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Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Friday, January 10, 2014

Historic Stock Market Optimism 2014 - What Does it Mean? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: EWI

How do you know when the market is getting ready for a change? This quote from Bob Prechter's best-selling book, Conquer the Crash, looks at investor psychology at extremes in the markets:

The engine of high stock market valuation is widely shared optimism. The greater the degree of the advance that is ending, the greater the optimism at its peak. Optimism also tends to remain strong in the early stages of a bear market ...
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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 10, 2014

Surprising Hedge Fund Plays of 2014 - Bitcoins and China / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Clif_Droke

A number of hedge fund managers have already begun to make waves at the start of the New Year. In this commentary we’ll look at a couple of areas where hedge funds have taken big stakes and which could have major repercussions in the year ahead.

The first surprising hedge fund play of 2014 has emerged not in an established stock or commodity, but in the emerging digital payment platform known as Bitcoin. While purists insist it is neither a currency nor a commodity, there’s no denying the growing popularity of Bitcoin. The digital unit of stored value is attracting more and more interest from a wide array of individuals seeking an alternative to fiat currencies. Now it seems that even major financial institutions are set to enter the fray.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 09, 2014

The Great Rotation - Why It's Time to Buy the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: Calling what we're experiencing a bull market is like calling the Grand Canyon a ditch.

First of all, this rally - the one that sprung us from the depths of the Great Recession, and has pushed the S&P 500 170% above its 2009 low - has largely regained lost ground. This historic "rally" has taken the bellwether index just 265 points beyond its October 2007 peak.

In other words, 153 percentage points of the rally since 2009 were necessary just to get us back to 2007.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 09, 2014

Stock Market Fourth Loss in Five Sessions / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short: Before the market opened, we were treated to the ADP report claiming a better-than-expected 238K nonfarm private jobs growth in December. Would this be another “good news is bad news” number for the market? Indeed the S&P 500 sold off to its -0.35% intraday low in the first 20 minutes of trading. But it then reconsidered and rallied to its 0.12% intraday high 45 minutes later. In yesterday’s snapshot I speculated that the Fed minutes were unlikely to hold any major surprises since the initial taper plans had already been announced. The inevitable knee-jerk reaction at 2PM was short-lived. The moderate selling over the next 90 minutes reversed in the final 30. At the closing bell, the index posted its fourth loss in the first five sessions of 2014, but it was a mere -0.02%.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 08, 2014

The Invisible Power Behind the World's Best Stock Market Investments / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis

By: DailyWealth

Porter Stansberry writes: Over the years, I've explained a lot of Wall Street's "secrets"...

I've explained how discounted bonds are sometimes vastly better investments than stocks. I've covered how selling naked puts is almost always safer and more profitable than buying stocks outright.

These concepts (and others) are critical to active investors. They all play a role in giving you the tools you need to increase your returns. You ought to know all about them and be able to use them tactically to take advantage of opportunities in the market.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 08, 2014

Is Stock Market Dependence on Easy Money Weakening? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Profit_Confidential

George Leong writes: There’s a significant cold spell out there in the Mid-East and Northeastern parts of the country. At the same time, the stock market has cooled down a little, beginning the year on a cautious note.

I recently discussed my views for the stock market going forward and while it’s early on, the ability to move higher will largely depend on the economic renewal and its impact on what the Federal Reserve does. New Fed Chair Janet Yellen will be the focal point as Ben Bernanke departs.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 08, 2014

Stock Market 2014 - Can Yen Carry Trade Offset Fed QE Tapering? / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Gary_Dorsch

For the Nasdaq-100 Index, the Bull market turned five years old in November. Wall Street hopes the hard-charging Nasdaq Bull - that has more than tripled investors’ money since Nov 2008 is still in good enough shape to keep the gains coming in Year Six. Many Main Street investors are still wary of the “Least Loved” Bull market, - and they’ve missed out on the money minting rally. Since the turnaround began on March 9th, 2009, the S&P-500 index has chalked up gains of +175%, - ranking it as the fourth longest bull market of all-time. In cash terms, the US-stock market has generated $13.5-trillion in paper wealth.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 08, 2014

