Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, November 23, 2018
Advice to make it as a professional in the forex market / Currencies / Forex Trading
The forex market is perhaps one of the most misunderstood markets out there. It’s seen only ever in its simplest form by many holidaymakers and travellers, while for newbie retail investors, it’s sometimes thought of as either too volatile or too complicated. For technical analysts, the heavy focus that many forex publications place on fundamental analysis points such as interest rate rises can seem too much.
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Monday, November 12, 2018
One Direction More Likely for Bitcoin Price / Currencies / Bitcoin
The recent period of sideways trading may make traders impatient or even discouraged altogether. At any rate, those who crave more action in Bitcoin could be driven out of the market. But this is no time to bet on Bitcoin staying docile.
If the recent months haven’t exactly been rosy for Bitcoin traders, there are avenues which might offer more optimistic news. Unlikely avenues, perhaps. A report by Morgan Stanley suggests that Bitcoin might have become an asset class for institutional investors. In an article on CoinDesk, we read:
Institutional investors are increasingly getting involved in bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies – while the number of retail investors in the space is staying stagnant – according to a new report by Morgan Stanley.
Friday, November 09, 2018
USD/CAD – The Moment of Truth Is Coming / Currencies / Forex Trading
Although the U.S. dollar increased recently against its Canadian counterpart, currency bulls didn’t manage to trigger an upward move above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement for the third time in a row. Will their nearest ally be able to stop the selling pressure once again in the coming days?
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Sunday, November 04, 2018
5 Major Factors Affecting the Direction of EUR/USD / Currencies / Euro
The EUR/USD pair is a major trading pair at the markets. According to https://www.Forexobchodnik.sk the volume of trade recorded each day for this pair is the highest of any other pair at the exchange market. In order to get a proper insight into what factors affect the direction of this par, a little background is important for each of the units on the pair. To start with, the Euro is the largest currency in Europe and it is the second largest in the world – only behind the US dollar/
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Saturday, October 27, 2018
In Search of a Bearish Bitcoin Trigger / Currencies / Bitcoin
A large asset manager has decided to offer Bitcoin trading to its institutional investors. Bitcoin shot up around the announcement but reversed course and erased most of the move up. The currency has stayed subdued since. This could mean that the market is getting boring. It could also mean that investors and traders are taking a breather before a more decisive move.
Traditional asset managers are not necessarily averse to Bitcoin. It turns out that Fidelity Investments, one of the largest asset managers in the world, is interested in providing hedge funds with access to the Bitcoin market. In an article on the Wall Street Journal website, we read:
Fidelity Investments said it will store and trade bitcoin for hedge funds and other professional investors, becoming one of the first Wall Street giants to step into this volatile corner of the financial world.
(…)
Sunday, October 21, 2018
Why Is the Weakness In GBP/USD Likely? / Currencies / British Pound
In recent days, the British pound declined quite sharply against the greenback, which caused several negative developments. Will currency bears be strong enough to trigger further deterioration in the coming week?
EUR/USD – Double Bottom or Further Declines?
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Friday, October 19, 2018
Bitcoin Trend Analysis 2018 / Currencies / Bitcoin
Here's my latest update on the prospects for the Bitcoin price for the remainder of 2018 and beyond.
But firstly a recap of my forecast for 2018 which I published when the crypto was trading at USD 14,000, warning that the Bitcoin price was likely to continue crashing lower towards $5,000, a forecast that at the time was met with much denial from the bitcoin community that appeared to have pinned their hopes on the crypto revisiting $20k.
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Thursday, October 18, 2018
Bitcoin Technical Analysis / Currencies / Bitcoin
Pattern – the downtrend since the spike high looks to have slowed to crawl and I believe it can continue to drift lower.
Fibonacci – price has been making its way through the angles which is some consolation for the bulls. After trading a bit further down I believe price can rally and eventually crack above the 88.6% angle which may provide some temporary resistance.
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Sunday, October 14, 2018
Bitcoin Breakdown May Push Prices Below $5000 / Currencies / Bitcoin
Recent market turmoil across the global stock markets has refocused investors on the concerns of global economics, trade, and geopolitical issues – away from cryptocurrencies. The biggest, Bitcoin, has been under extended pricing pressure recently and our research team believes Bitcoin will breach the $6000 level to the downside fairly quickly as extended global market downtrends continue.
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Friday, October 12, 2018
US Dollar Engulfing Bearish Pattern Warns Of Dollar Weakness / Currencies / US Dollar
A unique setup has occurred in the UUP (Invesco DB US Dollar Index) that resembles an Engulfing Bearish type of pattern (even though it is not technically an Engulfing Bearish pattern). Technically, an Engulfing Bearish pattern should consist of a green candle followed by a larger red candle whereas the red candle’s body (the open to close range) completely engulfs the previous candle’s body. In the instance we are highlighting in this article, a unique variation of what we’ll call a “Completely Filled Engulfing Bearish” pattern is setting up.
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Thursday, October 11, 2018
USD and US Tr. Yields Retreat, GBP Gains on Brexit-deal Report / Currencies / Forex Trading
The dollar traded lower against its major peers on Tuesday as US Treasury yields pulled back after hitting a new high. The pound was among the main gainers, surging after a report noted that the terms of the UK’s exit from the EU could be settled next week.
