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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Monday, March 21, 2011

Why Deflation Will Torpedo the Economic Recovery / Economics / Deflation

By: Clif_Droke

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe rising price of food and fuel is garnering more and more attention in the economic news headlines. There’s a good reason for this since a continued increase in the oil price could easily upset the economic recovery and send the U.S. economy tumbling back into recession. It could also have an adverse impact on the financial market and not surprisingly, analysts are already beginning to draw parallels between today’s stock market and the one of 2008, which was hurt by (among other things) a record high oil price.

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Economics

Monday, March 21, 2011

American Jobs, Factories and Investment: The Picture is Grim / Economics / US Economy

By: Gerard_Jackson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Washington Post recently published a story revealing that if the hidden jobless were included in the unemployment rate it would jump to 10.5 per cent. (Hidden workforce challenges domestic economic recovery) This is a damning indictment of Obama's economic policies and Bernanke's monetary mismanagement. Even more damning is the fact that Obama appears completely unfazed by the situation. Now he did not create this recession any more than Bush created the 2000 recession -- irrespective of what America's utterly corrupt media assert -- but his policies are responsible for making it worse. To say that America is in an even more frightful mess than would otherwise be the case because of this man's dogmatic leftism and mindless hostility to free markets would be a severe understatement. However, recriminations -- no matter how well deserved -- will not alleviate the situation.

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Economics

Sunday, March 20, 2011

Floating Dollar, Milton Friedman's Contraption / Economics / Inflation

By: Gary_North

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn March 12, David Stockman gave a lecture at the Mises Institute in Alabama. I was in attendance. It was a rousing speech, filled with funny one-liners. It reminded me of Patch Adams' listing of euphemisms for death in the hospital room of the guy with terminal cancer. It got us all laughing.

The speech had four important points. First, the Treasury-Federal Reserve bailout in October 2008 was not necessary to save the financial markets. It was necessary to save three or four finance companies that had cooked their books and were facing exposure, meaning write-downs.

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Economics

Sunday, March 20, 2011

U.S. Real Unemployment Rate 10.2%, Underemployment at 20% / Economics / Unemployment

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI am very skeptical of BLS unemployment rates inching lower. Not only do the BLS reports discount millions of marginally attached and discouraged workers but BLS seasonal adjustments seem more than a bit unusual.

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Economics

Friday, March 18, 2011

Japan Disaster, How Bad Will it Get? / Economics / Japan Economy

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMoney Morning Chief Investment Strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald has spent almost every summer for the past two decades at his family home in Kyoto - which is why he knows Japan in a way that few other U.S. traders could ever hope to.

As part of Money Morning's continued coverage of the disaster in Japan, Fitz-Gerald is sharing those insights with readers. Here are the highlights of a question-and-answer session we held with Fitz-Gerald late yesterday Thursday).

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Economics

Friday, March 18, 2011

U.S. Factory Production Maintains Upward Trajectory / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Asha_Bangalore

Industrial production declined 0.1% in February, reflecting a 4.5% drop in production at the nation's utilities and a 0.4% increase in factory production. Factory production accounts for the major part of the industrial production index. 

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Economics

Friday, March 18, 2011

Food and Energy Send U.S. Consumer Prices Sharply Higher / Economics / Inflation

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.5% in February after posting increases of 0.4% in December and January.  Significant food price gains in the January-February months and three consecutive monthly jumps in energy prices have been the main culprits behind the recent upward trend of the CPI. The CPI has risen 2.1% from a year ago, while the 3-month annualized increase is 5.6%.

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Economics

Thursday, March 17, 2011

Is U.S. Inflation Already at 9%? / Economics / Inflation

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRising prices are hitting U.S. consumers a lot harder than the U.S. Federal Reserve - or the U.S. government - would have us believe. The government-issued consumer price index (CPI) for January showed that "core inflation" - which includes prices for all items except food and energy - was up only 1% from the same month the year before.

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Economics

Thursday, March 17, 2011

Food and Energy Prices Lift U.S. Wholesale Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Producer Price Index (PPI) of Finished Goods rose 1.6% in February following a 0.8% gain in the prior month.  A 3.9% increase in food prices and a 3.3% jump in energy prices explain a large part of the increase in the headline number.  Higher prices for natural gas (+3.2%), gasoline (+3.7%) and heating oil (+14.6%) contributed for the noticeably higher energy price index.  The February increase of food prices (+3.9%) is the largest since November 1974 (+4.2%). 

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Economics

Wednesday, March 16, 2011

Does Economic Growth Cause Inflation? / Economics / Inflation

By: Frank_Shostak

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe yearly rate of growth of personal consumer outlays jumped from 2.5 percent in August last year to 3.8 percent this January.

The growth momentum of personal income has been pushing ahead strongly since May last year.

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Economics

Wednesday, March 16, 2011

China Ready to Pull the World Economy Out of the Doldrums? / Economics / China Economy

By: ECR_Research

Renate van Ginderen writes: The role of China’s 12th Five-Year Plan

China’s twelfth Five-Year plan promises reform in all key areas of the economy. The plan will have to guide China between 2011 and 2016 towards a more sustainable, balanced, stable, and coordinated growth model. However, the problem is that it actually does not differ much from the eleventh Five-Year plan announced in 2006, whereas that plan did only do so much. The new real annual growth target is reduced from 7,5% to ‘just’ 7%: enormous in Western terms, but drastically lower than the 9,3% attained in 2010. So will this drag the economy down? Probably not. The growth target for the 11th Five-Year Plan has been overshoot largely. It is much more likely the central government will not really succeed in redirecting its economy, as will be discussed below.

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Economics

Wednesday, March 16, 2011

Corporate Cash Stash Soars to $1.9 Trillion, Maybe Marx Was Right After All... / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTwo and a half years have passed since Lehman Brothers collapsed and US consumers are still digging out.

Last Thursday, the Fed released its “flow of funds” report which showed that households had trimmed their debt to $13.3 trillion in the forth quarter (4Q). But the crucial debt-to-income ratio remains significantly above trend at 120.9%. That means that consumers will have to cut their spending even more.

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Economics

Wednesday, March 16, 2011

FOMC Meeting 15th March: Fed More Bullish, Japan U.S. Trade Facts / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Fed left the federal funds rate unchanged at 0%-0.25%, as expected and indicated it would continue its quantitative easing program of $600 billion.  There were no dissents at the meeting, despite disagreements among members about the quantitative easing program that is underway, as revealed in the minutes of the January meeting and subsequent speeches of Fed Presidents. 

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Economics

Monday, March 14, 2011

Economic Aftershocks of the Japan Earthquake / Economics / Japan Economy

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Zeiler writes: The 8.9 magnitude earthquake and resulting tsunami that hit northeastern Japan today (Friday) had an immediate impact on financial markets all over the world. However, the effects of the damage and rebuilding will reverberate through the Japanese economy for months, if not years.

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Economics

Monday, March 14, 2011

A Good Looking Economy is Not Always a Good Economy / Economics / Austrailia

By: Gerard_Jackson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt is said that many look enviously upon the Australian economy's success in not only weathering the global financial crisis but to continue to prosper. Of course, there is no gainsaying the role that the resources sector played in providing the country with a vital economic buffer. But is everything as rosy as many seem to think, including some of our Treasury boffins?

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