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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, June 29, 2015

U.S. Crude Oil Glut An EIA Invention? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

In the latest weekly production data from the EIA, on the back of recent March revisions, the U.S. managed to post a 76,000 barrel per day increase in the lower 48. Production from Alaska fell by 61,000 barrels per day, putting overall U.S. output 15,000 barrels per day higher for the week ending June 12 compared to the previous week.

This comes at a time when multimillion barrel draws have become the norm. It is important to note that lower 48 production is estimated based on an EIA black box model, while Alaska is virtually real time data. That suggests that the weekly supply estimates are hugely overestimated.

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Commodities

Monday, June 29, 2015

Gold and Silver Greece and Short Positions / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Hedge funds and high-frequency traders have finally forced gold into a US dollar loss this year as shown in our introductory chart, but silver is still in positive territory. This week gold declined $29 with a break from the $1200 level to $1171, and silver fell 40 cents to $15.70 early this morning in European trade.

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Commodities

Sunday, June 28, 2015

China the Wild Card On Gold, Greek Referendum Vote July 5 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The Bucket Shop on the Hudson was quiet in this day after precious metal options expiration.

There was intraday commentary here about China's desire to make the yuan a global reserve currency, and some possible implications for gold from the head of Bloomberg precious metals analysis. You may read about that here.

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Commodities

Sunday, June 28, 2015

Silver - Boiling Down The Narratives / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Charlie, a long term subscriber sent me the note I’ve included below.

I decided to share it with you because I’m tired. I’m tired of conceding to the mainstream view.

I often find myself apologizing for the emotion and struggling to keep it all professional. To keep a cool head, stick to the facts, honor the investment implications and serve the interests of readers.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 27, 2015

Gold And Silver – Three Choices: Sell, Hold, Hold and Add. A Trading Treatise / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

Last year, the rage was the record-setting number of coins various mints were selling to the public, such an incredible demand that would surely impact the demand factor for gold and silver. Then the focus changed to how many tones China and Russia were buying each and every month, scooping up all available supply with their insatiable demand. Gold and silver responded by going lower.

The most popular gold/silver sites, the most respected gold/silver analysts from around the world all chiming in how gold and silver will go through the roof while both metals continue to still languish in the basement, as it were.

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Commodities

Friday, June 26, 2015

Renewable Energy the Fastest-Growing Energy Sector of 2015 and Beyond / Commodities / Renewable Energy

By: Investment_U

David Fessler writes: I’ve been talking about renewable energy at conferences for the last eight years. Every year, I’ve said renewables will continue to be the fastest-growing energy sector.

And every year, the data proves me right.

Renewable energy sources now generate 28% of the world’s electricity, up from 25% in 2013.

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Commodities

Friday, June 26, 2015

Crude Oil Price Nearing Exhaustion / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Bob_Loukas

For an asset like Crude, which is normally extremely volatile, the current prolonged sideways range is very much out of character. Crude has us accustomed to daily swings of 2% to 3%, and to shorter term rallies/declines that draw in traders before reversing suddenly. Crude is generally an asset that fluctuates in price, so the current “flat-line” action is rare.  Since the last Daily Cycle peaked on May 6th, Crude oil has been locked in a sideways trading range. Short term traders, expecting the usual crude oil volatility, are being chopped to pieces.

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Commodities

Friday, June 26, 2015

Extreme Gold/Silver Shorting / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold and silver are languishing near major lows, trudging through the barren sentiment wasteland of the summer doldrums.  The major factor behind this weakness is extreme shorting by American futures speculators.  But their heavily-bearish bets are actually very bullish for both precious metals.  Not only do these traders as a herd always bet wrong at price extremes, their shorts are guaranteed near-future buying.

American futures speculators’ trading has utterly dominated gold and silver price action in recent years.  This single group of traders doesn’t normally wield such outsized influence.  But with Western investors largely missing in action since early 2013, futures speculators have gone unchallenged.  Couple this with the extreme leverage inherent in futures trading, and its stranglehold on gold and silver prices is ironclad.

