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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Total War over the Petrodollar / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Marin_Katusa

The conspiracy theories surrounding the death of Total SA’s chief executive, Christophe de Margerie, started the second the news broke of his death. Under mysterious circumstances in Moscow, his private jet collided with a snowplow just after midnight. De Margerie was the CEO of Total, France’s largest oil company.

He’d just attended a private meeting with Russian Prime Minister Medvedev, at a time when the West’s relationship with Russia is fraught, to say the least.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Does Gold Price Always Respond to Real Interest Rates? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Generally, the real interest rates are negatively correlated with the gold price, i.e. the rising interest rates adversely impact the yellow metal. Based on this adverse relationship between real interest rates and price of gold, Elfenbein built a model for the price of gold. According to it, whenever the dollar's real short-term interest rate is below 2%, gold rallies, and whenever the real short-term rate is above 2%, the price of gold falls. Another rule of thumb is that gold moves eight times stronger than the difference between real interest rates and 2%. If the model is correct, the Fed's future interest rates hike may be detrimental for the price of gold. However, there are many objections to the use of such a simple model, and generally to the adverse relationship between gold and real interest rates.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Crude Oil Price Sinking Or Rebounding / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions.

On Friday, crude oil lost 0.68% as concerns over a global oversupply continued to weigh. Additionally, soft U.S. housing data pushed the commodity below $82 per barrel. Will we see another test of the strength of the psychologically important level of $80?

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Commodities

Sunday, October 26, 2014

Mining CEO Calls on Fellow Miners to Halt Physical Silver Sales to End the Paper Manipulation / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Jason_Hamlin

I have always been in favor of mining companies holding back the sale of a portion of their metals when prices dip. Furthermore, they should hold reserves beyond the amount needed to run daily operations in gold and silver, not fiat cash. It can always be converted if and when necessary. Lastly, offer an option to pay dividends in physical metal, cutting out the middlemen.

Keith Neumeyer of First Majestic Silver was one of the first mining CEOs to do this and I applaud his actions. In the latest quarter, First Majestic held back 35% of their production, rather than selling it at deeply discounted paper prices.

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Commodities

Saturday, October 25, 2014

Gold And Silver Price - Respect The Trend But Prepare For A Reversal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_Noonan

When events "happen," they happen in a directed way by the elite's mainstream media outlets. News is presented in a way that is designed to appeal to mass emotions so as to discount reasoned thinking. You get government pimps, be they congressmen, heads of agencies, even presidents who add their fiat 2 cents in order to give some weight to an otherwise weightless argument. While the "news event" is largely untrue, there is a sufficient amount of plausibility added to disguise the misleading [never verified] facts. In other words, psychological manipulation is the main menu of options for the elites to keep the masses "informed," while still very much uninformed.

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Commodities

Saturday, October 25, 2014

Gold Price Rebounds but Gold Miners Struggle / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Several weeks ago the entire precious metals space was extremely oversold and due for at the least, a reflex rally. Gold was down in nine of twelve weeks with Silver down in eleven of those twelve weeks. The miners experienced a nasty September and were down five consecutive weeks. With Gold rallying from $1185 to $1255, we would expect Silver and the mining stocks to rebound strongly in percentage terms. However, those markets have lagged Gold badly. The mining stocks are essentially back to their lows and Silver hasn’t fared much better. The recent stark underperformance of Silver and the mining stocks especially is a warning sign of further downside.

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Commodities

Friday, October 24, 2014

Bullish Silver Stealth Buying / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Zeal_LLC

Battered silver remains deeply out of favor, recently plumbing miserable new lows after drifting sideways for most of 2014.  This metal’s relentless and oppressive weakness continues to break the wills of long-suffering contrarians.  But professional investors are taking advantage of the epically-bearish psychology plaguing silver.  They’ve been steadily accumulating positions all year long in massive stealth buying.

