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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Thursday, September 06, 2012

U.S. Structural Unemployment Trillion Dollar Question / Economics / Unemployment

By: Ian_R_Campbell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhy read: Because it is arguable that the most important questions facing America and its politicians today are:

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Economics

Tuesday, September 04, 2012

Competing with China, the Real Answers are Never that Simple / Economics / China Economy

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes:Q - The Chinese copy everything. Companies can't make money there, especially lately.

A - That's simply not true. Domestic Chinese companies have made plenty of money. So have foreign companies like McDonalds, ABB, Coke, and even GM, which have been fabulously successful there because they've taken the time to localize their products.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 04, 2012

Central Bankers Fail to Understand Forces Holding Back the Economy / Economics / Central Banks

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCentral bankers Debating the Limits of Power in Jackson Hole are wondering what's holding back the economy.

"What is holding the economy back? Why is it that we've had such incredibly accommodative monetary policy for so long (but) we've had so little growth? I think it remains a puzzle," said Donald Kohn, who is now a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution think tank in Washington.

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Economics

Sunday, September 02, 2012

The U.S. Consumer Has In Fact Changed / Economics / US Economy

By: Tony_Pallotta

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe consumer represents 70% of total economic output. So as the bond market is to the capital market, so is the consumer to the economy. When the consumer sneezes, the economy catches more than just a cold.

Since the "end" of the 2008 recession something very interesting has happened to the US economy. The US consumer has actually changed their spending habits. They have actually started to live more within their means. And that is a very positive sign for a number of reasons both financially and socially.

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Economics

Friday, August 31, 2012

Europe Remains the Wildcard in the Global Economy / Economics / Global Economy

By: InvestmentContrarian

George Leong writes: The muted growth in Europe is far-reaching and negatively impacting the global economy…and the evidence for this is mounting.

Six eurozone countries are in a recession, and Germany and France could join in next year.

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Economics

Friday, August 31, 2012

U.S. Economies Financial Tectonic Plates Are Shifting Once Again / Economics / US Economy

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHistory books call the period after the War of 1812 "The Era of Good Feelings."

America was a young nation that had a sense of purpose. National political strife was at a minimum; optimism was in the air.

Major advances in technology and engineering brought the country turnpikes for easier travel and "The Canal Craze" for more efficient commerce.

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Economics

Thursday, August 30, 2012

When Is Fractional-Reserve Banking Inflationary? / Economics / Inflation

By: Michael_S_Rozeff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe takeaway here is that fractional-reserve banking is not inflationary per se. Fractional-reserve banking is inflationary when combined with central banks with unconstrained fiat money powers. The real culprit in inflation is an unconstrained central bank. Since central banks are created or enabled by governments, the real culprit in inflation is government. In turn, inflation cannot be controlled unless proper government, which really means proper law, is instituted and respected.

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Economics

Thursday, August 30, 2012

U.S. 2012:Q2 GDP Growth Upward Revision Reflects Stronger Final Sales / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe real gross domestic product of the US economy grew at annual rate of 1.7% in the second quarter, slightly higher than the original estimate of a 1.5% increase. Stronger growth in consumer spending, a smaller trade gap, and an upward revision of government outlays more than offset reductions in business investment outlays and residential investment expenditures to result in a higher estimate of GDP for the second quarter. As a result of the revisions, final sales increased at an annual rate of 2.0% in the second quarter, previously reported as a 1.2% gain. (Details of GDP data are available here).

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Economics

Thursday, August 30, 2012

BEA Revises Estimate of Annualized U.S. GDP Economic Growth to 1.73% / Economics / US Economy

By: CMI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn their first revision to their estimate of the second quarter 2012 GDP, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) found that the annualized rate of U.S. domestic economic growth was 1.73%, up 0.19% from their initial estimate -- but still down about a quarter of a percent from the 1.97% reported for the prior quarter and down over two and a quarter percent from the 4.10% growth rate for the 4th quarter of 2011. The changes in the GDP growth shown in this report do not represent actual month-to-month changes in the economy, but merely a refined understanding of the previously reported data for the second quarter.

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Economics

Wednesday, August 29, 2012

Nazi Economics, a Lesson from History / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Bill_Bonner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAdam Tooze, a British historian, has written a marvelous book on the Nazi economy, The Wages of Destruction. He shows that, far from illustrating the success of intelligent central planning, the German economy of the Third Reich was a disaster. The National Socialists – or “Nazis” – had their plans for Germany. They were determined to put them into practice, regardless of what the Germans may have wanted for themselves. They fiddled with one sector after another.

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Economics

Tuesday, August 28, 2012

Australia Running Out of Luck, Economy Leveraged to Slowing China / Economics / Austrailia

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile it is summer in the Northern Hemisphere, it is winter "down under." Today we turn our attention to Australia. In Endgame, Jonathan Tepper and I devoted a full chapter to talking about the problems we saw looming in Australia, and for that we have taken some heat! What's not to like about the Land of Oz? In our view, it might be the bubbles that are building. I asked Jonathan to update us on Australia, and in today's Outside the Box he gives us an in-depth look. Let me quote from a point near the end, in case you might decide to look just at the summary:

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Economics

Monday, August 27, 2012

The Silent Economic Depression / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Gordon_T_Long

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJohn Rubino and Gordon T Long recount their summer vacation experiences with old friends and how significantly things have changed in their friends lives across America. Both came away unsettled about what they heard and how we are now unquestionably in the midst a Silent Depression. Major changes are occurring below the surface of mainstream media coverage that only honest discussions with close friends discloses.

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Economics

Monday, August 27, 2012

America: The Land of Debt / Economics / US Debt

By: InvestmentContrarian

Traders and the media are focused on the debt distress in Spain, as the country is hindered by a national debt of around 712 billion euros, or about US$892 billion, which breaks down to US$19,391 per citizen. This is why Spain is seriously concerned about the 10-year bond yield at close to seven percent. Paying these high financing costs, trying to cut its national debt and manage its budget will not be easy. The reality is that the eurozone and Europe are in a serious financial crisis.

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Economics

Saturday, August 25, 2012

The Day of Economic Reckoning Is Near / Economics / Great Depression II

By: The_Gold_Report

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt is a deal with the devil: Governments churn out more and more cash for the promise of continued prosperity. But the day of reckoning is near, according to Doug Casey, chairman of Casey Research and an expert on crisis investing. As the epic battle between inflation and deflation continues on, Casey discusses his predictions for the new world market in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report.

 

The Gold Report: There will be a Casey Research Summit on "Navigating the Politicized Economy" in Carlsbad, Calif., in September. The thesis behind the summit is that governments have made a Faustian bargain, a pact with the devil, that saves the empire with overspending, but drives it to the brink of collapse by creating fiat currencies. Doug, where in that story is the economy currently?

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Economics

Friday, August 24, 2012

Professor Bernanke’s Terrifying Blindness on the Great Depression / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Michael_S_Rozeff

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWith all his scholarly study of the Great Depression, Prof. Bernanke is blind to several truly major factors that caused the Great Depression. His is a blindness that he shares with very many other economists of this day and age. Their condition can be described as "a certain state of mind" that they share that prevents them from seeking out, seeing and saying what is before their eyes. And what is this state of mind? It is to defend the status quo and to stay within the comfortable bounds of conventional beliefs that support the system as it is. This spares them from confronting other institutions and their own.

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