Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, August 20, 2010
Slip Back in EUR/JPY Currently Assumed Temporary / Currencies / Euro
After EUR/JPY found interesting support from a long term 76.4% level earlier in 2010, initial bull signs appeared. The current s/term slip back might unnerve the early bulls but it is worth them keeping the faith for now.
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Friday, August 20, 2010
What Problems Lie Ahead for the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar
The recent history of the DollarChina is the largest holder of the U.S. Dollar in its foreign exchange reserves at $2.45 + trillion. This is an impossible number to trade on foreign exchanges. So they're stuck with them until they can spend them. But, as long as the U.S. Dollar is the world's sole reserve currency, these reserves are useful to buy any asset in any country. It is vital that they retain their buying power. Buying power is defined by its exchange rate value and inside the U.S. relates to the inflation rate.
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Saturday, August 14, 2010
Fed’s Wake-Up Call Gives the Euro a Dose of Reality / Currencies / Euro
The Fed surprised many people this week when it announced it would respond to the deteriorating economy with more efforts to stimulate.
It was a splash of cold water on the face of the world, a wake-up call that hammered home the reality of the economic climate: The recession wasn’t normal, the recovery wasn’t real, and we’re only half way through what will likely be described as a global depression.
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Friday, August 13, 2010
It's the Third and Final Act for the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
Jeff Fisher writes: The US credit system is in the midst of its third credit crisis since the advent of the Federal Reserve.
The first credit crisis was a deflation that morphed into the Great Depression. (See Rothbard's: America's Great Depression.)
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Friday, August 13, 2010
Has the short-term move in the Euro Yen clarified the long-term outlook? / Currencies / Euro
For most of May and June the Yen was a strong buy against the Euro, as traders sought safe havens to protect against the Euro zone Sovereign debt crisis. At that time, the Yen and Dollar were considered safe trades, especially the Yen, even though Japan runs a very high debt to GDP ratio and continues to struggle with deflation. But unlike the Dollar, Japan runs a healthy trade surplus, has foreign exchange reserves in excess of US$1.0T and most of her government bonds are owned domestically.
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Friday, August 13, 2010
USD/CAD Could Still Be Trying to Base / Currencies / Canadian $
After an initial recovery attempt in Apr/May, USD/CAD has become consolidative - still with the prospect of forming a base, but still without the necessary bull signals to tilt the scales firmly in the bulls’ favour. Not for the first time interesting support has emerged from a 76.4% level...
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Thursday, August 12, 2010
China Reports Huge Trade Surplus With U.S. Signaling More Currency Tensions / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
Despite forecasts of a cooling demand for Chinese products in the USA and EU, Beijing has reported a huge trade surplus figure after exports soared to 145.5 billion USD in July, a year-on-year increase of 38.1%. In the pipeline: tensions between Washington and Beijing over the valuation of the Renmimbi?
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Thursday, August 12, 2010
How to Profit From the Fed's U.S. Dollar Destruction Policy / Currencies / US Dollar
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: This week's decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve to buy Treasuries in an effort to prop up borrowing is further proof that the economy is worse off than policymakers would have us believe. But more than that, the Fed's Treasury purchase plan is just one more reason for investors to anticipate inflation and take steps to protect their money from it.
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Thursday, August 12, 2010
Euro, British Pound Reverse Sharply / Currencies / Forex Trading
The euro and pound have both been in full retreat against the US dollar on Wednesday (August 11). One euro is worth just $1.2845 after trading as high as $1.3226 on Tuesday. A British pound nets $1.5636 after a $1.589 peak Tuesday.
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Saturday, August 07, 2010
Japanese Yen on Central Bank Intervention Watch / Currencies / Japanese Yen
As major global economies are beginning to feel the threat of another bout with recession, Japan is dealing with an extra challenge: An unwelcomed strong currency.
Weak structural economic fundamentals around the world and tough austerity are proving to squash the feeble recovery. And the likelihood of central banks returning to, or intensifying, the easy money policies are growing.
