Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, January 18, 2011
Global Currency War: How to Keep the "Race to the Bottom" From Stealing Our Future / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes:
When Brazil Finance Minister Guido Mantega recently warned of a "currency war that is turning into a trade war," he wasn't far off the mark - at least as far as Latin America is concerned.
In that region - in the last two weeks alone - at least three countries have taken steps to prevent their currencies from appreciating against the U.S. dollar.
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Tuesday, January 18, 2011
A Temporary Lifeline for the U.S. Dollar 2011 / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Q1_Publishing
2011 is set to be the year of the dollar’s rebound.At first glance, the dollar shouldn’t be on the rise. Official unemployment is stuck at near 10%. Dozens of municipal governments are set to fall into bankruptcy this year. The federal budget deficit is over $1 trillion. The Fed has signaled its intention to monetize more debt.
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Tuesday, January 18, 2011
Surge in Euro, Weakness in Gold and patterned drop in Aussie Dollar / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Bari_Baig
The Surge in Euro: Last week was not green backs and regardless of it weakening “materially” it was against Euro where it performed the worst! Many would perhaps think that our reiterated call of Euro bear might have been wrong as on Jan 5th in our article [Euro took a beating yesterday and a bad one! Whereas Greenback doesn’t seem as strong as how the street is portraying it to be] we seemed to be leaning towards the fact that Euro would push higher and Green back would weaken.
Monday, January 17, 2011
Why Hold Dollars if the Fed is Going to Intentionally Deflate Their Value? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Ned_W_Schmidt
As everyone seems to know, and as you have read endlessly in innumerable reports, the Federal Reserve has expanded its balance sheet by more than two trillion dollars. At present is in the process of adding another six hundred billion dollars of assets by monetizing U.S. government debt. At the same time, Obama Regime's deficit has spiraled out of control. Correctly measured, that deficit for the past year was $1.7 trillion.
Monday, January 17, 2011
Medium Term EUR/GBP Downtrend Resuming / Currencies / Euro
By: Seven_Days_Ahead
A medium term bear signal in the EUR/GBP cross was given in the first half of 2010, with subsequent recovery finding good technical resistance last October. Renewed weakness now looks like the resumption of the main downtrend.
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Thursday, January 13, 2011
How to Conquer The Market / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: INO
You only have to watch my earlier videos to see that it has performed very well this week in gold as well as the crude. In today's short video I want to share an ETF that is setting up nicely and should be giving us a buy signal using the same strategy that we used in the earlier gold and crude oil videos.
Thursday, January 13, 2011
Bank of China Seeks to Create Global Currency / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
By: Money_Morning
Kerri Shannon writes: State-owned Bank of China Ltd. has announced that it will allow U.S. customers to open yuan accounts to buy and sell China's currency.
According Money Morning Chief Investment Strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald this is yet another deliberate move by China, which is attempting to promote the role of its currency in global trade.
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Wednesday, January 12, 2011
The China Miracle: Forex Reserves Hit Record $2.87 Trillion / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
By: Jesse
In the 'Japan Miracle' of the 1980-1990's it is said that Japan essentially 'monetized its real estate.' There was also a mythology of the superiority of Japanese management, with an emphasis on quality management ironically pioneered by the American W. Edwards Deming.
Sunday, January 09, 2011
Falling Euro May Offer the Best Investment OPPORTUNITY of 2011 / Currencies / Euro
By: Bryan_Rich
As we start the New Year, the global investment climate looks remarkably similar to this time last year. The world is getting more bullish on the outlook for the U.S. Meanwhile, the unfolding sovereign debt crisis in Europe threatens to squash global risk appetite and send not only Europe back into recession, but perhaps trigger another global financial crisis.
Sunday, January 09, 2011
The Nomadic Nature of Money / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Richard_Daughty
I was intrigued that a guy named David Thurtell, of Citigroup, surprisingly said, “The liquidity pumped out by central banks means that there is a lot of money sloshing around that needs to find a home.”
I was so intrigued that I was tempted to use it as the basis for my first report to the new supervisor for this quadrant of the galaxy, Karpus Klegg the Implacable, at his new office at Intergalactic Headquarters after the “palace coup” and interstellar personnel shake-up that I just found out about.
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Thursday, January 06, 2011
Destruction of the U.S. Dollar, The Real Reason Paul Volcker Wants Out / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Jeff_Berwick
The news that Paul Volcker plans to step down from a "panel of experts" advising Barack Obama today will likely whip market participants into a bit of a frenzy analyzing what this could possibly mean.
But, the problem with their conclusions will be that they are starting from an incorrect premise. The great majority of market participants believe that Paul Volcker was responsible for ending the inflation of the 1970s. And, as usual, the great majority of market participants are wrong.
