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1.BrExit Looks Set to Win EU Referendum, Final Opinion Polls Give LEAVE Lead Over REMAIN - Nadeem_Walayat
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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Monday, September 12, 2011

Posner Gets It Wrong on Macroeconomics / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleClifford F. Thies writes: Recession is the falling-down part. Depression is staying down. Normally, the recuperative powers of a market-oriented economy are sufficient that the falling-down part is immediately followed by a rising-back-up part. But, that's not happening now, and that didn't happen during the 1930s.

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Economics

Monday, September 12, 2011

U.S. Jobs Bill is Too Late For President Obama / Economics / Employment

By: EconMatters

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen President Obama delivered his much anticipated jobs speech on Sep. 8, I was actually driving on one of those highways the President said would benefit from the infrastructure spending included in his proposed $447-billion American Jobs Bill. Listening to the live speech, and judging from the audience reaction, it was a good speech reminiscent JFK-style and was what American public wanted to hear.

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Economics

Sunday, September 11, 2011

Despite multiple QEs, why the US is yet to be hit by hyperinfla​tion? / Economics / HyperInflation

By: Sam_Chee_Kong

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInflation is defined as ‘too much money chasing after too few goods’. But how about hyperinflation, how do we know whether an economy is experiencing hyperinflation?

Hyperinflation, normally caused by excessive growth of the money supply, usually through the policies of the central banks to print excessively to meet deficits spending.

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Economics

Saturday, September 10, 2011

Ron Paul Has Saved Us From Hyperinflation / Economics / HyperInflation

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe United States is not going to get hyperinflation unless Congress nationalizes the Federal Reserve System.

It will get mass inflation at some point: anywhere from 15% per annum to 30%. But it is not going to get 50% or 100% or more.

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Economics

Saturday, September 10, 2011

Greece Reality Check: The Answer Is Taxing Tourist Property / Economics / Taxes

By: Andrew_Butter

The Greek Government owes 320 Billion Euros, her partners in Europe are now considering letting her fall, cheaper to bail-out German and French banks (mainly) than throwing good money after bad at the basket-case.

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Economics

Saturday, September 10, 2011

Obama's Infrastructure and Jobs Plan / Economics / Infrastructure

By: Richard_Mills

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAccording to the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (ODEC) the combined economies of Germany, France and Italy will grow by under one percent this year. OECD forecast the US economy will grow at a 0.4 per cent annualized rate in the fourth quarter, while in Europe, the three largest economies (Germany, France and Italy) will contract by 0.4 percent over the same period.

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Economics

Friday, September 09, 2011

Fragile State of the U.S. Economy, Bernanke Hints at Additional Monetary Policy Easing / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleChairman Bernanke summarized the fragile status of the U.S. economy and indicated that the Fed has tools that it is willing to employ to provide support to the economy.  He did not dwell on the specifics of the tools.  The key passage of the speech indicating that the Fed is vigilant and will act promptly is noteworthy:

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Economics

Thursday, September 08, 2011

The Economic and Financial System Is Coming Unglued, Living in a Degraded Democracy / Economics / US Debt

By: David_Galland

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOur video host Stefan Molyneux speaks with Casey Research Managing Director David Galland about the debt situation in the US and whether the federal government can do anything about it… assuming they’d even want to.

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Economics

Thursday, September 08, 2011

Jobs, Jobs, Jobs – The Mantra of the Current Season / Economics / Unemployment

By: Asha_Bangalore

The unemployment rate of the U.S. economy in August 2011 stood at 9.1%, a far cry from the 4.4% jobless rate seen in the last business expansion which ended in December 2007. The current elevated level of unemployment after two years of economic growth is unprecedented in the post-war period (see Chart 1). The high for the unemployment rate in the post-war period was recorded during the 1981-1982 recession when it touched 10.8% in December 1982.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 07, 2011

Bernanke's Waterloo; Deflationary Collapse or Inflationary Disaster? / Economics / Deflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe September Contrary Investor It's A Long Hard Road is an exceptional marriage of debt-deflation concepts, long-wave K-Cycles, credit cycles, and Austrian economic thinking. Here is a lengthy snip of several key points with permission.

If there has been one consistent theme since day one at CI, it has been our perhaps near myopic focus and focal point highlight of importance that is the macro credit cycle. Does this play into long wave and perhaps Kondratieff cycle or Austrian economics type of thinking? Call it what you will, but elements of all of these schools of thought very much overlap. Right to the point, we believe THE key thematic construct to keep in mind as a macro cycle decision making overlay and character point dead ahead is the now more than apparent collision of the generational long wave credit cycle with the current short term business cycle of the moment. Without trying to reach for melodrama, this is the first time a multi-decade long wave credit cycle has collided with the short-term business cycle since the late 1920’s/early 1930’s.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 07, 2011

Europe's Economic and Debt Woes in Pictures / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEquity prices around the world declined today largely in response to the persistent debt crisis in Europe. Let us set the facts straight, Greece is a problem member of EU-27 but wiping out Greece from the European Union (EU) with a magic wand is not the solution. Central government debt of EU-26 as a percent of GDP is marginally different from that of EU-27 (see Chart 1). In other words, the EU’s debt woes will plague financial markets until a solid solution is put into place in the near term.

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Economics

Saturday, September 03, 2011

U.S. August Jobs Report Means Odds of Additional Fed Policy Action Have Increased / Economics / Employment

By: Asha_Bangalore

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCivilian Unemployment Rate: 9.1% in August, unchanged from July. Cycle high jobless rate for recession is 10.1% in October 2009.

Payroll Employment: No change in August vs. +85,000 in July. Private sector jobs increased only 17,000 after a gain of 156,000 in July. Loss of 58,000 after revisions to payroll estimates of June and July.

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Economics

Saturday, September 03, 2011

Global Economic Recession, Right Here, Right Now! / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Mike_Shedlock

It's time to stop debating whether or not the US or Europe is headed into recession. The facts show the entire global economy is in recession.

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Economics

Friday, September 02, 2011

El-Erian Says Today's Employment Report is Grim and Scary / Economics / US Economy

By: Bloomberg

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePimco’s Mohamed El-Erian and Gene Sperling, director of the National Economic Council, spoke to Bloomberg Television’s Betty Liu this morning about the unemployment report and the state of the U.S. economy.

El-Erian said that the unemployment report is “grim and scary” and that “hopefully it will ring alarm bells in Washington.”

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Economics

Friday, September 02, 2011

Nouriel Roubini 60% Chance of A Double Dip Recession 2012, China and Brazil Also at Risk / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: EconMatters

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"We’ve reached a stall speed in the economy, not just in the U.S., but in the euro zone and the UK. We see probably a 60 percent probability of recession next year, and, unfortunately, we’re running out of policy tools.....and sovereigns cannot bail out their own distressed banks because they are distressed themselves."

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