Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, April 30, 2010
Is It All Over for the Euro? Forex Trading Video / Currencies / Euro
Things have been bad in Europe recently. Between the travel restrictions due to the volcano and ash, as well as Greece not wanting to conform to strict fiscal policies, problems are adding up and adding weight onto the euro.
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Thursday, April 29, 2010
Chart Du Jour Greek Drachma vs Euro / Currencies / Global Debt Crisis
Europe's hopes of containing the crisis dimmed as Spain became the third euro-zone nation to be hit with an S&P downgrade in just two days, following steeper cuts on Portugal and Greece.
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Thursday, April 29, 2010
U.S. Dollar Mixed After Fed Leaves Interest Rates Unchanged / Currencies / US Dollar
The Fed concluded its Board meeting Wednesday afternoon (April 28) by announcing that it was leaving interest rates unchanged with the key funds rate near zero per cent. The announcement is not surprising given most of the Central Bank leaders’ commitment to leave rates low for an ‘extended period’, but it is interesting to see following a month long crusade by a few economists and leaders to advocate for raising rates to stave off inflation.
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Tuesday, April 27, 2010
Implications of Chinese Yuan Currency Appreciation / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
Recently, there has been a lot of news and evidence supporting the likelihood of the Chinese authorities allowing the Chinese currency, the yuan or renminbi (CNY), to trade within a wider trading band.
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Monday, April 26, 2010
The Fall Of The Euro / Currencies / Euro
Many a weekend since the beginning of the year has been occupied by a “crisis” in the euro. But this weekend’s “crisis” seems to be the mother of them all. As such, it will probably put an end to them, and the gold market will pull out of its funk and resume its bull trend.
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Sunday, April 25, 2010
A Closer Look at China's Currency Manipulation / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Jonathan Finegold Catalán writes: There is much disagreement on how the United States should deal with China's persistent devaluation of the yuan. Worse, there is still substantial confusion on the actual effects of an undervalued yuan on capital markets, "trade deficits", and the economy in general. The most widely accepted and common theory goes something like this: currency devaluation helps China by boosting its exports, and hurts the United States by widening the "trade deficit." Indeed, President Barack Obama recently suggested that the United States needed "to make sure our goods are not artificially inflated in price and their goods are not artificially deflated in price; that puts us at a huge competitive disadvantage."
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Saturday, April 24, 2010
Watch the Euro for Important Clues on Global Financial Markets / Currencies / Fiat Currency
If you’re looking for clues on where stocks, commodities and global economies are headed, you might be better served keeping a close eye on the euro, rather than on the incoming stream of corporate earnings reports.
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Friday, April 23, 2010
China Yuan /U.S. Dollar To Peg or Not to Peg? / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
While I attended an economic conference last week in Shanghai, I found it notable - but not surprising - that two former Secretaries of the Treasury, John Snow and Hank Paulson, as well as current Treasury Secretary Tim Geither, and former President George W. Bush were then in the country at the same time. The fact that so many key American power brokers (myself not included) were in China simultaneously is no coincidence. In an overly indebted world, the $2.5 trillion that China holds in foreign reserves is acting as a center of economic gravity, inexorably pulling all market participants into its orbit.
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Friday, April 23, 2010
EUR/GBP Slip Unnerves the Bulls / Currencies / Forex Trading
A short term bull signal seen earlier this year has essentially been negated now, following a deep pullback. Latest weakness has turned focus on key supports, and increases speculation that the EUR/GBP cross could be topping out.
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Friday, April 23, 2010
U.S. Dollar Shines After Upbeat Unemployment and Housing News / Currencies / US Dollar
Two very positive reports on the economy Thursday (April 22) morning have helped strengthen the dollar against major currencies and commodities. Home sales were relatively strongly during the month of March and last week’s new jobless claims fell by 24,000 from the week before, in line with analyst estimates.
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Thursday, April 22, 2010
The Devaluation of the U.S. Dollar, Gold's Springboard / Currencies / US Dollar
The need is urgent. The recognition is broad. Supply & Demand of American debt paper demand price adjustment. The USGovt avoids the topic like the plague. The billboard fact of the matter, as USCongressional politicians like to say, is that the USDollar must be take a downward revaluation of significant magnitude in order to even begin to offer a semblance of equilibrium and balance. Natural forces are aligned against those in power who resist the adjustment. Imbalances are too magnificent. They invite continued global revolt and financial insurrection.
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Thursday, April 22, 2010
FX Refuge into USD from Greece Crisis, UK TV Election Debate / Currencies / Forex Trading
The current pullback in equities adds to the USD gains especially as the greenback benefits from Greek uncertainty and further lead in the LDP's standing in UK election opinion polls.
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Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Dollar-Yen YCS ETF Heading Higher / Currencies / Forex Trading
It is fascinating to me that USD/Yen (dollar up, yen down) hit its most recent rally peak at 94.80 on April 5 – two weeks ago – and looks like it completed a correction at yesterday’s low of 91.60. What is so fascinating about? In the financial world we currently find ourselves, equity weakness (i.e., certainly the type that was triggered last Friday by GS) and fear of the unknown still attracts money into yen (from dollars), which occurred only last Friday.
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Monday, April 19, 2010
The Search for a New World Reserve Currency / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Currency, like all forms of abstract value, is based on trust. And trust itself is based - except among the most naïve - on experience, and the repetitive demonstration of fidelity, whether positive or negative. At present, the US dollar, which had experienced a gradual rise during the 20th Century to the position gained well into the Cold War of being the trading world’s reserve currency. It had the mass, in terms of volumes of available currency; it had the backing of an indisputably wealthy national asset base to move away from the gold standard; it had stable governmental backing.
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Monday, April 19, 2010
U.S. Dollar Devaluation, Phase Two / Currencies / US Dollar
Recently, I’ve issued several warnings. Chief among them …
That investors everywhere are waking up to their leaders as being nothing more than emperors with no clothes. Reckless spenders with not a single clue of what they’re doing and full of false hopes.
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Sunday, April 18, 2010
Can U.S. Dollar Remain the World's Reserve Currency? / Currencies / US Dollar
Jane D'Arista: US dollar as world's reserve currency is great if you own a bank; not much good for Main St.
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Friday, April 16, 2010
EUR/CHF Trying To Reverse / Currencies / Forex Trading
Earlier this year, following a clear break lower, it looked as though bears in the EUR/CHF cross rate were running out of steam. However, a second wind saw a fresh move south which does, in fact, look like a blow-off move, with recovery prospects improved.
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Friday, April 16, 2010
U.S. Dollar Wins as $18 Billion Jobless Benefits Bill Becomes Law / Currencies / US Dollar
The dollar made gains on Thursday (April 15) against most major currencies and also put a wrap on driving oil prices and gold prices. The dollar’s strength is due partly to the rapid passing of an $18 billion extension of unemployment benefits for hundreds of thousands of people that have been struggling after their state-paid unemployment benefits ran out.
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Thursday, April 15, 2010
What I Am Watching EURUSD / Currencies / Euro
The EURUSD cross rate has been bouncing around its weekly key pivot point for several weeks now. See figure 1, a weekly chart of the EURUSD.
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Thursday, April 15, 2010
U.S. Dollar Grave Concerns Remain / Currencies / US Dollar
We continue to see risks ahead for the U.S. economy, and in particular, the U.S. dollar. Significant global imbalances remain – indeed; the recent global financial crisis has served to exaggerate many of these imbalances. Of grave concern is the unsustainable Federal budget deficit, which may have morphed out of control, with no signs of government constraint over the near-term. The U.S. current account deficit remains at a high level, and will likely weigh on the dollar for years to come.
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