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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, July 13, 2015

Silver Price Remains in Long-term Downtrend / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Clive_Maund

It's a strange situation - the long-term charts for silver continue to look awful, but there has been a quite dramatic improvement in its COTs, which now look positive, with readings that in the past have consistently lead to rallies. However, this doesn't mean that any rally that develops soon will succeed in breaking silver out of its long downtrend.

Silver's 8-year chart shows the as yet unrelenting downtrend from its 2011 highs involving a classic "staircase" decline. On this chart it looks set to drop again, but perhaps after another rally first towards the upper boundary of the downtrend channel.

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Commodities

Monday, July 13, 2015

Gold Price Awaiting Outcome of Greece Crisis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Clive_Maund

The situation is paradoxical - the charts of just about everything are positioned for a plunge - or a turnaround and limited recovery, which reflects the fact that markets are waiting on some sort of resolution of the standoff with Greece, either Greece walking away, a Grexit, or a fudge solution where Greece accepts defeat and is denied debt relief or it is obfuscated sufficiently for the markets to buy it and this may involve another "can kicking" exercise. While the charts for many commodities look scary, including gold and silver, their COTs now look bullish, which suggests that the fudge solution will be the outcome.

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Commodities

Sunday, July 12, 2015

Corn, Soybeans, Wheat Agricultural Commodities Price Forecasts / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Austin_Galt

The prices of agricultural commodities of corn, soybeans and wheat have all exploded higher recently. This has been expected and was laid out in analysis back in February 2015. Now that the rallies have kicked off let’s revise the technicals of all three soft commodities.

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Commodities

Saturday, July 11, 2015

Gold and Silver Calm Before the Storm / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Jesse

Gold and silver were in the usual capping mode today, although silver managed to finish the week on a slight gain.

I am liking silver more and more here, and am not adverse to some small buys at regular intervals with a longer term time horizon. Nibbles, if you will.

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Commodities

Saturday, July 11, 2015

Gold And Silver – Greece Needs Money? Money DOES NOT EXIST! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

All the world is indeed a stage, and what is unfolding is a worsening tragicomedy, and it is under the direction of the elites through their debt enslavement [un]known by the world as fiat currency. The unelected “officials” in the EU are the equivalent of Keystone Kops. In fact, that is also true even of elected officials. They are all a bunch of clowns in charge of the circus called government.

There is a very high probability that what has been unfolding in Greece will eventually be in your own government, so pay close attention to the outcome of how the bankers are choking the economic life out of the Greek people, and as events have unfolded, it appears that Tsipras has caved into the moneychanger’s demands in exchange for a bailout. This is totally contrary to the outcome of the referendum wherein Greeks voted OXI for accepting the unacceptable financial impositions on Greek citizens.

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Commodities

Saturday, July 11, 2015

The Shanghai Stock Market Crash and China Gold Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_J_Kosares

What it means for the future of the gold market

"At present, up to 12 trillion yuan stays in domestic residents' saving accounts. The launch of individual gold investment, therefore, will allow residents to change currency assets into gold assets. At the macro level, it will expand channels for changing savings into investment, thus adjusting the money supply; in the micro aspect, allowing citizens to trade and keep gold can improve social welfare, benefiting both the country and the population. Moreover, with the dual attributes of common commodity and currency commodity, gold is a desirable instrument for hedging. Therefore, developing gold trade for individuals is practical." – Zhou Xiaochuan, Governor, the People's Bank of China

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Commodities

Friday, July 10, 2015

Gold and Silver Stocks More Weakness Ahead / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The precious metals sector is enduring losses for the third straight week. The gold miners and Silver have led the way down, though Silver has rallied over the past two sessions. Gold has also rallied yet remains dangerously close to making a new weekly low for the bear market. While the metals recovered some losses on Wednesday and Thursday, the gold miners failed to generate anything positive and closed near their lows for each session. The inability of the miners to recover to even a small degree augurs badly for the entire sector in the days ahead.

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Commodities

Friday, July 10, 2015

Silver at the Mercy of China’s Stock Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

Silver's fate will be determined over the next few weeks by the events unfolding around China's stock market.

If their equity markets stabilize, and if it looks as if the worst is over, silver will stabilize as well. If not, then neither will silver.

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Commodities

Friday, July 10, 2015

Now Is A Good Time To Pick Up Some Oil Stocks / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: OilPrice_Com

Oil's oversized reaction to negative news from Greece and China on Monday should really have come as no surprise with the value of 20/20 hindsight. I have been writing for some time now that the commodity would break out of its narrowing range and that the more times it failed to break the resistance point at $62, the more likely it was that that break would be in a downward direction. It is logical that the longer that it took, the more violent that break would be.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 09, 2015

Why Exxon Mobil Is The Strong Oil & Gas Stock On The Market Today / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: AnyOption

The oil and gas market is a bit shaken at the moment; and understandably so. After last year's dramatic decline in oil prices and the less than appealing prices we've seen this year, companies in the sector just aren't producing profits like they once did. However, there is one company in the sector that's well worth taking a second look at. That company is Exxon Mobil. In summary, here's why I believe the value of the stock will climb exponentially over the long run...

