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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, October 22, 2014

Gold and Silver Timing is Everything / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Peter_Degraaf


Timing is everything in investments, and after watching the precious metals markets for the past three months, since the publishing of his last article at the June lows, Peter draws the conclusion that gold bullion and gold mining stocks have finally bottomed and are ready to resume the bullish trend than began twelve years ago.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 22, 2014

Copper, Nickel and Zinc Won't Be Cheap for Long / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Metals_Report

The all-powerful U.S. dollar is currently hammering base metals and base metal equities. Haywood Securities Mining Analyst Stefan Ioannou says that increasing demand and near-term supply shortages make base metals a bargain that won't last. In this interview with The Mining Report, Ioannou argues that juniors with good deposits and low costs are in a unique position to benefit, and lists several companies that look to do just that.

The Mining Report: What effect is the strong U.S. dollar having on base metal prices and base metal equities?

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 22, 2014

Gold and Real Interest Rate / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Arkadiusz Sieron writes: Teaser: Does gold respond to the inflation or rather to the real interest rate? Paul Krugman said once that the reason behind the high real price of gold between 2001 and 2011 was low real interest rates, not the expected inflation. Is he right and are real interest rates really the main driver of the yellow metal price? How do they affect the gold market?

During the last boom, the gold price was stubbornly rising, but inflation was low. Not surprisingly the relationship between real interest rates (nominal interest rates less inflation) and gold increasingly attracted more and more interest. If gold responds mainly to the real interest rate, it makes its inflation hedge character questionable. This was the opinion of, for example, Paul Krugman, a Nobel Laureate in economics. Krugman claimed that the reason behind the high real price of gold until 2011 was low real interest rates, not the expected inflation.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 21, 2014

How Will We Know That the Gold & Silver Price Bottom Is In? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions (half) in gold, silver and mining stocks are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

Yesterday, gold closed higher than it did in the previous several weeks, which seems like a very bullish development for the entire precious metals market until one realizes that miners are still close to their most recent lows.

In short, in our opinion, the answer to the title question is that miners could rally some more in the short term, but we don’t expect the rally to be significant. We expect to see significant rallies after the final bottom is reached (in a few weeks – months), but not before that – at least not based on the information that we have available today. Furthermore, it seems that the next local top will be reached shortly, but that it’s not in just yet.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 21, 2014

Is Gold as Dead as Florida Hurricanes? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Don_Miller

It’s been over 3,280 days since a hurricane hit Florida. As hurricane season comes to a close next month, only Mother Nature knows how long the streak will last.

Like many Floridians, my wife and I stayed home and rode out a hurricane—once! We’d built a home on Perdido Key, a barrier island west of Pensacola. It was engineered to withstand 150-plus mph winds, and it was a beautiful home with a master bedroom spanning the entire third floor, looking out across the Gulf of Mexico.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 21, 2014

First Swiss Gold Poll Shows Pro-Gold Side In Lead At 45% / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

The first poll of how the Swiss people will vote in the “Save Our Swiss Gold” initiative on November 30th shows that the Swiss are leaning towards voting for the pro-gold initiative. 

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Commodities

Monday, October 20, 2014

Ebola Armageddon Could Trigger a Rebirth in Gold and Silver Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: The_Gold_Report

Could an infectious disease kill the monster that has been choking gold and silver prices for more than a year? On the heels of a lively Sprott Precious Metals Roundtable discussion, The Gold Report caught up with investor Eric Sprott to ask how a tragedy in Africa could impact the price of precious metals and mining stocks. We also spoke to his Executive Vice President of Corporate Development John Ciampaglia about a new way to gain exposure to gold.

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Commodities

Monday, October 20, 2014

Gold vs Euro Risk Due To Possible Return of Italian Lira - Drachmas, Escudos, Pesetas and Punts? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

The European status quo and EU elites are becoming increasingly concerned by popular calls in Italy for Italy to leave the European Monetary Union and the euro "as soon as possible" and return to the lira. 

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Commodities

Sunday, October 19, 2014

Gold Stocks Analysis – FNV, CG, NCM, SBM / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Austin_Galt

FRANCO-NEVADA CORP (FNV)

Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) is the Big Daddy of the Canadian gold market. It is listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) with a market capitalisation of around CAD$7.8b. Its main interests are its North American gold assets but it is a truly global company with investments in several other countries including Mexico and Australia. Price last traded at $60.25. To learn more about the company, please visit its website at www.franco-nevada.com

Let’s take a top down approach to the technicals beginning with the yearly chart.

