Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, October 16, 2011
Currency Intermarket Insights, YEN, UST2Y, DXY, EURO / Currencies / Forex Trading
Key counter trends this week has challened many of the established trends of the last 3 months. We will look at key pairs and intermarket to understand on their trends.
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Thursday, October 13, 2011
Aussie Dollar Extends Rally / Currencies / Forex Trading
This morning, the AUD/USD is extending the run that has seen it rally over 7.50% since the lows of September. In the same period the NZD/USD has gained 6.5% and the EUR/USD 5%. The Aussie is rallying today after better than expected employment change and unemployment data.
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Wednesday, October 12, 2011
Betting on the Dollar Versus Yen / Currencies / US Dollar
Rumors are circulating that in an effort to enable its exporters to compete effectively with China, Japanese authorities are considering some sort of currency "peg," perhaps to a basket of currencies, or vis-a-vis the Yuan, or maybe even in part to gold.
In addition, there are currently heated discussions in Congress about declaring China a "currency manipulator," or otherwise coercing China to allow its Yuan to appreciate faster to enable American business to compete more effectively on a global basis.
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Wednesday, October 12, 2011
The Euro is Dead. Long Live the Euro / Currencies / Euro
To ensure the European sovereign debt crisis doesn’t go to waste, the markets have kept policy makers and bankers on their toes. The naysayers of a European turnaround have become so overwhelming that it is stunning Europe hasn’t submerged into the Atlantic Ocean yet. It appears that German Chancellor Angela Merkel, the cautious woman with the checkbook, is about to turn the tide.
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Monday, October 10, 2011
Fiat Money and the Euro Crisis / Currencies / Fiat Currency
In September I participated in the amazing Supporters Summit, held at the prestigious National Academy of Sciences in Vienna, where Eugen von Böhm-Bawerk once lectured. After my visit to Austria, I piggybacked an excursion to adjacent Slovakia where I was surprised to discover a large number of fans of the Mises Institute and Ron Paul.
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Friday, October 07, 2011
Aussie leads the way ahead of NFP / Currencies / Forex Trading
This morning the US dollar is under some pressure with the Aussie and Kiwi dollars bursting higher in early trading. The AUD/ USD is up 0.75% with the NZD/ USD up 0.65%. The British pound is not far behind with the GBP/ USD up 0.62%.
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Tuesday, October 04, 2011
Bernanke’s Plot To Overthrow the US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
Where’s the Bastille…?
The Great Correction has a lot of work to do – there are so many things that need correction. And it will take time to do it. Meanwhile, your goal as an investor is to lose less money than everyone else. He who loses least wins!
Stocks should go down. Real estate should go down. Even gold should go down…as the dollar goes up!
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Sunday, October 02, 2011
U.S. Dollar’s Role as International Reserve Currency / Currencies / US Dollar
It is not a surprise the dollar continues to be the preferred official foreign exchange reserve currency but the share shows a gradual decline in the past ten years. The IMF’s Currency Composition of Official Foreign Exchange Reserves for the first and second quarter of 2011 places the greenback’s share at 60.6% of official foreign exchange reserves, down from a high of 71.5% in 2001.
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Friday, September 30, 2011
What the Euro Will Look Like in Five Years / Currencies / Euro
Sean Hyman writes: Believe it or not, there was a time when investors saw the euro as the savior currency of the world.
People talked about how the euro would replace the dollar as the world's reserve currency - and there was plenty of proof to support that opinion.
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Saturday, September 24, 2011
How to Prepare for When Money Dies / Currencies / Fiat Currency
If dollar-dumping turns from a trickle into a flood, look out. Exploding prices (aka exorbitant inflation) resulting from the devaluation of the dollar will compound the problems we saw in 2007–2009. Catastrophe will come when everybody realizes that the dollar is an "IOU nothing." That's the downside in the decade(s) ahead, according to Casey Research Chairman Doug Casey. But an optimist at heart, in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Doug also identifies some reasons to be hopeful.
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Friday, September 23, 2011
Two Protective Currency Plays to Make Ahead of the Looming Recession / Currencies / Forex Trading
Sean Hyman writes: There's a hurricane headed for the U.S. economy, one that'll send stocks tumbling and rip gains out of your portfolios - especially if you aren't ready with some protective currency plays.
