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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Election Oracle

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

ElectionOracle

Monday, November 07, 2016

Brexit Makes This US Presidential Election So Uncertain / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: GoldCore

Ignore election theory, this one’s too uncertain

  • This year’s election breaks the mould in a number of important ways
  • Markets seem to be agnostic as to which party is in control of the White House.
  • However, likely that uncertainty will drive markets for time-being
  • Polls might be victim to ‘the Bradley effect’
  • Hillary is seen as lower-risk and less volatile than the Republican.
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ElectionOracle

Monday, November 07, 2016

The US Presidential Election Is Not A Brexit Moment / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Bob_Kirtley

There have been a number of comparisons drawn from the event risk around the upcoming US presidential election and the Brexit referendum earlier this year. There are a number of similarities, most notably in the market reaction to changing poll numbers prior to the vote, but also a significant number of crucial differences which make trading strategies around the US election different from those around Brexit. 

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ElectionOracle

Monday, November 07, 2016

WIll Under Political Pressure FBI Director James Comey AGAIN Reopen Hillary Clinton Emails Investigation? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The FBI tends to flip flop its stance every 10 days on the Hillary Clinton classified documents stored on a private email server saga, depending who is putting the FBI under political pressure at anyone time. So the next date to watch is November the 17th when James Comey could once more be expected to make a statement that oops we did find something after all in the 650,000 emails on Weiner's laptop so the investigation is once more reopening.

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ElectionOracle

Monday, November 07, 2016

Trump Panic, Hillary Polls Surge, Betting Markets Crash and the BrExit Swing States / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The wild manic US election roller coaster ride is almost over with just over 30 hours to go until the polls open 6am Tuesday, though approximately 1/3rd of voters have already voted early so the campaigns on the final day will be busy blitzkrieging those swing states that have not had early voting which means Pensylvania, New Hampshire and Michigan and of course Florida are all set to be bombarded with more campaign visits.

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ElectionOracle

Monday, November 07, 2016

BATR 2016 US Election Editorial / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: BATR

Campaigning fatigue has drained the country of common sense judgment as emotional psychosis engulfs much of the population. It is long overdue for the citizens of this once great Republic to look directly in the mirror. Ask yourself, what is your own personal responsibility in allowing society to become a moral cesspool? The United States is no longer GOOD. The conduct and crimes of the ruling elite are unconscionable.

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ElectionOracle

Sunday, November 06, 2016

American Election and the Fall of the Fourth Estate – The Price of Bribery and Corruptions / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Dr_R_M_Mathew

The actual causalities of the American Presidential Election are not the Democracy or the Judiciary, but the so called Experts, the Academics, the Lead Media Persons and above all the Fourth Estate. For the last three years, Hillary Clinton has been bribing almost all American and International Print and Electronic Medias, Top Media persons and Academics to project her as the embodiment of all human virtues and the most suitable candidate for the American Presidential Election.

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ElectionOracle

Sunday, November 06, 2016

Hillary, Trump, Polls and BrExit Swing States - Electoral College Analysis US Election Forecast / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

With just 2 days to go until the polls open and Hillary Clinton is continuing to pull away in the national opinion polls by building on yesterdays lead of +1.6% to currently stand at +1.7% as the average of recent national opinion polls that compares against Friday's +1.3%, Thursdays 1.7% and Wednesdays +2.2%. So Trumps FBI emails surge is definitely over going into the final 2 days of campaigning which suggests that polls parity is unlikely.

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ElectionOracle

Sunday, November 06, 2016

Breaking News : Donald Trump Assassination Attempt / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Within seconds of Donald Trump appearing on stage in Nevada, he was rushed off the stage by the secret service as others in the crowd could be seen apparently wrestling a man to the ground, who was later escorted out by armed police.

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ElectionOracle

Saturday, November 05, 2016

Hillary Halts Trumps Polls Surge, But Trump Advance Continues in BrExit Swing States / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

With just 3 days to go until the polls open Hillary Clinton has finally managed to halt the Trump FBI emails polls surge as the average of recent national opinion polls show a small widening of Hillary's lead over Trump to +1.6% from +1.3% yesterday, against 1.7% the day before and +2.2% on the 1st of November, that compares against +6% of less than 2 weeks ago.

