Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, October 06, 2014
The Soaring U.S. Dollar Debate: Good, Bad, Ugly / Currencies / US Dollar
By: John_Rubino
The dollar is on a tear. And the world is scrambling to figure out what it means.
Friday, October 03, 2014
The Velocity of Money Myth… / Currencies / Money Supply
By: Alasdair_Macleod
If there is one concept that illustrates the difference between a top-down macro-economic approach and the reality of everyday life it is the velocity of circulation of money. Compare the following statements:
“The collapse in velocity is testament to the substantial misallocation of capital brought about by the easy money regimes of the past 20 years.” Broker’s research note issued September 2014; and
Wednesday, October 01, 2014
It’s Déjà Vu All Over Again as the Russian Ruble Crashes / Currencies / Russia
By: Money_Morning
Dr. Kent Moors writes: Battered by sanctions, the Russian ruble has fallen to historic lows against the U.S. dollar.
The last time the ruble slid this far was in the late 1990′s when I was still writing for an inside market publication called Russia Crisis Watch during theRussian financial crisis.
Three times a week Crisis would document the “real” condition of the Russian economy, while providing market intelligence from a network inside and outside the country.
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Tuesday, September 30, 2014
US Dollar Cycle Analysis / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Ed_Carlson
It seems nothing can stop the US Dollar. Since its low in April it has closed higher in four out of five months and is up almost 8.00% since then. While a run like that is in need of a rest there are some big issues that need to be considered now.
DXY broke out of a six-year triangle this month. Breaking to the upside from a triangle is bullish. That triangle is essentially a six-year base and should give DXY some serious "legs" for the future.
Sunday, September 28, 2014
Currency Wars and the Death of the Euro - Audio / Currencies / Euro
By: Videos
Jeff Deist and Patrick Barron discuss what's going on in the EU, how Germany in particular suffers from being yoked to the other Eurozone nations, and what the comeback of the Deutsche Mark might mean for Europe—and for America.
Patrick Barron is a private consultant in the banking industry. He teaches in the Graduate School of Banking at the University of Wisconsin, Madison, and teaches Austrian economics at the University of Iowa,
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Saturday, September 27, 2014
Bitcoin's Present Low Price? It's The Mining Thing / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mark_Blair
Forgive any repitition, readers. The situation has become much clearer.Brief background:
The China Thing ended on April 10 ($380). Bitcoin lifted by about 65% over the following weeks. Then it dropped a little. Then more. Then, a fortnight ago, it slipped back to $380, and has been puddling about at just over $400.
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Thursday, September 25, 2014
Potential Bounce in the Japanese Yen / Currencies / Japanese Yen
By: DailyWealth
Brett Eversole writes: When the Prime Minister of Japan says he's going to debase the yen, it's hard to be on the opposite side of the trade...
Governments aren't good at a lot of things. But they are good at creating inflation and pummeling their currencies. And that's exactly what we're seeing in Japan today.
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Tuesday, September 23, 2014
A Post-Petrodollar Play for Triple-Digit Gains / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Money_Morning
Peter Krauth writes: It's now clear as day that both Russia and China are making concerted efforts to move off the petrodollar system.
I've previously written about this petrodollar phenomenon as a developing trend.....
Well now it's no longer developing, it's in active mode.
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Tuesday, September 23, 2014
Destroying the U.S. Dollar a Penny at a Time / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Peter_Schiff
Mike Finger writes: A recent article on the Wall Street Journal's blog draws attention to the high cost of producing a single penny - 1.6 cents each, to be exact. They blame this unsustainable price on the high cost of zinc, which makes up 97.5% of every American penny. The online publication Quartz ran with this story, giving it a new headline: "It costs 1.6 cents to make one penny because of the rising price of zinc". Time for a short economics lesson.
Monday, September 22, 2014
U.S. Dollar: The Last Hurrah? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Ned_W_Schmidt
End of empire is a difficult time for two groups, investors and patriots. A hundred years ago the U.S. took the economic baton from England to become the most important economy in the world. No doubt some loyalists refused to recognize the shift that was taking place. From then on the world began to denominate economic activity in U.S. dollars. Holding British pounds might have been the loyal thing to do, but it was not a wise investment decision. Today, a similar situation exists for the dollar. Dollar-based investors may now be facing the "last hurrah" for the dollar, and should not ignore that possibility.
Monday, September 22, 2014
One Giant Cluster Ponzi / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
“The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.”
-H. L. Mencken
Recently, The U.S. Treasury ramped up war games via financial sanctions aimed at Russia. The EU is part and parcel to the operation. These interventions are a continuation of the age old warfare referred to as the “currency wars”. Jim Rickards’ recent book on the topic chronicles the use of this tactic.
