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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Saturday, April 07, 2012

Discouraged U.S. Workers NOT THE REASON for decline in March Unemployment Rate / Economics / Unemployment

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCivilian Unemployment Rate: 8.2% in March, down one notch from February. Cycle high jobless rate for the recent recession is 10.0%, registered in October 2009.

Payroll Employment: +120,000 jobs in March vs. +240,000 in February. Private sector jobs increased 121,000 after a gain of 233,000 in February. A net gain of 4,000 jobs due to revisions of payroll estimates of January and February.

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Economics

Saturday, April 07, 2012

Learning to Think in Multiple Scales and U.S. Jobs Creation / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Ashvin_Pandurangi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMost politicians, bureaucratic officials, business "leaders", mainstream academics and media pundits in the world are stuck in a single-scale mindset. They approach every problem and issue from the perspective of a human being looking out into an increasingly inter-dependent global society. They take the structures of extensive trade, multinational corporations, global regulatory institutions, international treaties, etc. as irreversible truths that are embedded into the very fabric of existence.

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Economics

Saturday, April 07, 2012

Eurozone, US, China, the Global Economy's Ups and Downs / Economics / Global Economy

By: William_R_Thomson

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Business Times Singapore Investment Round Table

PANELLISTS
Kenneth Courtis: Former vice-chairman, Goldman Sachs (Asia) and co-founder of Themes Investment Management
Ernest Kepper: President, Asia Strategic Investment Associates, Japan
Robert Lloyd-George: Chairman, Lloyd-George Investment Management, Hong Kong
William Thomson: Chairman of Private Capital, Hong Kong, director of Finavestment, London

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Economics

Wednesday, April 04, 2012

Economic Depression and Deflation / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDeflation requires a precondition: a major societal buildup in the extension of credit (and its flip side, the assumption of debt). -- Conquer the Crash, 2nd edition (p. 88)

Has the United States met that precondition?

Well, consider that total credit market debt as a percent of U.S. gross domestic product was

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Economics

Tuesday, April 03, 2012

Crushing National Debts and Deficits, Economic Revolutions, and Extraordinary Popular Delusions / Economics / Technology

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleProfessor Andrew Odlyzko leads off this week's Outside the Box with a familiar litany:

"A superpower with crippling debt, exorbitant taxes, glaring inequality, wages far exceeding those of competitors, high and persistent unemployment, lack of basic workplace skills, malnutrition, a rapidly growing rival across the ocean to the West, heated debates about the role of government in the economy, and widespread pessimism about the future."

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Economics

Tuesday, April 03, 2012

Three China Economic Trends to Watch for Global Investors / Economics / China Economy

By: Frank_Holmes

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBloomberg announced over the weekend that China’s manufacturing grew at the fastest pace in a year. We follow the government’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) closely, as we believe it is a better indicator of China’s domestic demand than the HSBC PMI. Whereas HSBC PMI surveys 400 small and mid-sized companies, which are typically export-oriented, the government’s PMI surveys 820 mostly large, state-owned enterprises across 20 industries.

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Economics

Monday, April 02, 2012

Oh Canada! Imposing Economic Austerity on the World’s Most Resource-rich Country / Economics / Canada

By: Ellen_Brown

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEven the world’s most resource-rich country has now been caught in the debt trap.  Its once-proud government programs are being subjected to radical budget cuts—cuts that could have been avoided if the government had not quit borrowing from its own central bank in the 1970s. 

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Economics

Sunday, April 01, 2012

Plunge In U.S. Savings Rate Highlights Economic Risk / Economics / US Economy

By: Tony_Pallotta

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI can't resist mentioning the irony of talking about personal income "growth" on April Fool's Day. You can't make this stuff up. The headlines read "US consumer Spending Rose 0.8% In February, Best Gain In 7 Months; Income Lagged"

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Economics

Sunday, April 01, 2012

Euro Crisis Next Phase All About Spain, the Mother of All Housing Bubbles / Economics / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast Monday I was in Paris and was asked to do a spot on CNBC London. I arrived at the studios an hour early due to a misunderstanding of the time zones, so while trying to catch up on the news I listened to CNBC. I had just written about Spain in last week's letter and guessed that was what they wanted to talk to me about, but for the full hour before I got on it seemed like every guest wanted to talk about Spain. When I had my turn and indeed got the Spain question, I smiled and noted that we were now in a period when it would be "All Spain All the Time," for at least the next year. I should have noted that there would be brief interruptions where we glanced at Portugal and perhaps Ireland, but the real focus would be on Spain.

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Economics

Sunday, April 01, 2012

Higher U.S. Gas Prices and the Illusion of Economic Recovery / Economics / US Economy

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe housing recovery seems to have been a temporary affair. Preliminary data frames March as weak as last October. It looks like lower interest rates boasted sales. Those rates are up from 4.72% to 5.02%.