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ElectionOracle

Saturday, November 05, 2016

Mosul, US Elections, and Other Madness / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: David_Galland

Dear Parader,

I’m pleased to report that the shakedown cruise on my latest folly, Bad Brothers Wine Experience, has come to an end, and we are now officially open regular business hours.

Over the last week, we welcomed our first guests off the street (from London, no less) and discovered just how much goes into running a wine bar/restaurant, thanks to upwards of 250 people passing through the front door.

Happily, our guests seem to have enjoyed the place, helping us quickly zip from the 49th to the 9th highest-ranked restaurant in Cafayate on Trip Advisor, a good start.

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ElectionOracle

Friday, November 04, 2016

Lifting the Veil on the 2016 US Presidential Election / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Greg_Tomlinson

The Essential Point
   The 2016 Presidential Election has certainly kicked up its share of dust and debris in the hearts and minds of thoughtful voters in the US. While this appears on the surface to be a contest between two very different and polarizing figures, from day one it was a referendum against the highly effective Liberal Statist* avalanche we've seen for eight straight years. This avalanche is actually Obama's far more refined approach to implementing the entire kitchen sink of modern leftist principles in government - his unique aggregation of everything they have learned in the past five decades. That's right, it is a tested, reproducible, market-ready product on shelves right now for voter consumption. We see it clearly in Clinton's campaign and we'll be seeing it again in future campaigns, because this new plan is better than all before it. This fact will remain true whether or not Clinton is indicted after the election, simply because Tim Kaine, or any other future replacement will be nearly identical in policy and approach, or even further left. Considering that universality, I'd like to shift focus away from the immediate election campaign, and instead consider a bit of how we got here, then move on to larger and more dangerous strategies and conflicts that are profoundly more impactful than this one election cycle.

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ElectionOracle

Friday, November 04, 2016

US Election Campaigning - Please Make It Stop / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Walter_Brasch

Pennsylvania, which had been a no-contest state in presidential primaries because of its late balloting, is a now a swing state with less than a week until the election. Just about every voter by now has received dozens of robocalls, e-mails, letters, postcards, and exposure to almost-uncountable TV, digital, satellite, and social media ads. Most are attack ads, with similar messages.

The ads focus upon homeland security, taxes, immigration, pro-life/pro-choice, and bringing jobs back to America. The conservatives have thrown in the phrase “liberal extremists” in many of their ads in an effort to shock all America to believe that liberals are somehow tied to Muslim extremists. The liberals are pushing an agenda that defines the conservatives as greedy plutocrats who have little thought for the middle class. This election, from local offices to the presidency may be the dirtiest since 1800 when Thomas Jefferson challenged John Adams.

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ElectionOracle

Friday, November 04, 2016

Hillary Polls Lead Slumps to +1.3%, Trump on Target to WIN US Election 2016 / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

We are now less than 4 days away from when the polls open on Tuesday 8th November, Trump and Clinton and crews have been busy shuttling around the key battleground states to bolster their votes as the election boils down to who can win at least 270 electoral college votes. For instance Florida with its key 29 votes is literally sitting on a 50/50 knife edge, a must win state for Trump! Other 50/50 states are North Carolina (15 votes), with another 9 states having poll leads of 3% or less totaling 82 electoral college votes, so near 130 electoral college votes are in play enough for either Trump or Hillary to win.

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ElectionOracle

Thursday, November 03, 2016

Donald Trump & The Passion of the ChristDonald Trump & The Passion of the Christ / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Antonius_Aquinas

if Donald Trump can somehow defeat the Wicked Witch of Chappaqua despite vote rigging, outlandish media bias, backstabbing by his own party’s elites, and opposition of Wall Street, his victory may be the most serious setback for The Establishment since, perhaps, the release of Mel Gibson’s blockbuster movie, The Passion of the Christ.

