Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, August 24, 2018
US Dollar Rumbling Below the Surface / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Today is all about Fed Chair Powell's Jackson Hole Speech at 10 am Eastern, but from a market perspective, we might want to keep a close watch on the reaction of the USD to what Powell says or does not say.
Why? Yesterday's strength in the Dollar has reversed overnight into this morning's pre-market session.
In a post to members at 15:30 yesterday, I posited the following about the USD: "The $64,000 question about Gold and the Gold Miners depends on the direction of the USD: Was the recent decline in DXY the start of a period of weakness or a completed correction?"
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Friday, August 24, 2018
EUR/GBP Remains in Uptrend / Currencies / Euro
By: FXOpen
The daily chart of EUR/GBP remains in an uptrend above the 0.8940 support.
Key Points
- EUR/GBP is following a significant uptrend above the 0.8900 swing low.
- There are two bullish trend lines in place with supports near 0.8940 and 0.8880 on the daily chart.
Thursday, August 23, 2018
Fiat Currency Inflation, And Collapse Insurance / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Raymond_Matison
FIAT CURRENCY INFLATION, AND COLLAPSE INSURANCE
Insurance against fiat currency
Billions of people covering a vast land mass around the globe do not have insurance of any sort. Why? It is because they own few assets. No house, no car, just a hovel with no electricity or water at the foothills of some nondescript mountain. By contrast, those who live in advanced economies have assets worthwhile protecting against loss. Thus, we in America have homeowners insurance to protect against the loss of our dwelling, auto insurance to protect against the involuntary conversion of our movement conveyance into scrap metal, and to protect our financial assets against a lawsuit which could strip us of our savings and investment assets in the face of our fault in an automobile accident. Further, we protect our family’s income and savings by purchasing life or disability insurance. We buy insurance because we do have assets, and believe it worthwhile to protect those assets against unforeseeable loss, when the cost of that insurance is affordable.
Why is it then, that we do not protect our assets against the major foreseeable and persistent source of asset loss – that of loss in the value of our currency. Should we not have protection against inflation and the resulting loss of value or purchasing power in our fiat currency represented in our pension funds, stock or bond funds, or savings and money market account assets? We know and acknowledge that inflation robs us of our savings each and every year. Since 1971, even using the contrived statistics used in calculating the Consumers Price Index, the value of a 1971 collar is just worth $0.16 today. That is a very significant loss in value over a relatively short period of time.
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Thursday, August 23, 2018
Big Money and the Big Lie / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Rob_Kirby
The picture below is one of the most important pieces anyone could look at to begin understanding the true nature/condition of our global financial system:
This picture depicts the life cycle of “ANY” fiat currency with compound interest. This concept is explained thoroughly by Chris Martenson on his web site under the moniker of The Accelerated Crash Course. I recommend everyone read it.
Wednesday, August 22, 2018
How Will Ethereum Scale? / Currencies / BlockChain
By: David_Milsont
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Tuesday, August 21, 2018
Where to Trade Cryptocurrencies? / Currencies / BlockChain
By: David_Milsont
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Sunday, August 19, 2018
Bitcoin: Landing Gear Engaged. Bottom Is Still a Process / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Ryan_Wilday
If you have tracked me at all since January, I had stated that if bitcoin (BTC-USD) is in a wave iv of the degree that I believed, support for this corrective wave, that started in January is in the $3000-$4700 zone. $4700 is an ideal landing spot for this wave iv as it is the .382 retrace of the third wave that began in July 2016.
Further, if you tracked my writing, I saw many setups that can bring us to that level, and likewise many bullish setups that could have taken us out of this long correction prematurely. All failed.
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Sunday, August 19, 2018
Venezuela's Great Bolivar Scam, Nothing but a Face Lift / Currencies / HyperInflation
By: Steve_H_Hanke
In the days leading up to Venezuela’s currency reform, which is set for August 20th, the bolivar has taken yet another deep dive. The chart below shows the bolivar’s free fall and the massive gap between the official exchange rate of 248,521 VEF/USD and the black-market (read: free-market) exchange rate of 6,670,079 VEF/USD. That gap results in a whopping black market premium of 2,584%. It also produces huge profits for Maduro’s cronies who have access to the official rate. They can purchase greenbacks for peanuts and sell them on the black market for an instantaneous profit of 2,584%.
Friday, August 17, 2018
What Is The Future Of Turkish Lira? / Currencies / Turkey
By: ElliottWave-Forecast
Turkish Lira dropped nearly 30% since Friday, 10th August 2018 and one stage and has since recovered nearly half of the losses and now trading at 6.4093 which is still nearly 15% below where it was last Friday. We know that US President Donald Trump doubled Tariffs on Steel and Aluminium Imports from Turkey on Friday which is said to be the reason for the sharp decline in Turkish Lira (rally in USDTRY). In this blog, we take a look at the Elliott Wave structure of USDTRY and explain why the spike higher stopped where it stopped.
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Friday, August 17, 2018
US Dollar Index Mini Crash Forecast / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Austin_Galt
Latest Price – 96.57
Previous analysis updated – previous daily chart analysis was a bust. There remains no change to the overall outlook.
Daily Chart
Thursday, August 16, 2018
EURCAD Remains Bearish / Currencies / Canadian $
By: FXOpen
The daily chart of EUR/CAD remains in a downtrend below the 1.5000 pivot level.
Key Points
- EUR/CAD declined heavily and broke key supports near 1.5080, 1.5000 and 1.4920.
