Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, March 09, 2018
Riding the Bitcoin Wave / Currencies / Bitcoin
In a move surprising to some, the SEC has announced that a number of cryptocurrency exchanges must register with the agency. Without naming names, the race has begun to determine if a specific platform meets the definitions put forward by the SEC. As our readers are aware, this is actually not surprising at all. In fact, it is only one small step in a broader trend recognizable in the Bitcoin market. How this specific event translates into the current trading conditions is what’s most interesting from a trader’s perspective. And we have indeed seen one specific change which may influence your profits.
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Thursday, March 08, 2018
Is the Bitcoin Bull Market Dead or Just Taking a Breather? / Currencies / Bitcoin
For at least another hundred years we must pretend to ourselves and to every one that fair is foul and foul is fair; for foul is useful and fair is not. Avarice and usury and precaution must be our gods for a little longer still.John Maynard Keynes
Despite the heavy beating Bitcoin has taken, the sentiment has not turned bearish, and Bitcoin experts are still enthusiastically issuing wild targets of $100K and beyond.
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Monday, March 05, 2018
US Dollar at the Start of Multi-Year Downtrend / Currencies / US Dollar
Since the US Dollar trades freely in the 1970s, on average it has rallied and declined in a period of 7.5 years. The chart below shows short term and long term US Dollar cycle:
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Friday, March 02, 2018
Euro, Cable and Aussie Forex Trading - The Reward for Patience / Currencies / Forex Trading
February was the best month for the U.S. dollar since October. Nevertheless, what goes up must fall someday. Yesterday, the gravity caught the greenback after President Donald Trump said that the country will impose tariffs on steel and aluminum imports. As a result, the USD Index reversed and declined, supporting our 3 currency pairs. Will yesterday’s news kill the greenback’s rally in the coming days?
Analyzing the charts after yesterday’s session we noticed several disturbing factors, which can thwart currency bears’ pro-declining plans and melt profits from short positions (in EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD) in the coming days. Therefore, we decided to close our short positions and take profits off the table.
As we mentioned earlier, the greenback’s very short-term situation deteriorated yesterday, which caused, that we decided to start today's alert by looking at the current picture of the USD Index.
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Friday, March 02, 2018
Alleged SEC Probe Leaves Bitcoin Market Confounded / Currencies / Bitcoin
The market is hectic. The attention span of most investors is short. The long-term implications of one particular trend among governments the world all over has far reaching implications for the future of digital currencies. The question now is if this often overlooked factor tells us anything anything about the way the Bitcoin market behaves, the way digital currencies react to unexpected news and how to navigate the current complex short-term environment.
The factor we’re writing about is government regulation and, specifically, the alleged recent move by the SEC to target Bitcoin companies. In a Wall Street Journal article, we read:
The Securities and Exchange Commission has issued dozens of subpoenas and information requests to technology companies and advisers involved in the red-hot market for cryptocurrencies, according to people familiar with the matter.
Sunday, February 25, 2018
Will We See A Cryptocurrency Wipeout This 2018? / Currencies / Bitcoin
Summary
Every cryptocurrency investor and trader must carefully consider the underlying facts to their investment. There are major red flags from a fundamental and technical point of view. Therefore crypto traders and investors should invest only as much as they are ready to loose in case of a total wipeout. Moreover, everyone should critically question expert opinions suggesting to buy cryptocurrencies.
Right now we see a great opportunity to divest at attractive levels. It is highly likely that the situation will change. A total wipeout is not unlikely in the near future.
Friday, February 23, 2018
Vicious Trio Keeps Bitcoin in Chokehold / Currencies / Bitcoin
The craziness of it. Bitcoin has been storming up and down, from $20,000 to $6,000 and back to $11,000 again. This volatility makes most traders’ stomachs churn, their faces go pale and their palms start to sweat. As if this action weren’t enough, an unknown trader has put their money where their mouth is – all $400 million of it. One can’t help but wonder what in the market justifies such an extreme move. On the Fortune website, we read:
An anonymous trader has sunk $400 million—enough to buy New York state’s most expensive home twice with change left over—into the cryptocurrency, raising his or her stake from 55,000 coins to more than 96,000 between Feb. 9 and Feb. 12. And that buy-in is already paying substantial returns.
