Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, April 18, 2010
Can U.S. Dollar Remain the World's Reserve Currency? / Currencies / US Dollar
Jane D'Arista: US dollar as world's reserve currency is great if you own a bank; not much good for Main St.
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Friday, April 16, 2010
EUR/CHF Trying To Reverse / Currencies / Forex Trading
Earlier this year, following a clear break lower, it looked as though bears in the EUR/CHF cross rate were running out of steam. However, a second wind saw a fresh move south which does, in fact, look like a blow-off move, with recovery prospects improved.
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Friday, April 16, 2010
U.S. Dollar Wins as $18 Billion Jobless Benefits Bill Becomes Law / Currencies / US Dollar
The dollar made gains on Thursday (April 15) against most major currencies and also put a wrap on driving oil prices and gold prices. The dollar’s strength is due partly to the rapid passing of an $18 billion extension of unemployment benefits for hundreds of thousands of people that have been struggling after their state-paid unemployment benefits ran out.
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Thursday, April 15, 2010
What I Am Watching EURUSD / Currencies / Euro
The EURUSD cross rate has been bouncing around its weekly key pivot point for several weeks now. See figure 1, a weekly chart of the EURUSD.
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Thursday, April 15, 2010
U.S. Dollar Grave Concerns Remain / Currencies / US Dollar
We continue to see risks ahead for the U.S. economy, and in particular, the U.S. dollar. Significant global imbalances remain – indeed; the recent global financial crisis has served to exaggerate many of these imbalances. Of grave concern is the unsustainable Federal budget deficit, which may have morphed out of control, with no signs of government constraint over the near-term. The U.S. current account deficit remains at a high level, and will likely weigh on the dollar for years to come.
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Thursday, April 15, 2010
Chinese Currency Manipulation is America’s Fault / Currencies / Market Manipulation
Despite the Obama administration's desperate efforts to keep the issue off the boil, Chinese currency manipulation is back in the news again. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner just politely postponed his official report on the question, and Beijing seems to have responded to this courtesy by hinting that it may allow some token appreciation in its currency.
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Tuesday, April 13, 2010
Washington Not China Is the Real Currency Manipulator Here / Currencies / Market Manipulation
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: SHANGHAI, People's Republic of China - China just posted its first monthly trade deficit in nearly six years, a $7.24 billion shortfall for March that essentially torpedoes Washington's argument that the Asian giant is a "currency manipulator" of the worst kind.
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Sunday, April 11, 2010
Euro Crisis, Greek Bonds Crashing and Capital Flight as Default Risks Soar / Currencies / Euro
It’s been two weeks since the bailout speculation surrounding the Achilles’ heel of the euro zone, Greece, has had some closure.
European officials kept the balls in the air as long as they could in an attempt to distract speculators … to manage fears of a Greek and euro-zone crisis. It was a carefully orchestrated game of confusion.
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Sunday, April 11, 2010
Fed Attacks the Fed as Soros Pumps Up the Press For Another Sterling Devaluation Bet / Currencies / Fiat Currency
In a candid attack on his former colleagues, Poole Says Fed Has ‘Tilted Playing Field’
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Sunday, April 11, 2010
Currency Manipulation, Are Fixed Exchange Rates Coming Back? / Currencies / Fiat Currency
The International Monetary Fund or IMF, long a citadel of free-market thinking, conceded in a little-noticed official report in February that controls on the international movement of capital may be appropriate in some circumstances. This report deserved more attention, because this is big.
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Friday, April 09, 2010
The Yen and the Euro’s weakness / Currencies / Forex Trading
The Technical Trader’s view:
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Wednesday, April 07, 2010
Alert, Euro On Verge of Real Crisis / Currencies / Euro
Something big is up, and it’s possible the Euro is going into a real crisis within two months…Is this the next big market surprise ala Lehman? Not exactly like Lehman, but of the scale of that crisis that shook the entire world and almost caused worldwide bank shutdowns in Fall 2008? I am beginning to think so, and have been discussing this looming new worry for subscribers, IE we are right at the cusp of something big for the Euro and the European Union, not only financially but very much so politically. Imagine what a real Euro crisis would do to – everything!
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Wednesday, April 07, 2010
Rebuttal: Martin Wolf FT piece “Revaluing Reminibi” / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
Martin Wolf article in FT Revaluing Reminibi was an insightful piece of writing making an overwhelming case for the revaluation of the Yuan. I respectfully disagree with him and think that he too has given into the “crowd thinking” behind Yuan revaluation which is being led by Goldman, Geithner and a host of Investment banks in the US.
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Tuesday, April 06, 2010
Euro Speeding Towards the Currency Graveyard / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Between 1998 and 2002 I published several articles on how the just born euro currency would ultimately fail, resulting in the collapse of the European Monetary Union.
Almost everyone, even my colleagues, scoffed at my forecast. But my reasoning was sound: No matter what the short-term benefits of the new euro, mainly in trade within Europe, I said, long term, there was no way the euro would survive, because …
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Thursday, April 01, 2010
U.S. Dollar Climbing Against Yen / Currencies / US Dollar
Everyday this week (so far) the USD has climbed against the Yen. Today's action, in particular, is impressive because the USD has climbed, hurdled and sustained above its prior significant recovery rally peak at 93.78, which was established in Jan. The fact that the USD is so relatively strong vis-à-vis the Yen likely reflects the perceived and actual strengthening of the US economy compared with Japan. Tomorrow's Employment data (non-farm payrolls) could provide the catalyst for another thrust in USD/Yen.
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Thursday, April 01, 2010
China Currency Overtaking the U.S. Dollar: The Three Phases of Yuan / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
The use of the Chinese Renminbi in Hong Kong is on the increase.
Over the last ten years, the Renminbi (RMB) or yuan, has been slowly gaining influence in the markets that surround mainland China. And about one year ago Hong Kong, a major commerce and trading hub, introduced a new trade settlement that allowed Hong Kong business’ to use the RMB as a trading currency.
Thursday, April 01, 2010
Has Sterling Found its Feet? / Currencies / British Pound
The Technical Trader’s view:
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Thursday, April 01, 2010
EUR/JPY Base Now Complete / Currencies / Forex Trading
In a recent Update we noted that bears in the EURJPY cross rate were looking tired, although nothing bullish had been signaled at that stage. Latest action, however, has seen a short term base complete, with a bull signal now in place.
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Tuesday, March 30, 2010
Forex Market Signals from Commodities and LIBOR / Currencies / Forex Trading
The impact of interest rate differentials on FX is highlighted by the fact that the correlation between EURUSD and GE-US 10-year yields is now at +0.90, the highest since June 2007. Global bond yields may be rising across the board but the 10-year yield differential between Germany and the US continues to deteriorate for Germany, hitting 3-year lows at 0.73%.
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Friday, March 26, 2010
U.S. Dollar Index Going Higher? / Currencies / US Dollar
It has been a while since we looked at the dollar index, so today we decided to dissect this market and look at it step-by-step.
What is happening in this market is very interesting and I think you will see in this short video just what we have in mind.
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