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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Wednesday, August 15, 2012

Mind the Theory / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Thorsten_Polleit

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe saying that things may work nicely in theory, but do not necessarily work in practice is well known.[1] It is typically meant to disparage the importance of theory, suggesting it would be too far removed from practical matters to help in solving the issue at hand.

The Prussian philosopher Immanuel Kant (1724–1804), in his 1793 essay "On the Popular Judgment: 'This May Be True in Theory, But It Does Not Apply in Practice,'" responded to such criticism; in fact, he responded with his essay to criticism leveled against his ethical theory by the philosopher Christian Garve (1742–1798).

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Economics

Tuesday, August 14, 2012

UK CPI Inflation Rise Surprises Mainstream Press, Illustrates Olympics Lasting Debt Legacy / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMervyn King, the Governor of the Bank of England recently forecast that UK inflation would continue falling for the rest of this year which the mainstream press and academic economists / vested interests had been busy regurgitating at length. That is until today's release of the latest Inflation data for July that showed CPI Inflation rise to 2.6% (2.4%) and RPI to 3.2% (2.8%), which led to confusion across the air-waves as illustrated by the BBC's Stephanie Flanders floundering all over the place in an attempt to explain why Inflation had risen when the script everyone had been following was for Inflation to fall towards 2%.

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Economics

Monday, August 13, 2012

Post Olympic Recession Depression / Economics / UK Economy

By: Jan_Skoyles

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYesterday the London 2012 Olympics ended with a spectacular finish, leaving the UK proud to have pulled off such a historical event. Across the globe the world’s media have sung our praises on the success of such a great 16 days.

The London Olympics was just one of a handful of events which the UK, particularly London, has been preparing for, for a good while now. Its completion signifies what I suspect will be a speedy fall back to earth for British citizens who have had party after party to look forward to for many years.

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Economics

Monday, August 13, 2012

U.S. Economic Facts and Consequences of Growth in Government Jobs vs. Private Jobs vs. Population Growth / Economics / US Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeynesian clowns are concerned about the decline in government jobs in the past few years. They want the government to step up spending and hire more workers to make up for the loss of jobs in the private sector.

Here is a chart from reader Tim Wallace that will help put the recent loss of government jobs in a better perspective.

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Economics

Sunday, August 12, 2012

U.S. Economy Huge Reality Check Ahead? / Economics / US Economy

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShah Gilani writes: Let's try and be insightful today, shall we?

Equities have been rallying; we'll call it the summer rally.

Major benchmarks are only a few percentage points off their highs. It's all good, right?

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Economics

Sunday, August 12, 2012

Euro-zone Disaster Zone, Breaking Up is Hard to Do, Who do You Trust? / Economics / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThey say that breaking up is hard to do. Now I know, I know that it's true Don't say that this is the end. Instead of breaking up I wish that we were making up again. – Neil Sedaka, 1962

I have contended for some time that Europe is faced with two choices: Disaster A, which is the break-up of the eurozone, or Disaster B, which is the creation of a fiscal union, which keeps the euro more or less intact. Over the last few months I have come to realize that there is indeed a third option, which now looks increasingly possible. This is rather sad, as the third option is just an even worse Disaster C. Each choice carries with it its own unique set of problems, but the outcome of any of the choices will be that the people of Europe face a serious recession, if not a depression. This will impact global growth for more than a short time and, depending on the choice, could plunge the world into a crisis as bad as or worse than the recent credit crisis. In today’s letter we look at all three choices, meanwhile musing on how we arrived at the bottom of such a deep hole, shovels flailing.

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Economics

Thursday, August 09, 2012

Why U.S. Econcomy the Bears Are Wrong…Again / Economics / US Economy

By: Yiannis_G_Mostrous

Since the beginning of the year, being bearish and trashing the global economy has been the favorite pastime for the majority of market observers. Recurring negative themes have been the sluggish US economy, the supposedly imminent demise of the euro and the slowdown in growth of China’s gross domestic product (GDP).

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Economics

Thursday, August 09, 2012

Why Keynesians Hate the Gold Standard / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRecently, the leftist London Guardian posted an article against the nineteenth-century gold coin standard. The author, who seems recently to have begun shaving, has provided a highly useful summary of the Keynesian case against the gold coin standard. His article is a fine mixture of familiar old canards and creative new errors. His name is Duncan Weldon.

Mr. Weldon has not written a book, so it is difficult for me to know exactly what his monetary theory is. He was the unknown Keynesian in the 2011 BBC debate between two teams of economists at the London School of Economics: The Keynes vs. Hayek debate. I assume that Robert Skidelsky, his partner, thought he was an up-and-coming economist. Skidelsky is the author of a multi-volume biography of Keynes.

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Economics

Tuesday, August 07, 2012

Why More Money Printing Will Increase Unemployment / Economics / Unemployment

By: Michael_Pento

Money Printing Doesn’t Create Jobs
The developed world’s central banks are now foolishly preparing for a full assault on their respective currencies in an attempt to lower unemployment rates. Spurring these central bankers into action is persistently anemic markets and employment data, which they believe can be rectified by creating inflation.

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Economics

Tuesday, August 07, 2012

U.S. Economic Recovery Orders and Production: No Time for Complacency / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe have been assaulted with economic news of all sorts, from every corner of the globe, while trying to watch the Olympics and while we would rather be enjoying summer and decompressing (at least in the Northern hemisphere).