Friday, February 23, 2018
Why Recent Lows Are Crucial for US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
Since Friday, the USD Index extends increases and makes up for lost points. Looking at the daily chart you can even conclude that the bulls use every opportunity to push away their opponents from the recent lows. Why are they so important to them? We took a closer look at the situation and we already know the Achilles’ heel of the bulls. Do you also want to know it? We invite you to read today's alert.
Focus on the USD Index
Before we analyze the recent changes in our currency pairs, we decided to take a closer look at the current situation in the USD Index as it is the key driver who generates the major changes on the currency market.
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Friday, February 23, 2018
Will Bitcoin be Larger Than NEO in 2018? / Currencies / BlockChain
NEO is currently the 7th largest cryptocurrency, and it is growing fast. Just one year ago, NEO was only worth roughly 12 cents per coin. However, the currentprice of NEO is roughly $117. Despite the fact that bitcoin is currently about 22 times larger than NEO by market cap, if NEO keeps growing at its current pace, it could hypothetically catch up to bitcoin. This is especially true if bitcoin experiences a slump, or if NEO increases its growth rate.
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Thursday, February 22, 2018
The Correlation Between Cryptocurrenices & GDP / Currencies / BlockChain
It was the best of times, it was the best of times. OK, that’s not exactly the Dickens quote from A Tale of Two Cities, but even with the recent volatility and inflation jitters, the sentiment seems to fit the mood of the marketstoday. And what’s not to like?Tax reform will put more coin in most people’s pockets in the weeks ahead, not to mention fill corporate coffers to the point of overflowing. Based on estimates of future spending and earnings, investors are driving stocks higher from what were already record levels.
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Thursday, February 22, 2018
6 Tips For Seamless Business Foreign Exchange / Currencies / Forex Trading
For thousands of Australian individuals and businesses across the country, foreign currency exchange is just a fact of life - and also the cause of many a headache.
Perhaps you're just making a payment for a good or a service that's located overseas. Perhaps you're sending some cash or a gift to another country, or heading there yourself. Maybe you're buying foreign land, assets, shares or bonds. Maybe you're in the foreign market game and you make money from the clever appreciation of currencies. Or perhaps you're an Australian business that makes money from importing or exporting or transacting with overseas entities.
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Monday, February 19, 2018
Could Stellar Lumens be a Challenger to Bitcoin for International Payments? / Currencies / BlockChain
Bitcoin has clearly cemented its position at the top of the cryptocurrency pecking order.
The last few years have seen its status grow immensely, to the point where many people (wrongly) see cryptocurrency and Bitcoin as inseparable.
In the last year or so, Bitcoin’s price has skyrocketed and many new investors have benefitted hugely. If you’d bought a single Bitcoin at the start of 2017, you’d now be about $7000 better off.
Friday, February 16, 2018
Bitcoin as Poison / Currencies / Bitcoin
The views on Bitcoin among various investors are quite polarized. The whole spectrum includes both people directly owning the cryptocurrency and those who seem to hate it. We have read analyses suggesting that a surprising percentage of hedge fund managers own digital coins. At the same time, Warren Buffett's investment chief, Charlie Munger, called Bitcoin “noxious poison.” Do such words mean that Bitcoin is doomed? In an article on the Guardian website, we read:
Bitcoin is heading towards $10,000 again, despite comments from the US billionaire Charles Munger who described the digital currency as “noxious poison”.
(…)
Speaking at the annual meeting of the US publishing firm Daily Journal, which he chairs, in Los Angeles on Wednesday, Munger said: “I never considered for one second having anything to do with it. I detested it the moment it was raised. It’s just disgusting. Bitcoin is noxious poison.”