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Commodities

Sunday, October 19, 2014

How LNG Exports Almost Bankrupted Australia, Is the U.S. Next? / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Money_Morning

The world’s leading liquefied national gas (LNG) exporter is the tiny Arab kingdom of Qatar, whose 77 million tons per year (mtpy) account for 30% of global LNG exports.

When the U.S. begins exporting massive quantities of LNG in 2015, it will immediately be catapulted into a position as one of the world’s largest exporters as well.

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Commodities

Saturday, October 18, 2014

Gold And Silver - Financial World: House Of Cards Built On Sand / Commodities / Global Debt Crisis 2014

By: Michael_Noonan

Take heart PM community, your turn is coming. What is happening in the stock market is a harbinger of what is sure to come for gold and silver, at some point in the future. When? Ah, that elusive question the answer to which so many want to know, the same answer to which so many so-called prognosticators have serially gotten wrong over the past few years. The best answer is patience.

It is highly unlikely that a single bank, at least in the Western fiat central banking system, is solvent. All, repeat, all banks are insolvent, propped up by the Rothschild system that few can successfully challenge. All banks exist by accounting deceit and every kind of threat, indirect or otherwise, that it is not wise to challenge the international banking cartel [on the verge of collapse]. Russia and China are rising to the occasion rather timely.

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Commodities

Saturday, October 18, 2014

Leading Indicators for Gold Price Turnaround / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Gold is currently getting a reprieve as it trades close to $1240 which is above important weekly support at $1200. It's safe for the time being but we believe that Gold will ultimately break back below $1200 and below $1100 before the end of the already long in the tooth bear market. Because Gold is somewhat of an anti-asset, it's important to chart its course against other asset classes. Gold performs best when its strong against all other classes. Moreover, prior to recent important bottoms Gold bottomed first against other classes before bottoming in nominal terms. It appears that could happen again.

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Commodities

Saturday, October 18, 2014

Gold and Silver Extreme Shorting Peaks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Zeal_LLC

The world's financial markets are changing dramatically with the Federal Reserve on the verge of ending its third quantitative-easing campaign. The Fed's massive deluge of inflation drastically distorted markets, which are finally starting to normalize. The precious metals were crushed by the Fed's artificial levitation of the stock markets, leading to extreme futures shorting. But that looks to have peaked, a very bullish omen.

What a difference a few weeks makes! Back in mid-September, the US stock markets were drenched in euphoria and hitting nominal record highs. Nearly everyone was totally convinced equities would keep on climbing forever. You couldn't turn on CNBC or open a financial newspaper without seeing endless predictions for a big end-of-year rally. And gold and silver were despised, believed to be doomed to spiral lower.

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Commodities

Friday, October 17, 2014

“Save Our Swiss Gold ” - Game Changer For Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

We believe that the “Save Our Swiss Gold” campaign has the potential to be a game changer in the gold market - both in terms of the ramifications for the current global monetary system and in terms of higher gold prices. 

There has been a lack of coverage of this important story and there is therefore a lack of awareness about the possible implications for the gold market. Thus, in the weeks prior to the referendum on November 30th, we are going to analyse the referendum, the important context to the referendum and the ramifications of a yes or a no vote.
Mark O’Byrne, Head of Research GoldCore

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Commodities

Friday, October 17, 2014

When... Not if... Crude Oil Price Drops Below $70 / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Andrew_Butter

Since mid 2010 the oil industry was getting used to Brent averaging around $110. From then to mid 2014 share prices of Halliburton (HAL) Schlumberger (SLB), Hercules (HERO), Transocean (RIG) etc, went up by average 250%. By way of a benchmark for the collective enthusiasm in the idea of the irreversibility of Peak Oil, MODU (jack-up drilling rigs) utilization and day rates climbed into the champagne-all-round arena. According to IHS, a consultancy, there are 118 new ones being built so as to complement the current worldwide fleet of 550. About 40% of those are in China thanks in part to the 5% you used to be able to put down grace of the beneficence of the Bank of Chairman Mao...which incidentally has the smell of the dry bulk carrier enthusiasm seven years ago, also largely financed by the Bank of Chairman Mao.

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