Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, December 16, 2017
Bitcoin Trading Alert: Bitcoin Pauses – Will Appreciation Follow? / Currencies / Bitcoin
Bitcoin was directly mentioned during Janet Yellen’s last scheduled conference as Fed chair. On CoinDesk, we read:
Yellen, whose term in office expires in February, spoke to reporters today on a range of topics. About thirty minutes into the presser, Yellen was asked about bitcoin.
She noted that, in the Fed's view, bitcoin "plays a very small role" in the U.S. payment system, going on to explain:
"It is not a stable store of value and it doesn't constitute legal tender. It is a highly speculative asset and the Fed doesn't really play any role, any regulatory role with respect to bitcoin other than assuring that banking organizations that we do supervise are attentive that they're appropriately managing any interactions they have with participants in that market, and appropriately monitoring anti-money laundering [and] Bank Secrecy Act responsibilities that they have."
Thursday, December 14, 2017
Santa Is Putting Christmas On The Blockchain And Saving Billions / Currencies / BlockChain
So, you think that you know all there is to know about Christmas?
Maybe you string enough lights on your roof to give Clark Griswald a run for his money. Maybe you can identify mistletoe and holly in the wild, chop down your own Christmas tree, and know exactly how many Hallmark Keepsake ornaments they’ve issued since 1973. You can rattle off all of Santa’s reindeer—backwards, starting with Rudolph and ending in Dasher, and know all the words to O’ Tannenbaum. Including all the verses. In German. You own White Christmas—which is indisputably the best Christmas movie ever—on Blu Ray, DVD, VHS, and Betamax (I’ve included a link if you have no idea what that is). And heck, you even make figgy pudding on Christmas Eve.
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Wednesday, December 13, 2017
USDCNH Formed Triangle Pattern On Daily Chart / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
The USDCNH pair formed a triangle pattern on its daily chart for several weeks. All we can do is wait for a breakout to occur. The price is facing the upper line of the pattern now at around 6.6390. A breakout of this trend line could signal resumption of the uptrend from 6.4412.
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Monday, December 11, 2017
Bitcoin can be stolen. Although Can’t be hacked / Currencies / Bitcoin
Dr. D: Bitcoin can be stolen. Although “Bitcoin” can’t be hacked, it’s only software and has many vulnerabilities. If held on an exchange, you have legal and financial risk. If held at home, you could have a hard drive fail and lose your passwords. If it’s on a hardware fob like a Trezor, the circuits could fail. For a robust system, computers themselves are pretty fragile. You could write down your passwords on paper, and have a house fire. You could print out several copies, but if any of the copies are found, they have full access to your account and stolen without you knowing. You could have your passwords stolen by your family, or have a trojan take a screen or keystroke capture.
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Monday, December 11, 2017
Trying To Beat The System Is A Fatally Flawed Investment Strategy / Currencies / Bitcoin
Bill Cara writes: This week’s article will begin with a parable. Soon, however, this piece of fiction might become source material for a Harvard Business School case study.
So, recently there was a private members club with 99 men and women who had each paid $1,000 to join. At the first monthly meeting, somebody suggested it would be a good idea to top off membership at 100, so the call went out to their friends. Lo and behold, one person stepped up with an offer of $1,500 and the capital account grew to $100,500. The next month however another individual offered $2,000 to join and the members were elated to grow their numbers to 101 with the capital account now up to $102,500. Nobody complained the following month when another individual came forward with $2,500 to join, bringing membership to 102 and the capital account to $105,000. As the months flew by, there was always one more person who wanted to join, and the offers were up to $3,000, $4,000, and $5,000 in months 4, 5 and 6. The original members became giddy and decided to set the price higher by $1,000 each month, and each month a new member joined at the posted price. After a year, the membership was up to 111 and the members actually believed their memberships were worth $11,000 and so they valued their club at $1,221,000, putting it up for sale.
Sunday, December 10, 2017
Bitcoin Doesn’t Exist – Forks and Mad Max / Currencies / Bitcoin
Dr. D: Well, all parts of the system rely on accurate record-keeping. Look at voting rights: we had a security company where 20% more people voted than there were shares. Think you could direct corporate, even national power that way? Without records of transfer, how do you know you own it? Morgan transferred a stock to Schwab but forgot to clear it. Doesn’t that mean it’s listed in both Morgan and Schwab? In fact, didn’t you just double-count and double-value that share? Suppose you fail to clear just a few each day. Before long, compounding the double ownership leads to pension funds owning 2% fake shares, then 5%, then 10%, until stock market and the national value itself becomes unreal. And how would you unwind it?