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Commodities

Thursday, July 09, 2015

Gold and Silver Stocks Game Plan / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Rambus_Chartology

Tonight I would like to update you on some precious metals charts we've been following very closely to shed some light on where we're at and where we maybe heading. When investing in the markets we need to have a game plan to follow so that we know when the game changes we have to change. As long as the game plan is working you stick with it until you've reached your price objectives or the trend changes.

Believe me it's not at all easy to follow a game plan. There are things that happen to a stock or market on a daily basis, that we have no control over, that can affect our thinking. Without a game plan to follow we are at the mercy of every little wiggle a stock makes. One has to have a certain amount of confidence in whatever trading system they use to be able to ride out the wiggles that can whipsaw you to death if you act on every move a stock makes.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 08, 2015

Gold's Unsafe Haven and Yen's Comeback / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Gold's accelerating sell-off since June 18 highlights the metal's deteriorating role as a safe haven amid Greece uncertainty as other factors take priority. Oil's 19% decline from its May highs at a time when central banks have barely begun seeing some sort of positive trend in inflation resurrects fears of deflation or prolonged disinflation.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 08, 2015

Gold and Silver Spot Prices Increasingly Detached from Reality / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: MoneyMetals

Clint Siegner writes: An insolvent Greece has defaulted. On June 30th, officials missed repayment of billions in lMF loans and declared a banking holiday. Predictably, many Greek citizens responded to the crisis and bought gold coins. So did a lot of people here in the U.S. and around the world. You just wouldn’t know it by looking at spot prices.

The regular disconnect between the futures markets, where spot prices are set, and the physical markets reveals a growing problem. The link between the spot price and physical demand is thin at best. That is why the base price for gold coins in an Athens coin shop can get cheaper, but the all-in cost of buying the coins goes up as the line of buyers grows.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 08, 2015

Don't Panic, Nothing Has Really Changed In The Oil Markets / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Monday's 8% WTI crude decline is setting up a big opportunity for buyers. And there could be more to come. But this is driven by momentum, not by the fundamental conditions in the physical market.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 08, 2015

The Three Events That Just Sent Crude Oil Price Sinking… and Why There’s No Need to Panic / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: Yesterday, three geopolitical crises converged, sending the price of oil sinking.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the benchmark for crude set in New York, was down 8%. Dated Brent, the internationally used benchmark set in London, slipped 6%.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 08, 2015

ALERT! U.S. Mint Suspends American Silver Eagle Sales / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_J_Kosares

ALERT!

We have received word through an industry source that the U.S. Mint temporarily suspended sales of American Silver Eagles due to strong investor demand.  It intends to resume sales in two weeks.  The Mint sent out an announcement to this effect earlier today.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 07, 2015

Brent Crude Oil Price Breaks out of Bearish Wedge / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: MarketsToday

Brent Crude broke down from a bearish rising wedge formation several weeks ago, trading relatively sideways thereafter, until the tail end of last week when it fell below and closed below $60.97. The 50% retracement at $57.41 was surpassed yesterday to the downside, with the next target being around the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $54.53, followed by the most recent swing low (C) at $52.61.

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Commodities

Monday, July 06, 2015

Silver Price Consolidating Ahead of Another Sharp Drop / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Clive_Maund

Silver's cheerleaders are trying to keep their flocks happy by talking it up as usual, but the hard reality is that silver's charts continue to look awful, and like it is readying for another sharp drop, which fits with our view that the dollar is getting ready for another big upleg.

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Commodities

Monday, July 06, 2015

Gold Price Gravitating Lower Towards $1000 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Clive_Maund

Gold has not even been able to muster a rally on the Greek crisis, which is a bad sign, especially as the dollar looks like it is preparing to break out upside from a large consolidation pattern.

On its 8-year chart we can see that gold is still in the large downsloping consolidation pattern that has been going on for 2 years now. Goldbugs like to think that this trading range is a pattern is a base pattern, and while it may be, this is viewed as wishful thinking. Instead it looks like the B-wave of a large A-B-C correction from gold's highs in 2011. If it is, then the C-wave, which is suspected to be imminent, will take gold down at least to the strong support in the $1000 area, and probably lower towards the lower boundary of its large downtrend channel shown - if it gets there we are looking at $850 - $870. The good news is that this should mark the end of gold's bearmarket, especially as a rising rate cycle is just over the horizon, and contrary to popular belief, gold thrives in a rising rate environment - anyone remember the late 70's??

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Commodities

Saturday, July 04, 2015

Crude Oil Price Forecast to Plunge Below $40 / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Gary_Savage

In the after hours trading on Thursday oil broke below the May daily cycle low indicating a failed daily cycle is in progress, and confirming the intermediate top occurred on May 6th.

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