Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, November 28, 2012

US Dollar and Stock Market Relationships Near Term / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: David_Banister

The SP 500 is likely to pullback from a 66 point rally off the 1343 pivots. Those pivots were right at a Fibonacci fractal retracement of 61.8% of the Summer rally. That rally ran from 1267-1474 as we all know in hindsight, and the correction was a normal correction within a bull cycle.

Tuesday, November 27, 2012

Nas/AAPL Won't Fall.... Dow/S&P 500 Small Pullback... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

The bid is back in for this market after the weekly charts printed outside sticks last week when compared to the action from the previous week. That normally tells the worst of the selling is over, but that does not preclude one more move lower over time to double bottom. That's unclear for now. The market tried selling today, but, sadly, it's now all about Apple Inc. (AAPL), which had a strong day to the up side, meaning the Nasdaq out performed, closing in the green while the S&P 500 and Dow were down a little bit. In reality a nothing-from-nothing day. However, with the Nasdaq hanging tough, it allowed its short-term chart RSI to remain in the upper 70's. Not a good reading for buying new plays.

Monday, November 26, 2012

The "Fiscal Cliff" Story You're Not Hearing from the Mainstream Press / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: DailyWealth

Dan Ferris writes: Investors are scared...

In fact, they're even more scared today than they were in late 2008.

That's hard to believe... In 2008, the market was down close to 50% from its late-2007 highs. The housing market was crushed. Bear Stearns, Merrill Lynch, Lehman Brothers, and AIG had all gone out of business in one way or another. Officials from the Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury were running around like chickens with their heads cut off... bailing out losers in the financial industry.

Monday, November 26, 2012

Stock Market New Uptrend Probably Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Tony_Caldaro

Last friday’s optimism for a quick resolution to the potential fiscal cliff, continued this week as US equity markets rallied. In fact, US stock market indices had their best week since June. For the week the SPX/DOW were +3.5%, and the NDX/NAZ were +4.1%. Asian markets gained 1.7%, European market gained 4.9%, and the DJ World index rose 3.8%. On the economic front, reports swung back to positive after one week with a negative bias. For the week positive reports outnumbered negative ones five to three. On the downtick: building permits, consumer sentiment and the WLEI. On the uptick: existing homes sales, housing starts, the NAHB index, leading indicators, and weekly jobless claims improved. Next week we get to review the FED’s Beige book, Q3 GDP, PCE prices and additional housing reports. Best to your week!

Monday, November 26, 2012

Shadow Banking: The Next Financial Crisis Landmine / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012

By: Alasdair_Macleod

The Federal Reserve Board originally led us to believe that it was necessary to expand money supply through quantitative easing to offset the contraction of bank credit. Bank credit is no longer contracting, and indeed was already expanding when QE3 was introduced. This objective is now being satisfied as illustrated in the chart below:

Monday, November 26, 2012

Stock Market Cup Pattern Similarities to the 1987 Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Dear Friends,

I have been struck with the similarities between today and the period in 1987 leading up to the crash. The oversized rally into the Friday high evoked even more correlations. We had a Cup with Handle formation in the SPX going into October, 1987. As of Friday, I believe that the current SPX also has a Cup with Handle formation.

Monday, November 26, 2012

World Stock Markets Best Week of 2012 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

Doug Short. writes: All eight of the indexes on our world market watch list closed the week with a gain. In fact, the average gain o the eight at 3.41% is the biggest weekly increase of 2012. The three EU indexes were the top performers, with France’s CAC 40 and Germany’s DAXK rising more than five percent (5.60% and 5.16% respectively). The next four indexes, lead by the FTSE 100, finished the week with gains in the top half of the three percent range. Even China’s last-place Shanghai was up a respectable 0.63%.

Monday, November 26, 2012

Stock Market Pullback Expected into End of November / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.

SPX: Intermediate trend - SPX has made a top at 1474. A mid-correction rally is underway.

Sunday, November 25, 2012

Stocks, Dollar and Commodity Markets Trend Forecasts into February 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Toby_Connor

Well how was that for the start of a new intermediate cycle? While many analysts were calling for continued losses or even a market crash I repeatedly warned traders that an intermediate degree bottom was coming and that markets routinely rally violently out of those bottoms, often generating 5-8% gains in the first 12 to 15 days. This particular intermediate bottom has already gained 5% in just the first five days.

Sunday, November 25, 2012

U.S. Dollar tell us Stocks are Likely to Fall / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The stock market is at a very critical pivot point which I feel will generate opportunities in December and for the first quarter of 2013.

