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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Tuesday, December 16, 2008

Zero Interest Rate Bound Fed Breaks U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Fed's shift towards a range of 0-0.25% in its fed funds target zero intensifies the yield assault to the dollar, leaving little chance for traders but to extend speculative and directional offers in the currency. The decision prompts the biggest 2-day rallly in EURUSD (4.8%) following last week's 5.1% jump. The dollar is unlikely to immediately descend into an uncontrollable decline as the easing campaigns of overseas central bankers and secular market volatility has yet to recapture its peak. But the longer term prospects ahead appear particularly ominous for the world's reserve currency once global economic stability starts to buildup and the demand/supply schedule of commodities further moves towards the price.

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Currencies

Tuesday, December 16, 2008

U.S. Dollar Slides Ahead of FOMC Interest Rate Cut Meeting / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD remains under pressure to end Monday as several technical levels fail putting the majors on the offensive into tomorrows’ FOMC meeting. Analysts remain optimistic for a 50 BP cut in rates adding a bit of weight to current USD sentiment. At this point the USD remains the worlds’ number 2 low-yielding currency with only the Yen providing less. With year-end repatriation into higher-yielding currencies as traders square-books with only a few solid trading days to go into year-end the USD appears likely to suffer more losses this week.

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Currencies

Monday, December 15, 2008

U.S. Dollar Topping Action Intensifies, Sell Dollars into Strength / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD opens the week on a softer note and remains under light pressure at the start of New York trade. Overnight action was subdued with most of the action contained in Yen cross spreads after the release of Japan’s Tankan report; traders note that the report was very soft and below forecasts prompting some analysts to expect the BOJ to cut interest rates at some point soon. With rates at .3% from the BOJ it is difficult to expect that a rate cut would help much as the bank has held effectively a zero-rate policy since the 1990’s; USD/JPY is lower at 90.74 with highs at 91.37 and lows at 90.47 making for an inside range day with lower two-way action. Traders report bid interest on the dip to 90.50 area likely from option defense and profit-taking from shorts. Additionally, EURO/JPY was firmer after the Tankan report which helped to support USD/JPY.

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Currencies

Saturday, December 13, 2008

Euro Set to Fall Against the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / Euro

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJack Crooks writes: There's been a strong move against the U.S. dollar this week. But am I envious of the euro right now? Definitely not.

Technically the dollar is extremely overbought. So I expect a decent, near-term correction upward in the euro. However, according to my analysis, the euro is set to weaken substantially against the U.S. dollar over the next several months.

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Currencies

Friday, December 12, 2008

U.S. Dollar Set to Decline on Back of Bailouts Frenzy / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: The plethora of bank and corporate bailouts, stimulus plans and interest-rate cuts that the U.S. government has produced over the last three months can only lead to one outcome: The U.S. dollar has to decline.

During the crisis so far, the dollar in general, and U.S. Treasury bonds in particular, have been regarded as a “safe haven,” making the dollar strong and pushing long-term U.S. Treasury rates downward. In the New Year, however, this is likely to change – the weight of the added supply of dollars in circulation will be too great for the greenback to shrug off.

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Currencies

Friday, December 12, 2008

What the Sterling Crisis Means for You / Currencies / British Pound

By: MoneyWeek

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf this isn't a sterling crisis, what is? Not content with plunging 25% against the dollar over the last six months, the pound is now fast heading for parity with the euro.

Our so-called government may think it can solve Britain 's economic problems via borrowing like crazy, and letting sterling collapse into the bargain.

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Currencies

Thursday, December 11, 2008

U.S. Dollar in Retreat as Corporate Failure Risks Soar on U.S. Auto's Bailout / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt may be premature to call the recent currency developments a paradigm shift, but it is worth shedding light on these changes as the news from Capitol Hill overlap with thin trading volumes. The current weakness of the US dollar is not only taking part against higher yielding counterparts such as the commodity currencies (which was usually assign of improved risk appetite), but also against the Japanese yen. Since the intensification of the market and economic weakness, the greenback would gain versus most major currencies with the exception of the yen during curtailed appetite, while losing ground versus its higher yielding counterparts and weighing on the yen at times of improved risk appetite.

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Currencies

Thursday, December 11, 2008

U.S. Dollar Continued Topping Action / Currencies / Futures Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD lost ground today after a mixed open this morning; traders note that volumes remained lighter but there was no doubt which side the orders were on. After a slightly higher open in Equities this morning the prospects for the USD tracked the rise and fall in Equities during the day; turning lower into mid-day stocks posted losses before recovering to trade back through the opening range. The majors tracked the rise and fall through the day ultimately to end better on the day but off the traded highs.

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Currencies

Thursday, December 11, 2008

British Pound Heading for Parity Against the Euro / Currencies / British Pound

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSterling continued its Crash of 2008 by falling to a new all time low against the Euro by trading below 1.14, which is just another marker enroute towards parity to the Euro as investors and speculators continue to adjust to the deteriorating fundamentals of record low interest rates, economic stagflation and an exploding pubic sector debt burden that is likely to cripple the British economy for many years AFTER the recession of 2009. Already some Bureau De changes are offering an exchange rate to the Euro of just 1.04.

