Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, October 03, 2016
Gold Price Reversal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Bob_Loukas
The Gold market continues to be lethargic. Two weeks ago, negative rumblings about Deutsche Bank pushed Gold higher out of the Half Cycle Low. But the move quickly stalled on a gold price reversal, ensuring that the current Daily Cycle (DC) would remain Left Translated.
Gold’s current sluggishness is not unexpected, however. 18 weeks into any Investor Cycle should see sellers largely controlling the action, and I’d expect that to be the case with Gold until it finds an Investor Cycle Low (ICL).
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Monday, October 03, 2016
Sterling Gold Rises 1.3% as Sterling Slumps On ‘Hard Brexit’ Concerns, Up 36% YTD / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
Sterling gold rose 1.3% today as sterling slumped again after the UK set a March deadline to start their ‘Brexit divorce’ proceedings from the European Union and on deepening nervousness regarding a ‘Hard Brexit’.
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Sunday, October 02, 2016
Gold And Silver – Qrtly, Monthly Charts. Last Weekly Commentary / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Michael_Noonan
This will be our last weekly commentary on the markets. What we know for certain is that the globalists have a stranglehold on the markets, and more importantly, a stranglehold on all Western nations to the point where life has become a theater of the absurd, negatively and without an end in sight.
We have been leaning in this direction for some time. Time off at the end of August, when access to a computer and news was limited to an hour a day, and we chose to use only a small portion of the allotted time, drove home the point, or more appropriately the pointlessness of what is going on all around the world.
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Sunday, October 02, 2016
Precious Metals Complex Monthly Charts Argue for Lower Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
The trading month doesn't always end on a Friday but when it does we like to take a look at the monthly charts. Generally, I prefer daily and weekly charts because they have more data points. However, monthly charts carry more significance than weekly charts which carry more significance than daily charts. You get the point. One reason and a good reason we expect the current correction to continue is the sector monthly charts.
Friday, September 30, 2016
Silver Way Undervalued / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Zeal_LLC
After rocketing higher mid-year, silver has spent most of the third quarter drifting sideways to lower. This has naturally weighed on sentiment, with investors and speculators alike growing more bearish during recent months. Yet silver remains way undervalued relative to its primary driver gold, so silver’s young bull market is far from over. This metal’s upside from here is still massive as it mean reverts higher with gold.
Silver has always been exceptionally volatile, which is partially a function of this market’s relatively-small size. The world’s leading authority on global silver supply and demand is the venerable Silver Institute. It reported total worldwide silver demand of 1170.5m ounces in 2015. At last year’s average silver price of $15.68, that works out to an annual market value of $18.3b. That’s practically a rounding error!
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Friday, September 30, 2016
Why Krugman, Roubini, Rogoff And Buffett Dislike Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
By Jan Skoyles Edited by Mark O’Byrne : A couple of weeks ago an article appeared on Bitcoin Magazine entitled ‘Some economists really hate bitcoin’.
I read it with a sigh of nostalgia. As someone who has been writing about gold for a few years, I am used to reading similar criticisms as those bitcoin receives from mainstream economists, about gold.
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Thursday, September 29, 2016
GOLD MARKET FLASH NOTE: Ending With a Bang, Not a Whimper / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, co-founders of Seabridge Gold, discuss how extreme monetary policy does not stimulate growth.
As we have predicted for some time, central bankers are doubling down on the madness that has failed to achieve economic lift-off. It is no surprise to us that easy money has not stimulated growth. There was never any reason why it should. It reminds us of trying to force hay into the wrong end of an elephant.
Thursday, September 29, 2016
Gold vs. Paper: The Only Debate That Matters / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Peter_Schiff
Thursday, September 29, 2016
Mining Stocks’ Rally Despite Gold’s Decline / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Quite a few rallies in the recent months were preceded by the mining stocks’ outperformance relative to gold and we just saw the same kind of phenomenon on Wednesday – GDX rallied while gold declined. Is the bottom in?
Let’s take a look at the miners’ chart for details - other charts don’t feature important changes from what we described previously so mining stocks are the part of the PM sector that we’ll focus on in today’s free article (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com):
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Thursday, September 29, 2016
2017: Gold and Silver's Year of "Public Recognition" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: MoneyMetals
In all probability, December 2015 marked the bottom of the cyclical gold and silver bear market – a bear cycle that had been in play since silver topped in May 2011 and gold in September of the same year.
