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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Wednesday, September 26, 2012

Balancing Lenders and Borrowers is the Most Economically Stimulating / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: John_Handbury

Keeping interest rates low has always been perceived to be stimulating.  This is based on the premise that borrowers are more inclined to borrow when rates are low.  This is undeniably true, however, this simplification totally removes the lenders from the equation, which have an equal role in stimulation.

By definition the maximum activity (thereby stimulation) occurs when the number of borrowers is the same as the number of lenders.  By definition this occurs at the MARKET PRICE.  To artificially move rates either way from the market price suppresses either one group or the other and thereby de-stimulates.

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Economics

Monday, September 24, 2012

Keynsian Animal Spirits / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Alasdair_Macleod

The BBC is running a three-part series on notable economists, starting with Keynes. There were a number of errors made, but I shall ignore those and address two Keynesian fallacies. The first was that Keynes correctly anticipated the economic and political consequences of the Versailles Treaty, which inflicted punitive reparations on Germany: this was true. It was bizarrely extrapolated to the current situation, concluding that Germany must reduce its prosperity and economic power to a level closer to that of the other Eurozone countries in the interests of economic balance.

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Economics

Saturday, September 22, 2012

Why QE3 Won’t Jumpstart the Economy and What Would / Economics / Quantitative Easing

By: Ellen_Brown

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe economy could use a good dose of “aggregate demand”—new spending money in the pockets of consumers—but QE3 won’t do it.  Neither will it trigger the dreaded hyperinflation.  In fact, it won’t do much at all.  There are better alternatives.   

The Fed’s announcement on September 13, 2012, that it was embarking on a third round of quantitative easing has brought the “sound money” crew out in force, pumping out articles with frighting titles such as “QE3 Will Unleash’ Economic Horror’ On The Human Race.”  The Fed calls QE an asset swap, swapping Fed-created dollars for other assets on the banks’ balance sheets.  But critics call it “reckless money printing” and say it will inevitably produce hyperinflation.  Too much money will be chasing too few goods, forcing prices up and the value of the dollar down.

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Economics

Saturday, September 22, 2012

Inflation and Inflation Expectations Analysis / Economics / Inflation

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSince the Federal Reserve initiated its third round of quantitative easing (QE3) last week, critics have expressed concern that the policy would ultimately be inflationary. Investors also seemed to sense a higher risk in this area; gold and other commodities have rallied as portfolios seek to hedge against this outcome. In response, several Federal Reserve officials have been out defending the central bank’s action.

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Economics

Friday, September 21, 2012

Do Trade Deficits and Surpluses Matter? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Ian_R_Campbell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhy read: Because I believe that where a country runs continuous net trade deficits and increasing net cumulative trade deficits that is a bad thing in the context of the economic well-being of that country. Others disagree, and in the current economic environment where the United States - still the world's most important economy - continuously:

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Economics

Friday, September 21, 2012

Today’s Global Economic Crisis Worse than the Great Depression? / Economics / Great Depression 2010's

By: Washingtons_Blog

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat Do Economic Indicators Say?
We’ve repeatedly pointed out that there are many indicators which show that the last 5 years have been worse than the Great Depression of the 1930s, including:

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Economics

Friday, September 21, 2012

Eurozone Panic! Steepest Economic Contraction Since June 2009, Global Recession / Economics / Recession 2012

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe global recession which started in Europe, is strengthening led by further declines in the eurozone. Markit reports Eurozone sees steepest contraction since June 2009 despite downturn easing in Germany.

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Economics

Friday, September 21, 2012

Forget About QE… I’m Worried About UC / Economics / Inflation

By: Graham_Summers

Let’s just be blunt here.

Inflation is back in a big way. It’s not going to show up in the official numbers, but if you’ve paid for gas or food or healthcare recently, you’ve no doubt noticed that:

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Economics

Thursday, September 20, 2012

Money Printing Stimulus, Is this the world’s most important debate? / Economics / Quantitative Easing

By: William_Bancroft

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week the Bernanke Fed recommenced its interventionist tendencies and announced QE3. The world’s most important central bank will be able to buy its previously targeted range of securities to the tune of $40bn a month.

The Fed probably felt newly empowered by the ECB’s recent promises to action, and the deliberately awe inspiring words of ‘Super’ Mario Draghi. The world’s most systemically important central banks are building their balance sheets and with it an even bigger hand in the world’s most important financial game of poker.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 19, 2012

Why You Should Prepare for Econcomic Catastrophe / Economics / Inflation

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt is not often that readers get a clear-cut choice between two forecasts. Most forecasts have wiggle room. Not the following.

1. The United States government will default.

2. The United States government will not default.

I hold the first position. John T. Harvey holds the second. He wrote a piece for Forbes defending his position: "It Is Impossible For The US To Default".

