Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, October 07, 2010
Global Currency Wars Phantom Menace / Currencies / Fiat Currency
The last thing the global economy needs right now is anything that would hamper or derail economic growth. Unfortunately, there appears a growing specter of this occurring. Brazil and Japan’s recent decisions to intervene in the currency markets follow a disturbing trend. If policy makers are not careful, present dynamics may precipitate a worldwide economic slowdown, brought about by protectionist pressures and exacerbated by political motivations globally.
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
Currency Time Cycle's Analysis for U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen and Swiss Franc / Currencies / Forex Trading
For many a year we have spent most of our time trading the markets using OEW and not paying too much attention to time cycles. We naturally accepted the four-year presidential cycle because it was easily back-tested using OEW analysis. And, with very few exceptions it has been quite predictable and regular.
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
Does a U.S. Dollar Crash Loom? / Currencies / US Dollar
Even if you’re not one who tracks currency values, you just knew the dollar was on the ropes again if you bothered to check your mail box. Whenever the dollar shows any sustained weakness the newsletter publishers will send out bulk mail advertisements with sensational headlines like, “Dollar Crash Looms!” or “The Dollar Will Soon Be Devalued and Replaced.” After receiving two such mailings on the same day last week, it was obvious to me what the investor sentiment was like on the greenback.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 05, 2010
China Yuan Currency Manipulation, Free Trade versus Fair Trade / Currencies / Market Manipulation
The fantasy of forcing China to float the yuan against the dollar is building steam. There have been attempts to persuade the Chinese government to this end, but they have not listened, nor do they really intend to act. The yuan has floated higher by 1.8% over the last five weeks, but that is a pittance compared with the destruction of the dollar by US policy, in an attempt to devalue the dollar in hopes of exporting more goods.
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Tuesday, October 05, 2010
How to Profit From the Global Currency War / Currencies / Forex Trading
Jack Barnes writes: If you’re like me, and you spend a lot of time perusing financial Web sites in search of the latest global investing news, you’ve probably started to see a lot of stories about rapid shifts in foreign exchange rates – including some “currency pairs” that have traditionally been rather slow-moving.
Back during the spring, for instance, the news was full of stories about how Switzerland was buying up European euros in an effort to weaken the strong Swiss franc – only to have that country change course and diversify its holdings by purchasing U.S. dollars.
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Tuesday, October 05, 2010
Welcome back to the Worldwide Fiat Currency Race to Debase! / Currencies / Fiat Currency
At the close of third quarter 2010, it is clear for the world to see that all fiat currencies around the globe have been getting their paperback-sides kicked in by true hard monies, silver and gold.
To all the paper-bug fiat currency fools out there, we have this to say to you. Scoreboard.
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Monday, October 04, 2010
What Does the Global Currency War Mean? / Currencies / Fiat Currency
There is a currency war ranging world-wide.
Japan, Brazil, Peru and countries all over the world are trying to beggar thy neighbor (just as happened during the 1930s) and gain a leg up for their exports by cheapening their currencies.
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Monday, October 04, 2010
British Pound Sterling GBP Currency Trend Forecast into Mid 2011 / Currencies / British Pound
Whilst many may perceive currency movements as wide multi-year trading ranges such as between highs of £/$ 2.00 to lows of £/$1.00, however all of the worlds currencies are actually in a continuous state of perpetual free fall where the multi-year high - low trading ranges are fluctuations within the differing rates of decent as all currencies are fiat backed by nothing more than mountains of ever expanding IOU's. The manifestation of the free fall in real values is the loss of purchasing power of currencies as measured by INFLATION that state propaganda has conditioned populations to accept as being a good thing.
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Friday, October 01, 2010
Can Nuclear Power Bolster The Wilting U.S. Dollar ? / Currencies / US Dollar
It could seem surprising to ask this question, but desperate problems call forth innovative remedies - and conventional wisdom has it that Barack Obama’s administration is on the economic ropes. The problem is that un-conventional wisdom says the same thing but comes to the same conclusion along different pathways.
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Friday, October 01, 2010
EUR/CHF Recovery Just Temporary So Far / Currencies / Forex Trading
Bears in EUR/CHF have remained in overall control this year, with one notable rally attempt made in Jul. Another halt in downtrend has now been seen so it is worth looking at what more needs to be done to suggest a better recovery phase was underway.
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Friday, October 01, 2010
U.S. Dollar Race to the Bottom / Currencies / US Dollar
Long ago, before economic models developed their current levels of sophistication, it used to be that the goal of a government's economic policy was to bring prosperity to its citizens; in other words, to raise the general level of material comfort, while at the same time reducing the amount of toil required to attain that end.
