Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, September 26, 2012
Bernanke Put: Beware of Easy Money / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Axel_Merk
Central bankers around the world may be providing a backstop to the financial markets in much the same way Greenspan did during the “Goldilocks” years, but when the short-term euphoria wears off, will the negative repercussions be even more severe? Bernanke’s Federal Reserve (Fed) appears to specifically target equity market appreciation as part of its offensive in bringing down the unemployment rate; expectations are high: every time the market sells off, the Fed might simply print more money. We fear central bankers have overstepped their reach, and the implications of their actions may be much worse than the anticipated benefits.
Wednesday, September 26, 2012
Is the Soaring Stock Market Hiding a Darker Truth? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Money_Morning
William Patalon writes: In my role as executive editor, I subscribe to dozens of newsletters, wire services, trade journals and news-bulletins. They roll into my e-mail box each day like an eight-hour-long avalanche.Usually, I just open the ones that happen to catch my eye. One was this recent headline from a MarketWatch.com bulletin that said, "Dow closes at highest level since December 2007."
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Wednesday, September 26, 2012
The Fed Is Trapped, Gold Is The Exit / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
By: Darryl_R_Schoon
47% of US investors dependent on the Fed believe they are victimized by government, who believe they are entitled to enough liquidity to profit when risk is laid-off onto others, to society, to you-name-it…
On September 13th, the Fed announced QE3, a policy of open-ended bond purchases which would add $1 trillion annually to the Fed’s balance sheet. The Fed’s decision to provide liquidity ad infinitum, i.e. QE etc, was framed in reasonable and carefully chosen language:
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Wednesday, September 26, 2012
Stock Market DOW Index Short Term Forecast October 2012 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Dan_Stinson
Elliott Wave on the DOW - DOW Ending Diagonal Patterns
We have been tracing out two ending diagonal patterns for the DOW. The smaller ED pattern and possibly the larger ED pattern completed on Sept 23rd. The corrective choppy action in wave (C) up is an ending diagonal pattern which is a terminal pattern. We should see further downside on the first chart below the lower trendline with a sharp decline to at least the starting point of the ED pattern at 12400.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2012
Betting on Bankers, What if the Fed has Got it All Wrong? / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: John_Mauldin
As long-time readers know, I get a large volume of research sent my way. I can't get to all of it every week, but I really do try. And today's Outside the Box, from a new (to me) source, hooked me from the first few paragraphs.
Correlation is not causation, as we all know. That brings us to the Fed, where many market observers are seeing causation when there might be other reasons for stock market movements. What if the victory lap Bernanke has taken due to stock market results is perhaps a little too early or out of place entirely? And what might that potentially say about future market performance and correlations?
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Monday, September 24, 2012
Asian Financial Crisis Lessons, Can Malaysia’s Capital Controls be Copied? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
By: Sam_Chee_Kong
The Asian Financial Crisis in 1997 came as a surprise and caught most people by surprise not only by the speed but also the severity of the crisis. At that time the Asian Economic Miracle was the buzzword then and the Asian Tiger economies are at their peak not only in the performance of their export oriented economies but also the stocks and properties market. To accommodate the shortage of funds needed to boost their economies, their governments embark on a ‘loose money’ monetary policies regime.
Monday, September 24, 2012
Stock Market Brief Correction Due, then Higher Into November Election / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jim_Curry
It has been a while since I have posted an article, and - due to some recent email requests - I wanted
to take a detailed look as we move into the latter part of 2012, based upon what the larger time cycles
are currently suggesting. In addition, we will take a look at the shorter-term picture, to see what the
U.S. markets may hold in store in the days/weeks to come.
