Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Friday, August 25, 2017

Grant Williams: History Is About to Repeat Itself Again… and It Might Get Ugly / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: HAA

Shannara Johnson writes: Grant Williams believes that the 76 million retiring Baby Boomers will trigger a major pension crisis. He should know, because he’s been studying financial history and telltale crisis patterns for nearly two decades.

“With that potentially bad situation we could face,” the seasoned asset manager and co-founder of Real Vision TV said in a recent Metal Masters interview, “holding physical metal, somewhere safe, somewhere outside the banking system, is just a sensible precaution to take.”

Thursday, August 24, 2017

The Next Oil Price Spike May Cripple The Industry / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Two diametrically opposed views dominate the current debate about where the oil price is heading. On the one hand, there is the view that the price of oil will be "lower for longer", or even "lower forever", as the electrification of transport will eat away at oil demand more and more while, at the same time, technological innovation (shale in particular) will greatly increase economically recoverable resources. On the other hand, however, there is the view that the price of oil is set to explode, primarily due to underinvestment in the upkeep of brownfields, development of greenfields, and exploration for new resources.

Thursday, August 24, 2017

Conspiracy Theorists Can Relax! Steve Mnuchin Peers Through Ft. Knox Window And Confirms Gold Is Still There! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Jeff_Berwick

Imagine it was 1937 and you stored your gold with someone… let’s call them Uncle Sam.

After about 20 years you told Sam that you’d like to see the gold and make sure it was still there. He said sure; you can come and take a quick look. And you did… and you were satisfied that it looked like the gold was still there.

Decades then went by… more than 40 years in fact… and you told Sam that you’d like to make sure the gold is still there.

Thursday, August 24, 2017

China's Get the Gold Plan: Part II / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: MoneyMetals

By David Smith : Money Metals readers may remember my November 2014 report in which I discussed how gold flowed into China in "tributary fashion" like small streams flowing into a giant one. In this case, the gold has been streaming into China's increasingly massive thousands-of-tons gold hoard.

In January, 2015, I penned an essay titled "China's Global Gold Supply "Game of Stones" outlining China's long-range goal to dominate the world's physical gold market.

Thursday, August 24, 2017

Urgent: “Double Play” Energy Profit Scenario Is Now Rapidly Unfolding / Commodities / Lithium

By: WallStreetNation

Wednesday, August 23, 2017

Global Financial Crisis 10 Years On: Gold Rises 100% from $650 to $1,300 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– Gold up over 100% in major currencies since financial crisis
– Gold up 100% in dollars, 124% in euros and surged 200% in sterling 
– Gold has outperformed equity, bonds and most assets
– Gold remains an important safe-haven in long term

Tuesday, August 22, 2017

U.S. Treasury Secretary: "I Assume Fort Knox Gold Is Still There" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

• US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin visits Fort Knox Gold
• Later tweeted ‘Glad gold is safe!’
• Only the third Treasury Secretary to visit the fortified vault, last visit was 1948
• Last Congressional visit was 1974
• Speculation over existence of gold in Fort Knox is rife
• Concerns over Federal Reserves lack of interest in carrying to an audit on gold
• Gold was last counted in 1953, nine years before Mnuchin was born
• Mnuchin may be looking to prevent countries and states from worrying about and repatriating their gold

Tuesday, August 22, 2017

Lightening-Fast COT Reversal: Now Fairly Bearish For Gold And Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: John_Rubino

That didn’t take long at all. Just a few weeks after the Commitment of Traders (COT) Reports for gold and silver turned positive – setting off a nice rally in both metals’ prices – this indicator has flipped back to strongly negative.

In gold especially, speculators (always wrong at big turning points) have loaded up on long futures contracts while closing out their short positions. The commercials (always right at big turning points) have done the opposite, closing out long positions and going aggressively short.

Tuesday, August 22, 2017

The Bear Market in Oil Sector Continues / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: The_Energy_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the multiyear bear market in oil and gas.

Monday, August 21, 2017

What’s Next For Gold? Its All About The U.S. Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Kelsey_Williams

What’s next for gold? Seems like a fairly simple question. Unfortunately, it  is nearly impossible today to get a simple answer.  That’s the problem. 

Why is that? And, if we can find a simple, straight-forward answer, how do we know the answer is correct?

Perspective and intent are factors.  But so are logic and accuracy.

Monday, August 21, 2017

Gold’s Sudden, Newfound Relative Strength / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Three weeks ago we discussed how Gold needed to perform considering the US$ index was likely to bounce due to an oversold condition and extreme bearish sentiment.

We wrote: “Simply put, Gold will have to prove itself in real terms if it is going to hold its ground or breakout as the US$ begins a likely bounce.”

Sunday, August 20, 2017

Gold is a coiled spring… the breakout is here, fundamentals are in place, technicals are compelling / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason:It is my privilege now to welcome in Greg Weldon, CEO and President of Weldon Financial. Greg has over three decades of market research and trading experience, specializing in the metals and commodity markets, and even authored a book in 2006 titled Gold Trading Boot Camp, where he accurately predicted the implosion of the U.S. credit market and urged people to buy gold when it was only $550 an ounce. He's a highly sought-after presenter at financial conferences and is a regular guest on financial shows throughout the world.

