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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Thursday, August 30, 2012

BEA Revises Estimate of Annualized U.S. GDP Economic Growth to 1.73% / Economics / US Economy

By: CMI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn their first revision to their estimate of the second quarter 2012 GDP, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) found that the annualized rate of U.S. domestic economic growth was 1.73%, up 0.19% from their initial estimate -- but still down about a quarter of a percent from the 1.97% reported for the prior quarter and down over two and a quarter percent from the 4.10% growth rate for the 4th quarter of 2011. The changes in the GDP growth shown in this report do not represent actual month-to-month changes in the economy, but merely a refined understanding of the previously reported data for the second quarter.

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Economics

Wednesday, August 29, 2012

Nazi Economics, a Lesson from History / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Bill_Bonner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAdam Tooze, a British historian, has written a marvelous book on the Nazi economy, The Wages of Destruction. He shows that, far from illustrating the success of intelligent central planning, the German economy of the Third Reich was a disaster. The National Socialists – or “Nazis” – had their plans for Germany. They were determined to put them into practice, regardless of what the Germans may have wanted for themselves. They fiddled with one sector after another.

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Economics

Tuesday, August 28, 2012

Australia Running Out of Luck, Economy Leveraged to Slowing China / Economics / Austrailia

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile it is summer in the Northern Hemisphere, it is winter "down under." Today we turn our attention to Australia. In Endgame, Jonathan Tepper and I devoted a full chapter to talking about the problems we saw looming in Australia, and for that we have taken some heat! What's not to like about the Land of Oz? In our view, it might be the bubbles that are building. I asked Jonathan to update us on Australia, and in today's Outside the Box he gives us an in-depth look. Let me quote from a point near the end, in case you might decide to look just at the summary:

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Economics

Monday, August 27, 2012

The Silent Economic Depression / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Gordon_T_Long

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJohn Rubino and Gordon T Long recount their summer vacation experiences with old friends and how significantly things have changed in their friends lives across America. Both came away unsettled about what they heard and how we are now unquestionably in the midst a Silent Depression. Major changes are occurring below the surface of mainstream media coverage that only honest discussions with close friends discloses.

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Economics

Monday, August 27, 2012

America: The Land of Debt / Economics / US Debt

By: InvestmentContrarian

Traders and the media are focused on the debt distress in Spain, as the country is hindered by a national debt of around 712 billion euros, or about US$892 billion, which breaks down to US$19,391 per citizen. This is why Spain is seriously concerned about the 10-year bond yield at close to seven percent. Paying these high financing costs, trying to cut its national debt and manage its budget will not be easy. The reality is that the eurozone and Europe are in a serious financial crisis.

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Economics

Saturday, August 25, 2012

The Day of Economic Reckoning Is Near / Economics / Great Depression II

By: The_Gold_Report

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt is a deal with the devil: Governments churn out more and more cash for the promise of continued prosperity. But the day of reckoning is near, according to Doug Casey, chairman of Casey Research and an expert on crisis investing. As the epic battle between inflation and deflation continues on, Casey discusses his predictions for the new world market in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report.

 

The Gold Report: There will be a Casey Research Summit on "Navigating the Politicized Economy" in Carlsbad, Calif., in September. The thesis behind the summit is that governments have made a Faustian bargain, a pact with the devil, that saves the empire with overspending, but drives it to the brink of collapse by creating fiat currencies. Doug, where in that story is the economy currently?

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Economics

Friday, August 24, 2012

Professor Bernanke’s Terrifying Blindness on the Great Depression / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Michael_S_Rozeff

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWith all his scholarly study of the Great Depression, Prof. Bernanke is blind to several truly major factors that caused the Great Depression. His is a blindness that he shares with very many other economists of this day and age. Their condition can be described as "a certain state of mind" that they share that prevents them from seeking out, seeing and saying what is before their eyes. And what is this state of mind? It is to defend the status quo and to stay within the comfortable bounds of conventional beliefs that support the system as it is. This spares them from confronting other institutions and their own.