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Economics

Sunday, April 01, 2012

U.S. Unemployment to Rise Amidst New Round of Mass layoffs / Economics / Unemployment

By: Barry_Grey

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe US electronics retail chain Best Buy on Thursday announced it would close 50 stores this year and lay off 400 corporate and support workers as part of a plan to cut $800 million in costs and restructure its business. The Minnesota-based firm was one of a series of American and Canadian companies that announced major layoffs this week.

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Economics

Saturday, March 31, 2012

Money Is Starting to Burn a Hole in Households’ Pockets / Economics / US Economy

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFebruary personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased 0.8% month-to-month in nominal terms and 0.5% in real terms. In real terms, the February PCE increase was the strongest since last September. From some of the naysayers out there (David), we keep hearing that the economic “green shoots” that have emerged this past winter were due to the unusually mild temperatures. Really? One area of consumer expenditures that has not been boosted by the mild temperatures is electricity and natural gas.

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Economics

Friday, March 30, 2012

U.S. Debt, Deficit, Economy and Financial NO SPIN Zone / Economics / US Debt

By: Ty_Andros

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs leviathan government, Central Bankers and the welfare states battle Mother Nature and Darwin, the stakes for the global banksters and elites could not be higher. Governments in the US and Europe are striving to place debt and legal shackles on those they pretend to serve and working for the interests of banksters, power-hungry public servants and entrenched government bureaucrats against that of their own constituents.

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Economics

Monday, March 26, 2012

Economic Forecasting: The Model Solution / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Frank_Shostak

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn their economic analyses economists utilize a range of statistical methods that vary from highly complex models to a simple display of historical data. It is generally held that by means of statistical correlations one can organize historical data into a useful body of information, which in turn can serve as the basis for assessments of the state of the economy. In short, it is held that through the application of statistical methods on historical data, one can extract the facts of reality regarding the state of the economy.

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Economics

Sunday, March 25, 2012

Saving India from the Keynesian Economists / Economics / India

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShanmuganathan "Shan" Nagasundaram writes: In the murder mystery The Da Vinci Code, Silas the albino is in search of the keystone and, on confession by the four sénéchaux about the location, he visits the Saint Sulpice church in Paris to retrieve the same. However, upon digging at the specified spot, all that he finds is a stone with the inscription "Job 38:11." A nun explains the symbolism: "Hitherto shalt thou come, but no further," indicating that Silas has reached the end of the road in his attempts to find the keystone.

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Economics

Saturday, March 24, 2012

A Random Walk Through the Economic Data Minefields / Economics / Economic Statistics

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis Friday finds me sleeping later than I planned … in the lounge at the airport in Stockholm, on my way to Paris. To the great applause of readers all over the world this may be the shortest letter in 12 years. I will write here and on the plane and quit when I land so I can be with friends this evening. No time for exhaustive research, so we will march through random topics that caught my attention this week until it is time to hit the send button. In no particular order, let's jump in.

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Economics

Saturday, March 24, 2012

What All Major Economic Depressions Have in Common / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDeflation requires a precondition: a major societal buildup in the extension of credit (and its flip side, the assumption of debt). -- Conquer the Crash, 2nd edition (p. 88)

Has the United States met that precondition?

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Economics

Friday, March 23, 2012

U.S. Economy Dead Man Walking, The Crash of 2012 / Economics / US Economy

By: Casey_Research

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDoug Casey, Casey Research writes: In an interview with Louis James, the inimitable Doug Casey throws cold water on those celebrating the economic recovery.

[Skype rings: It's Doug Casey, calling from Cafayate, Argentina. He sounds tired, but pleased with himself.]

Doug: Lobo, get out your mower; it's time to cut down some green shoots again, and debunk a bit of the so-called recovery.

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Economics

Thursday, March 22, 2012

China Shops While American Investors Drop / Economics / China Economy

By: Neeraj_Chaudhary

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUnquestionably there has been a significant change in investor sentiment since the crash of 2008. The 50% decline in stock prices in 2008-2009 combined with the financial sector bailouts, the "Flash Crash" of 2010, and the continued demonization of our leading financial institutions, has helped shatter the public's faith in Wall Street. With U.S. stock markets essentially flat over the past 13 years (despite occasional heart-stopping volatility), many investors may have decided that long term equity investments are just no longer worth the risk.

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Economics

Wednesday, March 21, 2012

Is the U.S. Economy Really Healing? / Economics / US Economy

By: Michael_Pento

Please don’t believe the hype that the American economy is healing. While it is true that some data is showing improvement, the true fundamentals of the economy continue to erode.

America’s trade deficit hit $52.6 billion in January. That’s the highest level since October of 2008 and is clear evidence that we have fully reverted back to our under production, under saving and overconsumption habits with alacrity.

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