Silver certainly wasn’t always a loathed market pariah.  Back in early 2011, silver blasted up above $48 on widespread enthusiasm from investors and speculators.  It was one of the 2000s’ greatest bull markets, up an astounding 1105% during a 9.4-year span where the benchmark S&P 500 limped to a 20% gain.  The brave contrarians fighting the herd to buy silver low in the early 2000s greatly multiplied their wealth.

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Commodities

Friday, October 24, 2014

Blood in the Streets to Create the Gold Stocks Investor Opportunity of the Decade / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Casey_Research

By Laurynas Vegys, Research Analyst

Gold stocks staged spring and summer rallies this year, but haven’t able to sustain the momentum. Many have sold off sharply in recent weeks, along with gold. That makes this a good time to examine the book value of gold equities; are they objectively cheap now, or not?

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Commodities

Friday, October 24, 2014

Gold and Silver Subdued as Panic Over / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

For gold and silver it has been a week of two halves: first prices rallied to a peak on Tuesday, then declined to show net losses for the week on Wednesday for silver and Thursday for gold. Broadly these precious metals reflected first weakness then strength in the US dollar. And equities reversed the nervousness of the previous week after a FOMC member suggested QE would be extended, with the S&P 500 closing up 7% on Thursday from its October 15 low.

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Commodities

Friday, October 24, 2014

Swiss ‘Yes’ and ‘No’ Gold Initiative Campaigns Compete at Launches in Bern / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

by Ronan Manly, GoldCore Consultant
Contents
- Introduction
- ‘Yes’ Campaign Launch
- Paper Decays, Gold Holds Its Value
- ‘No’ Campaign Launch - Alphabet Soup
- Unsaleable Gold Like an Unusable Fire Extinguisher?
- Swiss Electorate 5.2 Million
- Double Majority Including Cantons
- Referendas by the Dozen
- Sometimes There are Shock Results

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Commodities

Friday, October 24, 2014

Saudi Move to Cut Oil Prices Is Now Russia's Biggest Economic Threat / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

As I discussed recently (Why the Saudis Are Cutting Oil Prices), Saudi Arabia has made headlines by cutting oil prices, not production.

It seems the Saudis are more interested in grabbing market share than in attending to the present state of the market.

That move seems calculated to undercut the effect the United States has on global oil markets, even though that effect is indirect.

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Commodities

Friday, October 24, 2014

New Profit Points in the Shifting Balance of Power, Welcome to Saudi America / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Money_Morning

Kent Moors writes: There’s a new wrinkle in the energy markets.

It revolves around what I call the “energy balance,” and its changing fast.

It’s not about new energy breakthroughs or big oil discoveries. And it’s certainly not about entirely new structures.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 23, 2014

Prepare for Global Gold Confiscation and Orwell's 1984, Warns Rickards / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

Microchips embedded in the arms of citizens to track their activities, the total destruction of the middle classes and a cashless economy where an authoritarian state can freeze the accounts of dissenting citizens excluding them from all economic activity….. These are all part of the cheery scenario painted by the highly respected author and IMF-insider with connections to the Pentagon, Jim Rickards in his most recent article for Agora Financial.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 23, 2014

The BIS Paves the Way for Silver and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Behind the scenes (or rather, behind the curtain of propaganda) the most influential of the banking class is sending out smoke signals. The Bank for International Settlements (BIS), which is the bank for central banks, has telegraphed the next major world financial downturn.

As if you could not see it coming. Recently, the Bank for International Settlement (BIS) warns of 'violent' reversal of global markets.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 23, 2014

Where the Energy Sector Goes From Here / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: With the stock market now roaring back, investors are left to wonder whether the worst is behind us – or if there’s more pain yet to come.

Given the size of the sell-off, it’s clear a slew of folks expected a “correction,” and to that extent received a self-fulfilling prophecy.

However, at times the decline was more like a snowball cascading down a hill with no overall rhyme or reason.

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