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Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Monday, May 05, 2014

Stock Market Megaphone Top, Gold, Oil Commodities Down into Mid Year Correction / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Toby_Connor

So far my 2014 expectations are playing out pretty much as planned, with a few adjustments. With the threat of war in the Ukraine I think the final bubble phase in stocks is now off the table. I doubt we can get the euphoric buying pressure necessary to generate a parabola as long as tensions in Eastern Europe continue to escalate. No bubble phase in stocks = no capitulation phase in gold. The Ukraine event was a game changer.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 05, 2014

Stock Market Choppy Earnings Season but the Bull Remains Firmly Intact  / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Christopher_Quigley

It was a choppy earnings season but despite its volatility the bull trend remains very much intact.

The Dow Transports and Dow Industrials both are trending upward with higher highs and higher lows and both indices are in congruence. (Though it must be noted that the Transports Index is significantly stronger than the Industrials). In addition The VIX remains at historically low levels and the Advance/Decline line shows no sign of any technical stress what-so-ever.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, May 04, 2014

Elliott Wave Analysis of Dow Stock Index 5th Wave Terminating Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: WavePatternTraders

The trend from Oct 2011 is likely in its final stages, it appears wave [5] could be a possible ending diagonal so we are monitoring a potential bearish wedge shape, the RSI appears to be confirming the advance being a 5th wave terminating rally.

Once completed we are looking for opportunities to sell the DOW either by selling the market directing via the YM (e-mini futures) or potentially buying puts.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, May 04, 2014

Is it Time to Sell Australia Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: WavePatternTraders

XJO

I had initially suspected a major peak was in place back in April 2013, with a potentially completed pattern it looked like that forecast was starting to work, but nothing tends to be that simple these days, the decline from the 2013 peak started to look very corrective, so I had to abandon the call for a peak and look for alternatives ideas that would suggest a move higher, even if a marginal new high.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, May 04, 2014

Stock Market Elliott Wave Primary III Still Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market made some progress this week. Thanks to the two gap up openings early in the week, and no surprises from the FED or Q1 GDP. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.95%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.35%, and the DJ World index was +1.10%. Economic reports for the week remained positive. On the uptick: pending homes sales, ADP, Chicago PMI, personal income/spending, PCE, ISM manufacturing, construction spending, auto sales, Payrolls, factory orders, and the WLEI. On the downtick: Case-Shiller, Q1 GDP, the monetary base, and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we get reports on ISM services and Consumer credit, plus Congressional testimony from FED chair Yellen on Wednesday.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, May 03, 2014

Stock Market Friday Failure ...But Still Nothing Bearish..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

The market received the news it was looking for this morning. The market was right near the breakout on both the S&P 500 and Dow with great news to move it on through. Didn't happen. The futures blasted up showing a breakout, but they failed as the pre-market period wore on. We gapped up a bit, but the day was not to be kind to the bulls with regards to that breakout. The S&P 500 came within six points of its old high before falling. The Dow came close as well before selling as the day wore on, while the Nasdaq got within a few points of back testing its 50-day exponential moving average. That too was the sell off point. To sum it up, the Nasdaq failed below its 50's, while the S&P 500 and Dow failed at horizontal breakout prices.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, May 02, 2014

How Bubbles Burst In A Global Market / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Raul_I_Meijer

More curious numbers every day. An increase of 288,000 jobs in the BLS report’s Establishment Survey, but a decline of 73,000 jobs in the Household Survey; an additional 988,000 Americans left the labor force for an all time high of 92 million not in the labor force, as the Labor Participation Rate moved towards lowest since January 1978 and the Birth/Death model added 234,000 jobs. This is where I think: you tell me.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 01, 2014

Three Ways to Profit from an Exhausted Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: DailyGainsLetter

George Leong writes: When I’m looking at the screens each day, I notice there’s some selling capitulation occurring that makes me think back to 2000, when the technology stocks imploded.

