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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, August 13, 2015

Crude Oil Price Reverses - Was that THE Bottom? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

Crude oil declined yesterday, but the session was not without a rebound. In fact, the move higher continues also today as black gold is at almost $44. Have we just seen a major triple bottom in crude oil?

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Commodities

Thursday, August 13, 2015

Gold Miners Are Saying It's Time / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Bob_Loukas

Back in early July I published the view that we needed Just a Little Bit More downside to complete the gold Investor Cycle.  All of the indicators and tools we used to spot these turns were firmly in place and it had become a matter of cleaning out the remaining bulls before turning.   At the time of publishing, gold stood at $1,130, and my expectation was for one more decline, below $1,110, in order to complete the Cycle and form a major Investor Cycle Low.

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Commodities

Thursday, August 13, 2015

Gold & Silver Correlations for August 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Mike_McAra

Correlation seems almost like a magical word. In fact, most people don’t have to use this term more often than a couple of times a year. In the world of investing, however, correlation is an important concept which has to do with how different assets move in relation to one another. Before we even dive into what correlation means in the world of statistics, we’ll focus on the intuition behind it.

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Commodities

Thursday, August 13, 2015

Saudi Crude Oil Strategy: Brilliant Or Suicide? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

In the last quarter of 2014, in the face of possible oversupply, Saudi Arabia abandoned its traditional role as the global oil market's swing producer and therefore it role as unofficial guarantor of existing ($100+ per barrel) prices.

In October, Saudi sources first prepared the market with statements that the country would be comfortable with oil prices as low as $80 per barrel for "a year or two." At the November OPEC meeting, the Saudi oil minister, Ali Al-Naimi, publicly announced Saudi Arabia would allow market forces to set prices. He argued that rapidly growing production outside OPEC made the existing status quo unviable, and that lower prices in the short term would increase prices in the longer term through reduced investment and ultimately benefit all OPEC members.

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Commodities

Thursday, August 13, 2015

Currency Devalution - It's China's Turn / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Devaluing currencies from the US to Japan, Eurozone and China. Although Japan started zero interest rate policy back in the mid-1990s, for a more relevant comparison, we start the analysis post-2008/9 crisis.

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Commodities

Thursday, August 13, 2015

The Saudi Crude Oil Price War Is Backfiring / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Saudi Arabia has long enjoyed the status of being the top crude oil exporter in the world. With record production of 10.564 million barrels per day in June 2015, Saudi Arabia has been one of the major driving forces behind the current oil price slump.

The Saudis have kept their production levels high since last year in order to drive other players (especially U.S. shale drillers) out of business. Equally clear is the fact that this strategy of maintaining the glut and driving out rivals hasn't worked so far.

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 12, 2015

What China’s Surprise Announcement Means for Crude Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) just decided to cut the value of the Chinese currency, the yuan, by 2%.

The announcement took analysts by surprise and signaled that Beijing has decided to shore up a weakness in exports. It will now almost certainly usher in similar moves by other Asian countries that are China’s exporting competitors.

And behind that cut U.S. oil and gas producers face another painful period.

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 12, 2015

U.S. and Canadian Mint Dysfunction Snowballs as Silver Coin Premiums Rise / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Submissions

Clint Siegner writes: Lower precious metals prices on Wall Street aren't necessarily bringing lower prices on Main Street.

The retail market for gold and silver coins, bars, and rounds has been swamped with high demand since mid June. Both the U.S. Mint and the Royal Canadian Mint continue to run into serious issues keeping up with retail silver coin demand.

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 12, 2015

Owing More Than Half Of The World's Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Hubert_Moolman

Gold has bottomed in terms of just about everything like oil (in 2005), platinum (2008) and the Dow (1999). One important measure in terms of which it has not bottomed is the amount of currency (US adjusted monetary base).

This monetary base, as the name suggests, is at the root of debt or money creation in this debt-based monetary system. If this system was honest, then this monetary base would basically reflect gold available at the Treasury or Federal Reserve to redeem currency issued by the Federal Reserve.

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 12, 2015

Gold Holds Its Own As Media Stocks Collapse / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: GoldCore

Daily Prices
Today’s Gold prices were USD 1,113.25, EUR 1008.97 and GBP 713.74 per ounce.
Yesterday’s Gold prices were USD 1,094.80, EUR 998.50 and GBP 707.74 per ounce.
[LBMA AM prices]

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 12, 2015

Thinking Outside the Commodity Box: Benchmark's Investment Primer for Lithium, Cobalt and Graphite / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: The_Gold_Report

It's often difficult to understand the global markets for critical minerals so The Gold Report narrowed it to three—lithium, cobalt and graphite—and brought in Simon Moores, managing director of London-based Benchmark Mineral Intelligence, and the firm's analyst, Andrew Miller, to provide insight into minerals that they say need to shed their labels as traditional commodities and embrace their future as niche, raw-material solutions for a growing list of technology manufacturers. As Benchmark prepares to embark on its World Tour, Moores and Miller discuss supply chain visibility and the impact of disruptive technologies on these markets, as well as companies seeking to leverage lithium, cobalt and graphite into investable business models that will lure investors with a long-term outlook.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 11, 2015

