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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Monday, April 30, 2012

Is the US Killing the Euro? / Currencies / Euro

By: Dr_Volkmar_G_Hable

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn 2004 for the first time it was reported that criminals were shunning US-Dollars in favor of Euros. Near Acapulco (Mexico) on Wednesday, December 8th, 2004, two armed men hijacked a bus threatening to blow it up with explosives unless their demands were met, one of which being a ransom payment of two million Euros (LA Times, 11th December 2004, p7). Obviously, the actions of these hijackers are deplorable, but it demonstrated a turning point for the Euro and  just how great the disdain for the United States Dollar has been. Even hijackers shun US Dollars. The reason for such behavior can be found in the chart below:

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Currencies

Thursday, April 26, 2012

The Fed and their Influence on Gold and the US Dollar, Behind The Curve! / Currencies / US Dollar

By: UnpuncturedCycle

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI am not surprised to see that the Federal Reserve on Wednesday stood pat on interest rates and said economic growth will remain moderate over coming quarters and then only pick up gradually. The decision to make no changes was expected. Economists think the Fed will wait for more data before deciding how to proceed next. Recent data, such as the monthly jobs report from the Labor Department, point to a slowing pace of economic growth. In a statement, the Fed announced that it will leave its target range for its federal-funds rate unchanged at 0 to 0.25% — as it has for every meeting since December 2008. The central bank also did not change the forecast that “exceptionally low rates” will be here until late 2014. Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker cast the lone dissent, continuing a trend at all three meetings this year. Lacker, one of the more hawkish regional Fed presidents, has argued against the 2014 rate forecast.

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Currencies

Thursday, April 26, 2012

So Long to the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Marin_Katusa

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMarin Katusa, Casey Research writes: There's a major shift under way, one the US mainstream media has left largely untouched even though it will send the United States into an economic maelstrom and dramatically reduce the country's importance in the world: the demise of the US dollar as the world's reserve currency.

For decades the US dollar has been absolutely dominant in international trade, especially in the oil markets. This role has created immense demand for US dollars, and that international demand constitutes a huge part of the dollar's valuation. Not only did the global-currency role add massive value to the dollar, it also created an almost endless pool of demand for US Treasuries as countries around the world sought to maintain stores of petrodollars. The availability of all this credit, denominated in a dollar supported by nothing less than the entirety of global trade, enabled the American federal government to borrow without limit and spend with abandon.

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Currencies

Thursday, April 26, 2012

Epic Money Battle Between U.S. Dollar and Gold / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe so-called Global Financial Crisis is a term so widely used that it has earned its own acronym of GFC. When first seen, it seemed like girl friend club or some such, since many friends use GF loosely to refer to sweethearts. The GFC is falsely named, since it is more accurately described as a global monetary war with the USGovt vigorously defending its franchise in the USDollar for crude oil and trade settlement, and for bank reserves management. Take either away, and the other departs quickly, leaving the United States vulnerable to a quick ticket to the Third World marred by price inflation and supply shortage, even isolation in ring fences. On its own devices, the US is in as bad shape as the worst of the PIGS nations. The USGovt debt is above 100% of GDP finally. The annual deficit of $1.5 trillion could not be financed in normal methods. So the USFed is the adopted buyer of last resort, purchasing over 80% of new and recycled US debt issuance. The Interest Rate Swap tool acts like a hydraulic howitzer, in pushing down the long-term interest rates by creating false artificial demand. Without the IRSwap contract, a Morgan Stanley specialty, the US interest rates would be 6% to 7% just like Spain and Italy. The USTreasury Bond is not a safe haven, but rather a place where Weimar printing press operations persist, where decisions like SWIFT code rules are enforced like a illicit weapon, where billboards are painted to attract embattled investors of impaired toxic sovereign bonds from Southern Europe to retreat to the supposed safe haven of USTBonds.

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Currencies

Tuesday, April 24, 2012

Natural Money / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Christopher_Quigley

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Story of Robinson Crusoe and guest:

"If there were a monetary system on this island and I, as a shipwrecked traveller needed a
loan, I should have to apply to a money-lender for money to buy the things which you have
just lent me without interest. But a money-lender has not to worry about rats moths, rust
and roof-repairing, so I could not have taken up the position towards him that I have taken
up towards you. The loss inseparable from the ownership of goods is born, not by money-lenders, but by those who have to store the goods. The money-lender is free from such cares and is unmoved by the ingenious arguments that found the joints in your armour. You did not nail up your chest of buckskins when I refused to pay interest; the nature of your
capital made you willing to continue the negotiations. Not so the money-capitalist; he would
bang the door of his strong room before my face if I announced that I would pay no
interest. Yet I do not need the money itself, I need it only to buy buckskins."

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Currencies

Monday, April 23, 2012

Is There No Escape from the Euro? / Currencies / Euro

By: Philipp_Bagus

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs I discussed recently, the costs and risks of maintaining the eurozone system are already immense and rising. So is an exit possible? Intuitively, the exit from the euro should be as easy as the entrance. Joining and leaving the club should be equally simple. Leaving is just undoing what was done before. Indeed, many popular articles discuss the prospects of an exit of countries such as Greece or Germany.[1] However, other voices have rightly argued that there are important exit problems. Some authors even argue that these problems would make an exit from the euro virtually impossible. Thus, Eichengreen (2010) states, "The decision to join the euro area is effectively irreversible." Similarly, Porter (2010) argues that the large costs of an exit would make it highly unlikely. In the following we address the alleged exit problems.