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Economics

Tuesday, September 18, 2012

Mexico, the “Forgotten” Emerging Market / Economics / Mexico

By: Benjamin_Shepherd

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMexico is the closest emerging market to the US, after all, it’s right next door but it hasn’t been getting much attention from American investors.

A major reason is Mexico’s close linkage to the economic behemoth to its north. Mexico doesn’t just catch cold when America sneezes; it comes down with a nasty case of pneumonia.

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Economics

Monday, September 17, 2012

Slow Painful Economic Death Spiral of Debasement and Despair / Economics / Great Depression II

By: James_Quinn

ARE YOU SEEING WHAT I’M SEEING?

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIs it just me, or are the signs of consumer collapse as clear as a Lowes parking lot on a Saturday afternoon? Sometimes I wonder if I'm just seeing the world through my pessimistic lens, skewing my point of view. My daily commute through West Philadelphia is not very enlightening, as the squalor, filth and lack of legal commerce remain consistent from year to year. This community is sustained by taxpayer subsidized low income housing, taxpayer subsidized food stamps, welfare payments, and illegal drug dealing. The dependency attitude, lifestyles of slothfulness and total lack of commerce has remained constant for decades in West Philly. It is on the weekends, cruising around a once thriving suburbia, where you perceive the persistent deterioration and decay of our debt fixated consumer spending based society.

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Economics

Sunday, September 16, 2012

Is the "Fiscal Cliff" a Threat to the U.S. Economy? / Economics / Taxes

By: Frank_Shostak

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe US Congressional Budget Office (CBO) said on August 22, 2012, that scheduled tax increases and spending cuts in 2013 would reverse the current modest economic recovery. The CBO and other experts are of the view that large government spending cuts and tax hikes will cause severe economic slump.

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Economics

Sunday, September 16, 2012

Understanding Deflation, Pro Football Defense, Downside Pressure on Prices Has Only Begun / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYou've heard (and probably used) the phrase, "I'd rather watch the game on television."

It's what a sports fan says if he doesn't want to face traffic jams, inadequate parking, overpriced tickets, noisy crowds, and possibly a poor view of the game.

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Economics

Thursday, September 13, 2012

Hyperinflation Is Virtually Assured – John Williams / Economics / HyperInflation

By: Videos

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Federal Reserve is talking about “unlimited QE,” or money printing, to boost employment. Economist John Williams says, “That’s absolutely nonsense. The Fed is just propping up the banks.” Williams says, “You’re likely going to see a dollar sell-off . . . That should evolve into hyperinflation.”

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Economics

Tuesday, September 11, 2012

A Decade of Volatility: Demographics, Debt, and Deflation / Economics / Deflation

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHarry Dent gave a speech I listened to a while back, and I got him to transcribe it for this week's Outside the Box. One thing about Harry is, you are never left wondering what he thinks about a topic. He sees inevitable demography-caused deflation in our future and makes some very intriguing arguments that deserve pondering.

At the end is a link to another report and a way to subscribe to his letter, if you are interested in more of his perspective. But first, I suggest you read this straightforward, informative presentation. There is also a link to the actual video of him speaking, should you prefer that.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 11, 2012

ECB Calmed the Markets, Will China Act Next? / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Frank_Holmes

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAfter Mario Draghi announced the European Central Bank's new bond buying program, I was the first guest on CNBC Asia's Squawk Box to weigh in on this decision. I reiterated my stance that the endgame for Europe would be to print money, which will eventually lead to currency wars. These actions are positive for gold and also for increased economic activity.

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Economics

Sunday, September 09, 2012

How Down Economic Statistics Can Be Up if You Make the Rules, QE3? / Economics / Economic Statistics

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article "In the financial markets, the current economic cycle is still often viewed as if it is comparable to the far shorter cycles we have experienced since World War II. If that was indeed the case, the solution would be to implement fiscal and monetary stimuli now until lending to the private sector and thereby growth rise substantially. However, what is being overlooked is that the total debt/GDP ratio has risen so sharply over the past 75 years that the limit has probably been reached.

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Economics

Saturday, September 08, 2012

U.S. August Employment Data Contains Ample Evidence to Justify QE3 / Economics / Employment

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBefore examining the nitty-gritty aspects of the August employment report, the main take away is that the overall tone of the numbers is disappointing. In addition, recent economic reports also cast a long shadow. The three consecutive monthly readings of the factory PMI that are below the critical mark of 50 (which denotes a contraction in factory activity) and the drop in July construction outlays are each sufficiently worrisome signals to win over the skeptics in the FOMC.

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Economics

Saturday, September 08, 2012

Are Euro-zone Rescue Efforts Too Late To Prevent A Global Recession? / Economics / Global Economy

By: Sy_Harding

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEconomic growth continues to slow at an accelerated pace globally, not just in Greece and Spain, and other euro-zone countries in the headlines, but in the world’s ten largest economies of the U.S., China, Japan, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Brazil, Italy, India, and Canada. The 17-nation eurozone as a whole is already in a recession. Many other nations are just barely keeping their heads above water.

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