Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, February 24, 2016
Who Will Be Left Standing At The End Of The Oil War / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
This is a financial cold war—nothing more, nothing less.
While there are billions of reasons to cut output, and every major producing country is reeling from the loss of revenues, some are weathering the current bust better than others, but the devil is in the details, and the details contain tons of variables.
Production cost and breakeven figures that analysts enjoy bandying can trap you in bubble of black-and-white mathematics that is a few brush-strokes shy of a full picture.
Wednesday, February 24, 2016
Eric Coffin Can See the End of the Gold Stocks Bear Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
When the New York markets run out of steam, the gold market gets hot. HRA Editor Eric Coffin has been watching the companies with the best assets, waiting for just this moment. In this interview with The Gold Report, he shares the names of the best in the gold, silver, copper and uranium spaces and tells you where you can go to talk to the CEOs.
Wednesday, February 24, 2016
Gold and the 34-Month Moving Average / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
Gold gave up $8.70 last week (after the previous week's gain of $81.30/oz.) to close at 1,230 and printed a bearish harami candlestick on the weekly chart. Friday's close was on resistance at 1,230. Look for support at 1,190.
A breakout from the 34-month exponential moving average (chart) would be very bullish. Assuming a breakout, our price target is 1,370.
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Tuesday, February 23, 2016
Gold GLD ETF Continues to Astound / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Dan_Norcini
I can think of no better word except, "astounding", when considering what is taking place with the giant gold ETF, GLD and its reported holdings increases.
This afternoon's reported gold holdings showed an increase of exactly 19.33 tons to 752.29 tons. This is identical to the increase seen last Friday ( 19.33 tons). In two days time, we have seen almost 39 tons of gold added to the vaults of GLD. I am hard pressed to find anything similar in its past.
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Tuesday, February 23, 2016
Copper: The Next Metal Set To Rise After Gold? / Commodities / Copper
By: InvestingHaven
The copper market is getting excited! After a drop of +50% since it peaked in 2011, copper has basically gone only one way, i.e. down (just not in a straight line).
Now, copper is showing a similar setup as gold two months ago, right before gold rose sharply higher. Copper’s chart setup makes it very interesting, because sentiment is so negative nowadays: economic growth is slowing (driven by China), the interest rate hike was followed by talks about coming negative interest rates, companies are reporting rather poor earnings, manufacturing data are not very encouraging, … The list is endless, so everyone and his uncle is convinced that copper can only go one direction, i.e. down. That’s exactly the moment when magic happens in markets, as prices tend to move in the opposite direction, but that’s only a benefit for the sharpest investors as 99% has given up already.
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Tuesday, February 23, 2016
The Escalating War on Cash and What It Means For Metals / Commodities / War on Cash
By: MoneyMetals
Clint Siegner writes: Government bureaucrats, central bankers, and Wall Street executives all have their own reasons for hating the cash in your wallet. So, no surprise, they are working closely together to rid you of it.
The war on cash is intensifying and bullion investors are wondering what the transition to a "cashless society" might mean. We'll cover that, but let's first recap why these organizations are, once again, allied together to the detriment of your ability to transact privately.
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Monday, February 22, 2016
Gold and Silver Price Rise Has Begun / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: DeviantInvestor
The S&P 500 Index (chart below) shows a top in May 2015, a correction into August, and a deeper fall this month – February 2016. Look out below.
Monday, February 22, 2016
Silver and Gold Will Protect From Coming Bank Bail-Ins / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
Josh Sigurdson and John Sneisen of World Alternative Media interviewed Mark O’Byrne, co-founder of GoldCore, late last week. The value of silver and gold during bail-ins and in a financial crisis was covered and other topics covered included
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Monday, February 22, 2016
Gold Ratio Chartology Quietly Suggesting a Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Rambus_Chartology
Tonight I would like to update a few of the ratio charts we've been following that are still showing an important low or bear market low is in place for gold. There are so many things we read where this analysis says this and that analysis says that but the more one reads the more confused they become. There is no Holy Grail when it comes to trading the markets although everyone is looking for one. Every trading discipline has its own unique characteristics that if one has the discipline to study it long enough they may eventually get pretty good at interpreting what it's saying. Find something that matches your own personality and through trial and error you maybe surprised at what you may discover.
Monday, February 22, 2016
Crude Oil Price Bottom, Forecast to Double Before End of 2016 / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The crude oil price last close of $32 stands $6 higher than its recent multi-year bear market low of $26. Whilst little has changed fundamentally so far in terms of supply i.e. OPEC and others are still pumping flat out and Iran continues to ramp up production, nevertheless demand destruction of many smaller oil producers operating at below break even prices is finally starting to be discounted by the market.
Monday, February 22, 2016
Silver Underperforms Gold in Early Stages of Bull Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Clive_Maund
In the early part of Precious Metal bullmarkets, gold performs better than silver, but in the latter part silver outperforms gold. The reason is that the early part of bullmarkets in the sector are characterized by more serious and sober value oriented investors, whereas the latter part is characterized by momentum traders and speculators trying to make a fast buck, and they are attracted by the high leverage of silver relative to gold. This is the reason that the giant ramp in silver in the opening months of 2011 to a final parabolic slingshot peak in April - May signaled that it was all over, many months before gold itself topped out.