But the data keeps coming. My friend John Silvia, the Chief Economist of Wells Fargo, has been with me in Maine this past weekend. And as we caught fish and shared our thoughts, we also both managed to get out our respective writing done. His note this morning is a particularly interesting analysis of US data, which has him wondering about his call for tepid growth but no recession

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Economics

Monday, August 06, 2012

The Future of the Austrian Economic's School / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Gary_North

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn Saturday, July 28, I spoke to a group of almost 150 mostly undergraduates at the Mises Institute. They had flown in from across the USA and from 20 foreign countries. It was a week-long seminar. I was the final speaker.

It is an amazing experience for an anti-Communist of my generation to speak with a Chinese student studying economics in the USA.

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Economics

Sunday, August 05, 2012

Alternate Perspectives On U.S. Employment and Unemployment / Economics / Employment

By: Richard_Shaw

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEmployment Population Ratio: Age 16-64 With No Disability

A higher portion of men in this demographic have jobs than since mid-2009.  Women have about the same ratio of employment as they have had for the last couple of years.

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Economics

Saturday, August 04, 2012

U.S. July Employment Situation – Labor Market is Improving at Snail’s Pace / Economics / Employment

By: Asha_Bangalore

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCivilian Unemployment Rate: 8.254% in July vs. 8.217% in June. The cycle high jobless rate for the recent recession is 10.0%, registered in October 2009.

Payroll Employment: +163,000 jobs in July vs. +64,000 in June.

Private sector jobs increased 172,000 after a gain of 73,000 in June. A net loss of 6,000 jobs due to revisions of payroll estimates of May and June.

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Economics

Friday, August 03, 2012

Mr. Bernanke's Postponement Strategy? / Economics / US Economy

By: Ian_R_Campbell

On Wednesday, August 1 Chairman Bernanke provided an update on the Federal Reserve's position on the U.S. economy. He commented briefly in a negative tone on U.S. GDP growth, unemployment, consumer spending and the housing sector. He said the Fed's U.S. inflation expectations remained stable. He reconfirmed the Fed's policy of reinvesting in U.S. treasuries until December 2012.

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Economics

Friday, August 03, 2012

Deflationists' Wrong in Both Theory and Historical Fact / Economics / Deflation

By: Gary_North

An inflationist is someone who believes that price inflation is the result of two things: (1) monetary inflation and (2) central bank policy.

A deflationist is someone who believes that deflation is inevitable, despite (1) monetary inflation and (2) central bank policy.

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Economics

Thursday, August 02, 2012

Social-Economic Consequences of Malaysia's persistently High Income Inequality / Economics / Asian Economies

By: Sam_Chee_Kong

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Income Inequality have always been a thorny issue for the past few thousand years. During the middle ages in Europe, they have the bourgeois (higher class) and the proletariats (ordinary folds). In ancient China they too have different class like the Merchants, artisans, court officials, laborers and etc. Needless to say the bourgeois and the merchants controlled most of the wealth.

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Economics

Wednesday, August 01, 2012

On the Road to Freedom From Fiat Money Economics / Economics / Fiat Currency

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYesterday was the 100th anniversary of Milton Friedman's day of birth. The Wall Street Journal ran a laudatory article on him.

This year is the 100th anniversary of Ludwig von Mises' Theory of Money and Credit. There has been no article in the Wall Street Journal. The Mises Institute took my advice and held several sessions on that book at its March week-long Austrian Scholars Conference. A book on that book will be published next year. Few people in academia and the financial media will notice.

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Economics

Wednesday, August 01, 2012

Was India's Worst Black Out in Human History Triggered by a Solar Flare? / Economics / Environmental Issues

By: DK_Matai

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAsia's third-largest economy -- INDIA -- was hit by three more huge power grid failures, one day after a similar, but smaller power failure covered half the country -- leaving more than 650 million people without electricity in the world’s biggest blackout according to the ATCA Research & Analysis Wing.  More than half the population of India has been affected, which is roughly 10% of the world's population and bigger than the entire population of the European Union or the United States, Russia and Brazil combined.  In parallel, hours of power outage in the scorching summer sparked protest in most parts of Pakistan and angry protesters attacked offices of power supply departments in some areas.

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Economics

Wednesday, August 01, 2012

Euro-zone Economy Enters Twilight Zone / Economics / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Michael_Pento

It is obvious to me that the world of economics has now fully entered the Twilight Zone. As evidence, last week, European Central Bank Head Mario Draghi pledged to quote, "Do whatever it takes preserve the Euro. And believe me, it will be enough." In this upside down world of phony Keynesian Economics, doing "whatever it takes to preserve the Euro" apparently now means promising to dilute the purchasing power of the currency into oblivion.

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Economics

Wednesday, August 01, 2012

U.S. Economy on Soft Trajectory as Consumer Spending Falls / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleReal consumer spending declined 0.1% in June, after posting gains of 0.2% and 0.1% in April and May, respectively. Outlays of durable goods and services held steady in June, but that of non-durables fell 0.4%. We can discern the causes for a drop in consumer non-durables when the Commerce Department publishes complete details of consumer expenditures on Friday, August 3. More importantly, the level of real consumer spending in June ($9576 billion) is lower than the second quarter average ($9582 billion), which sets up the case of strong monthly gains in consumer spending in the third quarter if consumer spending has to make a noticeable contribution to real GDP. There are doubts about a strong trajectory of consumer spending in the second-half of the year, given the current worrisome labor market situation.

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