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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Wednesday, April 11, 2018

The Petroyuan Shift: The Eclipse of the Petrodollar Monopoly / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: Dan_Steinbock

As oil can now be traded with RMB-denominated contracts, the rise of the petroyuan will accelerate the internationalization of the Chinese currency as investors begin to increase their allocations into Chinese financial assets.

In late March, as international media focused on Trump’s tariffs and the prospects of a trade war, renminbi-denominated oil contracts began trading in the Shanghai International Energy Exchange (INE), for the first time. That will foster the rise of petroyuan, which may cause a dramatic shift in global asset allocations as institutional investors begin to diversify into China’s onshore bond markets.
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Currencies

Sunday, April 08, 2018

US Dollar Index Analysis / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Austin_Galt

Pattern – price looks to be in a consolidating the downtrend. Once this consolidation is over, which I believe is imminent, the downtrend should resume and see price crack to new lows.

Bollinger Bands – these bands clearly show the sideways action in play currently. Price looks like it has just turned down failing to reach the upper band. The lower band has already been hit three times during this consolidation phase and the fourth attempt is usually successful at breaking through.
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Currencies

Saturday, April 07, 2018

U.S. Dollar: Why It Pays to Use the Elliott Wave Model / Currencies / US Dollar

By: EWI

See the signs that could’ve helped you nail two junctures in the greenback's trend

The legendary football coach Vince Lombardi believed that a winning team is built on mastering the game's basics -- so much so that at the start of the season he would "remind" veteran players, "Gentlemen, this is a football."

Lombardi would even take them out to the field, discuss the boundaries and remind the players that the goal is to get the football into the end zone.

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Currencies

Friday, April 06, 2018

Bitcoin Not Quite Worthless, Potentially Profitable / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

Is Bitcoin worthless? Depreciation brings such questions as it has in the past. Bitcoin traders might be worried by such statements. But should they be anxious? In the whirlwind of opinions, we can find a theme which might allow profits on our hypothetical positions to grow even further.

The fact that Bitcoin is going down prompts all sort of analyses to come out. No big surprise that some of them are pretty bearish. In a piece on CNBC, we read:

Bitcoin is likely to fare worse than other assets in the coming months because it has no fundamental worth, an investment research firm said in a note Thursday.

London-based Capital Economics explained that the cryptocurrency has been quite closely correlated to the S&P 500 since the price started to fall from its record high at the end of last year.

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Currencies

Friday, April 06, 2018

How I Learned Cryptos and Became the Ethereum Whisperer / Currencies / BlockChain

By: Avi_Gilburt

Ryan Wilday : While we still await the crypto bottom, I want to start this week's article off with a personal narrative. I owe my current working life to ethereum.

In 2016, I was a practicing design strategist for Samsung while trading as a hobby. In fact, I had already been trading for two decades when I decided to continue my study of the market by learning Elliott Wave Theory as a member of elliottwavetrader.net. Soon after that, I started using my new knowledge with ethereum (ETHUSD), then a new coin.

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Currencies

Thursday, April 05, 2018

USD/CAD – Happy and Profitable Bears, EUR/USD – Breakdowns and Their Implications / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Nadia_Simmons

Yesterday, the U.S. dollar moved sharply lower against its Canadian counterpart, which took the exchange rate to our next downside target. Thanks to the seller’s attack, we noticed a potential pro-bearish formation on the horizon, which can make positions even more profitable…

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Currencies

Wednesday, April 04, 2018

Is Bitcoin a Substitute for Gold? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

John Maynard Keynes once famously called gold the “barbarous relic”. The emergence of the cryptocurrencies seems to validate that thesis. Will gold survive in the digital era?

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Currencies

Wednesday, April 04, 2018

Is Investing in Cryptocurrency a Good Idea for Your Business? / Currencies / BlockChain

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

If you use the internet at all, there's a 99% chance that you've heard about Bitcoin and maybe even some of the other blockchain-based cryptocurrencies that have been making waves in recent years. When you see a form of currency that has grown so quickly into such a powerful economic tool, it's easy to start thinking about investing in it while the value is still on the rise. Indeed, investing in Bitcoin wound up being highly profitable for the tech-savvy investors who were lucky enough to get in early. Unfortunately, that was then, and this is now. Bitcoin's value seems to have already peaked, and if not already, it will at some point in the near future.

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Currencies

Tuesday, April 03, 2018

China Moves to Neuter King Dollar in International Trade / Currencies / US Dollar

By: MoneyMetals

Last Monday, the Shanghai International Energy Exchange launched the first futures contract for crude oil priced in Chinese yuan. It’s a major step forward in the process of international de-dollarization. Now Chinese and other international traders can buy and sell the world’s most important commodity in a liquid market without using U.S. dollars.

The “petro dollar” now faces the prospect of being rendered unnecessary as China – the world’s biggest oil importer – attempts to establish a “petro yuan.”

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Currencies

Sunday, April 01, 2018

AUDUSD Currency Trend Analysis / Currencies / Austrailia

By: Austin_Galt

Latest Price – 76.82c

Pattern - recent high made a double top which rarely end trends. So, expect a move above that level.

Fibonacci – price down to 76.4% retracement level and the 88.6% angle, a very nice setup for a corrective low if that is to be the case.

RSI – triple bullish divergence in place at recent low. Nice.