The "hurricane" I speak of is the looming recession.
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Thursday, September 22, 2011
Fed's Twist, ECB's Turn, Euro Shouts / Currencies / Euro
The FOMC has done what was expected via Operation Twist; buying the same amount of Treasuries ($400 bln) as much it will sell, thereby maintaining the size of its balance sheet at $2.87 trillion. This explains today's jump in USD. And the fact that the Fed stayed away from cutting interest rate on overnight reserves is another positive for USD & negative for equity indices.
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Wednesday, September 21, 2011
Liquidity Crisis? A Currency Perspective / Currencies / Credit Crisis 2011
In 2008, the global financial system faced a potential meltdown when funding seized up for investment banks, ultimately leading to the failure of Lehmann Brothers. Three years on, we have got plenty of problems, but – as we shall argue - investors may want to differentiate between a financial meltdown and insolvency. While complaining about policy makers and bankers may generate animated water cooler discussions, let’s take their human (and fallible) nature as a given, and discuss implications for investors. In this context, we assess the U.S. dollar, currencies and equities.
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Tuesday, September 20, 2011
Is the US Monetary System on the Verge of Collapse? / Currencies / US Dollar
David Galland, Casey Research writes: Tune into CNBC or click onto any of the dozens of mainstream financial news sites, and you’ll find an endless array of opinions on the latest wiggle in equity, bond and commodities markets. As often as not, you'll find those opinions nestled side by side with authoritative analysis on the outlook for the economy, complete with the author’s carefully studied judgment on the best way forward.
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Tuesday, September 20, 2011
Potential Euro Collapse and Rapid Redistribution Of Personal Wealth / Currencies / Euro
There is a significant chance that the Euro itself will collapse in the coming weeks or months. Although the highly likely Greek government default may act as the trigger, the collapse of the European Monetary Union (EMU) and its currency is a quite different event from a single minor member defaulting on its debts. As discussed herein, the potential rapid annihilation of what used to be a global reserve currency could lead to one of the fastest and sharpest redistributions of wealth in financial history. If catastrophe takes down Europe's economy and banking system, then we may see repeated tidal waves of business collapse and spiking unemployment spreading out from the EU, and slamming into the already weak but tightly interlinked economies of the US, Japan, Canada, Australia and others.
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Friday, September 16, 2011
Eurozone Breakup Logistics / Currencies / Euro-Zone
In his latest Email update, Michael Pettis at China Financial Markets discusses the in more detail the likelihood of a Eurozone breakup.
Until the label "End Pettis", what follows is from Pettis and anything in blockquotes (indented) is a reference that Pettis quotes.
Friday, September 16, 2011
The Best Currency to Sell Short Right Now / Currencies / Forex Trading
Sean Hyman writes: There's never been a better time to be a short-seller.
Right now stocks are slipping and sliding all over the place, overall trending downward. And it doesn't look like this downtrend is going anywhere soon.
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Thursday, September 15, 2011
U.S. Dollar As the World's Reserve Currency. Poor World / Currencies / US Dollar
The world's main reserve currency is the U.S. dollar. This is less relevant than most hard-money writers think.
What they never mention is that the U.S. dollar is a more popular reserve currency today than it was in 1995. You can see the evidence here.
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Thursday, September 15, 2011
A Chinese Euro-Save Means Falling Greenback / Currencies / US Dollar
As we predicted earlier this year, China may use its newfound economic clout to save Europe and diversify away from the US dollar. Seeing as Italy is still in favor with global investors with spreads between Italian and German bonds reasonable, the Italians could strike a formidable deal with the Chinese to push off debt concerns.
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Saturday, September 10, 2011
Sell Euro to Buy Australian Dollar / Currencies / Forex Trading
Given that many know Merk Investments as "euro bulls", arguing that the euro can thrive despite all the turmoil in the Eurozone, we wanted to share with our investors and the public that in our hard currency strategy, currently with over $700 million in assets, we sold over U.S. $90 million worth of euros late Thursday to re-allocate to the Australian dollar. This re-allocation was an acceleration of a recent trend to deploy euro holdings elsewhere. The strategy is now underweight in euros.
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