Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, May 10, 2017
Bitcoin Smashes Through $1,800, Price Doubles Since January! / Currencies / Bitcoin
Bitcoin seems to rise $100 and to new all-time highs every day lately. And today, it has broken through $1,800!
That means bitcoin has doubled since it was $900 in January! And it now boasts a total market capitalization of nearly $30 billion, which of course is about $15 billion more than it was in January.
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Monday, May 08, 2017
How is the Adventurous Path of Bitcoin to $2,000? / Currencies / Bitcoin
Jack Huyn: Recently, the parabolic rise of Bitcoin has made it become a very very hot currency that attracts many investors and speculators. In my opinion, movements of this cryptocurrency these days are just a sign that Bitcoin is a bubble waiting to burst.
Fundamentally, the current uptrend of Bitcoin prices are due to the following factors:
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Saturday, May 06, 2017
EURUSD and GBPUSD at a Turning Point / Currencies / Forex Trading
My Bias: short in wave 3 blue.
Wave Structure: downward impulse wave 1, 2 blue
Long term wave count: lower in wave 3 blue
Important risk events: EUR: French Presidential Election, German Factory Orders m/m. USD: Mortgage Delinquencies.
Good night to you all, and welcome to the weekend, again.
Life seems to just disappear so quickly!
Wednesday, May 03, 2017
Bitcoin Blasts Through $1,400 Amid All Time Highs in Every Currency / Currencies / Bitcoin
It was just a few days ago that we trumpeted that bitcoin had hit a new all-time high above $1,330 and it has since blasted through $1400.
And, it hasn’t stopped there… at all.
Bitcoin has continued to smash through new highs nearly hourly since. And today it hit a high of $1,466.88.
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Wednesday, May 03, 2017
Here’s Why Russia Opens The Door To Cryptocurrencies / Currencies / BlockChain
Antonia Colibasanu : Russia has announced that it will legalize the use of cryptocurrencies. The government confirmed last week that a draft bill would create the legal framework for trading in bitcoin, dash, ether, and other digital currencies.
This comes a year after the same Russian institutions said people trading in these currencies could be jailed. This raises two important questions: Why has the government made this U-turn? What opportunities does it now see in this technology? The answers lie in Russia’s need to address serious problems in the banking sector and their impact on the economy.
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Monday, May 01, 2017
Trend Lines Met, Technical's are Set - US Dollar is Ready to Rally (Elliott Wave Analysis) / Currencies / US Dollar
My Bias: short in wave 3 blue.
Wave Structure: downward impulse wave 1, 2 blue
Long term wave count: lower in wave 3 blue
Important risk events: EUR: EU Economic Forecasts. USD: Treasury Sec Mnuchin Speaks, Personal Spending m/m, ISM Manufacturing PMI.
Friday, April 28, 2017
USD/CAD - Invalidation of Breakout or Further Rally? / Currencies / Bitcoin
Earlier today, the greenback moved lower against the Canadian dollar, which pushed USD/CAD below the December high and the previously-broken resistance zone. Is it enough to trigger further deterioration?
In our opinion, the following forex trading positions are justified - summary:
EUR/USD: short (a stop-loss order at 1.1052; the initial downside target at 1.0521)
GBP/USD: none
USD/JPY: long (a stop-loss order at 107.62; the initial upside target at 111.16)
USD/CAD: none
USD/CHF: none
AUD/USD: none
Sunday, April 23, 2017
USD Cycle Update - 23rd April / Currencies / US Dollar
This Update will provide both a near term and long term update on the USD an where I think it stands in its short and long term cycles. My first two charts are the same near term daily chart. The first provides my cycle counts for the past 6 Trading Cycles. The second shows a potential Blue Fork Channel that should hold it. USD did find a TC low on day 17 last week.
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Sunday, April 23, 2017
EURUSD at a Critical Point in Wave Structure / Currencies / Forex Trading
My Bias: short in wave 3 blue.
Wave Structure: downward impulse wave 1, 2 blue
Long term wave count: lower in wave 3 blue
Important risk events: EUR: French Presidential Election, German Ifo Business Climate. USD: N/A.
Tuesday, April 18, 2017
The Philippine Peso Squeeze / Currencies / Forex Trading
In the first quarter, the Philippine peso depreciated against the US dollar. Internationally, this was attributed to President Duterte’s policies. In reality, it has a lot to do with the expected US rate hikes. But there is a reason why misguided geopolitics now overshadows Philippines.In the recent quarter, the Philippine peso depreciated by 0.88 percent against the US dollar. It was the only currency in Asia to do so. For the first time since 2009, the peso drifted to 50 per US dollar.