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Thursday, January 06, 2011
Euro Currency New Year, New Challenges / Currencies / Euro
By: Ashraf_Laidi
One interesting aspect of todays blow out +297K rise in Dec ADP is the cautious interpretations circulated for Fridays release of Dec Nonfarm payrolls. Recall the disappointing 39K increase in Nov payrolls from +172 in Oct despite the unexpectedly strong +92K ADP in Nov. Nonetheless, both the US dollar and 10 year yields are rallying across the board of further growth recovery in the US. Noting that Fed Chairman Bernanke will testify to Congress 1 hour after Friday's jobs report, we would expect the Chairman to reiterate the case for buying the entire $600 bln in QE2 even in the event that Dec payrolls show a blowout number with similar proportions to today's ADP (above 220K-250K). Yet despite those reiterations of QE2, bond yields will likely hold on to their upward trajectory eyeing 3.80% before ultimately regaining 4.10-15% in late Q1, which should help support USD vs. EUR, GBP and JPY.
Wednesday, December 29, 2010
Aussie Dollar, the Japanese Yen, Euro and Cable all have a different story to tell / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Bari_Baig
First up we look at USD/JPY: The economic data out from Japan was encouraging today as Industrial production as well as retail sales both exceeded the streets guesstimates. This further put a bid on Japanese Yen and prices tumbled to just below 82. This is the region where Bank of Japan first started to tout that it would intervene in the market and as we have said before now that BoJ has made its mark on the market by actually intervening therefore it is high time that it should continue to weaken Yen. We went buyers of the pair at 82 flat and we intend on holding the position. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 23, 2010
The Faults of Fractional Reserve Banking / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Thorsten_Polleit
In a November 1, 2010, blog post titled "Could the World Go Back to the Gold Standard?," Martin Wolf, the Financial Times chief economics commentator, comes to the conclusion that "we cannot and will not go back to the gold standard."
Among a number of mainstream-economics arguments leveled against the desirability and feasibility of the gold standard, Mr. Wolf puts forth a line of reasoning that can serve particularly well as a starting point for debating his position. Mr. Wolf writes,
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Thursday, December 23, 2010
Euro, British Pound Down as US Economy Improves / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: LiveCharts
According to a recent survey by CNN Money, top economists are projecting a 3.1 per cent gross domestic product (GDP) for the United States economy during the final quarter of 2010, after a 2.6 per cent third quarter increase.
The fourth quarter project is an upward revision from previous forecasts and the report also indicates expectations are high for a steady growth throughout 2011.
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Wednesday, December 22, 2010
Europe's New Plan to Save the Euro / Currencies / Euro
By: STRATFOR
Europe is on the cusp of change. An EU heads-of-state summit Dec. 16 launched a process aimed to save the common European currency. If successful, this process would be the most significant step toward creating a singular European power since the creation of the European Union itself in 1992 — that is, if it doesn’t destroy the euro first.
Monday, December 20, 2010
Is this the week which brings “bad” fortune to Euro? / Currencies / Euro
By: Bari_Baig
It seems just about everyone has forgotten about the EU Debt Crisis which couldn’t get enough air time several weeks ago. Now, all of a sudden everyone’s attention is towards U.S or as the holiday season is approaching no one wants to look at the bad side of the picture [But] does that mean all is well? Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 17, 2010
The U.S. Dollar Threads a Needle / Currencies / US Dollar
By: John_Browne
Pre-holiday cheer is certainly evident in the financial markets. The overwhelming consensus is that the Congressional agreement to not raise taxes while extending hundreds of billions in new stimulus will finally allow the recovery to take hold. The good feelings are underscored by less-than-awful employment reports and modest slowdowns in foreclosures. Another point of optimism is the continued buoyancy of the US dollar, which has weakened over the past few months, but has not collapsed.
Wednesday, December 15, 2010
Is The U.S. Dollar Too Big to Fail? Gold and Silver Lifeline / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Lorimer_Wilson
Those in the U.S. power structure know what the plan is should the U.S. dollar fail. They are not admitting publically that there is even the remotest chance that it could happen but, rest assured, there is a plan. There is always a plan. To paraphrase Franklin Roosevelt, nothing happens by chance in government, so don’t be caught up in such a ‘surprise’ event - whatever it may be and whenever it occurs.
Tuesday, December 14, 2010
Post Mortem for the world's "Reserve Currency" / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Mike_Whitney
Paul Volcker is worried about the future of the dollar and for good reason. The Fed has initiated a program (Quantitative Easing) that presages an end to Bretton Woods 2 and replaces it with different system altogether. Naturally, that's made trading partners pretty nervous. Despite the unfairness of the present system--where export-dependent countries recycle capital to US markets to sustain demand---most nations would rather stick with the "devil they know", then venture into the unknown. But US allies weren't consulted on the matter. The Fed unilaterally decided that the only way to fight deflation and high unemployment in the US, was by weakening the dollar and making US exports more competitive. Hence--QE2.