USD Pulls Back as US Treasury yields Come off Their Highs
The dollar traded lower against all but one of the other G10 currencies on Tuesday. It managed to gain fractionally only against SEK. The main winners against the greenback were NZD, GBP and AUD in that order, while the currency that gained the least was JPY.
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Thursday, October 11, 2018
“A Loaf Of Bread, A Gallon Of Gas, An Ounce Of Gold” Revisited / Currencies / Inflation
One of the earliest articles I wrote was “A Loaf Of Bread, A Gallon Of Gas, An Ounce Of Gold”. The information contained in the article is basic to a fundamental and accurate understanding of gold.
The convolution and complication of basic fundamentals reigns supreme in almost all analysis of gold. That is unfortunate, because it obscures the simple truth.
The simple truth is that gold is real money. Even that simple truth, however, deserves some further explanation.
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Wednesday, October 10, 2018
Russian Ruble Technical Chart Analysis and Forecast / Currencies / Russia
Today I am taking a look at the Russian Ruble against the US Dollar that follows a request from a $12 Patron. The Ruble is not a market I monitor so my analysis is limited to a quick technical take.
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Tuesday, October 09, 2018
Euro Vulnerable as Slowing Growth Reveals Underlying Issues / Currencies / Euro
Deb Shaw writes:
- Economic indicators point to a worsening slowdown in the Eurozone
- As growth slows, cracks are beginning to appear, starting with Italian financial markets
- After engineering a massive trade surplus, Eurozone now reliant on its trading partners
In our last commentary on the euro in late August, we wrote that the common currency was set to weaken further thanks to (1) slowing growth, (2) slowing inflation and (3) an outsized speculator long position in euro futures and options. Following the publication of our last commentary, EUR/USD has weakened from 1.1730 – 1.180 (the top-end of its trading range that we update daily on our website) down to 1.1510 (the current price on October 4).
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Friday, October 05, 2018
Ripple (XRP) Makes Huge Waves: Did You See Them Coming? / Currencies / BlockChain
7 Days of Free Forecasts
11 Top FX Markets + Bitcoin, Ethereum & Litecoin
Forex FreeWeek | October 3-10, 2018
You've just seen how Elliott Wave analysis can help you anticipate even the fastest-moving turns in trend. So: if you want analysis for where EURUSD, USDJPY and Bitcoin and other cryptos are headed next...
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Friday, October 05, 2018
USD Lifted by Data and Fed Chair Powell’s Remarks / Currencies / US Dollar
The US dollar outperformed all its major peers yesterday following solid economic data and hawkish remarks by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Italian assets were supported by the reports that Italy’s government is planning to scale back its deficit targets for 2020 and 2021, while in the UK, PM May’s speech did not result in any major market reaction.
Dollar and Tr. Yields Surge on Upbeat US Data and Powell’s Comments
The dollar managed to outperform all the other G10 currencies on Wednesday. It gained the most against NZD, AUD and NOK, while the currencies against which it gained the least were GBP and CAD.
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Wednesday, October 03, 2018
Bitcoin Time for More Action? / Currencies / Bitcoin
Bitcoin has been moving up for some time now. The path to higher values has been a rocky one and Bitcoin bulls might be getting some encouragement. Whether this translates to a bullish outlook is another question entirely.
Not all governments are hostile to Bitcoin. Actually, a lot of governments are simply not sure what Bitcoin is and how to approach it. The government of Malta stands out as an example of how officials might actually try to understand the currency and regulate it. In an article on CoinDesk, we read:
Now, in an address to the United Nation's General Assembly, Malta Prime Minister Joseph Muscat has said he sees blockchain technology as the tool which will allow bitcoin and crypto to "inevitably" gain widespread, mass adoption and become the future of money.
Sunday, September 30, 2018
Forex and Crypto Market Forecasts / Currencies / Forex Trading
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Friday, September 28, 2018
XEU & XJY Forex Markets Charts Analysis / Currencies / Forex Trading
Sometimes a stock can push you just far enough to make you doubt the validity of your analysis just at the most opportune time. Such has been the case for the US dollar where all the evidence strongly suggests it’s in a bull market. I’m not going to go into a lot of detail right here, but I want to show you a couple of charts for the XEU and the XJY that still suggest they’re weak compared to the US dollar.
This first chart is a daily bar chart for the XEU which shows the possible H&S top building out. The last time we looked at this chart the price action was building out the right shoulder with the neckline symmetry line showing the height of the right shoulder. As you can see the XEU traded slightly higher than the neckline symmetry line which for a few days looked like the possible H&S top maybe failing. Note the gap above the neckline symmetry line and now the gap below the neckline symmetry line which shows an island reversal above the neckline symmetry line, see sidebar for more clarity. The year plus H&S top is still in play IMHO.
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Thursday, September 20, 2018
Can Bitcoin's True Value Be Zero? / Currencies / Bitcoin
The perspective that most have about Bitcoin ranges from complete lack of knowledge to utter certainty that it will change the world. Moreover, there are really no true “fundamentals” with which analysts are able to even attempt to value it based upon traditional methods. But, that certainly has not stopped everyone and their mother from providing their opinion based upon their “feelings.”
Yes, most of what you see presented on the valuation of Bitcoin is nothing more than the analysts’ “feelings.” In fact, I read an article a few days ago which provided the perfect example of this phenomena seen in the crypto-currency market. In a recent article, Geoffrey Caveney provided us his “feelings” about Bitcoin: