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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Wednesday, January 26, 2011

U.S. Consumer Confidence Index Soars in January / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index rose to 60.6 in January from 53.3 in December.  The January reading is the highest since May 2010.  The Present Situation Index (31 vs. 24.9 in December) and Expectations Index (80.3 vs. 72.3 in December) advanced in January. 

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Economics

Wednesday, January 26, 2011

Mervyn King Effectively Admits Bank of England Has Lost Control of Inflation and Economy / Economics / UK Economy

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMervyn King along with Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee having spent virtually the whole of 2010 pumping out temporarily high inflation propaganda so as to prevent a wage price spiral from taking hold, now on having looked at preliminary data for January 2011 inflation to be released in Mid Feb, effectively admits that the Bank of England has lost control of Inflation and the Economy as the latest GDP data shocked everyone by showing a disastrous contraction of -0.5% for Q4 2010 against expectations for +0.5% (1% difference).

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Economics

Tuesday, January 25, 2011

Exponential Credit Growth Petri Dish; Steve Keen Responds to "World Economic Forum Endorses Fraud" / Economics / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn response to World Economic Forum Endorses Fraud; Steve Keen Mocks the WEF Report, So Do I; The Purported "Need to Double Credit in 10 Years" I received a nice email from Steve Keen.

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Economics

Tuesday, January 25, 2011

The Financial Crisis, The Worst Is Behind Us / Economics / Global Economy

By: DailyWealth

Steve Sjuggerud writes: "It's unprecedented," you'll hear people say.

"It's the worst since the Great Depression," you'll also hear. "We've never experienced such bad times."

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Economics

Tuesday, January 25, 2011

How Fast Has the Jobless Rate Declined After Prior Recessions? / Economics / Unemployment

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe 9.4% unemployment rate in December 2010, an elevated reading, is down from a high of 10.1% in October 2009. The recent cycle low for the unemployment rate was 4.4% in May 2007. Although each business cycle is different, it is still worthwhile to recall how fast the jobless rate has declined in the past 60 years after each recession.

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Economics

Monday, January 24, 2011

Response to Krugman on Austrian Business-Cycle Theory / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Robert_Murphy

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs many readers already know, last week Paul Krugman linked to one of my Mises Daily articles explaining the importance of capital theory in any discussion of the business cycle. Although Krugman graciously described my fable about sushi-eating islanders as "the best exposition I've seen yet of the Austrian view that's sweeping the GOP," naturally he derided the approach as a "great leap backward" and a repudiation of 75 years of economic progress since the work of John Maynard Keynes. To bolster his rejection, Krugman listed several problems he saw with the Austrian understanding.

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Economics

Monday, January 24, 2011

World Economic Forum Endorses Fraud, "Need to Double Credit in 10 Years" / Economics / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA few days ago I received an email from the World Economic Forum regarding a need to double credit over the next 10 years. Here is that email.

New York, USA, 18 January 2011 – Credit levels will need to double over the next 10 years, growing by US$ 103 trillion, to support consensus-projected economic growth. This doubling of credit could be achieved without increasing the risk of major crisis, finds More Credit with Fewer Crises: Responsibly Meeting the World’s Growing Demand for Credit, a report released by the World Economic Forum in collaboration with McKinsey & Company. The study develops a detailed global credit model using historical credit volumes and forecasting potential credit demand to 2020 across 79 countries, representing 99% of world credit volume. The study applies a sustainability methodology to the projected credit demand, using newly developed metrics to answer the following two questions: Will credit growth be sufficient to meet demand? Is there a risk of future credit crises and, if so, where?

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Economics

Monday, January 24, 2011

UK Inflation Forecast 2011, Imminent Spike to Above CPI 4%, RPI 6% / Economics / Inflation

By: NewsLetter

The Market Oracle Newsletter
Jan 17th, 2011 Issue #1 Vol. 5

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Economics

Sunday, January 23, 2011

U.S. Economic Turmoil in 2011 / Economics / US Economy

By: Stephen_Lendman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWall Street predicts blue skies. Economic recovery will continue. Stocks will deliver double-digit gains. On January 14, the Wall Street Journal's Economic Forecast Survey headlined, "Economists Optimistic on Growth," expecting in 2011:

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Economics

Sunday, January 23, 2011

Great Depression, Debt and Economic Decline: Ireland, Portugal, Greece, US, UK / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs of Wednesday we have seen the euro rise 7 straight days, which caused the USDX to fall to 78.14, this in spite of having 10-year rates in Spain, Portugal and Ireland rising 3 bps.

Both food and energy prices have risen at double-digit rates. This is an inflation reflection of 1979-80, 1996 and 2008. In the 1979 and 1980 and in the 2008 period our inflation gauge measured real inflation of 14-1/4%. Both occurred in recessions similar to today’s inflationary depression.

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Economics

Sunday, January 23, 2011

China vs. Inflation: A Love-30 Match So Far / Economics / Inflation

By: Dian_L_Chu

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleChina released a slew of important economic data on the evening of Wednesday, Jan. 19, and markets were paying particular attention to China’s inflation. In order to put out the wild fire of inflation, China's central bank raised interest rates twice, and increased the reserve ratio for lenders four times in the span of just last two months.

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Economics

Sunday, January 23, 2011

China Boom or Bust? / Economics / China Economy

By: Bryan_Rich

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs China’s economy has continued to put up stellar economic growth in the midst of one of the worst global economic crises on record, it’s widely believed that China will lead the world out of its downturn and soon rise to global economic dominance.

So it’s no surprise that there was a lot of attention given to Chinese President Hu Jintao’s visit to Washington this week.

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Economics

Friday, January 21, 2011

China Monetary Policy: Inflation Won't Last – Growth Will / Economics / China Economy

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJason Simpkins writes: Investors yesterday (Thursday) were rattled by fears that China's economy is overheating after it was revealed that the country's gross domestic product (GDP) expanded by 10.3% in 2010.

However, the policy changes that will come as a result of the data ultimately will benefit both China and the United States.

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Economics

Friday, January 21, 2011

U.S. Jobless Claims Reverse Gains Posted Last Week / Economics / Unemployment

By: Asha_Bangalore

Initial jobless claims dropped 37,000 to 404,000 during the week ended January 15 after advancing 30,000 in the prior week.  Additional weekly readings will be necessary to confirm if the reversal is not temporary. 

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Economics

Thursday, January 20, 2011

World is in the Early Stages of a Major Leg Up in Food Prices / Economics / Food Crisis

By: Michael_Pento

From all accounts it appears that the world is in the early stages of a major leg up in food prices. The major macroeconomic trend will likely drive economic policy and the investment outlook for years to come. Although mainstream pundits like to focus on cyclical drivers like the weather, the real force behind the move is secular. The U.S. is leading the world in a pandemic of monetary inflation that is helping to cause commodity prices, food in particular, to skyrocket across the globe.

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