During the fourth quarter 2015, share price declines of the precious metals mining companies tapered off once the last of the weak hands gave up and sold their positions to stronger, forward-looking investors.
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Wednesday, September 28, 2016
Where Will Oil Prices Go After Algiers? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
Saudi Arabia and Iran may yet come to terms on some sort of production arrangement, but the outcome of the negotiations in Algeria this week may not do much to rescue oil prices. Following the media spectacle, the oil markets may have to shift their attention back to the supply and demand fundamentals, which are not reassuring.
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Wednesday, September 28, 2016
Crude Oil Bull Market Correction / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Ed_Carlson
Crude gained $1.45/bbl. last week closing at 44.48 even after a $1.84 loss on Friday. Since the August high, crude looks like a descending triangle (bearish). The upper trendline passes through 46.75 this week. Support is at 43.25. A break of support opens the door for a decline to 38.25. The weekly Coppock Curve did confirm the June high so look for higher highs in the future. However, new lows are expected once wave C has completed.
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Tuesday, September 27, 2016
This Commodity Has Perked Up its Investors' Portfolios / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
By: EWI
The 90% rally in sugar prices since late 2015 fulfills our long-standing forecast
Imagine that the world's leading commodity markets were cars speeding down a two-lane highway. Who do you think is in the driver's seat controlling which direction prices go?
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Tuesday, September 27, 2016
Charting the Continuing Gold Market Correction / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
Technical analyst Jack Chan plots the continuing correction in the gold and silver markets.
Monday, September 26, 2016
Gold’s Moving Averages and Long-Term Outlook / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Gold moved about $30 last week and many investors view this fact as a bullish sign and indication that much higher gold prices are likely to follow. Is this really the case? Let’s take a look at the gold charts (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com):
Saturday, September 24, 2016
Gold and Gold Stocks Corrective Action Continues Despite Dovish Federal Reserve / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
There were some hopes that a non-move by the Fed would end the current correction in precious metals and spark a move to new highs. Unfortunately, the Federal Reserve cannot override the supply and demand component of the market. Gold and gold stocks popped higher but less than two days later the sector (and specifically the miners) has given those gains back. That tells us plenty of sellers remain and this sector needs more time and perhaps lower prices before this correction ends.
Friday, September 23, 2016
Gold Unleashed by the Fed / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Zeal_LLC
Gold surged sharply this week after the Yellen Fed yet again chickened out on raising its benchmark interest rate. Gold-futures speculators’ irrational fear of Fed rate hikes has been a major drag on gold. And rate-hike risks just plummeted in the coming months, since the Fed can’t risk acting heading into this year’s critical US presidential election. So gold’s next major upleg was likely just unleashed by the Fed.
Oddly, Wall Street’s expectations for a rate hike at this week’s latest meeting of the US Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee were surprisingly high. The interest-rate target directly controlled by the FOMC is the federal-funds rate. Commercial banks are required to hold reserves at the Fed. They lend these reserves to other banks overnight in the federal-funds market, at the FOMC’s federal-funds rate.
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Friday, September 23, 2016
Gold around U.S Presidential Elections / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
In previous articles, we examined gold's performance in the presidential election cycles. The only relatively reliable conclusion we were able to draw from the long-term analysis is that the post-election year is the worst for the price of gold in the whole cycle. Let's now focus on gold's short-term dynamics around election time.
The two charts below show the dynamics of gold prices thirty trading days before Election Day and thirty days after.
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Thursday, September 22, 2016
Overcoming The Second Steel Crisis / Commodities / Steel Sector
By: Dan_Steinbock
Today, advanced economies blame China for steel overcapacity. In reality, four decades ago Washington and Brussels opted for bad policies, which China seeks to transcend. In the G20 summit in Hangzhou, some world leaders had harsh words for China’s steel overcapacity. Before the summit, President Barack Obama was urged by US lawmakers, unions and trade associations to blame China’s trade practices for US mill closures and unemployment and to stress the need for “aggressive enforcement of US trade remedy laws.”
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Thursday, September 22, 2016
Gold Rises 1.5%, Silver Surges 3% After Fed Stays Ultra Loose At 0.25% / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
Gold was up 1.5% and silver surged 3.1% yesterday after Janet Yellen again failed to raise rates from record lows at 0.25%. The Fed maintained ultra loose monetary policies which are again creating stock and bond market bubbles in the U.S. and other countries.