Sunday, August 20, 2017

A Midsummer Night's Dream: Buy Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the seasonality of gold and silver, and the metals' relationship with Bitcoin. Each year since 1987, I have always used the final two weeks of the month of August as a shopping period in a manner not unlike the “Back-to-School” kind only the wares I seek are junior precious metals stocks as opposed to school uniforms, pens, and books. It began after I had been speaking with one of the finest brokers I had ever had the opportunity to know, Edmonton’s late George Milton, whose claim to fame was being the early financier for Bre-X (Not to worry, he and the bulk of his clients were long gone by the time the fraud was revealed). George would tell clients around mid-May to raise cash because after June 1, he would be AWOL. Because there were no cell phones, internet, text messaging or Twitter, that meant that George would be out-of-contact until mid-August and, true to form, on August 15^th, he would arrive at the office, open his Rolodex, and begin to call clients. By the time mid-August arrived, the first shares he would buy were the ones he sold in mid-May and amazingly, 90% of those names had fallen 50% (or more) due to the illiquidity and disinterest so typical of the June-July period in the Canadian junior mining markets. He would spend the next two weeks accumulating his list and then watch as the mid-September reversal of fortune arrived with heightened liquidity and interest and prices paid for his late summer shopping spree would advance.

Sunday, August 20, 2017

Gold Mining Stocks 2017 Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks have spent months adrift, cast off in the long shadow of the Trumphoria stock-market rally.  This vexing consolidation has left a wasteland of popular bearishness.  But once a quarter earnings season arrives, bright fundamental sunlight dispelling the obscuring sentiment fogs.  The major gold miners’ just-reported Q2’17 results prove this sector remains strong fundamentally, and super-undervalued.

Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports.  Companies trading in the States are required to file 10-Qs with the US Securities and Exchange Commission by 45 calendar days after quarter-ends.  Canadian companies have similar requirements.  In other countries with half-year reporting, some companies still partially report quarterly.

Sunday, August 20, 2017

Will the Electric Car Revolution Sink Platinum and Palladium? / Commodities / Platinum

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Everyone has probably heard about the upcoming electric car revolution whose vanguard is Tesla Motors led by Elon Musk. The electric car is actually nothing new – the first vehicles were produced as long ago as in the 1880s. However, the mass production of cheaper gasoline vehicles triggered by Henry Ford put electric cars into limbo for decades. But this can change quickly thanks to the rapidly falling costs.

Saturday, August 19, 2017

EIA Weekly Report and Crude Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Although the EIA weekly report showed a larger-than-expected decline in crude oil inventories, the price of the commodity declined sharply after news that U.S. crude oil production increased. Thanks to these circumstances, light crude lost 1.62% and closed the day under important support. What does it mean for the black gold?

Yesterday, the Energy Information Administration reported that crude oil inventories dropped by over 8.9 million barrels in the week ended Aug 11, easily beating expectations of a draw of around 3 million barrels. Despite these bullish numbers (and the fact that it was the seventh straight week of declines in crude oil inventories), the report also showed that gasoline inventories rose by 22,000 barrels and distillate stockpiles rose by 702,000 barrels, missing analysts’ forecasts of a draw. On top of that, the EIA also showed that crude oil production increased to 9.502 million barrels per day, which renewed worries over the supply glut and pushed the price of light crude below $47 and important support. What does it mean for the black gold?

Saturday, August 19, 2017

Gold Direction Indicator / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Peter_Degraaf

The last time our ‘ Gold Direction Indicator’ was as positive as today, gold rose from $1220 to $1280.  The date was July 12th and we wrote an article titled:  “The Gold Direction Indicator Just Turned Positive”.  Less than three weeks later price had advanced by $60.  Well here we are, and the GDI just turned up from 52% to 79% (fully bullish).   Following are some charts that support a Rising Precious Metals Scenario.

Saturday, August 19, 2017

Historical Inevitability and Gold and Silver Ownership / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Michael_J_Kosares

The Wall Street Journal’s editorial writer, Daniel Henninger, registers some very important observations in the wake of the troubling events in Charlottesville. Charlottesville, he attempts to point out, is symptomatic of something much deeper ingrained in the American psyche. “Some may say,” writes Henninger, “the Charlottesville riot was the lunatic fringe of the right and left, with no particular relevance to what falls in between. But I think Charlottesville may be a prototype of a politics that is drifting away from traditional norms of behavior and purpose.”  Aptly, the editorial is titled, “The Politics of Pointlessness.”

Saturday, August 19, 2017

You Are Being Lied To About “Low” Gold Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldSilver

Jeff Clark : I don’t like to use inflammatory language, such as the title of this article, but the message from the mainstream media about gold demand is a lie misleading.

Yes, coin purchases in North America are down compared to last year (a record-setting year, by the way). It’s been soft at a few other Mints as well, such as Perth.

But Eagle and Kangaroo purchases aren’t the whole market. You and I don’t buy paper gold products, for example, but throw in demand from this part of the industry and a very different picture emerges from the dour headlines you see from gold haters mainstream sources.

Saturday, August 19, 2017

This is Why Cocoa's Crash Was a Perfect Setup / Commodities / Cocoa

By: EWI

Perfect from an Elliott wave perspective, that is. The other day, I went paddle-boarding for the first time and was struck by a familiar feeling; one that comes from, of all things, speculating in the markets.

See, when your board is in line with the current and the wind is at your back, the board moves effortlessly, gliding along the top of the water with no strain at all. This is the equivalent of trading with a market's trend.