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 10, 2008

U.S. Dollar Under Pressure / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt was a disappointing day today for equities traders as the follow-on buying seen overnight failed to inspire traders in New York today; the DJIA shed over 200 points near the end of the day putting pressure on USD bears. Crude oil lost over $1.50/BBL as well putting conflicting fundamentals in play for equities traders. The net result for traders in the majors was solid two-way whipsaw over the course of New York trade; EURO rallying to post a nine-day high at 1.3002 looking very much like a test of the resting stops rumored to be at the 1.3030 area untouched before dropping back as equities gave back recent gains.

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Currencies

Tuesday, December 09, 2008

U.S. Dollar Weakens Amidst Signs of Easing Credit Crisis / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHigher equities on follow-on strength from overnight positive stock prices helped to lift the majors against the USD with most pairs setting new highs against the Greenback in late trade. GBP regained the 1.4900 handle but still off the Asian highs of 1.5051 in New York; traders note that spillover strength from EURO is helping to hold GBP firmer. Additionally, cross-spreaders continued to buy Sterling on the crosses also bringing the upside in focus. Today’s close over the 1.4940 area is the highest close in six days suggesting a near-term bottom may be forming in that rate.

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Currencies

Monday, December 08, 2008

U.S. Dollar Two Way Action Following Interest Rate Cuts / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD is lower to start New York after a quiet steady open in Asia overnight; traders note trading was subdued in early trade but appetite for the Yen crosses finally began to push the USD lower. Technical trade was the rule as no real unexpected news was released . Falling back from Friday’s highs the Greenback failed at several key technical support levels across all major pairs to start the week on the defensive. Equities were higher across the board with all major bourses in the black by several percent helping to support their respective currencies.

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Currencies

Saturday, December 06, 2008

U.S. Dollar Bull Market Thriving on Bearish Skeptics / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJack Crooks writes: I was doing some research earlier in the week, and I came across a blog I'd never heard of written by a guy I'd never heard of on a topic that we've all most certainly heard of … the U.S. dollar.

It was the same old story that's been beaten into the ground:

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Currencies

Thursday, December 04, 2008

GBP and EURO on Hold Pending Interest Rate Decisions / Currencies / Futures Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD continued in solid two-way action driven mostly by the changing fortunes of stocks the past 24 hours. Traders note that most of the volume in the major pairs was ahead of the London fix when equities prices were higher in New York; likely a late sell-off on the release of the Fed’s Beige Book contributed to the decline in stocks late in the day .Despite the heavy focus on equities today, lower Gold and Oil prices helped to help underpin the USD across the board but most pairs didn’t extend past early New York volatility this morning.

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 03, 2008

U.S. Dollar Continues to Consolidate Ahead of Non Farm Payrolls / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDespite a weaker open and a test of near-term S/R the USD has recovered to post highs against some pairs as intraday volatility continues. Equities faded into the middle of the day unable to hold early gains helping to push the majors to lower prices in two-way volatility. Crude giving up gains also was a factor for lower EURO pricing traders say but for the most part the majors are struggling to hold support against negative sentiment as traders continue to wait for signs that the financial crisis is mitigating.

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Currencies

Tuesday, December 02, 2008

US Dollar Strength Likely to Stall Due to Dismal Fundamentals / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFalling equities, weaker US economic data and fear of larger than expected rate cuts by the ECB and the ECB later this week kept the pressure on the majors today as GBP, EURO, Swissy and CAD gave back recent gains. Traders note stops were part of today’s trade but thin conditions remained a contributing factor likely making the moves a bit bigger than would normally be the case.

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Currencies

Monday, December 01, 2008

US Dollar Strong on Seasonal Tendencies / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD is mixed in early New York after trading two-way and technical during the holiday shortened week. Traders note that a weak start to the week in Gold and Crude Oil is helping to support the USD overnight. Traders note the USD is holding roughly within existing ranges but that some stops were noted as the EURO and GBP crossed last weeks’ opening range suggesting some technical trading continues in two-way action.Poor UK economic data pressured GBP in overnight action pushing the rate to a low print of 1.5010 in late European trade; traders note stops on a break of the 1.5120 area in size.

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Currencies

Monday, December 01, 2008

Britain to Give up the Pound and Join the Euro? / Currencies / British Pound

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt seems that every few weeks more panic measures are announced by the UK government as it is forced to take drastic action in the face of a collapsing financial system and economy slumping fast into recession. First came Septembers ban on short selling of banking stocks, followed by the £500 billion budget busting bank rescue in October, then the panic interest rate cuts, and most recently the emergency VAT cutting budget, now speculation is growing as discussions are leaked that Britain is moving towards joining the Euro as alluded to by the European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso whilst speaking on French TV and radio Sunday:

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Currencies

Wednesday, November 26, 2008

Deleveraging Pushes Up the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: John_Browne

In view of the economic crisis facing the American and global markets, the recent strength of the U.S. dollar has confounded analysts. After all, the global economic problems essentially emanate from the United States and one would assume that the collapse of our economy would drag our currency down. That has not, as yet, transpired. The explanation can be found in a financial concept known as deleveraging.

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Currencies

Wednesday, November 26, 2008

U.S. Dollar Continues to Sketch in a Significant Top / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD continued to slide today after the release of benign US Q3 GDP estimates; traders note that early USD strength was stop-driven on low volume suggesting that the Greenback is running out of committed buyers as we head into a holiday shortened week. Analysts remind that year-end book-squaring will likely add a bit of pressure to the USD and technical factors are not positive after the turnaround seen the past 72 hours or so.

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