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Thursday, August 05, 2010
No More Dollar, Pound, Yen, or Euro,The New Push for a Global Currency / Currencies / Fiat Currency
You surely didn't think that the governing elites would let this economic crisis pass without pushing some cockamamie scheme for control. Well, here is the cloud no bigger than a man's hand, a revival of a 60-year-old idea of a global paper currency to fix what ails us.
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Wednesday, August 04, 2010
EURIBOR, Euro and USD Index / Currencies / US Dollar
Many have expressed scepticism with strength of the euro at a time when EURIBOR and EUR-Libor rates remained on the rise. EUR 3-month LIBOR stands at 12-month high of 0.83%, up 46% from its March lows. Yet unlike in April-May when rising Eurozone rates resulted from plummeting inter-bank confidence and falling liquidity in the system, the recent strengthening in Eurzone interbank rates has been partly boosted by improved macroeconomic/bank earnings figures, as well as a stabilizing currency.
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Monday, August 02, 2010
US Dollar Index Declines as Eurodollar Short Squeeze Ends / Currencies / US Dollar
Dollar LIBOR is the 'tell' as european banks scramble to obtain US dollars to satisfy customer demand, they drive the 'price' of the dollar higher. The cause of the squeeze was the euro uncertainty based on ratings downgrades on Greece, and the hedge funds determined selling of the euro, which created a sell off in euros.
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Wednesday, July 28, 2010
U.S. Dollar Stress Next? / Currencies / US Dollar
The crisis is dead! Long live the crisis! In an attempt to address the debt crises swirling around the globe, policy makers have responded with a mishmash of somewhat questionable approaches:
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Wednesday, July 28, 2010
Evolving Global Financial Crisis, U.S. Dollar Heading Down Again / Currencies / US Dollar
As we long ago predicted, 2005 was the beginning of the collapse of the housing bubble. The result was financial chaos and a credit crisis that enveloped the US, Europe and eventually the world. Some would like us to believe that materialism and selfishness were the reasons for bubbles, but the causes go far deeper than that. US, UK and European central banks, due to their greed for power, and a desire for world government, allowed debt to get totally out of control.
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Thursday, July 22, 2010
Euro Currency Follow Up Analysis / Currencies / Euro
Late last week we produced a video on the euro (which was posted on our blog on Monday), making a case that the currency was very close, if not at its highs. Since then, we have had two significant events fall into place which made the dollar skyrocket against the euro.
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Thursday, July 22, 2010
Positive Corporate Eearnings Reports Boost U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
The dollar has been getting hammered in recent weeks as renewed concerns about the economy caused many to get out of long dollar positions. However, several positive earnings reports to start the week have helped give the greenback a boost against most major currencies.
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Tuesday, July 20, 2010
Switzerland Under Siege, Free Markets May Yet Save the Swiss Franc / Currencies / Credit Crisis 2010
Efforts are underway to undermine Switzerland’s rock solid reputation as a safe haven. The alpine nation, famous for its readiness against enemies with citizens storing military assault rifles at their homes, is under attack. The attack, however, comes from one of their own, the guardian of the Swiss franc: the Swiss National Bank (SNB). In any other country, a central bank may have the power to derail the currency; in Switzerland, however, efforts to undermine the franc may be more appropriately characterized by a Don Quixotian battle by a lone warrior, a warrior armed with a license to print money.
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Monday, July 19, 2010
Is the Euro on Shaky Ground? / Currencies / Euro
In this short video we take an in-depth look at the euro and its relationship to the US dollar. The recent sharp rally in the euro, up from the 1.19 level, may be coming to an end.
We look at several indicators that are close to confirming that this market may be set to head lower.
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Saturday, July 17, 2010
What the Big Mac Can Tell You about Currencies / Currencies / Forex Trading
Currencies have experienced a massive wave of volatility in the past three years. Driving some of that volatility are the early stages of a sovereign debt and currency crisis.
As I laid out in my June 26 Money and Markets column, history suggests many of the sovereign debt problems in the world will likely be responded to with competitive currency devaluations. So it’s reasonable to expect large moves in currencies.
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