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Economics

Thursday, August 23, 2012

Is Germany Entering a Recession? / Economics / Germany

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEven in August, while nearly all of Europe is on vacation, we find that economies don't get to take vacation. Europe will come back from its holiday and find that nothing has improved and some things have gotten worse. Specifically, Germany looks to be rolling over into recession. In this week's Outside the Box, Charles Gave of GaveKal looks at Deutschland and notes that while it might be able to handle a mild recession, problems will be that much worse in the rest of Europe, which needs a robust German consumer. This letter will print long due to a number of charts.

"While Europe's biggest economy should be able to endure this loss of altitude, the reverberation across Europe will be significant. The absence of exchange rate volatility over the last 15 years has allowed economies such as Italy and France to escape depression-type conditions, which might otherwise have occurred given their economic underpinnings.

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Economics

Friday, August 17, 2012

Economic Collapse, We Still Don’t Get It / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs the world collectively muddles through 2012, it is has become increasingly apparent that we still don’t get it. Even after the collapse of 2008 and the completely fabricated and bogus ‘recovery’ that the lapdog presscorps still insists is ongoing, plus the various financial and economic ‘accidents’ that have happened along the way since, such as MFGlobal and PFGBest, plus the annexing of entire countries by the banking syndicate (Greece and Italy for starters), we still don’t get it. We are Rome. Obsessed with bread and circuses such as government handout programs and the Olympics and NASCAR, we’ve taken all that is abhorred by productive societies and made a center stage spectacle of it.

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Economics

Friday, August 17, 2012

U.S. Jobless Claims Analysis / Economics / US Housing

By: Asha_Bangalore

Initial jobless claims rose slightly (+2,000) to 366,000 during the week ended August 11. Distortions from summer auto plant shutdowns are in the past now, with the level of initial jobless claims now standing close to the levels posted in the early part of the year.

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Economics

Wednesday, August 15, 2012

Mind the Theory / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Thorsten_Polleit

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe saying that things may work nicely in theory, but do not necessarily work in practice is well known.[1] It is typically meant to disparage the importance of theory, suggesting it would be too far removed from practical matters to help in solving the issue at hand.

The Prussian philosopher Immanuel Kant (1724–1804), in his 1793 essay "On the Popular Judgment: 'This May Be True in Theory, But It Does Not Apply in Practice,'" responded to such criticism; in fact, he responded with his essay to criticism leveled against his ethical theory by the philosopher Christian Garve (1742–1798).

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Economics

Tuesday, August 14, 2012

UK CPI Inflation Rise Surprises Mainstream Press, Illustrates Olympics Lasting Debt Legacy / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMervyn King, the Governor of the Bank of England recently forecast that UK inflation would continue falling for the rest of this year which the mainstream press and academic economists / vested interests had been busy regurgitating at length. That is until today's release of the latest Inflation data for July that showed CPI Inflation rise to 2.6% (2.4%) and RPI to 3.2% (2.8%), which led to confusion across the air-waves as illustrated by the BBC's Stephanie Flanders floundering all over the place in an attempt to explain why Inflation had risen when the script everyone had been following was for Inflation to fall towards 2%.

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Economics

Monday, August 13, 2012

Post Olympic Recession Depression / Economics / UK Economy

By: Jan_Skoyles

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYesterday the London 2012 Olympics ended with a spectacular finish, leaving the UK proud to have pulled off such a historical event. Across the globe the world’s media have sung our praises on the success of such a great 16 days.

The London Olympics was just one of a handful of events which the UK, particularly London, has been preparing for, for a good while now. Its completion signifies what I suspect will be a speedy fall back to earth for British citizens who have had party after party to look forward to for many years.

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Economics

Monday, August 13, 2012

U.S. Economic Facts and Consequences of Growth in Government Jobs vs. Private Jobs vs. Population Growth / Economics / US Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeynesian clowns are concerned about the decline in government jobs in the past few years. They want the government to step up spending and hire more workers to make up for the loss of jobs in the private sector.

Here is a chart from reader Tim Wallace that will help put the recent loss of government jobs in a better perspective.

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Economics

Sunday, August 12, 2012

U.S. Economy Huge Reality Check Ahead? / Economics / US Economy

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShah Gilani writes: Let's try and be insightful today, shall we?

Equities have been rallying; we'll call it the summer rally.

Major benchmarks are only a few percentage points off their highs. It's all good, right?

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