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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, July 25, 2016

Silver Manipulation – Because They Needed the Eggs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

“It reminds me of that old joke- you know, a guy walks into a psychiatrist's office and says, hey doc, my brother's crazy! He thinks he's a chicken. Then the doc says, why don't you turn him in? Then the guy says, I would but I need the eggs. I guess that's how I feel about relationships. They're totally crazy, irrational, and absurd, but we keep going through it because we need the eggs.” - Woody Allen

While there is no question of government enabling, (by decree or inaction), market manipulations haven’t really changed all that much in character over the centuries. 

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Commodities

Sunday, July 24, 2016

Silver Market COT Stuns: What's Going On Here? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dan_Norcini

Let's start this off with a broad overall look at the various players in the silver market.

Silver CoT Futures and Options Combined, Disaggregated Report

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Commodities

Sunday, July 24, 2016

Gold Demand Remains Stable During Sector Weakness / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

My favorite indicator for real time Gold demand is the amount of Gold in the GLD and its fluctuations over time. As we wrote in our book , the driving force for Gold is investment demand which is driven by changes in real interest rates. Western-based investment demand from big money (i.e Stan Druckenmiller and George Soros) shows up mostly in the ETFs and specifically, GLD. The amount of Gold in GLD has risen steadily even as Gold consolidated a few months back and has been stable in recent weeks even as Gold and gold stocks correct their Brexit breakouts.

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Commodities

Saturday, July 23, 2016

Gold And Silver – Debt Addiction Will Carry Precious Metals Higher, Guaranteed / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Michael_Noonan

All is not so well within the elite’s New World Order. Their tried and true template of Problem-Reaction-Solution is in full gear as chaos reigns throughout the globe, which is exactly how the globalists like to see events unfold. Chaos [Problem] leads to unnerving situations [Reaction] amongst the masses that eventually cry out for resolve and a return to “normalcy” [Solution, but only as intended by the elites]. Invariably, a return to some kind of order requires the giving up of freedoms, and it often entails tightening the noose of economic hardship.

Sadly, the rinse-and-repeat familiarity of this Problem-Reaction-Solution scenario never seems familiar to the masses. Each time is “different,” that is to say the events may seem to be different, but the procedure of how the events unfold each and every time throughout history is never different.

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Commodities

Saturday, July 23, 2016

Soybean Commodity Price to Soar Again / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Austin_Galt

The soybean price had a cracker of a run recently and is now consolidating. Once this corrective phase is over I expect price to soar once more to even greater heights.

Let’s review the technicals beginning with the longer term yearly chart.

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Commodities

Saturday, July 23, 2016

7 Signs That the Gold Market Remains Resilient / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jason_Hamlin

Gold and silver prices ran out of momentum during the first week of July and have been drifting lower ever since. A deeper correction seems like a realistic expectation, but precious metals are showing strong signs of resiliency. Here are seven forces that should be creating headwinds for precious metals, but are barely having any impact.

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Commodities

Saturday, July 23, 2016

Gold and Gold Stock Indices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Investing in particular gold stocks gives exposure to movements in price of gold, but also to other factors affecting the gold mining industry, as well as company-specific strengths and weaknesses. This is why investors have to bear in mind the trends in the gold market as well as the mining industry, and wisely select appropriate stocks. One way to avoid the problem of selecting the promising shares (for instance for those that don’t have access to tools that would make the selection easier) is to invest in the index of gold mining companies.

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Commodities

Friday, July 22, 2016

Silver Bull Faces Correction / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

Silver’s young bull market got off to a typically-slow start, lagging gold’s own new bull.  But recently the white metal surged to catch up in a record summer rally.  That left silver very overbought and facing near-term correction risks led by a record futures selling overhang and weak late-summer seasonals.  But this strengthening bull still has a long ways higher to run yet before silver prices reflect prevailing gold levels.

Silver is something of an enigma.  By the global supply-and-demand numbers, it’s inarguably another industrial metal.  According to the venerable Silver Institute which gathers the world’s best fundamental data, industrial fabrication accounted for 50.3% of total demand last year.  That was followed by coins and bars at 25.0% and jewelry at 19.4%.  Most of the silver mined is consumed, not hoarded for investment.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 21, 2016

Not Everything Is Bullish for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: P_Radomski_CFA

There are quite a few bearish indications that suggest lower precious metals prices are just around the corner. Let's take a look at a few of them (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Commodities

Thursday, July 21, 2016

Silver – Caught Inside / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Most short term investors know better. At worst, silver is a survival story. At best it is an investment for the ages.

Some place in between it is an intermediate investment, albeit a very emotional and volatile one. Current financial conditions mandate survival as the primary focus. And the essence of financial survival is return of investment.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 21, 2016

Gold Price Time For A Bounce, But Probably Not A Bottom Yet / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Savage

Sentiment got a little too bearish and price is bouncing off the 38% Fibonacci retracement. Ideally though I’d like to see one more lower low next week to break the cycle uptrend line before trying to call a bottom.

I’d like to see a bit more bearish sentiment and some panic selling. DCL’s should create fear and cause traders to think price is rolling over. That usually requires a trend line break to get technical traders on the wrong side of the market before price resumes the uptrend.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 21, 2016

Did Oil Kill The Dinosaurs? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

What killed the dinosaurs? It's a question as old as – well the dinosaurs themselves, and one that everyone from school children to scientists have been asking for decades. Movies like Jurassic Park and the Land Before Time only heighten that sense of wonder and raise the stakes behind that question. Now according to a new scientific study, it seems that black gold may have been the source of the dinos' demise.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 21, 2016

US Dollar's Rise Spells the End of Commodities' Run / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Donald_W_Dony

A steady stream of strengthening fundamentals are driving the U.S. dollar higher. Healthier data from jobs, consumer spending and housing have put a tailwind on the greenback.

Moreover, America's economy is outperforming the weaker economies aboard. And this is setting a backdrop for improved prospects for another rate hike in the months ahead.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 20, 2016

Silver Price Ignition or Money Reasserting: When Silver Investment Demand Merges with Industrial Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

A long time reader and forum member posted the following with a question regarding silver industrial demand:

“The question that begs an answer, is how will this ultimately effect the monetary value of Silver and does that foretell a change in investment strategies?” (Full comment below).  

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 20, 2016

Gold Daily Cycle Low Still Several Days Away / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Savage

Some analysts were expecting gold to form an early Daily Cycle Low. I’ve been warning that gold needs to break the cycle trend line before the DCL can bottom and to beware of a fake out. It turns out I was correct to be patient. I doubt gold will form the DCL until right before, or on the FOMC statement next week. More patience.

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