Monday, February 22, 2016
Gold Price Finally Breaking Out to Commence a Major Bull Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Clive_Maund
This has been a momentous month for gold, with it finally breaking out of its long downtrend to commence a major bullmarket. Thus it is amusing to see Goldman Sachs talking about it dropping back to $1000 again. Those timorously wondering whether they are right should stop and ask themselves whose interests are paramount to Goldman, the government and Wall St, or the Little Guy trying to protect what's left of his capital. Those still in doubt should read Goldman Capitulates .
We have been wondering over the past week whether gold and silver have been starting to mark out bull Flags or whether they are instead at intermediate tops. That question is answered for us by the latest COTs which reveal that Commercial short positions have exploded in recent weeks, particularly in silver, where they are now at "nosebleed levels". We therefore now expect a correction, which could be quite heavy - so Curb your Enthusiasm, people. When it happens don't be fooled into thinking that the bearmarket is back on and Goldman is right. Instead take the opportunity to back up the truck and load up on PM sectors investments, many of which have risen too far too fast in recent weeks.
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Sunday, February 21, 2016
Gold Has Outperformed Stocks Since… 1967!?!?! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Graham_Summers
Almost every other day I read an article telling me that owning Gold is dumb or that Gold is doomed as an investment.
These articles would be useful or insightful if they weren’t based on “analysis” that is either misleading or downright wrong.
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Sunday, February 21, 2016
Venezuela's Gold Heads East - Ubi Caritas / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jesse
"We suspect that shorting gold has come to seem like a riskless proposition as long as there is confidence in the Fed. Synthetic gold is the perfect substance for a carry trade: an easy borrow with very low carrying cost and little upside basis risk. Such a hypothesis, in our opinion, does much to explain the incongruity of a declining gold price while fundamentals for paper currency, and the U.S. dollar in particular, obviously deteriorate; while demand for physical gold has exceeded new mine supply for several years running; and while above-ground 400-ounce .995-gold bars located in London, New York, and other financial capitals (in cohabitation with speculative trading activity in paper markets) have steadily dwindled and disappeared into Asian financial centers reformulated as .9999 kilo bars."
Sunday, February 21, 2016
The Gold Bull Is Just Getting Started - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Gary_Savage
The latest crutch used by the bears is that the COT reports are bearish so gold is going back down. That is not necessarily the case if a new bull market has begun.
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Saturday, February 20, 2016
Gold And Silver – Charts Only / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Michael_Noonan
We are strong advocates of the charts providing the best and most reliable information. Even the most respected gold and silver experts do not know when the effects of globalist bankers' manipulation will lose their impact. Each week is one week closer to a final resolve, but no one knows if there are 2 more weeks, 20 more weeks or how much longer price can continue sideways to lower in a bottoming process.
Back on the 6th of February, we posited that there was no bottom confirmed, [See Is A Bottom In? Nothing Confirmed , if you missed the article.], and we maintain that there has not been any identified market activity that suggests a final bottom for the current multi- year correction lower. This week, we focus strictly on the charts.
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Saturday, February 20, 2016
Silver Price Trend Forecast - Silver has more work to do.. / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Submissions
Goldvybe writes: While I primarily analyze and trade gold, I do tend to look at the action in silver as the sister metal can provide us with some very interesting clues about where gold is headed next. Over the years the Commitment of Traders (COT) report which is released at the end of each trading week by the CFTC can alert us to some very interesting developments in the precious metals markets.
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Saturday, February 20, 2016
OPEC Lost the Shale-Oil-War: Deflation Looms / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Andrew_Butter
In the unspoken plan to shut down what the oil-aristocrats called, “high cost producers”, let’s call that the Shale-Oil-War, the war-word was never mentioned. But it was war and there were casualties, Big-Time. There will be more bankruptcies in the Exploration and Production (E&P) sector and painful write-downs by the banks who supported it; many once oil-rich countries have been pushed into recession and the ripples are traveling down the value chain...there are long lines of cold-stacked brand-new drilling barges built on credit, closed steel plants and the mines that fed them, all the way through to the FAO Food-price Index that tracks oil prices. No wonder China is in some sort of recession, they were the final assembly point for a good part of the stuff you need to get oil out of the ground.
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Saturday, February 20, 2016
When Will Gold and Gold Stocks Correct? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Wednesday evening we raised a question in a subscriber update. We wrote: The current question for Gold and gold stocks is if they will push to higher targets before or a correction or if a correction has already started. We should know the answer in the next day or two. The gold stocks exploded higher on Thursday. GDX gained 6% while GDXJ surged 7.4%. Meanwhile, Gold solidified its support at $1200/oz. Markets that become overbought within strong trends can become extremely overbought before they correct. Recent price action in the precious metals complex argues that the path of least resistance in the short term continues to be higher.
Friday, February 19, 2016
Gold Mining Stocks Thrive in Bleak Q4 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Zeal_LLC
The gold miners’ stocks have soared this year as investors flock back into this long-abandoned sector. Many traders wonder if these eye-popping gains are merely the product of fleeting sentiment that could reverse anytime, or are supported by strong underlying fundamentals. With the gold miners reporting their latest quarterly operating results, this extensive new data offers great insights into gold mining’s fundamentals.
By law, publicly-traded companies must file quarterly earnings reports four times a year. These yield a treasure trove of valuable information for traders, and are easily the single-most-important contribution to financial-market transparency. The Securities and Exchange Commission requires companies traded on the US stock markets to file quarterly earnings reports no later than 45 days after their quarters end.
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