Analysis Topic: Election Oracle
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, September 27, 2016
Hillary Wins, Trump Loses 1st Presidential Election Debate Confirmed by Betting Markets / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
In my opinion Donald Trump clearly lost the debate, he literally came across at times as a spoilt brat, even as a cartoon figure whilst Hillary mostly came across as the responsible adult. So it looks like just as I warned was possible that Donald Trump could end up losing the election by failing to stick to a script, instead letting his mouth run rabid. He clearly just cannot control himself for more than a few minutes, and with 2 more debates to go means Hillary definitely has a fighting chance so this election certainly remains a close race right upto election night.
Monday, September 26, 2016
Trump Betting Odds Narrow Going into 1st Presidential Debate Suggesting Trump Win / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The 1st of 3 presidential debates will be held in a few hours time going into which Hillary leads across a wide spectrum of indicators from polling, political pundits, electoral college forecasters such as Nate Silver who give Hillary a 60% probability of winning the election, and of course the bookmakers who have Hillary Clinton as the clear favourite with Donald Trump as a 2-1 outsider.
Monday, September 26, 2016
Here’s Why Trump Needs More Than the Popular Vote to Win This Election / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: John_Mauldin
By David Galland, Garret/Galland Research : While driving around Burlington, Vermont, I noticed something. Actually, I noticed something missing. There were zero bumper stickers in support of Hillary.
I didn’t see a single lawn sign either.
It’s quite a contrast. In the last two elections, the displays for Obama were everywhere.
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Monday, September 26, 2016
Donald Trump’s Electoral Struggle / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Antonius_Aquinas
After touting her pro-labor union record, the Wicked Witch of Chappaqua rhetorically asked, “why am I not 50 points ahead?” Her chief rival bluntly responded: “because you’re terrible.”* No truer words have been uttered by any of the candidates about one of their opponents since the start of this extraordinary presidential campaign!
Monday, September 26, 2016
Outrageously Entertaining US Presidential Campaign Final Stages - What Happens Next? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: James_Quinn
As this vitriolic, unpredictable, outrageously entertaining presidential campaign enters its final stages I find myself pondering what happens next. I was reminded of the last scene in the 1972 movie, The Candidate. The movie is about a young untested non-politician candidate for U.S. Senator in California who puts his fate in the hands of a veteran political operative and overcomes a double digit polling deficit to win a huge upset victory. His entire focus during the campaign was to win. In the final scene of the movie he is standing among the celebrating campaign staffers and the fawning press corp. with a befuddled look on his face. He grabs his political consultant campaign manager and pulls him into a room. As the press break into the room he asks, “What do we do now?” The question goes unanswered and the movie ends.
Monday, September 26, 2016
Why Trump Will Win US General Election 2016 Prediction Forecast / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
There's definitely something in air across the western world which may not go as far as be classed as a revolution but at the very least 'rebellion', of where the mass of ordinary people are rebelling against the ruling establishment elite who have had an increasing grip on power through institutions and the media for at least the past 40 years as evidenced by the fact that the gap between the rich and rest has widened in virtually every year for the past 40 years, reaching levels not seen since before the second world war, ripe for rebellion even mass uprisings.
Sunday, September 25, 2016
US Presidential Election Forecast 2016 - Trump Riding BrExit Wave into the White House / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
There's definitely something in the air in many nations across the western world which may not go as far as be classed as a revolution but at the very least 'rebellion', of where the mass of ordinary people are rebelling against the ruling establishment elite who have had an increasing grip on power through institutions and the media for at least the past 40 years as evidenced by the fact that the gap between the rich and rest has widened in virtually every year for the past 40 years, reaching levels not seen since before the second world war, ripe for rebellion even mass uprisings. The middle classes and working poor have had enough of being systematically turned into slaves in the service of the ruling elite, now in open rebellion as the supposed peoples power has effectively been transferred over to the corporations, bankers and billionaires who like Zuckerberg engage in publicity stunts of donating a few billion dollars here and there in an attempt to mask the magnitude of their greed. If the likes of Gates and Zuckerberg really wanted to help ordinary people then they would pay their fair share of tax rather than the pittance that allows them to amass obscenely huge fortunes.