Stock Market Outlook for 2014 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Clif_Droke

Stocks sagged on Monday as the annual “Santa Claus rally” season came to an end last week. As Stock Trader’s Almanac points out, “Santa Claus tends to come to Wall Street nearly every year, bringing a short, sweet respectable rally within the last five days of the year and the first two in January.” Santa Claus did indeed appear on Wall Street this time around but was a bit stingy compared to the previous five years.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 08, 2014

Stocks, Bonds and Gold - The Best Way to Compound Your 2013 Gains / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Money_Morning

Robert Hsu writes: With the exceptional, unpredictable year that was 2013, we have a one-time opportunity to "mine" its insights... and make even more money in 2014.

The trick, as you'll see, is to block out the noise, stay invested, and focus on three key numbers...

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 07, 2014

Demographics, Stocks Bear Market, Global Recession And Deflation / Stock-Markets / Deflation

By: John_Hampson

Historically, demographic trends have correlated with secular bulls and bears in financial assets, economic growth/recession and inflation/deflation. Demographic forecasts are reliable because future trends were set in place with past swells and shrinkages in birth numbers. They would change if a country was subject to large scale death (war, pandemic, or similar) or the government henceforth adopted radical immigration policies. Demographics are particularly potent in countries that are relatively closed to migration, so understand that China has the smallest percentage of immigrants of any country (0.1% of the population), and Japan just 1.9% (compared to USA, UK and Germany all over 10%). My focus is on USA, China, Japan, Germany and UK, as collectively they make up 50% of world GDP. Know that whilst the European Union abolished barriers to movement within it, the demographics across all the member nations are uniformly poor.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 06, 2014

U.S. Stock Market Too Big to Pop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Peter_Schiff

Most economic observers are predicting that 2014 will be the year in which the United States finally shrugs off the persistent malaise of the Great Recession. As we embark on this sunny new chapter, we may ask what wisdom the five-year trauma has delivered. Some big thinkers have declared that the episode has forever tarnished freewheeling American capitalism and the myth of Wall Street invincibility. In contrast, I believe that the episode has, for the moment, established supreme confidence in the powers of monetary policy to keep the economy afloat and to keep a floor under asset prices, even in the worst of circumstances. This represents a dramatic change from where we were in the beginning of 2008, and unfortunately gives us the false confidence needed to sail blindly into the next crisis.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 06, 2014

Stock Market Resistance & Cycles Asserting Themselves / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - An important top formation is in the making.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 05, 2014

US Stock Markets Still Setting Up for a Major Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: WavePatternTraders

Short term

We went into this week looking for a short term top for wave [iii], the late day spike on New Year's eve appeared to give us the small spike from a small triangle, so it set up for a reversal this past week for wave [iv]. My preferred idea is that this is still in wave [iv] and a new high is still to come, although there is an alternative count that suggests the peak is in place for wave [v] of 5, however I would need to see a strong decline under 16200 to suggest a reversal.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 05, 2014

Transformative Human Biotech Revolution Forecast 2014 / Stock-Markets / BioTech

By: John_Mauldin

It is that time of the year when we peer into our darkened crystal balls in hopes of seeing portents of the future in the shadowy mists. This year I see three distinct wisps of vapor coalescing in the coming years. Each deserves its own treatment, so this year the annual forecast issue will in fact be three separate weekly pieces.

The final letter of the series will discuss what I see as potentially developing in the markets this year, but such prognostication has to be framed within the context of two larger and far more important streams. Next week we will examine the larger economic problems facing much of the developed world, and specifically we'll consider the Era of Unfulfilled Expectations. What happens when governments and central banks find it impossible to live up to the promises that they have made to their constituencies? Throw in a mix of frustrating demographics and disastrous economic policy choices, and you have a witch's brew of uncertainties.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 05, 2014

Stock Market Investors Get Out Now! No New Paradigm! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Clive_Maund

Welcome to the New Year, and to the "New Paradigm", where stocks go up in perpetuity because, well, because they're going up, and because the Fed stands behind the market likes a towering Father Christmas ready to pump more money whenever the markets shows signs of flagging, and to maintain interest rates at zero forever. It couldn't look better, and therein lies the problem.

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