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Saturday, December 09, 2017
Bitcoin Doesn’t Exist – Putting the Banks Out of Business / Currencies / Bitcoin
Dr. D: The money, the unaccountable, uninhibited release of tokens can do more than just buy centuries of hard labor in seconds, it‘s also a method of control. Banks, our present issuers of money, can approve or destroy businesses by denying loans. They can do this to individuals, like denying loans to unpopular figures, or to whole sectors, like gun shops. They can also offer money for free to Amazon, Facebook, and Tesla, which have no profitable business model or any hope of getting one, and deny loans to power plants, railroads, farms, and bridges as they fall into the Mississippi.
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Friday, December 08, 2017
Bitcoin Parabolic Mania / Currencies / Bitcoin
Bitcoin’s meteoric skyrocketing this year has been astonishing, captivating traders across the globe. This once-obscure cryptocurrency has exploded into the world’s hottest market. With fortunes being won on paper, everyone is talking about bitcoin. But with its price shooting parabolic, unfortunately this wild ride has all the hallmarks of a classic popular speculative mania. And those all end badly, totally collapsing.
In the annals of financial-market history, the word “mania” is never used lightly. These are very-rare events where some market blasts higher so radically that it captures the popular imagination. The dictionary definitions of mania include “an excessively intense enthusiasm, interest, or desire” and “a pathological state characterized by euphoric mood, excessive activity or talkativeness, and impaired judgment”.
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Thursday, December 07, 2017
Bitcoin Just Smashed Through $12k… Wait, $13k… Now $14k… This Is Getting Ridiculous! / Currencies / Bitcoin
It was less than a week ago that we posted, “Bitcoin Smashes Through $10k... Wait... $11k! What The Fk Is Going On?”
Now, in the last 24 hours, it has smashed through $12k, then $13k and now $14k to a new all-time high over $14,200.
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Thursday, December 07, 2017
Bitcoin Doesn’t Exist – 2 / Currencies / Bitcoin
Chapter 1 of this five-part series by Dr. D is here: Bitcoin Doesn’t Exist – 1
Chapter 3 will follow shortly.
Dr. D: You have to understand what exchanges are and are not. An exchange is a central point where owners post collateral and thereby join and trade on the exchange. The exchange backs the trades with their solvency and reputation, but it’s not a barter system, and it’s not free: the exchange has to make money too. Look at the Comex, which reaches back to the early history of commodities exchange which was founded to match buyers of say, wheat, like General Mills, with producers, the farmers. But why not just have the farmer drive to the local silo and sell there? Two reasons: one, unlike manufacturing, harvests are lumpy. To have everyone buy or sell at one time of the year would cripple the demand for money in that season. This may be why market crashes happen historically at harvest when the demand for money (i.e. Deflation) was highest. Secondly, however, suppose the weather turned bad: all farmers would be ruined simultaneously.
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Wednesday, December 06, 2017
British Pound Sterling Volatility In Crucial Week of Brexit Talk / Currencies / British Pound
Sterling fell versus the dollar earlier this week as Brexit talk between the UK and EU falter at the last minute. British Prime Minister Theresa May is on the race to break the deadlock on the issue of Irish border. Irish border is one of the three key issues required to be settled before the U.K can move on to the next stage of Brexit talk. The next phase of talk involves trade negotiation at the crucial EU summit on December 14.
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Tuesday, December 05, 2017
Bitcoin Doesn’t Exist / Currencies / Bitcoin
A while ago, I asked a regular commenter at the Automatic Earth, who goes by the moniker Dr. D, to try and write an article for us. Not long after, I received no less than 31 pages, and an even 12345 words. Way too long for today’s digital attention spans. We decided to split it into 5 chapters. After we work through those 5, we’ll post it as one piece as well. Dr. D, who insists on sticking with his nom de plume, picked his own topic, and it’s -fittingly- bitcoin. A topic about which one can cover a lot of ground in 12345 words.