Both Gibson and Trump faced seemingly impossible odds at the start of their quests and were viciously attacked and undermined by the usual Establishment suspects, yet, in Gibson’s case, he was able to beat the bastards at their own game producing one of the most accurate and authentic Christian movies ever made which garnered over a half billion dollars and numerous cinematic awards!

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ElectionOracle

Thursday, November 03, 2016

Trump Converging Towards BrExit Factor Election WIN, Opinion Polls are WRONG Again! / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

With just 4 full days to go until the polls open Tuesday 8th, Trump continues to bounce in the polls and betting markets that has resulted in near panic in the Democrat camp that less than a week ago were seen relaxing on expectations for a Hillary landslide election victory. But now, after last Fridays FBI bombshell all that has changed and the Clinton clan are busy crisscrossing the swing states, mainly attempting to bolster the lack lustre black vote that despite fearing Trumps rhetoric nevertheless are unable to find much incentive to get out and vote for the ultimate washington insider Hillary.

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ElectionOracle

Thursday, November 03, 2016

US 2016: Fight for Leadership Begins After the Election  / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Dan_Steinbock

After the bizarre 2016 election, Washington faces a slate of investigations and a gridlock. Internationally, threats include new Cold War(s). Depending on the outcome, the election could even be contested.

If Hillary Clinton wins, she will flash her broad smile like Alice in the Wonderland, with Vice President Tim Kaine, Bill and Chelsea on her side. The conventional story will be that her victory built on her egalitarian economic policy, gender concerns, international relations, strong defense policy and good ties with Europe and Japan.

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, November 02, 2016

US Elections - Break Out of the Illusion / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Rudy_Avizius

In the old Soviet Union, people had “free” elections and were “free” to choose any Communist candidate that had been selected for the election. Most of the people of the Soviet Union understood well that their elections were shams.

Here in the United States, we also have “free” elections and the corporate media narrative is that you need to vote for one of the two candidates that have been selected for you, because if you go outside of that “choice”, the other terrible candidate that you do not want will win the election. You may not particularly like the candidate you plan to vote for, but that candidate is certainly the “lesser evil”. The corporate media has successfully spun that illusion so now many people do not even realize that there are choices outside of the Democrat/Republican duopoly that is strangling our election process.

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, November 02, 2016

US Presidential Election Forecast 2016 - Will America Vote for BrExit Freedom? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's the 2nd of November and not just America but the whole world is counting down to the US election day. Gone is the fantasy reporting of a week ago when the mainstream press, pollsters, political pundits, analysts, book makers and markets were literally all concluding that Hillary Clinton was heading for not just an election win but a landslide victory. And then the FBI detonated their Hillary emails bomb which has galvanised into action what had been a Trump campaign literally on life support, which saw many cowardly republicans throwing in the towel, abandoning the Trump ship, leaving the Trump Terminator to keep relentlessly plowing on and on, on his own, regardless of what the establishment media threw at him every other day, that which would have killed off any ordinary candidate's campaign months ago!

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, November 01, 2016

US Presidential Election 2016 - Your Vote Won’t Count! / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: John_Mauldin

BY PATRICK WATSON : Election Day is coming and everyone is telling us how to vote. I have a more basic question: should you vote at all?

Don’t do it. Voting in the presidential election could kill you. We know this because economists say so.

I know that sounds weird. Let me explain.

Economics is all about how we allocate scarce resources… such as your vote. Like most other decisions, we make it using cost-benefit analysis: What does x cost and what benefit will it give me? If benefit outweighs cost, then x is a rational choice.

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ElectionOracle

Monday, October 31, 2016

Will FBI Director Comey’s October Surprise Derail Hillary’s White House Bid? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Stephen_Lendman

Having closed his earlier investigation into Hillary’s use of her private email server for classified State Department documents without bringing charges, dismissing indictable evidence, it’s hard imagining a shift of agency policy now.

So what’s going on? Is FBI Director Comey trying to save face, even at this late stage, having tarnished the reputation of the agency and himself. The fullness of time will show what he has in mind.

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