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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, April 14, 2014

Silver Price Ultimate Rally: When Paper Assets Collapse / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Hubert_Moolman

The relationship between the Dow and silver has been very consistent during the last 100 years. After each of the major Dow peaks (real, not necessarily nominal peaks), we eventually had a major bottom in silver. Below, is a 100-year inflation-adjusted Dow chart:

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Commodities

Monday, April 14, 2014

Fourth Reversals in The Gold and Silver Charts / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Rambus_Chartology

In this Weekend Report I would like to look under the hood of some of the precious metals stocks indexes to see what is really taking place. We'll look at a bunch of PM stocks to get a feel for where we are in the short, intermediate and long term pictures. When one just observes an index you really don't get to see, in detail, the stocks that make up that index that could be showing some important clues to the overall big picture. For instance, there are just three or four of the biggest of the big cap precious metals stocks that account for a large percentage move for say the HUI. There are many more stocks in the index but they don't carry as much weight.

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Commodities

Sunday, April 13, 2014

Gold and Silver Flight To Safety / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jesse

The miners continued to get pounded along with tech momentum stocks as this week turned out badly for equities overall.

Gold is still outperforming silver, and has the taste of a minor 'flight to safety' in the price action.

The Comex warehouses continue to be a foggy snoozer, and stopped contracts are a formidable percentage of the deliverable gold category.

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Commodities

Saturday, April 12, 2014

Gold And Silver – 2014 Coud Be A Yawner; Be Prepared For A Surprise / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_Noonan

For the past year, we have been saying that the charts for gold and silver are likely bottoming in a normal manner, and it takes time for a this kind of formation to complete itself. It remains the case, to date.

What is likely to cause a sharp price reversal to the upside for gold and silver? If both were allowed to simply adjust to inflation, you would see a fairly substantial rally. Given that will not be the case, what will be a/the catalyst for a precious metal [PM] change in trend?

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Commodities

Saturday, April 12, 2014

Gold Preparing to Launch as U.S. Dollar Drops to Key Support / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jason_Hamlin

Gold bugs have been forecasting a dollar collapse for years. They have been correct about the gold price, which has advanced nearly 400% in the past 12 years versus a gain of just 64% for the S&P 500. They were also correct about the dollar during the first phase of the gold bull market (2001-2008), when the USD index fell from 120 to around 72.

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Commodities

Friday, April 11, 2014

GDX Gold Stocks Benchmark / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Zeal_LLC

The American GDX Gold Miners ETF is slowly becoming the de-facto standard for measuring gold-stock performance.  Nearing its eighth birthday, GDX has even usurped the venerable HUI gold-stock index as this sector’s metric of choice in many circles.  While GDX has advantages and disadvantages compared to the traditional HUI, it is an excellent gold-stock benchmark.  But it still falls far short of individual stock picking.

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Commodities

Friday, April 11, 2014

Better Tone to Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Gold and silver prices gained modestly over the week, during which the latest FOMC minutes were released. These were generally read to be more dovish compared with the previous month.

FOMC members appear from the minutes to be confused. The previous month’s conclusion, that if it wasn’t for the weather the economy is improving and so interest rates will increase a little earlier than expected, is replaced with renewed anxiety about the outlook now the weather has improved. And who can blame them: after QE1, 2 and 3, some iffy numbers like unemployment have fallen, but where’s the price inflation? The overriding concern for all central bankers is still the prospect of deflation.

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Commodities

Friday, April 11, 2014

Gold and Bail-ins / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

I am often asked whether or not western governments are likely to confiscate gold, and my answer has invariably been on the lines of "unlikely at the moment, because so few people own gold". However given low stock levels in western vaults and that bail-ins are on the agenda the answer to the question should be reconsidered.

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Commodities

Friday, April 11, 2014

Silver Price Finally Outperforms – How Bullish Is That? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion the speculative short positions (full) in gold, silver, and mining stocks are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

We sent out 2 Gold & Silver Trading Alerts yesterday and the situation at this time remains just as we described it in the second of them. Consequently, we will mostly quote it, illustrate the phenomena mentioned, and add more comments when necessary. Let’s start with gold (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Commodities

Friday, April 11, 2014

Does the Gold Price reflect true gold Demand and Supply? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

In short, no it doesn't! We will look at why not, in this article.

The Gold Fix

Despite the furore surrounding the Gold Fix [unfairly, we believe] it is a singularly determined attempt amongst commodities to set a twice daily price that does reflect demand and supply of gold, at those moments. To understand this we have to see what happens at the Fixing sessions.

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Commodities

Friday, April 11, 2014

More Weakness Ahead for Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The Fed minutes were dovish and this helped push Gold above $1310 to $1320. However, the miners, which usually lead the metals did little to confirm the rise. In fact, the miners have been relatively weak in recent days and had a bearish reversal on Thursday. Their rebound from an oversold condition has petered out. Another point is Gold, during this rebound has made no progress against foreign currencies. It’s starting to show some strength against the equity market but it needs to show strength against all currencies and not function only as the inverse of the US Dollar. Be on alert as the short-term trend for precious metals (especially the miners) could resume to the downside.

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Commodities

Friday, April 11, 2014

Russia Invaded Crimea and These US Energy Companies Made a Killing / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: The_Energy_Report

Don't put all your investments in one stock, warns S&A Resource Report Editor Matt Badiali. In this interview with The Energy Report, he shares a basket of companies that are extracting higher margins with ever-evolving shale drilling methods. Find out about his top tenbagger opportunities at home, in the so-called new science and factory shales, as well as his favorites in the far reaches of Kurdistan, where an eventual takeover draft looks likely.

The Energy Report: In a recent Daily Resource Update, you wrote a piece called, "Here's How Russia's Invasion of Crimea Could Benefit Some U.S. Oil Companies," and it wasn't the oil producing companies I assumed from the headline. Tell us, what companies could benefit.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 10, 2014

Chinese Checkers with Gold Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: John_Browne

For decades many of us in the hard money world have speculated that cloak and dagger activity by large financial interests has played a large role in determining performance in the gold market. The focus of this alleged manipulation is believed to be in the London market, and has been widely referred to as "The London Fix." However those who have blown the whistle have been dismissed as alarmists, gold bugs, conspiracy theorists or worse. But recent revelations should bring us closer to the truth.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 10, 2014

Gold Traders Resolve Tested / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: HRA_Advisory

Just when you thought it was safe to go back into the market the gold price and junior resource stocks drop and nervous traders declare the sky is falling yet again.

I’m not thrilled by the market action of the past two or three weeks but I also don’t think the basic narrative has changed.   The gold price has corrected but I don’t think its rolled over unless it gets quite a bit lower.  Likewise, the correction in the Venture Index is not large compared to some of its larger brethren and well within the bounds of what one would see as part of a larger bullish advance.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 10, 2014

Mainstream Gold and Silver Analysis Out of Touch, Out of Context and Off the Mark / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

On average, every quarter we are exposed to yet another price guidance by a mainstream analyst. Such analysts usually reside within a large investment bank. These calls become focal points for a sector and often seem to carry with them some form of self fulfilling prophecy.

What makes them qualified?

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