Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Friday, April 08, 2016

Crude Oil Price $85 Forecast By Christmas / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

After a 50 percent rally in oil prices between February and March, crude has retreated a bit as of late. The upcoming OPEC-Russia meeting in Doha looms over the markets, but few expect the outcome to have any material impact on supply and demand. Global supply still exceeds demand, but there are solid signs that the overhang is finally starting to ease. Storage levels are high, but are expected to come down.

Friday, April 08, 2016

Gold Defies Stocks Bear Market Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold has spent much of the past couple months consolidating, vexing traders and bleeding away most of early 2016’s enthusiasm that catapulted the yellow metal higher.  But this sideways grind has actually been a very impressive show of strength.  Gold managed to hold its massive gains despite an incredible stock-market rally, which can really sap gold investment demand.  This portends another major gold upleg.

Gold’s performance this year has been nothing short of remarkable.  This unique portfolio-diversifying asset that tends to move counter to stock markets was universally loathed as recently as December.  It actually fell to a 6.1-year secular low the day after the Fed’s first rate hike in 9.5 years.  The vast majority of investors scoffed at gold, believing it was doomed to spiral lower indefinitely with the Fed tightening.

Friday, April 08, 2016

Gold Sector: Macrocosm Updated / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

We do in depth analysis on a weekly basis (and every day in-week) because there is no substitute for working to be right with the market's evolving situation as opposed to making bias or ego stoked calls in hopes of being right.

The current situation has seen some calling 'bullish' on the stock market despite a still intact bear trend (noted repeatedly in NFTRH ), people going bullish on commodities despite their "bounce only" (also noted repeatedly) status in the absence of real, market-based inflation signals (which I do think are coming soon) and global markets bouncing within bear trends of varying degrees.

Friday, April 08, 2016

Do ETFs' Flows Drive the Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

What are ETFs? The ETFs, or Exchange-Traded Funds, are funds that track indices, commodities or securities. The ETF shares are securities that closely resemble the yield and return of its native index, but - unlike mutual funds units - can be traded just like common stocks. The gold ETFs are a special type of ETFs that track the price of gold. The ETFs are backed by physical bullion (or gold derivative contracts), but investors do not own any gold and they cannot even redeem their shares in gold (only authorized participants can do that, thus private investors liquidate their holdings by selling their ETF shares on the open market). The two largest gold ETFs by assets are the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) and the iShares COMEX Gold Trust (IAU).

Friday, April 08, 2016

No. 1 One Reason To Buy Gold and Silver Is “Cyber Financial Warfare” / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: GoldCore

The number one reason to buy gold bullion given the new risks in the 21st century digital age is “cyber financial warfare,” Jim Rickards, Chief Global Strategist at West Shore Funds told “Bloomberg Markets.”

Friday, April 08, 2016

Goldman Sach's Dubious Advice 'Short Gold!' / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Mike_Shedlock

Those betting against Goldman Sach's retail investment advice have generally been on the right side of things.

The same thing is about to happen again.

"Short gold! Sell gold!" said Goldman's head commodity trader, Jeff Currie, during a CNBC "Power Lunch" interview.

Friday, April 08, 2016

Lumber Commodity Price Limbers Up / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Austin_Galt

The lumber price has traded pretty much exactly as outlined in analysis, titled Lumber Lambasted and Lumber Looking Lousy, produced in May 2015 and September 2015 respectively.

I expect price to continue to trade as outlined in those analyses but it doesn't hurt to update the picture so let's do just that beginning with the monthly chart.

Thursday, April 07, 2016

The New Case For Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

James Rickards, Chief Global Strategist at West Shore Funds and a widely renowned author is interviewed by FRA Co-founder Gordon T. Long in which they discuss Jim’s just released book The New Case for Gold. They also delve into issues concerning the false perceptions of the world switching back to a Gold Standard and the reasons for a suspected G-20 stealth “Shanghai Accord”.

Thursday, April 07, 2016

The Interesting Relationship Between Silver Rallies and Interest Rates / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Hubert_Moolman

It is not well known, that historically silver and interest rates have actually moved together (in the long-term). When interest rates are going up, then silver is going up. When interest rates are going down, silver is going down. In the short-term, interest rates and silver can diverge (like since about 2002 to now); however, this is temporary.

Interest rates have been going down for the last 34 years. Due to this long downward trend, many believe that interest rates will not rise. Unknowingly (due to the correlation between silver and interest rates), they indirectly believe that silver will not rise.

Thursday, April 07, 2016

Gold Ratio Charts Revisited / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Rambus_Chartology

As the consolidation phase continues to build out from this first impulse move up in the precious metals sector lets review some of the charts we’ve looked at previously that suggested the bear market might be over. Most of these charts will be ratio charts which compare different sectors to one another These rather complex charts can give us some hidden clues that an important reversal may have taken place.