Friday, February 16, 2018
U.S. Dollar Bull and Bear Markets / Currencies / US Dollar
The idea of endlessly repeated cycles is a very old one. This is how the ancients perceived time: not as linear sequence of events, but as replaying patterns of dark and golden ages. Although the Judeo-Christian culture changed the way we view time, we like to see the market as an area of constant struggle between bulls and bears, and the resulting upward and downward trends.
Since the end of the Bretton Woods system back in the early 1970s, the U.S. dollar has also moved in trends and cycles. Due to data availability, the chart below shows the trade weighted index of the greenback against the currencies of America’s major trading partners from 1973 until January 2018, with bull and bear markets marked with green and red arrows.
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Thursday, February 15, 2018
Bitcoin and Crypto Currencies Steady Within Range / Currencies / Bitcoin
In the early parts of 2018, we have already seen a strong injection of volatility in the financial arena as a whole. The VIX volatility index has risen to levels that we have not seen in a very long time, and this is starting to push many new investors out of the stock market space. The clearest alternative at this stage still appears to be the crypto currencies, as they have already been shown to benefit a great deal more from these types of situations.
Most of the analysis tends to pin itself on the trends that are seen in BTC, which has fallen off sharply over the last few weeks. After hitting highs near 20,000 Bitcoin has reversed and erased a large amount of stakeholder value in the process. But this has not eroded market interest, as the crypto space is still one of the biggest volume trading gainers of the last year.
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Monday, February 12, 2018
How To Profit From The Bitcoin Bloodbath / Currencies / Bitcoin
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Friday, February 09, 2018
Banks Ban Bitcoin Purchases Using Credit Cards / Currencies / Bitcoin
Bitcoin was at $15,000 when I wrote this post before Christmas warning against getting involved in the bitcoin or any cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin has crashed to $8,000 today losing about 50% of its value in two months.
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Wednesday, February 07, 2018
US Stock Markets & Cryptos Crashing… Is This The Big One? / Currencies / BlockChain
After the 666 point drop on the 33rd day of the year on Friday, which I said likely was a signal that things were going into play, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) lost as much as 1,597 points by mid-afternoon on Monday.
The Dow ended up closing down 1,175 points, or 4.6% which was the largest single-day decline for the blue-chip index on a points basis in history.
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Monday, February 05, 2018
“Strong Dollar,” “Weak Dollar,” What About a Gold-Backed Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar
The recent hullabaloo among President Trump’s top monetary officials about the Administration’s “dollar policy” is just the start of what will likely be the first of many contradictory pronoucements and reversals which will take place in the coming months/years as the world’s reserve currency continues to be compromised. So far, the Greenback has had its worst start since 1987, the year of a major stock market reset.
The brief firestorm was set off by Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin who said in response to the dollar’s recent slide, “Obviously, a weaker dollar is good for us, it’s good because it has to do with trade and opportunities.”* Mnuchin backtracked a bit as international financial leaders criticized the apparent shift in policy while Administration officials sought to clarify the Secretary’s remarks. President Trump weighted in on the matter saying, “Ultimately, I want to see a strong dollar” and added that Mnuchin’s comments were “taken out of context.”
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Monday, February 05, 2018
Bitcoin Crypto Currencies Crash 2018, Are We Near the Bottom? / Currencies / Bitcoin
Bitcoin's $20,000 bubble mania peak of Mid December that valued the crypto currency at $320 billion has long since been left in the dust as Bitcoin has crashed well below $10,000, wiping out $170 billion of the value of participants holdings. All whilst the crypto coin gamblers obsessed by all things block chain have largely remained in a state of denial, focused on bitcoin soaring to over $50,000 despite its real inverse trend trajectory as tends to happen at the end of market manias.
And so it has been the case since I published my opening Bitcoin forecast of the year over a month ago when the crypto was trading at USD 14,000, warning that the Bitcoin price was likely to continue crashing towards $5,000, a forecast that was met with denial from many in the bitcoin community.
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