Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, October 12, 2010
China’s Plan to Dethrone the U.S. Dollar as Worlds Reserve Currency / Currencies / US Dollar
Don Miller writes: The U.S. dollar is on the way out as the world's top reserve currency. And as Money Morning Chief Investment Strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald predicted more than a year and a half ago, the yuan could be set to replace it.The greenback has served as the world's benchmark reserve currency since the mid-20th century, but soaring deficits and the U.S. Federal Reserve's loose monetary policy have drained the dollar's value.
Tuesday, October 12, 2010
How to Profit From the Global Currency War Race to the Bottom / Currencies / Forex Trading
Shah Gilani writes: Short of sitting on the sidelines, investors can't escape the global currency wars - a "race to the bottom" shootout that has countries debasing their currencies to boost overseas sales.
But here's the only thing you need to know: As the central banks of the world slug it out in the global currency markets, individual investors who understand the currency-war strategy can reap some extraordinary gains.
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Tuesday, October 12, 2010
USD Index Trend Forecast Into Mid 2011, U.S. Dollar Collapse (Again)? / Currencies / US Dollar
Following the USD Index peak at 89 in early June 2010, the Dollar has been on a near relentlessly slide to the recent low of 76.90 which represents a 14% fall in just 4 months. The fall in the Dollar has again brought out the perma Dollar collapse proponents who have periodically come out to reiterate that the U.S. Dollar as measured by the USD index is destined to crash and burn which is set against the perma deflationists who continuously propose that DEFLATION will result in the Dollar rallying to new highs as a consequence of debt deleveraging, which again was most prevalent just as the U.S. Dollar peaked. Therefore this in-depth analysis will seek to conclude towards a probable trend forecast for the USD index into Mid 2011 (9 months forward).
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Monday, October 11, 2010
U.S. Dollar Could Rally In Coming Weeks / Currencies / US Dollar
When one side of any market gets crowded, it is time to prepare for a possible reversal. While there are numerous reasons to be bearish on the U.S. dollar long-term, there are some short-to-intermediate-term factors that may cause the dollar to stage a counter-trend rally in the coming weeks. As we monitor the dollar, we must also consider the possible impact on “weak dollar assets” such as gold (GLD), silver (SLV), copper (JJC), oil (USO), agricultural commodities (DBA), Australian dollar (FXA), Canadian dollar (FXC), and emerging markets (EEM).
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Monday, October 11, 2010
EUR/USD Bounce Closing in on Stronger Resistance / Currencies / Euro
The recovery in EUR/USD from a Jun low has turned out impressive, with a second bull leg now well underway. This has started to reach certain interesting resistance levels which the market could find tough to overcome.
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Sunday, October 10, 2010
Safeguard Against the Falling Dollar with ZERO Downside Risk... Guaranteed / Currencies / Forex Trading
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Heads we win. Tails, the government loses.
Hey, if the government is willing to create investment guarantees for us (through virtual banks, for example), we'd be foolish not to take advantage of 'em. If we can get the full upside potential of the investment... and we can legally hand off all the risks to the government... then let's do it!
Saturday, October 09, 2010
China’s Currency War, the Enemy #1 for Global Economy / Currencies / Fiat Currency
When Brazil’s finance minister said the world was in a currency war, it came as big news to many people — a surprising “new” economic threat. But there’s nothing new about a currency war. China has been waging a war — an economic war — with its currency for a long time.
Over the last 14 years, China’s economy has grown four times as fast as the U.S. economy, and it has quickly soared to become the world’s second-largest. The key to China’s success has been a weak yuan — it’s method of manipulating a sustained advantage over its competitors in global trade.
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Saturday, October 09, 2010
Central Bankers’ Global Race to the Currency Devaluation Bottom / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Well, that pretty much seals the deal. I’m talking about the latest, lousy batch of employment data. The ADP Employer Services report out Wednesday showed the economy shedding 39,000 jobs in September — the biggest decline since January and far below the Bloomberg forecast for a gain of 20,000.
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Saturday, October 09, 2010
U.S. Dollar in trouble following job’s report / Currencies / US Dollar
An already weak US dollar took another hit early Friday (October 8) morning following the latest report on jobs. According to new Labor Department numbers, 95,000 workers were cut by US employers during the month of September.
The number of new jobless claims was far worse than analysts had predicted. Bloomberg News, for instance, forecasted just 5,000 new job cuts in its survey of economists.