- There are two bearish trend lines in place with resistance at 1.5000 and 1.5150 on the daily chart.
Thursday, August 16, 2018
Up Your Forex Trading Game / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Submissions
Trading foreign exchanges has never been easier, thanks to the advent of new technology, and as a result many people are getting into this potentially lucrative form of trading.
However, like any form of financial activity, Forex trading isn’t something that you can make money from overnight. Many of the experts whose advice can be found at forextraders.comworked hard to develop their skills, and Forex trading is not simply a matter of following a simple pattern and collecting a profit. In fact, it is more of an art than a science.
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Thursday, August 16, 2018
USD/CAD Approaching Crucial Break / Currencies / Canadian $
By: FXOpen
The daily chart of USD/CAD indicates a decent uptrend above 1.3000.
Key Points
- The US Dollar is in a major uptrend with a crucial support at 1.3000 against the Canadian Dollar.
- A significant contracting triangle is formed with resistance at 1.3150 on the daily chart of USD/CAD.
Wednesday, August 15, 2018
Impulse Moves in the Currencies / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Rambus_Chartology
For the last several months or so I’ve been showing you that many of the important currencies that make up the US dollar have been breaking down from large 2 1/2 year trading ranges. If you want to know what the US dollar is going to do the first thing you need to do is look at the important currencies that make up the US dollar as the US dollar is just a derivative of those currencies. Most of the time a stock, or in this case the currencies that make up the US dollar are trading within a reversal pattern, consolidation pattern, or are in an impulse move. It’s that impulse move that you want to be aware of and the earlier the better.
Tonight I’m going to update most of the currencies we’ve been following over the last several months because I believe they’re in the process of beginning an important impulse leg down which can have a profound affect on the PM complex and commodities in general. These types of moves don’t come around all that often, but when you begin to see an important setup maturing it’s usually worth the risk to try and take advantage of what the market will give you and impulse moves are what I live for as an intermediate term trader.
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Thursday, August 09, 2018
NZD/USD Holding Important Supports / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: FXOpen
The weekly chart of NZD/USD suggests that the pair is trading in a bearish zone, but it is currently trading near important support levels.
Key Points
- NZD/USD is currently testing a key connecting support trend line at 0.6700 on the weekly chart.
- The pair could correct higher, but upsides are likely to be capped by 0.6850.
Thursday, August 09, 2018
Serious Bitcoin Price Decline / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
Bitcoin is depreciating. This might be just the turnaround you have been waiting for. But is there really enough weight behind the short-term action to pummel Bitcoin lower?
A startup backed by Starbucks, Microsoft and a couple of other companies is said to potentially pave the way for the Bitcoin ETF. In an article on CNN, we read:
Starbucks going all-in on cryptocurrency is "the biggest news of the year for bitcoin" — because it paves the way for a bitcoin ETF, according to BK Capital Management founder Brian Kelly.
Sunday, August 05, 2018
Iran's Rial Currency Is In A Death Spiral, Again / Currencies / Iran
By: Steve_H_Hanke
Iran’s rial plunged from 98,000 IRR/USD on Saturday to 112,000 IRR/USD on Sunday on Tehran’s Ferdowsi Street. That stunning 12.5% one-day plunge has pushed the rial into a classic death spiral. The last time the rial was in a grip of such a spiral was back in September 2012.
The chart below shows the downward roller coaster ride the rial has been on during the past six months, as well as this weekend’s free fall. As the chart indicates, the official IRR/USD rate is 44,030; whereas, the rate in the black market (read: free market) is 112,000. That widespread rate is now measured by a huge black-market premium of 154%. This means that those who are privileged and have access to the official exchange rate can turn handsome profits of 154% in the blink of an eye.
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Wednesday, August 01, 2018
USD/JPY and EUR/JPY Testing Significant Hurdles / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: FXOpen
The weekly chart of USD/JPY and EUR/JPY indicates that both pairs are facing important resistance levels and they remain at a risk of a bearish reaction.
Key Points
- The US Dollar is trading above the 110.00 support and the 50-week simple moving average.
- USD/JPY is facing two significant bearish trend lines with resistance near 113.00 on the weekly chart.
- EUR/JPY declined recently and settled below a key support at 131.60.
- The pair remains at a risk of more losses towards the 128.00 and 127.00 supports.
Saturday, July 28, 2018
The Key Partnerships Behind Game-Changer DasCoin / Currencies / BlockChain
By: Submissions
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Friday, July 27, 2018
Trump Put to Lower US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Axel_Merk
Has President Trump introduced a Trump Put by lashing out about rising interest rates and calling for a weaker dollar? The market reacted swiftly - and rationally - albeit not the way Trump had intended. Let me explain.
Trump suggests the U.S. is put at a “disadvantage” given that the European Central Bank and Bank of Japan continue their more expansionary monetary policies. Markets reacted by selling off the dollar versus major currencies. If that were all, you might shrug this off as disruptor-in-chief rattling the currency markets a bit. Maybe there isn’t much more to it. After all, speculators had been bidding up the greenback of late and, possibly, this was as good a catalyst as any to take some profits.1 But that’s not the end of it. First, Mr. Trump appears to favor a weaker dollar and may well provide more verbal intervention should the dollar resume its climb. In that sense, Mr. Trump has introduced Trump put. But why is it that a comment by the President moves currency markets? Partially, this may be because he has shown a willingness to use executive power to interfere with trade.
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