The consolidation process takes its toll on both the bulls and the bears alike. As you know there are never any guarantees of anything when it comes to the markets so it’s always important to try and get the big picture right to get the odds in your favor.

Thursday, April 07, 2016

Gold Once Again Proves To Be The Best Defense Strategy / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Submissions

Taki Tsaklanos submits: If you are used to making visits to your bank to make your credit card payments, you may find this no longer an option in the future. Some banks are no longer accepting (or limiting their acceptance) of cash deposits. The war on cash forges on. Paper money, that is indeed more or less worthless, is slowly being taken out of circulation and being replaced by digital currency forms. This shift presents of course the same fundamental problem as paper money itself: “digital money” is also not backed by gold or other precious metals or any asset representing real value. The whole concept of digitizing our transactions is being marketed as a convenience, a hassle-free payment method and a transparent, easy new way to smoothly run our lives and businesses, without the burden of carrying cash around. However, the realistic flip side of this joyful argument is more ominous than we might at first realize: Now, account monitoring or freezing, and confiscations will be easier than ever. And of course, by eliminating cash, central banks are getting rid of the last existing barrier to negative interest rates.

Thursday, April 07, 2016

Gold Price Testing Key Technical Support – Is There More Downside Ahead? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jason_Hamlin

The gold price advanced sharply during the first three months of 2016 (+16%), marking its best quarter in 30 years. However, it corrected from a high around $1,287 to $1,200 over the past few weeks. There was a nice bounce yesterday, but gold has once gain dropped today, back below $1,220. With this latest pullback in the gold price, many investors are wondering if the 2016 rally was a false breakout or if the new gold bull market is just getting started.

Wednesday, April 06, 2016

The Outlook for Crude Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Donald_W_Dony

Light crude oil prices (WTI) has remained in a downward trend since mid-2014. With its fresh new low in Q1, 2016 and price resistance now building at $42.40, the outlook remains negative.

The U.S. dollar's impact continues to play out against the commodity.
With the improving economic status of the U.S. coupled with a Fed agenda of gradual interest rate increases this year, the currency remains with a steady tailwind (Chart 1).

Wednesday, April 06, 2016

Central Bank Demand & Emerging Market Demand Are, To Me, The Bit Under The Gold Market! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

FRA Co-founder Gordon T. Long is joined by Jordan Eliseo in discussing the value of precious metals as an investment.

Jordan Eliseo is a much sought-after and respected financial commentator and economic analyst with close to 20 years experience in the financial sector. After working for some of the biggest names in the global financial marketplace including Deutsche Bank, JP Morgan and AMP Capital, Jordan has amassed a wealth of experience analyzing investment markets.

Wednesday, April 06, 2016

Gerald Celente Speaks Out on Election-Year, Middle East, and European Chaos -- and GOLD! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege to speak with Gerald Celente, published of the renowned Trends Journal. Mr. Celente is a frequent and highly sought after guest on news programs throughout the world, and has been forecasting some of the biggest and most important trends before they happen for more than 30 years now, and it's a real honor to have him speak to our listeners and readers today.

Mr. Celente, welcome back and thank you for joining us again.

Wednesday, April 06, 2016

Gold & Silver Trading Alert: Gold’s Inconsequential Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Gold moved higher yesterday, but it doesn’t seem that it had a major impact on even the short-term outlook as even the short-term resistance line wasn’t broken. Consequently, the previous trends remain in place. Let’s take a look at the details, starting with the long-term gold chart (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

Wednesday, April 06, 2016

Perth Mint Silver Coins Have Second Highest Monthly Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

The Perth Mint’s sales of silver coins and especially Silver Kangaroos surged again in March and saw the second highest levels of silver coin demand on record as silver buyers in the western world continue to accumulate silver at what they believe to be depressed silver prices.

Wednesday, April 06, 2016

Crude Oil Price One-Day Rally or Something More / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

On Tuesday, crude oil moved lower after the market’s open weakened by an unexpected decline in monthly U.S. gasoline demand. Despite this drop, the commodity reversed and rebounded in the following hours. As a result, light crude gained 3.10% and invalidated earlier breakdown. What does it mean for oil bulls?

Wednesday, April 06, 2016

Big Banks, Hedge Funds Key Factors in 2016 Gold Price Surge / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Michael_J_Kosares

Quietly though the advantage goes to private investors

I can remember only one other time when market factors lined up as favorably for gold as they do now and that was in the spring of 2008. There are a great many similarities to gold market dynamics between now and then, but there are also great differences. One of those differences is the huge influx of interest from institutional investors led by hedge funds and big banks. In 2008, institutional interest was light.

Tuesday, April 05, 2016

Fort Knox Gold Paradox / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: DeviantInvestor

Officially the Fort Knox Bullion Depository contains 147.3 million ounces of gold.  However, the last audit was performed over 60 years ago.  According to reliable sources “audits” since then have been incomplete and inadequate.