Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, August 19, 2015

Crude Oil Price Time for Reversal? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

On Tuesday, crude oil gained 1.17% as hopes that crude oil inventories could decline for a third consecutive week weighed on investors' sentiment. Thanks to these circumstances, light crude bounced off its key support line, but will we see the commodity above $43 in near future?

Wednesday, August 19, 2015

How Cheap are Gold Mining Stocks Now? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: David_Morgan

Are Gold Stocks Cheaper Than They Were in 2008?

Chris Marchese, Senior Equity Analyst : The short and simple answer to this question is yes! Some will say--that is just my opinion. I could show you numerous equations proving the gold stocks were cheaper in 2008 than today and vice versa using similar metrics.

Wednesday, August 19, 2015

Crude Oil Price Works In Mysterious Ways / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EWI

But there is one solution to staying ahead of oil's trend changes -- Elliott wave analysis

You know the expression "God works in mysterious ways"?

Well, according to an August 6 CNBC article, the price action of one financial market -- i.e., crude oil -- has out-mystified even God himself. Or, rather, the well-heeled star of the oil world, Andy Hall -- a.k.a. "God Trader."

Wednesday, August 19, 2015

Uranium Has a New Hot Spot / Commodities / Uranium

By: The_Energy_Report

Several developments in the uranium space, including the restart of a reactor in Japan that has been offline since the Fukushima disaster, have primed the commodity for a price surge. In this interview with The Energy Report, Mick Carew, research analyst with Haywood Securities, explains how, in addition to the Japanese restart, expansion in the Athabasca Basin is bolstering prospects for consolidation in the sector, and describes how a Brazilian phosphate company with a first-rate product might produce for portfolios.

Wednesday, August 19, 2015

Gold Golden Opportunity or Gold-Plated Trap? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Ed_Carlson

Gold broke out of a small pennant formation on the daily chart last week and gained $18.80/oz. to close the week at $1,112.90.  On the weekly chart gold printed an engulfing bullish candlestick. The breakout above 1,100 is bullish but the real test will be a breakout above 1,140.  For now, the daily Coppock Curve is rising and has a ways to go before it will signal a top in gold. Cycles point to an important low during July and a rally for all of August. Seasonally, August is very bullish for gold.

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

Dr. Copper is Speaking, are you Listening? ... / Commodities / Copper

By: Rambus_Chartology

Copper is an important commodity when it comes to the health of the world economies and how it does often reflects how strong or weak the economy is. Its been awhile since we took an indepth look at Dr. Copper to see how healthy it is so tonight we'll look at a few charts starting with a daily look.

The daily chart for Copper is showing it has completed a double headed, double H&S top, which is having a somewhat ugly breakout and backtest of the lower neckline #2. The smaller H&S #1 was picture perfect complete with a small blue expanding falling wedge for the left shoulder and a blue bearish rising wedge as the right shoulder. H&S #2 was very symmetrical as shown by the neckline symmetry line which shows the height for the left and right shoulders. Outside of the messy breakout and backtest, which happens sometimes, this chart is still very bearish looking.

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

The Future of Natural Gas / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: On Thursday morning, I’ll be delivering my major address on the future of natural gas. The occasion is a high-powered meeting hosted by Dominion Transport at the beautiful Nemacolin Woodlands Resort in western Pennsylvania.

Attending will be more than 100 leading CEOs and other executives from principal gas production, transmission, distribution, and end using companies.

My keynote presentation is entitled “Natural Gas Moving Forward: LNG, Hubs, and Pricing Prospects.” And in it I address where liquid natural gas (LNG) prices have been… where they are now… and where they’re going.

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

This “Pig” Just Made a Massive Bet on Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Casey_Research

By Dan Steinhart

Stan Druckenmiller is going big on gold.

Druckenmiller is one of the world’s most successful and respected traders. As a hedge fund manager from 1986 to 2010, he generated an incredible average annual return of 30%.

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

Gold, No Interest! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

Stronger than expected US retail sales data undercut some of the recent safe haven trades ( buying bonds, the yen and gold) sending all three lower in today’s session.

For the first two weeks of August, retails sales are up 1.7% versus a year ago and up 0.3% from July.

That got the “Fed is going to hike in September” talk starting up once more which of course send the Dollar higher and most commodities lower.

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

Silver Price Cycle Low – Now / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

The price of silver has been crushed during the last four years.  Prices are ready to reverse.  We will know soon enough after the High-Frequency-Traders have their way with prices for paper silver and gold on the CME.  But consider:

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

Riding the Energy Wave to the Future / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: John_Mauldin

“Formula for success: rise early, work hard, strike oil.” – J. Paul Getty

This week’s yuan devaluation was big news, but it’s really part of a much bigger saga. Events around the globe are combining to create huge economic change over the next few years. We are watching giant, multidimensional chess games played by some master players.