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Tuesday, April 11, 2017
Marc Faber: Euro to Strengthen, Dollar to Weaken, Gold and Emerging Markets to Outperform / Currencies / Forex Trading
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to be joined by a man who needs little introduction, Marc Faber, editor and publisher of The Gloom, Boom and Doom Report. Dr. Faber has been a long-time guest on financial shows throughout the world and is a well-known Austrian school economist and an investment advisor and it's a tremendous honor to have him on with us today.
Dr. Faber, thank you so much for joining us again and, how are you?
Marc Faber: My pleasure, thank you.
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Tuesday, April 11, 2017
Origin And Danger Of Fractional-Reserve Banking / Currencies / Fiat Currency
If there is any one thing in particular that threatens the collapse of our banking system and financial structures worldwide, it is the practice of fractional-reserve banking. The subject is rarely mentioned in the financial press. When it is mentioned, a clear explanation is usually not available.
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Monday, April 10, 2017
US Dollar and Chinese Renminbi: Mysteries Revealed / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
The Trump administration’s exchange-rate hawks contend that the US should designate China as a “currency manipulator.” In reality, the problem is the strengthening dollar, despite massive debt US owes to foreign countries.
Before the Trump-Xi Summit, the White House has often warned about “currency manipulators” while targeting US trade deficits.
Sunday, April 09, 2017
Forex Currencies Trading Around the World Chartology / Currencies / Forex Trading
As there seems to be a lot of interest in some of the currencies I would like to show you some charts we’ve been following for a very long time. Most of the charts will be long term in nature which won’t do us much good in the short term, but they will keep us in tune to the direction these currencies are most likely to take
Knowing what to expect in the Longer term is important not only to currency and commodity traders but to the very Countries who’s currencies are impacted and to their exporters and importers as well.
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Tuesday, April 04, 2017
EUR/USD - Another Invalidation of Breakout / Currencies / Forex Trading
On Friday, the euro extended losses against the greenback and closed the week under the previously broken long-term support/resistance line, invalidating the earlier breakout. Will this negative development encourage currency bears to act in the coming week?
In our opinion, the following forex trading positions are justified - summary:
EUR/USD: short (a stop-loss order at 1.0967; the initial downside target at 1.0521)
GBP/USD: short (a stop-loss order at 1.2738; the downside target at 1.2157)
USD/JPY: none
USD/CAD: none
Monday, April 03, 2017
USD and Gold: Intermediate and Super Cycle Update / Currencies / US Dollar
Beyond the 5-6 month Intermediate Cycle and Yearly Cycle (2-3 Intermediate Cycle), there are also longer Cycles for all assets. Gold for example has a 4 Year Cycle and the USD has a 3 Year Cycle (measured Low to Low). The USD also has a 15 Year Super Cycle (5 of its 3 Year Cycles).
I have stated that my longer term Cycle analysis indicates the USD should be making its 15 Year Super Cycle top in 2017 but I am not sure just yet if this is behind us or dead ahead. As always, the Price and Time action on the charts will guide me. For now the Wedge in my first chart needs to be watched closely over the next couple of weeks. A break to the upside of my Red down trend line will confirm a new Intermediate Cycle for the USD while a more serious breach of my Blue Uptrend line that goes all the way back to early 2014 would have me strongly consider that the 15 year top is in.
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Sunday, April 02, 2017
Time to Repair the Deflating US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
Every century the US has been existence there has been a new USD. And we believe it is time for a new US Dollar in the 21st century. In the following paragraphs we hope to explain why this is required, and how this could be accomplished in the coming years. First a little history.
In the 18th century (1792) the US established the first USD with the one ounce Silver coin. There was no paper currency only Silver and Gold coins. The US was on a Silver standard, and one ounce of Silver was worth $1.
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Friday, March 31, 2017
See the Top Forex Markets that are Poised to Move -- Right Now / Currencies / Forex Trading
Dear Trader,
You saw big moves in forex last year -- and 2017 should be no different.
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Thursday, March 30, 2017
USD May Stay Soft in Near Term / Currencies / US Dollar
Although the Fed is in the rate hike cycle, USD rally started to lose momentum early this year when market started to realize that monetary policy divergence started to narrow. ECB has started to talk about rate hikes, while China started to tighten monetary policy by raising money market rates early last month. The Fed also sounded less hawkish in their last rate hike as they forecasted only three rate hikes this year and no Fed members agreed to hike rate four times.
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Tuesday, March 28, 2017
US Dollar and Gold Dumb Market Myths About to Go Up in Smoke… / Currencies / US Dollar
Everywhere I look I see talk of a major $USD bull market being underway. I see this coming from CNBC as well as so-called “investment gurus.”
This is odd… because the $USD is DOWN against every major currency thus far in 2017.
I’m not making this up. The $USD is DOWN against the Yen, the Euro, the Swiss Franc, even the British pound.
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