurs like at labels 1 and 2.

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