Agricultural Commodities Peak Food / Commodities / Food Crisis

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Last we visited on Agri-Foods the concept of Peak Food was introduced. That shift in the fundamentals of global food production was identified as adding support to Agri-Commodity prices. For despite the negative sentiment on commodities and "China is collapsing" group think, Agri- Commodity prices continue to show strong resilience, as shown in the chart below right. As prices of Agri-Commodities do not move in unison, the Agri-Food Price Index has been essentially unchanged for about three years. For example, recently hog prices have been weak while U.S. cash corn hit a new 52-week high.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 11, 2015

The War Between Physical Gold and Silver and Paper Hots Up / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Gold and silver traded in a tight range this week on low futures volumes. Last Friday the gold price rallied from $1,080 to $1,101, last night it closed at $1,089. Silver also traded in a narrow range though both are slightly firmer in early European trade this morning.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 11, 2015

Ignore the Commodity Message at Your Own Peril / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Michael_Pento

The Thompson Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index (CRB) is back down to the panic lows of early 2009. For those who think the CRB Index says nothing about global growth...invest accordingly at your own peril.

If you believe this commodity crunch is all about some temporary oil supply glut, think again. There are 19 commodities that make up the CRB Index: Aluminum, Cocoa, Coffee, Copper, Corn, Cotton, Crude Oil, Gold, Heating Oil, Lean Hogs, Live Cattle, Natural Gas, Nickel, Orange Juice, Silver, Soybeans, Sugar, Unleaded Gas and Wheat. The value of the weighted average of these commodities is screaming one thing loudly: the rate of global growth is plummeting just as it was at the height of the Great Recession.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 11, 2015

Gold and Silver Halfway Home? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Rambus_Chartology

First off I'm on a working one week family vacation down on the panhandle of Florida which is why I didn't get to post any late Friday Night Charts. It just so happened that this week was the best week to get the family together before school starts in a couple of weeks. I will still be watching the markets and posting each day but if nothing important is happening I may knock off a little early.

I also want to thank everyone who is posting at the forum. It really is a great place to share your idea's and ask question as we have some really talented folks there. As Sir Fullgoldcrown likes to say, "It's all for one and one for all." Whatever it takes to get an edge makes no difference to me as long as we get the edge.

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Commodities

Monday, August 10, 2015

Gold Technical Buy Signal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Gary_Savage

For those traders who need to wait until the 'technicals' signal a buy. The signal has been given.

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Commodities

Sunday, August 09, 2015

Agricultural Commodities Prices Prepare To Launch Higher Again / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Austin_Galt

As outlined in previous analysis, the price of the agricultural commodities of corn, soybeans and wheat look to have already kicked off the bear rallies. From previous longer term analysis, we are expecting these bear rallies to be big ones.

Prices have come back down and now look ready to launch into the next stage of these rallies so let's revise the technicals of each commodity using the daily charts.

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Commodities

Friday, August 07, 2015

Gold Price’s Artificial Lows / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

With gold languishing near deep secular lows, its technicals look hopelessly broken.  Sentiment is off-the-charts bearish, with traders universally convinced gold is doomed to spiral lower indefinitely.  But gold’s weakness this year is very deceiving, as it wasn’t the product of global fundamental supply-and-demand forces.  Extreme record shorting by American futures speculators spawned these artificial lows.

Gold’s price is its price, so how the metal got way down here may seem irrelevant.  But nothing could be farther from the truth!  Fundamentally-driven lows are righteous.  If the world gold supply expands faster than demand, or demand contracts faster than supply, then the resulting lows are real.  They will persist for as long as fundamentals remain unfavorable, as gold’s sellers have no obligations whatsoever to return.

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Commodities

Friday, August 07, 2015

The Next Silver Bull Market May Have Already Started / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Casey_Research

By Laurynas Vegys

Silver is down 7.1% this year. Will this weakness persist? To find out, let’s look at the key factors in the silver market this year.

  • Like gold, silver fell as the US dollar rose on the back of expectations that the Fed will hike rates.
  • World demand for physical silver fell 4% in 2014, largely due to a record 19.5% drop in investment demand.
  • Silver exchange-traded funds (ETFs) did not see big liquidations in 2014. ETF holdings grew by 1.4 million ounces and recorded their highest year-end level at 636 million ounces.
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Commodities

Friday, August 07, 2015

History Repeats. Gold Protect From Devaluations and Risks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

  • Simplistic gold analysis speculates solely on price
  • Forgets vital importance of diversification
  • Lorcan Roche Kelly’s analysis lacks all context
  • Ignores huge physical demand for gold coins and bars  
  • Today’s world is very different to the world of the 1980s and 1990s
  • Alas, financial crisis has been postponed not averted
  • Physical gold will have value when paper and digital wealth is devalued, confiscated or inaccessible …
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