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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, September 05, 2014

The Great Silver Price Subsidization / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Understanding precious metal price reality is like walking through a house of mirrors.

I spend a lot of time examining eyeballs. The magnification required to focus light on the retina is very strong. This causes an inverted image.

What I see in the lower right of my view is actually the upper left area of the patient's eye.

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Commodities

Friday, September 05, 2014

Short-Sellers Driving Gold and Silver Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Gold and silver had a bad week, with gold falling $25 to a low of $1262 by the Comex close yesterday, and silver by $0.50. This morning UK-time prices opened a little better on overnight physical demand, no doubt stimulated by those lower prices. The background to this poor performance was dollar strength relative to weak currencies, with the yen, euro and pound all declining sharply.

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Commodities

Friday, September 05, 2014

Gold, Silver Market Strong Reversal Augurs for Rough September / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

In recent weeks we wrote about the ongoing consolidation in precious metals miners. We touched on the history of September, not as a bullish month but as an important inflection point. With the miners holding up well and Gold still holding its lows we thought a breakout could be coming. Yet we've been whipsawed before. Several times over the past year (and as recently as late July) we've written about the possibility of a final low in Gold to precede the next impulsive advance in the miners. These scenarios came to a major head this week and the nasty decline across the entire sector suggests the bears are back for one last time.

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Commodities

Friday, September 05, 2014

Remember, Remember, Gold in September / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Frank_Holmes

In American poet W. S. Merwin’s poem “To the Light of September,” the speaker calls the ninth month “still summer,” yet with a “glint of bronze in the chill mornings.”

I agree—to an extent. Here in San Antonio, Texas, home of U.S. Global Investors, we’re most definitely still in the summer season. But in the investing world, when we talk about September, there’s a glint not of bronze but another precious metal: gold.

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Commodities

Friday, September 05, 2014

The Energy Crisis No One is Talking About / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: As everyone remains focused on the price of crude, the wider energy market is headed for a serious shortfall.

In fact, in the course of my global work, it’s impossible not to recognize there is a new energy crisis quickly developing in other parts of the world.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 04, 2014

Gold Model Projects Prices From 1971 – 2021 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: DeviantInvestor

Gold persistently rallied from 2001 to August 2011.  Since then it has fallen rather hard, down nearly 40% at one point, but it currently looks ready to rally for the balance of this decade.

WHY SHOULD WE EXPECT THAT GOLD WILL RALLY?

The answer, in my opinion, can be found in my gold pricing model that has accurately replicated AVERAGE gold prices after the noise of politics, news, high frequency trading, and day to day “management” have been removed by smoothing.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 04, 2014

Overpriced Oil – The Fundamental Facts / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Andrew_McKillop

Andy Hall Takes a Bet
Sometimes dubbed the Billionaire Better who always gets things right, Andy Hall has come out swinging. Bloomberg, September 3, reports Hall as saying US shale oil (and even shale gas) “are a dud” and will play down and out much faster than most people think. Hall says there is no way that either US or world oil prices can erode down to around $75 a barrel. He says barrel prices will be closer to $150 within 5 years, by at latest 2019. Hall is buying long-dated oil futures contracts to as far out as 2019 on that basis

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Commodities

Thursday, September 04, 2014

Stronger U.S. Dollar Implications for Crude Oil Price / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): In our opinion no positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

On Tuesday, crude oil lost 2.70% as the combination of disappointing Chinese data and stronger U.S. dollar weighed on the price. Because of these circumstances, the commodity bounced down the medium-term resistance zone and approached the recent lows. Will they withstand the selling pressure?

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Commodities

Thursday, September 04, 2014

Gold and Silver Price False Break Lows? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Austin_Galt

Both gold and silver have embarked on early week moves down. These moves reek of attempts to flush out the weak hands. Many of those bulls still remaining would surely have a good case of the heebie jeebies right about now. While I am also a bull, currently holding long silver positions, I have found the move less intimidating as I was expecting these downmoves. Although I must admit to getting a slight twitch come the end of trading on Tuesday! Let's investigate.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 04, 2014

George Soros Signals Argentina’s Shale Oil and Gas is Biggest Place to Be / Commodities / Shale Oil and Gas

By: OilPrice_Com

One of the world’s legendary investors is upping his bet on Argentina’s shale oil and gas industry in a show of confidence for shale production in South America’s largest unconventional prize —and a big boost for both supermajors and smaller players making big waves in the heart of new discovery areas.

George Soros has doubled his stake in YPF SA, the state-owned oil company in Argentina, which sits atop some of the world’s largest shale oil and gas resources, and is about to get even larger following a new discovery over the last couple of weeks of a second key shale play. 

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 03, 2014

Gold’s Price Plunge, U.S. Dollar and CCI / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion no speculative positions in gold, silver and mining stocks are now justified from the risk/reward perspective. However, day-traders might consider a small speculative long position in silver.

The precious metals sector moved sharply lower yesterday – in tune with its medium-term trend. The decline was to a large extent connected with the breakout in the USD Index. It seems that it is the U.S. dollar that will determine the short-term moves in PMs and miners in the coming days and in today’s alert we focus on this relationship. The CCI Index seems to be in a particularly interesting position as well and this is something that gold & silver traders should be aware of.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 03, 2014

Gold and Silver Internationalization Are The Antidote To The Keynesian Endgame / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldSilverWorlds

When looking at today’s economic situation, it is amazing how the debt situation remains underexposed. It is truly the “elephant in the room”. In this article we will review the most recent economic data and what that data could mean for the coming years.

When asked about his view on the economic situation, Claudio Grass, managing director of Global Gold, answered with this quote from German economist Wilhelm Röpke:

The theories men construct, and the words in which they are framed, often influence their mind more strongly than the facts presented by reality”.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 03, 2014

What’s in Store for Natural Gas and Crude Oil Prices / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Money_Morning

Kent Moors writes: To hear some analysts tell it, geopolitics and the weather are exogenous events when it comes to energy prices.

That is, somehow both natural gas and crude oil prices would operate quite “rationally” if it weren’t for either of them.

According to these guys, supply and demand is what drives the market, and from time to time these “outside elements” only muddle things up.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 03, 2014

Preparing for a Financial Crisis Worse than 2008? / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Metals_Report

Trillions of dollars of debt, a bond bubble on the verge of bursting and economic distortions that make it difficult for investors to know what is going on behind the curtain have created what author Doug Casey calls a crisis economy. But he is not one to be beaten down. He is planning to make the most of this coming financial disaster by buying equities with real value—silver, gold, uranium, even coal. And, in this interview with The Mining Report, he shares his formula for determining which of the 1,500 "so-called mining stocks" on the TSX actually have value.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 03, 2014

Gold Price Seasonality Chart Points to Strong Gains Sept through February / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jason_Hamlin

The month of September has historically been the strongest for precious metals. Since the start of the current bull market, gold has averaged a gain of 2.6% during the month of September. This is typically followed by a smaller gain of 0.8% in October and then a few more strong months in November, January and February. Taken together, we are exiting the weakest seasonal period for gold (Spring-Summer) and entering into the strongest seasonal period (Fall-Winter).

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