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Currencies

Wednesday, April 18, 2012

France May be the Domino that Causes the Euro to Collapse / Currencies / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: Commentators are wringing their hands again, worried the troubles in Spain could cause the whole euro project to collapse.

As a result, all eyes are now on Spanish 10-year debt yields, which went above 6% last week as the threat of euro-chaos returned.

But it's not Spain the markets should be worried about.

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Currencies

Wednesday, April 11, 2012

The Fed's Currency Swap Covert Bailout of the Eurozone / Currencies / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Philipp_Bagus

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn Tuesday, March 26, 2012, I was invited by Ron Paul and his staff to assist a meeting of the Domestic Monetary Policy and Technology Subcommittee of the House Committee on Financial Services. The title of the hearing was "Federal Reserve Aid to the Eurozone: Its Impact on the U.S. and the Dollar."

Unfortunately, Ben Bernanke had not come to the hearing, being busy with propaganda lectures in favor of the Fed. Instead, two of his colleagues, Mr. William C. Dudley (president and chief executive officer, Federal Reserve Bank of New York) and Dr. Steven B. Kamin (director, Division of International Finance, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System), showed up to answer the committee's questions on currency swaps with other central banks.

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Currencies

Tuesday, April 10, 2012

The U.S. Dollar Remains the Preferred Choice of Official Foreign Exchange Reserves / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Asha_Bangalore

The IMF’s Currency Composition of Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (COFER) database continues to indicate that dollar remains the preferred reserve currency. In the fourth quarter of 2011, the dollar made up 62.1% of official reserves vs. 61.8% in the third quarter. The dollar accounted for 61.4% of official reserves in 2011 vs. 61.8% in 2010 and 62% in 2009.

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Currencies

Friday, April 06, 2012

The Reserve Fiat Currency Triffin Dilemma Will Create a 3-G World / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Richard_Mills

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTrade imbalances - deficits and surpluses - between nations are one of the major reasons for financial crises. Countries become trapped in a vicious spiral - they accumulate debt because they are sustaining a trade deficit, the bigger their debt grows year after year, the harder it becomes to generate a trade surplus.

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Currencies

Wednesday, April 04, 2012

Emerging Markets Look to Drop BRICS on U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Eric_McWhinnie

On Friday, gold prices increased $17.10 per ounce while silver gained 49 cents. Despite volatile trading for the precious metals, both logged positive gains for the first quarter of 2012. Gold climbed about 6.5 percent and silver surged 16 percent. Both metals continue to receive support as countries around the world weigh financial fears. Reports of a new emerging market bank are highlighting concerns about troubled currencies.

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Currencies

Sunday, April 01, 2012

The Decline of the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn our previous article we looked at whether the U.S. Dollar was headed for a major fall or not. We demonstrated how the dominance of the U.S. dollar was almost entirely dependent on the grip it had over oil producers and this allowed the oil price to be designmnated in the U.S. dollar. The U.S. has gone to war in Kuwait and Iraq over this issue under the guise of destroying "weapons of Mass Destruction" as it appears on the verge of doing in Iran. It is no coincidence that Iran has long since ceased using the dollar to price its oil. It has also eliminated the U.S. dollar from its reserves. But of greater importance to the emerging world has been the use of the Belgian-based SWIFT system of international settlements. Not only has the move stopped the sale of Iranian oil, but it has also interfered with an important source of oil to the emerging world.

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 27, 2012

Is the US Dollar Headed for a Major Fall? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne of the facts of life over the last 40 years has been that the U.S. dollar is the world's sole global reserve currency. This is despite the fundamental factors underlying the U.S. balance of payments, which has been awful over that entire time. Nevertheless, the dollar ruled the global monetary system through these four decades and appears to be doing so still. But is that coming to an end? Next week there is a meeting of the BRIC nation over the use by the U.S. of the SWIFT system to block Iran from selling its oil. The BRIC nations are buyers of that oil. Their views on Iran's nuclear policies do not go as far as refusing to buy their oil. The SWIFT system is the system used to make international payments and covers most acceptable currencies.

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Currencies

Monday, March 26, 2012

Can Bernanke Break the U.S. Dollar Rally? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Toby_Connor

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn response to a bursting real estate and credit bubble in 2007 Bernanke's solution was to crank up the printing press and flood the world with dollar bills. Unfortunately it didn't solve our problems, it only made them worse. The real estate and credit bubbles stayed busted, but that liquidity had to land somewhere. In 2008 it went straight into the energy and agricultural markets spiking the price of crude, gasoline and food. This in turn collapsed a fragile global economy that was already reeling from the real estate implosion. The end result was the exact opposite of what Benjamin intended. Instead of halting the real estate collapse he just magnified the severity of the recession.

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Currencies

Thursday, March 22, 2012

U.S. Dollar an Euro Make Pivots / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMarc Horn writes: US$ and Euro make pivots H2 and H-2 respectively. Expect some action over the next few days!
The DX MAP wave count is H2 of 4H5 of D4 of W-5 of M-3.

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