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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Wednesday, October 24, 2012

U.S. Monetary Cliff? Fed Dilemma Will Continue for Many Years / Economics / Money Supply

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs the presidential election is rapidly approaching, little attention seems to be getting paid to the question that may affect voters the most: what will happen to the “easy money” policy? Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Bernanke’s current term will expire in January 2014 and Republican candidate Mitt Romney has vowed that if elected, he would replace Bernanke. Given the tremendous amount of money the Fed has “printed” and the commitment to keep interest rates low until mid-2015, the election may impact everything from mortgage costs to the cost of financing the U.S. debt. Trillions are at stake, as well as the fate of the U.S. dollar.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 24, 2012

Inexorable Money Supply Growth / Economics / Money Supply

By: Michael_Pento

The economies of Southern Europe continue to experience extreme duress. For example, the bad loans of Spanish banks jumped to 10.5% in August, which is up 17 straight months and has increased from just .72% at the end of 2007. However, the answer provided by governments and central banks to propel the economy is to create more of the same condition that brought about the problems in the first place. That is, to increase the level of base money in the hopes of increasing the rate of broad money supply growth and inflation. But despite the fact that inflation is already growing at 2.6% in the Eurozone, Mario Draghi is still promising to do whatever it takes to dilute the Euro’s purchasing power and create more inflation.  

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Economics

Wednesday, October 24, 2012

Japan Is Not A Good Example Of How Deflation Typically Plays Out / Economics / Deflation

By: Nicole_Foss

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJapan is not a good example of how deflation typically plays out. As Ilargi points out, they were an exporting powerhouse exporting into the biggest consumption boom the world has ever seen. They also had a very large pile of money to burn through building their four lane highways from nowhere to nowhere, since they were the world's largest creditor when their bubble burst in 1989. This is clearly not our situation.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 24, 2012

Austerity Problems, Fiscal Cliff Perils, U.S. Election it's the Economy Stupid! / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“Spain is not Greece” – Elena Salgado, Spanish Finance Minister, February 2010

“Portugal is not Greece” – The Economist, April 2010

“Greece is not Ireland” – George Papaconstantinou, Greek Finance Minister, November 2010

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Economics

Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Why Estonia Is Beating the Eurozone Economy / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Frank_Shostak

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAgainst the background of a severe economic crisis in the eurozone, one is surprised to find a member of the euro area that is actually showing good economic performance. This member is Estonia. In terms of so-called real gross domestic product (GDP) the average yearly rate of growth in Estonia stood at 8.4 percent in 2011 against overall eurozone performance of 1.5 percent. So far in 2012 the average yearly growth stood at 2.8 percent in Estonia versus -0.2 percent in the eurozone.

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Economics

Monday, October 22, 2012

Iran's Hyperinflation Economic Death Spiral / Economics / HyperInflation

By: Steve_H_Hanke

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMy October 2009 Globe Asia column was titled "Iran's Death Spiral." In light of the recent events that have transpired in Iran, I think I might have been onto something back in 2009.

Since early September, there has been an accelerated slide in the value of the Iranian rial. This slide has been punctuated by dramatic collapses in the demand for the rial. With each collapse, there has been something akin to a "bank run" on rials — with a sharp rise in the black market (read: free market) IRR/USD exchange rate (see the accompanying chart). Ironically, Iranians are clamoring for U.S. Dollars.

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Economics

Sunday, October 21, 2012

The Recipe For U.S. Hyperinflation, Looming Dollar Collapse / Economics / HyperInflation

By: Graham_Summers

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor the last year, I’ve steered clear of commenting on the US Presidential election for the simple reason that I wanted us to be closer to the actual date before I went through the process of explaining what’s to come.

The reason for this is that elections by their very nature are conflicting processes. Most people vote based on emotions when we are in fact electing someone to fulfill a role that is economic in nature.

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Economics

Saturday, October 20, 2012

QE3 and Coming Economic Crash / Economics / Financial Crash

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhy monetarist theory is flawed

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke really means it this time.

He will rescue the economy.

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Economics

Saturday, October 20, 2012

The Growth Recession, Can the Fed Create Demand? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Hoisington Quarterly Review and Outlook is one of the cornerstones of my reading on where the economy is headed. Van Hoisington and Lacy Hunt do a masterful job of turning data points into cogent, well-argued themes.

This month they waste no time in dissecting the Fed’s recent move to QE3 and similar efforts in Europe, arriving at the conclusion that “While prices for risk assets have improved, governments have not been able to address underlying debt imbalances. Thus, nothing suggests that these latest actions do anything to change the extreme over-indebtedness of major global economies.”

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Economics

Saturday, October 20, 2012

Remember The BRICs? / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: Andrew_McKillop

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA now nicely mythologised theme for government-friendly, politically-correct good news suppliers such as The Economist or Financial Times, and related propaganda outlets, is that the BRICs (Brazil, Russia, India, China) can still save us.

The term was coined by Goldman economist Jim O'Neill in November 2001, possibly to cheer us all up after the September 11th street theatre events staged in New York and Washington.

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Economics

Friday, October 19, 2012

Halloween And The Ghost Economy / Economics / US Economy

By: Andrew_McKillop

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGhost cities in China, ghost racetracks in Greece, ghost jobs and growth in America: Halloween is coming right on time. However, in the now intensely mythologized Euro Crisis, even the ghost of terminal crisis seems to be dying. Today, the Eurozone is running a bigger and bigger capital surplus simply because the economy collapsed. With it, there are impressive falls in imports of Donald Duck flashlights and other stuff from China. Even black oil imports from friendly Russia and Arab countries are declining: most recent YOY data for motor fuel demand in the Eurozone-17 group shows about 6.5% decline. Trade deficits can only decline - as in the USA.

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Economics

Thursday, October 18, 2012

Bernanke's QE3 Bubble - the Coming Economic Deflationary Crash / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhy monetarist theory is flawed

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke really means it this time.

He will rescue the economy.

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Economics

Thursday, October 18, 2012

China’s Economy Slowing Down as Power Output Drops to Four-Month Low / Economics / China Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

A rally in Asia is underway this morning as Wen Jiabao, China’s premier is upbeat on China’s economy

Wen Jiabao, China’s premier, has given his most optimistic assessment of the Chinese economy since the start of the year, saying that it had stabilised and that the government’s target of 7.5 per cent annual growth was well within reach.

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Economics

Thursday, October 18, 2012

Recession Proof Your Portfolio: Buy Gold, Reduce Exposure to Stocks; Mild Recession? / Economics / Recession 2013

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInquiring minds are playing an interesting video on Yahoo!Finance with  Robert Wiedemer, managing director at Absolute Investment Management and the co-author of the book The Aftershock Investor.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 17, 2012

Global Economic Quiet Ahead of the Post U.S. Election Storm / Economics / Recession 2013

By: Graham_Summers

While the media world is abuzz with last night’s Presidential debate, I’d like to cut through the noise and present you with two truly staggering facts that need to be kept in mind as the backdrop for the US Presidential Election

Fact #1: EU leaders have stated point blank that they were asked to keep things quiet until after the election.

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