Thursday, September 22, 2016
What If Clinton Wins US Presidential Election 2016 / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Dan_Steinbock
According to polls, the race to the White House is over. Clinton has won, Trump has lost. If that proves the case, US economic erosion will slow but imperial foreign policy may escalate, which has critical repercussions in Asia.The polls reflect the new status quo. Despite her high unfavorability ratings, Clinton now has the support of every second registered voter, whereas Trump, with his high unfavorability ratings, can rely only on every third. As a result, Clinton’s likely voters nationwide amount to 45-50 percent, as against Trump’s 35-40 percent.
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Tuesday, September 20, 2016
Hillary - Finally Well Deserved Recognition for Deplorables / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: BATR
When the criminal Clinton cabal announces that their infamous foe and now world renowned 'basket of deplorables' are threats to their power establishment, you are really hearing an admission that they are losing the war of ideas. It has long been a well established fact that psychopaths on the loony left are existing in a parallel universe, but it is relatively new just how desperate they have become since the public is waking up to their century long scheme to destroy America. While more and more people are joining the cause of rational national self preservation, the task of mobilizing the ranks of long oppressed productive citizens is still in its infancy stage.
Monday, September 19, 2016
Donald Trump and the “Maestro” (Greenspan) / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Antonius_Aquinas
Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, who was once laudably referred to as “Maestro” for his supposed astute stewardship of U.S. monetary policy, commented last week on the nation’s current political and economic climate:
Read full article... Read full article...We’re not in a stable equilibrium. I hope
we can all find a way out because this too
great a country to be undermined, by how should
I say it, crazies.*
Sunday, September 18, 2016
Billionaire Donald Trump Says The Markets Are False And Will Collapse on January 1st / ElectionOracle / Financial Crash
By: Jeff_Berwick
This week Donald Trump said, “If it was a choice between the right decision and a political decision… The Fed would choose the political decision.”
He then stated that the market “will remain at artificially high levels until January 1st”. This came not long after he slammed Fed chairwoman Janet Yellen in a CNBC interview when he told the interviewer that she should be “ashamed” of her “very political” and “false” market.
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Sunday, September 18, 2016
The President’s Physician Appears to be Babbling Incoherently / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Walter_Brasch
Hillary Clinton is recovering from a mild case of pneumonia. However, shortly after she collapsed at Ground Zero while part of the 15th annual memorial of 9/11, her campaign staff said she was just exhausted and suffered heat exhaustion. It took a couple of days for her to reveal the extent of her medical issue.
Donald Trump, who had many times this past year questioned Clinton’s health and suggested she should leave politics, now tweeted he was hoping his Democratic opponent would have a quick recovery. However, the Renegade Republicans, fueled by scandal-makers of the conservative media, think Clinton is a piñata, and are hitting her hard—she has Parkinson’s disease; she suffered from a concussion; the Democratic National Committee is working on how to replace her because she is so ill; she is on her death-bed, and a body double is the one the public is seeing.
Friday, September 16, 2016
US Election 2016 - Why Your Vote Doesn’t Count / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: David_Galland
Dear Parade-Goers,
In our quest for perpetual summer, this week we are transitioning back to our Argentine home. As a result, I intend to be brief, though there are a couple of observations I want to share related to the pending US presidential election.
On the musical front, I am still mostly stuck on Dire Straits, a group I haven’t paid much attention to until recently. As the parade begins, I am teeing up the entire album of their greatest hits.