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Commodities

Friday, June 26, 2015

QM and XLE Energy Sector Charts Analysis / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Gary_Savage

It’s starting to look more and more likely that the counter trend bounce in oil (and commodities) may be over. If so then my expectation is that oil will test $35 at some point before the 3 year cycle low is complete.

I was expecting a little more out of the bear market rally. Possibly a move to the mid 60’s before heading back down, but it’s looking more and more likely that oil is going to come up short of my original expectation and traders should probably now start looking for lower prices than hoping for one more pop higher.

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Commodities

Friday, June 26, 2015

Gold Price Target of USD 2,300 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

- “Gold remains in secular bull market”
- System is addicted to unsustainable debt
- Persistent deflationary forces threaten system
- Monetary authorities to take increasingly risky measures to engender inflation
- Debt based monetary system is crux of problem
- “All available means” deployed to prevent global government bond bubble from bursting
- Aversion to owning any gold whatsoever displays “ignorance of monetary history”
- Gold’s qualities as store of value and medium of exchange to be “rediscovered”
- Have “gold price target of USD 2,300” in three years

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Commodities

Friday, June 26, 2015

Gold and Silver - Another Successful Option Expiration For the Insiders / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Jesse

The Bucket Shop managed to hold gold below the 1180 level, thereby allowing most of the calls for the option expiration to go out worthless. Oh well done.

There was intraday commentary about the Greek situation which may be actually coming to some sort of resolution over the next few weeks. You may read that here.

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Commodities

Friday, June 26, 2015

Why Buffett Bet A Billion On Solar Energy / Commodities / Solar Energy

By: OilPrice_Com

Miles Per Acre Per Year

During the late innings of the ICE-age (as in the Internal Combustion Engine age) it has become clear that feeding gasoline and diesel to the next billion new cars is not going to be easy, or cheap. In China alone, 500 million new vehicles can be expected to jam the roads between now and 2030.

That may sound far-fetched but considering annual sales have already made it to 25 million units per year (vs. around 17 million in the U.S. – China became the top market in 2009), it only requires a 4 percent growth rate to reach that target in fifteen years.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 25, 2015

Ron Paul Warns “They Can’t Print Money Forever” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

- Former U.S. Congressman blasts Fed’s role in markets
- Gives scathing analysis of modern economics and markets
- Highlights complete disregard of economic fundamentals in investment decisions today
- As will be the case with Greece, U.S. will eventually be forced to liquidate debt
- Attempts to forecast day of reckoning are futile as it is a function of psychology
- “They can’t print money forever”
- Gold and silver will weather and thrive in currency devaluation

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Commodities

Thursday, June 25, 2015

In Gold We Trust 2015: Gold Remains In A Secular Bull Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldSilverWorlds

The ninth edition of In Gold We Trust is out. It is another outstanding, world class report full of unique insights for investors. In Gold We Trust 2015 is focused on the impact of the unusual montary policies on the financial system, investing, and precious metals. In sum, the debt problem is bigger than it seems, and it remains widely misunderstood. This report is a master piece in clarifying the future consequences of the huge global debt burden.

The report is written by Ronald Stoeferle who is the managing partner at Incrementum AG in Liechtenstein, and Mark J. Valek who is the founding partner and investment manager. They manage a global macro fund, focusing on a proprietary management approach, influenced by the Austrian School of Economics.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 24, 2015

Why I'm Revising My Crude Oil Price Outlook… Upward / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Kent Moors writes: I just left a closed-door meeting in Paris. Assembled here were some high-powered oil practitioners, the traders selling their productions, and the bankers financing all of it.

As often happens, the pundits and talking heads have been discussing matters quite similar to what was on our agenda. And as usual, their perspectives are very different from those of us "behind the scenes."

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