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Tuesday, December 05, 2017
The Loonie Takes Flight -- BUT a "Labor Miracle" is NOT the Reason Why / Currencies / Canadian $
One day before the jobs numbers went viral, Elliott wave analysis already called for a USDCAD decline
Friday December 1 was a lucky break for loonie bulls. That day, the government agency Statistics Canada revealed the nation's economy added 79,500 new jobs in November, "blowing past" the 10,000 that economists expected. As one major news source described it:
"Canadian dollar posted its biggest gain in nearly three months against its U.S. counterpart on Friday after a stronger-than-expected domestic jobs data fueled expectations for further Bank of Canada interest rate hikes early next year..."
"The labor miracle in Canada continues." (Dec. 1 Reuters)
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Monday, December 04, 2017
Understanding Real Time Forex Trading / Currencies / Forex Trading
Forex traders аlѕо trade іn rеаl tіmе. Forex realtime trading іѕ dоnе аt thе foreign exchange rate.
Thе buy оr sell order іѕ рlасеd оn thе live exchange rate. Thіѕ type оf forex іѕ traded bу anticipating currency pair prices based оn thеіr technical analysis аnd оthеr market fundamentals.
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Friday, December 01, 2017
Bitcoin Possible Correction / Currencies / Bitcoin
Bitcoin might be expensive according to Vítor Constâncio, Vice President of the European Central Bank. In his interview with CNBC, we read:
Investors flocking into bitcoin are taking a risk by buying at such high prices, the vice president of the European Central Bank (ECB) Vitor Constancio told CNBC Wednesday.
"It's a very particular asset, it's a speculative asset by definition looking to the developments in its price. Investors are taking that risk of buying at such high prices," Constancio noted.
Thursday, November 30, 2017
Long-tail Pin Bar On BTCUSD Daily Chart Suggests Trend Reversal / Currencies / Bitcoin
Bartosz Kali writes: After a phenomenal and very surprising run, the price of Bitcoin in relation to the US dollar is showing signs of retreating into a inevitable correction.
On a daily chart of BTCUSD as shown by price data from Bitstamp, we can clearly see a long-tail Pin bar indicating a trend reversal.
Long-tail pin bars are usually an indication of a strong rejection of a bullish run by the market and it is very often followed by a period of trend reversal.
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Thursday, November 30, 2017
US Dollar Index Monthly Chart / Currencies / US Dollar
5 point broadening top in play with recent low at 91.01 likely the point 4 low. If correct, price now headed to point 5 high. Could even develop into very bearish 7 point broadening top in time.
Recent low around support from the 88.6% angle of the bullish Fibonacci Fan and the 76.4% angle from the bearish fan. Next resistance likely to be around the 88.6% angle from the bearish fan.
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Thursday, November 30, 2017
Three USD Markets Point One Way! / Currencies / US Dollar
Hi everyone,
We got an indication today of how much the idea of Bitcoin has penetrated society.
FOMC member Dudley says that the Fed is starting to think about its own digital currency.
I found that ironic,
Seen as the lions share of FIAT currency itself is digitally generated
through credit emission in the banking system and monetized government debts!
Simply put;
The USD is the biggest digital currency, and it dwarfs bitcoin by several orders of magnitude.
It seems that the FED itself does not realize its own game.
Wednesday, November 29, 2017
GBPJPY Failed To Break Below 146.93 Support / Currencies / British Pound
GBPJPY failed in its attempt to break below 146.93 support, and stayed in a trading range between 146.93 and 152.85. As long as 146.93 support holds, the price action in the range could be treated as consolidation of the uptrend from 135.59 and another rise could be expected after the consolidation.
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Tuesday, November 28, 2017
Bitcoin $10,000 – Huge Volatility of Cryptocurrencies and Risky Fiat Making Gold Attractive / Currencies / Bitcoin
– Bitcoin tops $10,000, soaring more than 850% since beginning of 2017
– Irrational exuberance arguably main driver of price performance
– Google Trends shows search for ‘Bitcoin Bubble’ hit highest level this morning
– Buyers need to be aware of hacking and security risks
– Other primary risks to widespread adoption is volatility and liquidity risk
– World’s largest online trading platform IG Markets suspends BTC trading
– Volatility of cryptocurrencies and risky world of fiat make gold attractive