Now, while I doubt we are seeing a repeat of 14 years ago, you have to wonder about the mad dash to the exits for many of the high-momentum technology stocks along with small-cap stocks. The small-caps are under threat, with the Russell 2000 down nearly eight percent in 2014 so far and close to five percent in April alone. Watch as the index is just above its 200-day moving average (MA).

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 01, 2014

Markets Offering High Risk Low Reward? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Submissions

Rajveer Rawlin writes: Lets look at the following charts:

The Dow long term chart shows a broadening top megaphone pattern, we are near the top of this pattern and a triple top could be underway in the daily chart

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 01, 2014

The Stocks Bull Market That Won't Quit....For Now...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

Last night and this morning's pre-market offered up opportunities for the bears to do some real technical damage due to a one-two punch from earnings last night, and a terrible Goodrich Petroleum Corp. (GDP) report this morning before trading began. Express Scripts Holding Company (ESRX), Panera Bread Company (PNRA), eBay Inc. (EBAY) and Twitter, Inc., the most important earnings for the evening, all bombed out on their reports. All fell very hard after those numbers were reported. Four for four on the downside, and not just down a little bit but down between four and thirteen percent.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 30, 2014

European Stock Markets Cliff Ahead? / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets

By: John_Mauldin

By Dirk Steinhoff

(This article originally appeared in World Money Analyst)

When Kevin Brekke, managing editor [of World Money Analyst], contacted me last week, I knew it was time again to survey the investment landscape. This month, I will focus on Europe and its decoupled financial and real-economy markets.

Globally, the last two years were marked by booming stock exchanges of developed markets, disappointing bond markets, and devastation across the precious metals markets.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 30, 2014

The Boy In The Bubble / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Raul_I_Meijer

That’s how I feel these days, or I should say these years. Since the name of this site comes from Paul Simon’s song by that title, it comes easily. Funny enough, I watched one of the Making of Graceland docs on Sunday night, and then on Monday morning read that the grand small 70-year old songwriter has been arrested because his wife’s mother had called 911 for a domestic disturbance situation. Given that Edie Brickell is about a foot taller than Simon, that made me smile. All the more so because in the documentary he’s talking about how he’s not good at writing angry songs, and that’s why Graceland came out the way it did, instead of being filled with loud protests against the injustices of South Africa. But, he said, outside of my songs, I’m very capable of expressing my anger, and I do get angry. Got ya, Paul.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 30, 2014

Inflation? MEH! Rising Interest Rates? MEH! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Jonathan_Davis

I wrote, here 2 weeks ago, how Government Bond yields have been falling and look as if they will continue to do so.  This suggests the Bond markets forecast, at least, falling inflation and, possibly, outright deflation.

Why might they think this?

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 30, 2014

Japan - Gyver & Guffin / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: John_Mauldin

This week’s TTMYGH revolves around “Macs.” The first is a man-turned-verb who was capable of extricating himself from seemingly hopeless situations, armed with an array of tools seemingly singularly unsuited to the purpose; and the second is an ingenious, though ultimately futile, plot device which has been used by everyone from Welles to Hitchcock to Tarantino.

Though at first blush it’s hard to see a link between the two, in today’s world there are Angus MacGyvers everywhere, beetling away with duct tape and Swiss army knives, trying to extricate themselves from completely hopeless situations; and if they are to succeed before the credits roll, they must rely upon one very important thing: the suspension of disbelief by their audience.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 29, 2014

Hybrid Lindsay Anticipates a Stock Market Drop This Week / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Ed_Carlson

Last week's Commentary showed a forecast for an expected high in the Dow near Monday, 4/21/14. Last week's high came on Tuesday, one day later than expected. This week I will attempt to use my "Hybrid" Lindsay model to forecast the next low in the Dow. The Hybrid Lindsay model is my own approach to forecasting intermediate highs and lows which, as far as we know, Lindsay never published any forecasts. This model draws heavily on the work of George Lindsay.

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