Trading with the trend is not always an easy task. It is human nature to predict and jump to conclusions and usually it’s better to trade with the trend no matter what your emotions are telling you. The current trend is down and I stick with that until we are proven wrong.

Sunday, November 25, 2012

Why the Stock Market and Gold Rallied on Bad News / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: J_W_Jones

The amount of negative news that we have seen recently has been mind-blowing. Europe is going into recession, Greece and several other countries are on the verge of bankruptcy, the Middle East is a powder-keg, and the U.S. is facing a fiscal cliff. Shockingly for most retail traders, the past week has produced a very strong return for U.S. equity indexes as well as risk assets in general.

Sunday, November 25, 2012

Stock Market Last Push Higher Before the Big Collapse? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

With most of Wall Street on vacation, those few traders manning their desks are taking advantage of the low volume to push the market sharply higher. This, combined with a large move up by the Euro has pulled the entire risk trade up forcing the US Dollar lower.

Sunday, November 25, 2012

Unfolding Stock Market Crash Pattern / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

-- VIX extended another zigzag into its Master Cycle low on Wednesday and appears ready to advance above its Head & Shoulders neckline near 20.00. The second zigzag confirms this formation as a Cup with Handle pattern with a potential target above 27.00. This, in turn, may set up an even larger Head & Shoulders pattern that could propel Wave III to as high as 48.00, its prior high in 2011. This is setting up well for a crash pattern in stocks in the next couple of weeks.

Saturday, November 24, 2012

Stock Market Forecasts For the Coming Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Manas_Banerji

If markets have to face big sell-offs from big institutes then will not they come before? A good example of that is the end of the 2007 and beginning 2008 though then there were no big election like recent days. So if I consider that due to that vital US election market did not crash then this may not be a good time for that. If it has to come then that will come in market tops or at least in intermediate top levels. So, that means are we going to see more up moves in coming days!

Saturday, November 24, 2012

Stock Market Reasons to Be Bullish - At Least For A While! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Sy_Harding

After stumbling again in the summer months, the U.S. economy is clearly back on track - if politicians smarten up and prevent it from going over the fiscal cliff.

The recovery is also now being led by the housing industry, which is a particularly good omen. The two main driving forces of the economy have traditionally been the housing and auto industries. That makes sense since when those industries are healthy their good fortune pays forward to their suppliers and peripheral industries like furniture and appliance makers.

Saturday, November 24, 2012

Stock Market Friday – Be Thankful for Small Bounces / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

Are we going to have a "V"?

We haven't had a good V bounce-pattern in a while – one where the entire drop is entirely reversed on the other side – as if it were some mistake that's correcting itself as quickly as possible. According to ThePatternSite:

Friday, November 23, 2012

Contrarian Sentiment Indicator Says Stock Markets Have Bottomed / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: DailyWealth

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Over the last decade, this idea has been "a perfect contrary indicator," my friend Jason Goepfert explained on Monday.

Jason runs the excellent SentimenTrader website – my go-to site for all things "sentiment."

Thursday, November 22, 2012

Fellow Investors, What I’m Thankful For… / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Investment_U

Marc Lichtenfeld writes: On Thanksgiving, most of us in the United States will be with friends and family, sitting around festive tables filled with way more food than we need, sharing all of the things that we’re thankful for.

Yes, I’m thankful for my family, the abundant meal, puppies, rainbows and all of the heartwarming stuff like everyone else. But this is an investment e-letter, so here’s what I’m thankful for when it comes to the financial markets…

Wednesday, November 21, 2012

Stock Market at Risk of One More Leg Down in November / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: David_Banister

The SP 500 declined a perfect 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the summer rally from the 1267 lows to the 1474 highs. In our work we examine human behavioral patterns, sentiment, and Elliott Wave patterns to help with clues on market direction. To be sure, there is no such thing as a perfect technical analysis methodology, so we do our best to mix up a home cooked recipe for assistance in getting as close as we can to calling the pivots up and down.

Wednesday, November 21, 2012

Stock Market S&P - A Last-Minute Win / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

Doug Short writes: Pre-market data signaled a weak open, and that’s what we got. The S&P 500 saw some minor selling in the first 15 minutes but bounced back to the opening price within an hour. The index hovered directionless until Chairman Bernanke’s luncheon speech to the New York Economic Club. The index promptly plunged to its intraday low, off 0.71%, at 1:30 PM. But the 500 apparently had a mission to book a third consecutive day of gains. It marched slowly higher, struggled for a bit at the 1,386 level but remained determined. And determination paid off with a closing gain of 0.07% in the last minute of trading, literally.