Monday, September 24, 2012
Stock Market Uptrend Pullback Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Tony_Caldaro
It was a relatively quiet Options expiration and week in this US. The entire range for the week was SPX 1450-1467, and those numbers were achieved on thursday and friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.25%, and the NDX/NAZ were mixed. Asian markets were -0.3% , European markets were -0.7%, and the DJ World index lost 0.7%. On the economic front positive reports outpaced negative reports 7 to 3. On the uptick, the NAHB index, housing starts, existing home sales, the monetary base and the WLEI; plus the Philly FED and currect Account balance improved. On the downtick: the NY FED, building permits and leading indicators. Weekly jobless claims were unchanged. Next week we get a look at Q2 GDP, Personal income/spending and PCE prices.
Monday, September 24, 2012
Stock Market Buying Volume Continues to Drop on the US Indexes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Donald_W_Dony
There has been a sharp divergence between the buying volume and the US indexes. The Dow, S&P 500 and the broad New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) Composite have all shown a marked separation between the rising prices of the indexes and buying volume.
Monday, September 24, 2012
Stock Market Rally Maxed Out, Heading for Short-term Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Andre_Gratian
Current position of the market
SPX: Very Long-term trend – The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend – The Fed has extended the SPX intermediate uptrend, but for how long?
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Monday, September 24, 2012
U.S. Dollar Frenzy Selling Opening Up Bullish Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Darah_Bazargan
A market that experiences a climatic selling frenzy can often generate hyper-sold conditions which merit for an oversold rally, but not one that is sustainable to recover from such severe technical damage. Instead what occurs is prices fall back at minimum to retest the prior low, but the decline in motion is not nearly as dramatic. Thereafter becomes a scrimmage between both buyers and sellers until a general support area can be agreed upon, and to where the next bottom can then be established.
Sunday, September 23, 2012
China Stock Market Shanghai Tower Pattern and Aftermath / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short. : Of late market watchers in the U.S. are wondering if the QE3 stimulus will have a comparable effect on markets as the first two rounds of easing. And of course we in the US are nearing the end of the third quarter with earnings season just over the horizon. Around the world the ongoing euro zone financial crisis remains in the center circle of the world’s financial circus. But what caught my eye this afternoon in doing my weekly world market update was the ghastly performance of Shanghai Composite.
Sunday, September 23, 2012
Bernanke QE to infinity Sacrificing the U.S. Dollar / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: WavePatternTraders
For those that remember there is a great film called The Ten Commandments and a classic line by Yul Brynner “So it is written so it shall be done”
On the 13th September Ben Bernanke did something that will likely go down in history, I won’t bore readers any further with the details suffice to say “So it is written so it shall be done”.
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Saturday, September 22, 2012
Stock Market 70 RSI...Red Flag....Oil Strange Week....Transports Very Weak...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
Let's start with oil. The price of oil started creeping up, it seems, in anticipation that Mr. Bernanke would do QE3. It was moving closer and closer to 100$ per barrel. Not a good sign for a clean break above 100$ had the commodity moving towards 110$. I need not tell you how bad that would be for our weakening economy, our rapidly weakening economy, at that. The Fed didn't let the masses, he fooled me, and gave the world QE3. Oil blasted up initially, and you could hear the moans of what it meant to be clearing 100$ a barrel. Suddenly, and seemingly out of nowhere, oil absolutely plunged. It needed to plunge, and plunge it did. Manipulated? Who knows. It's certainly possible, but it was good to see it fall, and fall hard. It's down huge for the week, and now, well below that magic 100$ level.
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Friday, September 21, 2012
QE-3 Hyperventilating Hyperbole on Hyperinflation / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Ned_W_Schmidt
Wow! The hyperventilating hyperbole on hyperinflation to be brought about by QE-3 was near overwhelming. From some of what we read, QE-3 is to cure all the economic woes of the U.S., cause hyperinflation, crash the U.S. dollar, prevent male patten baldness, push $Gold to $2,400, and cause the death of our favorite pet. Oh, and the perennial favorite fantasy trotted out on a regular basis is Silver going back to $50. Could QE-3 really be all those things, or is it really Damp Squib One?