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Thursday, September 15, 2016
US Election 2016 Fraud Probabilities / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: DeviantInvestor
It is an election year and the media has obsessed over Trump’s inflammatory statements and HRC’s health. A recent Google search for “Hillary’s health” showed 140 million hits. Parkinson’s has been widely mentioned.
Tuesday, September 13, 2016
Hillary Clinton Became Unelectable Long Ago / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Raul_I_Meijer
Whenever I bring up something Hillary Clinton has done or failed to do, there are always people who react with a “Yes, but Trump did so and so…!” reflex. I’d like to get that out of the way first of all, because it distorts the conversation to no end. Criticism of Hillary does not equal support for Trump. Suggesting that it does is insulting.
I do not think it’s a good idea for Trump to become president. But that does not mean it’s a better idea for Hillary to be inaugurated. In fact, there’s something to be said for the argument that if you have to choose between two really bad options, pick the worst in order get it over with faster. The problem with that, in turn, is that in this case it’s hard to determine which of the two is worse.
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Monday, September 12, 2016
The Donald Versus Killary: War or Peace? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Antonius_Aquinas
Although history does not exactly repeat itself, it does provide parallels and sometimes quite ominous ones. Such is the case with the current U.S. Presidential election and the one which occurred one hundred years earlier.
The dominating question which hung over the 1916 campaign was whether the country would remain neutral in regard to the horrific slaughter which was taking place on the European battlefields in probably the greatest act of mass insanity ever recorded, World War I.
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Friday, September 09, 2016
Trump’s Visit to Mexico Was a Win-Win / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: John_Mauldin
BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN : Since the democratic convention, Donald Trump has been behind Hillary Clinton in the polls by about five points. He has a solid base of voters (about 40%). But, he must move about 6%–7% to win the popular vote and eke out the electoral.
Trump needs a strategy that allows him to roll back his negatives a bit. He also must win over a few of those who are voting for Clinton only because she isn’t Trump.
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Tuesday, September 06, 2016
Trump – The Anti-Cinderella Man / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: James_Quinn
In Part One of this article I made a fact based case that most Americans are experiencing an economic depression on par with the Great Depression of the 1930’s. In Part Two I will compare and contrast two very different men who raised the spirits of the common man during difficult economic times. As we approach the perilous portion of this Fourth Turning, it will take more than hope to get us through to the other side.
Cinderella Man
Likening Braddock to Trump might seem far-fetched, until you think about parallels between the economic conditions during the 1930’s and today, along with the deepening mood of crisis, despair and anger at the establishment. Braddock’s career coincided with the last Fourth Turning. James J. Braddock was born in 1905, to Irish immigrant parents Joseph Braddock and Elizabeth O’Toole Braddock in a tiny apartment on West 48th Street in New York City. His life personified that of a GI Generation hero. One of seven children, Jimmy enjoyed playing marbles, baseball and hanging around the old swimming hole on the edge of the Hudson River as a youngster. He discovered his passion for boxing as a teenager.
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Thursday, September 01, 2016
The Italian EU Referendum Could Result in the Death of the Euro / ElectionOracle / Italy
By: John_Mauldin
An important election is coming up, and I’m not talking about the US presidential election. The upcoming referendum in Italy this fall will have a major macroeconomic impact on the world. But hardly anyone outside of Italy is paying much attention to it—yet.
I’ve been saying for some time in interviews around the country that the referendum in Italy could have even more of an impact than the Brexit vote did in the UK. And like the Brexit vote, it is rife with emotion and political turmoil, making the outcome too close to call.
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Wednesday, August 31, 2016
Trump in Mexico, Obama Stumps for Hillary / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Stephen_Lendman
This year’s presidential race represents duopoly governance at its worst, two aspirants vying for the nation’s highest office, both unfit to serve, voters given no choice.
The election was hacked, says Rutherford Institute’s John Whitehead. “The outcome is a foregone conclusion: the police state will win and ‘we the people’ will lose” - with no say whatever on who’ll lead them or how their country will be run.
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