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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Saturday, September 24, 2011

World is Edging Towards Global Depression, Give Collapse a Chance / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Bill_Bonner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA big sell-off yesterday. The Dow down 283 points. The 10-year T-note yields only 1.87%. And the price of gold barely budged.

In our opinion all three should be going down. Because the world is edging towards a global depression…

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Economics

Saturday, September 24, 2011

Dr Doom Roubini and Soros Say The U.S. Already in A Double Dip Recession / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: EconMatters

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDr. Doom Roubini has grown even more pessimistic since he put a 60% probability of a U.S. double dip in 2012 just about three weeks ago.  Business Day reported that speaking at a press conference in Johannesburg on Sep. 20, Roubini now says, "The US is already in a recession although it will not admit it." and that the rest of the world would not be insulated from the effects of another global meltdown. (Clip Below)

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Economics

Friday, September 23, 2011

Freedom and Economic Growth in the Poorest Countries / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: MISES

Ken Zahringer writes: I just finished the first draft of a paper exploring some of the factors influencing economic growth in poor countries. I put together a sample of 37 countries that were at the bottom of the income scale in 1970 and traced their economic performance over the ensuing 40 years, trying to discern some of the reasons for the differences in growth among countries. One of the measures I used was the Fraser Institute's Economic Freedom (EF) Index. The following simple table speaks volumes about why some countries prosper and others don't. (The chart divisions allow class mobility.)

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Economics

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Deflation, What You Can do to Survive the Economic Depression / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGovernments across the world have adopted "Quantitative Easing" aka "Printing Money" to fight against Deflation that was threatening to push global economies into a downward deflationary spiral towards a prolonged period of economic depression. The question now is will printing money coupled with ZERO interest rates work ?

Money printing in the first instance takes the form of governments instructing their respective central banks to buy government bonds in an effort to artificially drive longer term interest rates lower and fund huge budget deficits and therefore artificially stimulate economic activity.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Why the IMF's Warnings About Slower Growth for the U.S. and Europe Will Be Ignored / Economics / Global Economy

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Zeiler writes: In lowering its growth forecast for the United States and Europe, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned of "severe repercussions" unless drastic measures are taken soon.

But don't expect the warning to spawn any real action.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

China's Economic Growth Won't Last; Chanos on Chinese Property Bubble and Growth / Economics / China Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFund manager Jim Chanos spoke to Bloomberg TV’s Carol Massar about China's economy, debt and real estate market.

Chanos said that growth in China may be zero and that China has “European kind of numbers” when it comes to debt.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

The Case for Hyperinflation in the US / Economics / HyperInflation

By: Jeff_Berwick

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEarlier this month, Gary North penned an article on LewRockwell.com entitled, "Mass Inflation, Yes; Hyperinflation, No".

In it he stated the following:

"The United States is not going to get hyperinflation unless Congress nationalizes the Federal Reserve System.

It will get mass inflation at some point: anywhere from 15% per annum to 30%. But it is not going to get 50% or 100% or more.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 20, 2011

Bursting of the Debt Bubble, Evaporation of Wealth on a Vast Scale / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bursting of the "debt bubble" which started in 2008 is far from over. It's the financial story of our age and it's happening before our eyes. The full scope is hard to keep up with because it's unfolding at various levels. The top level is the sovereign debt crisis:

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Economics

Tuesday, September 20, 2011

Fed is Measuring U.S. Economic Health by the Wrong Number / Economics / US Economy

By: Vitaliy_Katsenelson

Mark Twain once said, “To a man with a hammer, everything looks like a nail.” To the Federal Reserve — an institution employing an army of economists and academics — everything looks like an economic problem that needs to be quantitatively eased. As a result, the Fed is killing the economy.

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Economics

Monday, September 19, 2011

Another Round Of Consumer Price Increases On The Way / Economics / Inflation

By: Clif_Droke

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe ongoing economic depression has the middle class behind the proverbial eight ball. Not only has it resulted in the deflation of housing values but the stimulus efforts of the last two years have resulted in increased retail prices. This is one of the important signs that the depression has a lot longer to run, for until we see a substantial drop in consumer prices deflation's work isn't done.

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Economics

Sunday, September 18, 2011

World's Declining, Graying Population Doesn't Spell Economic Growth / Economics / Demographics

By: Bill_Bonner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Lehman bankruptcy was a much more important event than 9/11. It marked the end of a 60-year credit expansion. Maybe it marked the high water mark for the US Empire, too. And the beginning of the end for the US dollar-based world monetary system.

But the occasion went by yesterday without much notice.

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Economics

Sunday, September 18, 2011

Paymaster Germany and the Endgame Back to the 1930's? / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI did a Google search for "paymaster Germany." I got over 34,000 hits. They refer mostly to the Eurozone crisis over Greek government debt, and the German government's willingness to tax Germans in order to keep bailing out the Greek government.

I got the phrase from a pro-gold standard German economist, Paul C. Martin. He wrote a book with this title in 1991. Its subtitle is as relevant today as it was two decades ago: "Thus they dissipate our money." When he wrote "they," he meant "German politicians." The phrase has stuck. It is correctly being applied to the on-going program of the Merkel government to provide fresh injections of government money – taxpayers' money – into the Greek government, so that the government can pay 70% per annum to investors.

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Economics

Sunday, September 18, 2011

Global Systemic Crisis: Implosive Fusion of Global Financial Assets, Worst Ahead / Economics / Credit Crisis 2011

By: LEAP

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs anticipated by LEAP/E2020 since November 2010, and often repeated up to June 2011, the second half of 2011 has started with a sudden and major relapse of the crisis. Nearly USD 10 trillion of the USD 15 trillion in ghost assets announced in GEAB N°56 have already gone up in smoke. The rest (and probably much more) will vanish in the fourth quarter of 2011, which will be marked by what our team calls "the implosive fusion of global financial assets". It’s the two major global financial centers, Wall Street in New York and the City of London, which will be the "preferred reactors" of this fusion. And, as predicted by LEAP/E2020 for several months, it’s the solution to the public debt problems in some Euroland countries which will enable this reaction to reach critical mass, after which nothing is controllable; but the bulk of the fuel that will drive the reaction and turn it into a real global shock (1) is found in the United States. Since July 2011 we have only started on the process that led to this situation: the worst is ahead of us and very close!

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Economics

Saturday, September 17, 2011

Global Imperatives of a Chinese Exporter / Economics / China Economy

By: Ashvin_Pandurangi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHere are the two simple "equations" that all of the incessant rumor-inspired momentum chasers, equity bulls, peripheral EU bond bulls and relentless predictors of an imminent global Asia-backed bailout would do well to memorize:
 
1) Export Economy = Relatively Weak Currency
2) Chinese Economy = Export Economy

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Economics

Friday, September 16, 2011

Not Made in America at the Root of U.S. Economic Crisis / Economics / Protectionism

By: Richard_Mills

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGovernment attempts to inflate the money supply and stimulate growth through quantitative easing have failed, so far, because they gave the stimulus to banks, not directly to their citizens - stimulation will only work if the cash is spent:

  • Giving the money to bankers is the equivalent to burying it - banks used the money to shore up their balance sheets and do not loan it out
  • Consumers are already buried in debt and facing mass layoffs so taking on yet more debt by borrowing more money from the banks is not an option
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