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Thursday, September 30, 2010
U.S. Dollar Weakens Against Major Currencies / Currencies / US Dollar
The euro, pound and yen are among major currencies that have taken advantage of a weaker dollar again this week. The dollar, already sluggish in lieu of ongoing unemployment concerns, slid further following the Fed’s announcement last week that it plans to buy US Treasuries to effectively infuse cash into the economy.
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Thursday, September 30, 2010
U.S. Dollar is on the Edge / Currencies / US Dollar
Every picture tells a story and the below chart shows the US Dollar heading down the tubes in contrast to the ascendancy of gold prices, silver prices and the unhedged mining companies that comprise the HUI. The USD has dropped from ‘88′ to ‘78′ in 4 months, a fall of 11.40%. Just imagine being a cabinet member of a foreign government with a pile of trade generated dollars on your hands, watching them disintegrate before your eyes!
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Thursday, September 30, 2010
Cram Down the Ultimate $100 Trillion Bailout, U.S. Dollar Value Fast Meltdown Ahead / Currencies / US Dollar
If you've never heard of a "Cram Down", you are about to get a first hand lesson on the receiving end of the biggest one in history. The words "Cram Down" used to be reserved for companies in bankruptcy or smaller venture backed companies that run out of cash and are recapitalized by "cramming down" the equity held by existing shareholders. The only other alternative to closing the doors is to reorganize the ownership structure to attract new capital and keep it in business. Those who don't have the money to play in the next round -- i.e. don't have a money printing press -- will get wiped out . Having personally experienced a number of these unpleasant affairs in various businesses, you are definitely better off giving than receiving a Cram Down.
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Wednesday, September 29, 2010
Deep Economic and Debt Frictions Triggering Competing Currency Wars / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Some prefatory stories are highly revealing. Bank of America is badly on the ropes. On the same weekend at the end of July, when the Bank For Intl Settlements executed a 340 ton gold swap contract, two other events happened. The London metals exchange apparently suffered coordinated delivery raids, all legal, but painful nonetheless, stripping the embattled exchange of much gold bullion. My source from the German banking fortress shared that the BIS might have rescued the London Bullion Market Assn, and thereby prevented a near default at the exchange. Spurious stories about aiding commercial banks, even the Portuguese central bank, were floated to distract the masses.
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Monday, September 27, 2010
Short Term EUR/GBP Gains Delay Medium Term Bears / Currencies / Futures Trading
The earlier fall in the EUR/GBP cross came to a temporary halt in June, and the market has been reluctant to resume its medium term bear path. Recent strength is not yet seen as the precursor to any major trend turnaround, but it still delays lower values.
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Sunday, September 26, 2010
Indian Rupee Currency Forecast to Fall Towards $36-38 / Currencies / India
Currency movement decides the direction of the economy. In normal times, opposite statement would have been proved right. But, this time is different. Every nation is ready to wage war against their trade partners and other exporting destinations to ensure that country can continue to boast their exports and cheap currency can help them to inflate out their debt loads.
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Saturday, September 25, 2010
How to Put a Stronger China Yuan Currency to Work for You / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
Jeff Manera writes: China has perpetually managed its currency, the yuan, to be undervalued. Estimates range from 30 percent to 40 percent on the amount the currency would appreciate if it was allowed to freely float with market forces.
This “management” has given China’s exporters an unfair advantage over other export-driven countries, such as Japan and South Korea, and has provided much of the rocket fuel that made China’s incredible expansion and growth possible.
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Friday, September 24, 2010
China Yuan Currency Revaluation Not All Good for the U.S. / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
The Obama administration and many in congress have been aggressively calling for a revaluation of the Chinese yuan vs. the United States dollar. As of September 22, the yuan has climbed for nine straight days setting fresh records against the dollar as the Chinese central bank changed the parity rate of the yuan to the dollar. As with any change, there are winners and there are losers because of the action by the Chinese government.
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Wednesday, September 22, 2010
Fiat Currency Wars, Competitive Devaluations Fuel Gold’s Rally to $1,300/oz / Currencies / Fiat Currency
With the price of gold zeroing in on yet another major milestone, - $1,300 /oz, some heavy hitters in the marketplace are beginning to wonder if the yellow metal’s rally, is getting a bit too frothy, or even worse, whether a speculative bubble is brewing, that might ultimately deflate under its own weight, and lead to a sharp correction. On Sept 15th, famed hedge fund trader George Soros said that gold prices might continue to rise, but warned that that gold is the “ultimate bubble.”
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