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Friday, September 19, 2014
Bitcoin Price Charts In-Depth Analysis / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Steve_H_Hanke
Bitcoin, the new digital currency, remains a mystery to many. There is no better way to lift the fog surrounding bitcoin than to let the data speak. And data speaks loudest through charts. Yes, topological analysis is often the best route to comprehension.
I have constructed -- with my assistant, Mazin Al-Rayes -- a series of charts that contain illuminating data about bitcoins and brief directions for use following each chart.
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Thursday, September 18, 2014
Global Currencies Analysis...The World According to Chartology / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Rambus_Chartology
We've been looking at massive H&S patterns in the last two reports I've posted so you can get a feel for the bigger picture which is so important to grasp. It's always much easier to make money trading within the big trend. For instance if you've been trading the precious metals stocks over the last 3 years or so you have had a strong headwind blowing against your trades making it very difficult to make a decent profit and then hold on to those profits. If you're a short term trader and can catch the little swings up and down you at least have a chance but that to is very hard to do constantly. Knowing the direction of the big trend can bail an investor out if his timing is off but if you trade against the trend and your timing is off then you will pay dearly as the markets can be unforgiving.
Tuesday, September 16, 2014
U.S. Dollar’s Turn to Cause a Recession / Currencies / US Dollar
By: John_Rubino
Europe is an economic basket case while the US is kind-of sort-of recovering. Why? Several reasons, but the only one that really matters these days is that in 2012 and 2013 the eurozone operated with tight monetary policy and an appreciating currency while the US created new money with abandon and let the dollar fall. So US products got cheaper on global markets and US companies and consumers were able to borrow at more favorable rates. The result: relatively fast growth in the US and a descent into deflationary depression for the eurozone. Here’s the euro vs the dollar between early 2012 and early 2014:
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Tuesday, September 16, 2014
The Emergence of the US Petro-Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gary_Dorsch
Trying to pick a profitable trade in the foreign exchange market is similar to judging a “reverse beauty” contest, that is to say, the winner is the least ugly currency at any given moment in time. All paper currencies are ugly, because central bankers print vast quantities of fiat currency, to varying degrees, at the behest of the ruling political elite that appointed them to run the printing presses. “By this means, government may secretly and unobserved, confiscate the wealth of the people, and not one man in a million will detect the theft,” –the late British economist John Maynard Keynes, used to say. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 15, 2014
A Closer Look at the US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gary_Tanashian
Using the standard weekly currency chart we followed along for months as the Euro found resistance at the long-term downtrend line as expected, the commodity currencies long ago lost major support and non-confirmed the commodity complex and the US dollar moved from a hold of critical support, to a trend line breakout, to its current impulsive and over bought status. It is time now for a closer look at Uncle Buck since this reserve currency is key to so many asset markets the world over.
Monday, September 15, 2014
US Dollar Forecast to Go Much Higher / Currencies / US Dollar
By: David_Petch
The US Dollar has gone gang busters after breaking above 81.7 and clearly has broken out. This has implications for everything else. As the US Dollar is a Reserve Currency, everything that has an inverse relationship to it will fall, such as gold. As I mentioned, I got out of all of my core precious metal positions a few weeks ago after the drop and bounce, as there is no indication that they will participate to the upside with a rising US Dollar under the current global environment. Most commodities are experiencing weakness and this will continue into next year until the US Dollar initially tops out. When the global economy after August 2015 hits, then commodities could get whacked even more. They might not get clipped as bad as per 2008 off the record highs, but there still will be a correction to follow. How long the rally in the US Dollar lasts is really anyone's guess. Analysis will show a high expected in the range of 93-95 by August 2015, but it could still have strength as deflation overtakes the global economies.
Friday, September 12, 2014
Currency Market Mayhem / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Alasdair_Macleod
You’d think that the US dollar has suddenly become strong, and the chart below of the other three major currencies confirms it.
The US dollar is the risk-free currency for international accounting, because it is the currency on which all the others are based. And it is clear that three months ago dollar exchange rates against the three currencies shown began to strengthen notably.
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Wednesday, September 10, 2014
AUD USD Beware The Fake Out / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Austin_Galt
The AUDUSD has been smashed the last couple of days. It has even busted through a well known support level. Many bulls would have stopped out of long positions on this move down while many bears would have shorted the break. I believe this to be a classic market deception. Let’s investigate starting with the daily chart.
Tuesday, September 09, 2014
AUDNZD Another Pullback Forex Trading Opportunity? / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Austin_Galt
Since my last report on the AUDNZD, price has embarked on a nice uptrend hitting a high last week just shy of $1.13. It really has been one way traffic. Northbound that is. However, last Friday saw the first sign that the next decent pullback opportunity may be upon us. Let''s investigate.