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Friday, October 08, 2010
China's Currency War in the Eurozone to Devalue U.S. Dollar / Currencies / Market Manipulation
The market structure of the rates of foreign currencies has been thrown into question. China has become more active in the eurozone as a result of the economic conflict with the USA. The Chinese dragon starts to determine quotations on world's basic currencies, such as the euro and the US dollar.
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
U.S. Dollar At Support, Bounce Likely / Currencies / US Dollar
Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the PowerShares DB US Dollar Bull ETF (symbol: UUP).
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
Pressures Mount on Bank of England (BOE) to Devalue Pound / Currencies / British Pound
The Bank of England (BOE) is due to make a statement today at noon in London (7:00 a.m. ET U.S.). The BOE’s actions in the next 45 days may be important to investors in the U.S. and global commodity markets. All things being equal, a weak U.S. dollar tends to provide favorable headwinds to both U.S. stocks and commodities, such as oil (USL), copper (JJC), gold (GLD), and silver (SLV). With the BOE facing more bad news on the housing front today, political pressures to join the money-printing parties in the United States and Japan are mounting.
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
Global Currency Wars Phantom Menace / Currencies / Fiat Currency
The last thing the global economy needs right now is anything that would hamper or derail economic growth. Unfortunately, there appears a growing specter of this occurring. Brazil and Japan’s recent decisions to intervene in the currency markets follow a disturbing trend. If policy makers are not careful, present dynamics may precipitate a worldwide economic slowdown, brought about by protectionist pressures and exacerbated by political motivations globally.
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
Currency Time Cycle's Analysis for U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen and Swiss Franc / Currencies / Forex Trading
For many a year we have spent most of our time trading the markets using OEW and not paying too much attention to time cycles. We naturally accepted the four-year presidential cycle because it was easily back-tested using OEW analysis. And, with very few exceptions it has been quite predictable and regular.
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
Does a U.S. Dollar Crash Loom? / Currencies / US Dollar
Even if you’re not one who tracks currency values, you just knew the dollar was on the ropes again if you bothered to check your mail box. Whenever the dollar shows any sustained weakness the newsletter publishers will send out bulk mail advertisements with sensational headlines like, “Dollar Crash Looms!” or “The Dollar Will Soon Be Devalued and Replaced.” After receiving two such mailings on the same day last week, it was obvious to me what the investor sentiment was like on the greenback.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 05, 2010
China Yuan Currency Manipulation, Free Trade versus Fair Trade / Currencies / Market Manipulation
The fantasy of forcing China to float the yuan against the dollar is building steam. There have been attempts to persuade the Chinese government to this end, but they have not listened, nor do they really intend to act. The yuan has floated higher by 1.8% over the last five weeks, but that is a pittance compared with the destruction of the dollar by US policy, in an attempt to devalue the dollar in hopes of exporting more goods.
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Tuesday, October 05, 2010
How to Profit From the Global Currency War / Currencies / Forex Trading
Jack Barnes writes: If you’re like me, and you spend a lot of time perusing financial Web sites in search of the latest global investing news, you’ve probably started to see a lot of stories about rapid shifts in foreign exchange rates – including some “currency pairs” that have traditionally been rather slow-moving.
Back during the spring, for instance, the news was full of stories about how Switzerland was buying up European euros in an effort to weaken the strong Swiss franc – only to have that country change course and diversify its holdings by purchasing U.S. dollars.
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Tuesday, October 05, 2010
Welcome back to the Worldwide Fiat Currency Race to Debase! / Currencies / Fiat Currency
At the close of third quarter 2010, it is clear for the world to see that all fiat currencies around the globe have been getting their paperback-sides kicked in by true hard monies, silver and gold.
To all the paper-bug fiat currency fools out there, we have this to say to you. Scoreboard.
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Monday, October 04, 2010
What Does the Global Currency War Mean? / Currencies / Fiat Currency
There is a currency war ranging world-wide.
Japan, Brazil, Peru and countries all over the world are trying to beggar thy neighbor (just as happened during the 1930s) and gain a leg up for their exports by cheapening their currencies.
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Monday, October 04, 2010
British Pound Sterling GBP Currency Trend Forecast into Mid 2011 / Currencies / British Pound
Whilst many may perceive currency movements as wide multi-year trading ranges such as between highs of £/$ 2.00 to lows of £/$1.00, however all of the worlds currencies are actually in a continuous state of perpetual free fall where the multi-year high - low trading ranges are fluctuations within the differing rates of decent as all currencies are fiat backed by nothing more than mountains of ever expanding IOU's. The manifestation of the free fall in real values is the loss of purchasing power of currencies as measured by INFLATION that state propaganda has conditioned populations to accept as being a good thing.
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