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Currencies

Thursday, March 29, 2018

Cryptocurrency: Money or Asset? / Currencies / BlockChain

By: EconMatters

Some of the hypes and speculations surrounding bitcoin and cryptocurrency is that central banks may create their own digital currencies thus replacing fiat money altogether. A G20 draft communiqué already states cryptocurrencies “lack the traits of sovereign currencies” and seeks cryptocurrency regulation recommendations by July 2018. The Bank of International Settlements (BIS) also published a report last month entitled “Money in the digital age: what role for central banks?” stating:

“… while cryptocurrencies may pretend to be currencies, they fail the basic textbook definitions. Most would agree that they do not function as a unit of account. Their volatile valuations make them unsafe to rely on as a common means of payment and a stable store of value.”
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Currencies

Wednesday, March 28, 2018

Bitcoin Elliott Wave Analysis Looking for Short Term Recovery / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: ElliottWave-Forecast

Bitcoin Elliott Wave Analysis in the short term is showing an interesting corrective structure suggesting a recover to take place after it finishes the current move.

The digital instrument is correcting the cycle from 03/18 low in 3 waves as a Zigzag structure  which reached the 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension area $8093 – $7520 from where it’s expected to resume a new cycle to the upside or at least bounce in 3 waves as long as it remain above $7320 low.

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 27, 2018

Staying Away from the Bitcoin Crypto Bubble / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Harry_Dent

The crypto ship is sailing in rough seas at the moment. My advice? Stay away for now. Preserve your capital for after the major crash, and then pick winners from the bones.

The bitcoin and cryptocurrency trends seem to be following the path the internet took back in the very late 1990s. That bubble came at the end of the tech bubble, and expanded by more than 8 times between late 1998 and early 2000. Then it crashed 93%.

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Currencies

Friday, March 23, 2018

One Change the Bitcoin Posse Is Unlikely to See / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

“Bitcoin will reach the moon,” they said. “$20,000 is only the beginning,” they pressed. The harsh reality of the recent move is that appreciation has been nowhere in sight. Harsh, that is, if you haven’t been positioned properly. Are Bitcoin traders bound to be left with their teeth clenched, watching Bitcoin fluctuate? No. There’s a possibility for some to grow the profits they already have on specific positions and for others to jump in during the next part of the move.

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Currencies

Friday, March 23, 2018

Blaming the Fed for Weaker Greenback US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Nadia_Simmons

Although the Federal Reserve raised interest rates yesterday, the forecast for two more hikes this year (instead of three) disappointed market participants who turned their backs on the U.S. dollar, triggering quite sharp selloff. But did anything really change in the technical picture of the greenback?

Before we analyze our currency pairs, let’s check what changed (and what has not changed) in the short-term picture of the USD Index after yesterday’s news (chart courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 20, 2018

Bitcoin, Verge, Ethereum and Ripple - The Crypto Market Conundrum / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Avi_Gilburt

By Ryan Wilday : In my last article I stated that we had the potential for a lasting bottom in the crypto market, starting with a low in most coins on February 6th. However, in that article I also gave the conditions for that bottom to fail.

Those conditions, unfortunately, became reality. We have since seen both Ether and Verge, highlighted in that article, slide to new lows below the February 6th low. Bitcoin and Ripple did not fall below their February 6th levels, but did confirm the unlikelihood of that low marking the beginning of an impulsive wave.

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Currencies

Monday, March 19, 2018

Can Bitcoin Price Rally Continue After Paypal Fake FUD Attack? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Bitcoin price has bounced back strongly after it's recent wobbly following the apparently fake PayPal 'Fear, Uncertainty and Doubt' FUD attack last Friday with the price recovering from a recent low of $7,350 to currently stand at $8,400, that has the Bitcoin community breathing a huge sigh of relief believing today's rally to mark the end of the pain of the past 3 months that has witnessed the Bitcoin price collapse from a high of $20,000 to a low of $6,600.

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Currencies

Sunday, March 18, 2018

Putin Flip-Flops Like A Drunken Whore On Bitcoin Cryptocurrency Legalization / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Jeff_Berwick

Whenever I am asked, “How should governments treat cryptocurrencies” my general response is the following. Who cares?

You might as well ask me what the Japanese Yakuza or Mexican cartels should do about cryptos. I don’t really care.

Not that the Yakuza or the cartels are anywhere near as bad as governments. I apologize to them both for even making that insulting insinuation.

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Currencies

Saturday, March 17, 2018

Bitcoin Price Trend Forecast, Paypal FUD Fake Cryptocurrency Warning / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Before we get to my technical take on the prospects for the Bitcoin price, apparently the crypto currencies were subject to a FUD attack on Friday, where FUD stands for 'Fear, Uncertainty and Doubt', that seems to be the automatic response of the crypto crowd to any bad news. So what happened to trigger this avalanche of FUD panic? Well Friday morning warnings popped into the email box of millions of PayPal customers including myself warning of dire consequences if we did not " Cease any activity that results in the trading or transfer of cryptocurrency", the full text of which follows below:

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Currencies

Friday, March 16, 2018

Has Bitcoin Bought It? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

Punch-drunk from a series of crunching blows, dazed and confused, staggering for the ropes. It’s hard not to get the image of Bitcoin being pummeled by the market, getting the wind knock out of it. But is this picture true? Instead of focusing on what swirls around in the media, a cautious investor would instead reach out for what might drive their profits.

Google has moved to ban Bitcoin-related adds. This shouldn’t be particularly surprising, given the fact that there’s been precedent in the form of Facebook pursuing similar actions. In an article on CNBC, we read:

Bitcoin prices briefly fell below $8,000 on Wednesday following news that Google, the world's largest online ad provider, plans to ban cryptocurrency advertising.

Facebook, the second largest online ad provider, took similar action in January.

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