Energy is the chessboard that connects all the players. What happens when the board changes shape in the middle of the game? If you don’t know the new energy landscape, you’ll have a hard time playing to a draw, much less winning.

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

Energy Demand Collapse Followed by Supply Collapse / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nicole_Foss

As we have noted many times, energy is the master resource, and has been the primary driver of an expansion dating back to the beginning of the industrial revolution. In fossil fuels humanity discovered the ‘holy grail’ of energy sources – highly concentrated, reasonably easy to obtain, transportable and processable into many useful forms. Without this discovery, it is unlikely that any human empire would have exceeded the scale and technological sophistication of Rome at its height, but with it we incrementally developed the capacity to reach for the stars along an exponential growth curve.

Monday, August 17, 2015

The Coming Silver Price Rally Will Outperform All Previous Ones / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Hubert_Moolman

The Gold/Silver Ratio (GSR) is a key indicator in the analysis of the silver and gold markets. This ratio (or chart of the ratio) is probably one of the most difficult to analyse. One has to take a real close look at the ratio in order to find what actually drives the ratio up or down.

For example, from about after the end of the Second World War to the early 70s there was an economic boom with the Dow rallying significantly during those years. During the same period the GSR actually kept falling significantly until it actually bottomed in 1968.

Monday, August 17, 2015

Why has Druckenmiller Dived in Gold and Copper / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Four weeks after gold tumbled to 5-year lows on revelation of far lower Chinese gold holdings than previously anticipated, gold bulls find out that one of the world's greatest hedge fund managers made gold the biggest holding in his fund in Q2. He also loaded up on 2 large miners.

Saturday, August 15, 2015

Gold And Silver Market Bottoming? Big Rally Imminent? Reality Check Says NO / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

The developing events over the past few months are so varied, seemingly unrelated but are all tied in, just not in a cognitive manner that makes sense, and almost all them are based upon lies by one government after another, the worst offender being the US.

We find it hard to make a cohesive explanation as to their impact. This increasingly maze of events is mean to confuse, to deflect. It is a key element of the elites creating problems, reactions [usually confusion or panic by the masses], and offering solutions. Cyprus and Greece are similar examples. The Ukrainian coup by the US, sanctions against Russia that have so badly backfired. China an added part of the SDR, then maybe not. The list is much longer.

Saturday, August 15, 2015

The World is Awash in Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EWI

...But does that mean that oil prices will only go down from here?

In this new interview with Elliott Wave International's Chief Energy Analyst, Steve Craig, you'll learn where he sees prices going next.

*Editor's note: this interview was recorded on August 12; the price low cited in the video was broken on August 13.

Saturday, August 15, 2015

Gold and Silver Shaken, Not Stirred / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Submissions

Chart Freak write: After a solid 5 day rally, gold sold off on Thursday, and the precious metals miners were sold-off indescriminetly.   Both GDX and GDXJ were down almost 6%, leading many to be shaken out of position on the pullback.  For me, these events are expected and become opportunities, so lets examine the charts to see why.

Friday, August 14, 2015

Gold Miners’ $1200-Cost Fallacy / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

The entire gold-mining sector was crushed last month, suffering a full-blown panic.  This was triggered by an extreme shorting attack on gold by American futures speculators.  As fear-blinded traders rushed for the gold-stock exits, they claimed their selling was rational because gold miners’ very existence was threatened by such low gold prices.  But that’s a total fallacy, this sector has no problem weathering sub-$1200 gold.

The recent pain in gold stocks has been excruciating.  This sector’s benchmark of choice these days is Van Eck Global’s Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF, better known by its symbol GDX.  It closely mirrors gold stocks’ long-time leading sector index, the NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index that trades as HUI.  The carnage in these two gold-stock metrics has been incredible, shattering the resolve of most contrarian traders.

Friday, August 14, 2015

Gold and Silver Stocks Get a Reprieve / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The precious metals sector has held recent lows and a rebound is underway. Gold held $1080/oz for three straight weeks and has pushed as high as $1126/oz this week. The gold miners (GDX and GDXJ) surged the first half of the week and Silver has also gained. We believe that this move is more likely to be a relief rally before Gold ultimately tests $1000/oz rather than the start of a new bull market.

Friday, August 14, 2015

Crude Oil's Slippery Slope: How Far Will Prices Fall? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EWI

One prominent analyst says oil prices will drop much further

Editor's note: You'll find the text version of the story below the video.