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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Wednesday, September 01, 2010

Economic Death By Globalism, Economists Haven’t a Clue / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Paul_Craig_Roberts

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHave economists made themselves irrelevant? If you have any doubts, have a look at the current issue of the magazine, International Economy, a slick endorsed by former Federal Reserve chairmen Paul Volcker and Alan Greenspan, by Jean-Claude Trichet, president of the European Central Bank, by former Secretary of State George Shultz, and by the New York Times and Washington Post, both of which declare the magazine to be “ahead of the curve.”

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Economics

Tuesday, August 31, 2010

The Economic Dark Darkside of the M&A Boom / Economics / Mergers & Acquisitions

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: With its $39 billion hostile bid for Canada's Potash Corp. (NYSE: POT), mining giant BHP Billiton Ltd. (NYSE ADR: BHP) capped an active August in the mergers-and-acquisitions market.

With the moribund growth prospects of the U.S. economy, there would seem to be no great urgency for companies to go on an M&A spree, yet the total value of announced buyout deals for August alone has topped $175 billion.

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Economics

Tuesday, August 31, 2010

The Backward Slide into Recession / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Mike_Whitney

Ongoing deleveraging has slowed personal consumption and trimmed 2nd quarter GDP to a revised 1.6%. The economy is sliding backwards into recession. As Obama's fiscal stimulus dries up and the private sector slashes spending,  demand will continue to collapse pushing more businesses and households into default.  The economy is now caught in a reinforcing downward cycle in which dwindling fiscal and monetary support is shrinking the money supply triggering a slowdown in activity in the broader economy.

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Economics

Monday, August 30, 2010

All Major Banks Oppose Honest Reporting To Hide Huge Loan Losses / Economics / Credit Crisis 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleReader "Henry" has a question on the loan loss provision chart I posted in Former Fed Vice Chairman vs. Mish: Is the Fed Out of Ammo?

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Economics

Monday, August 30, 2010

Partial Equilibrium Economic Analysis, Part I / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne of the many tools available to economists and analysts in determining the suitability of fiscal or economic policy is partial equilibrium (PE) analysis. However, many scoff at the notion of using partial equilibrium simply because many of its assumptions are deemed to be too unrealistic. However, for taking a look at the potential benefits (or costs) of a policy such as a tax on a single good, PE is a very valid construct. One of the biggest hot button topics these days in nearly every state is how to raise revenue (rather than cutting costs). One of the traditional cash cows for states is in the form of gasoline taxes. The same goes for the Federal government in this regard. However, as we all know, simply arbitrarily and capriciously taxing a product is not necessarily efficient. In fact it usually isn’t.

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Economics

Sunday, August 29, 2010

Strong GDP Growth For German Economy, Weak for U.S. Economy / Economics / Global Economy

By: EconGrapher

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week we take a look at GDP stats from the robust German economy, and the less than robust US economy. Then we look closer at the US situation; reviewing the existing home sales data, and consumer sentiment data. We then wrap up with a review of the July trade figures from Japan.

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Economics

Sunday, August 29, 2010

U.S. Grim Economic Realities, GDP Report Confirms Worst Economic Crisis since the Great Depression / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Barry_Grey

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Commerce Department on Friday sharply cut its estimate of US economic growth in the second quarter of 2010. The department revised downward its initial estimate, issued July 30, of a 2.4 percent increase in the gross domestic product (GDP) to the even more anemic figure of 1.6 percent.

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Economics

Sunday, August 29, 2010

Rumours of the Death of the U.S. Economy are Premature, Sovereign Debt Exchange For Equity / Economics / US Debt

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleConventional wisdom states that levels of Public Debt – in particular in the USA – are too high and there are only three possible outcomes:

  1. Helicopter Ben’s so-called Quantitative Easing leading to hyperinflation in the USA
  2. Debt default leading to Depression
  3. A sideways moving economy for 10-15 years accompanied by churning markets as income is used to repay debt. (A side-effect of this approach will be that tax rates will likely rise significantly even as standards of living decline).
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Economics

Saturday, August 28, 2010

South Africa Wants to Join BRICs Club / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: Global_Research

Boris Volkhonsky writes: [I]f and when South Africa joins BRIC (and there is no reason to believe the prospect is unreal), the new grouping (whether it will be called BRICSA or SABRIC) will acquire a really global character representing all major continents.

On Tuesday South African President Jacob Zuma, while on a state visit to China, expressed the desire and willingness of his country to join the informal club of four developing nations, namely Brazil, Russia, India and China, known as BRIC.

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Economics

Saturday, August 28, 2010

Depression Next Down Leg Unfolding, The Financial and Economic Crisis No Spin Zone / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Ty_Andros

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs the next leg down in the unfolding depression and global, financial crisis intensifies we all sit on a keg of dynamite known as the developed world's economies and financial systems and wait for some fool in government to light a match. In April I spoke about black swans taking flight, now they are about to land. An explosive event is unfolding as we speak. What you are about to read is the embodiment of the Cloward-Piven strategy -- economic collapse written into law, on purpose, by radical Marxist Socialist progressives inside the Capital of the United States: Washington DC.

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Economics

Saturday, August 28, 2010

Peter Schiff on Academic and Press Economic Forecasters Flying Blind / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWatching economists and media analysts react to breaking economic news is a bit like looking at a flock of pigeons flying over the New York skyline. A true wonder of the urban landscape, the flocks can include hundreds of individuals who show an uncanny ability to stay in tight formation as the group quickly zig-zags between buildings. What may be even more remarkable than their ability to randomly fly while maintaining cohesion is the flock's refusal to stick to any particular direction for very long, and their determination to fly feverishly without actually going anywhere. Sound familiar?

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Economics

Friday, August 27, 2010

Why We May Already Be In Recession! / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Sy_Harding

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFirst let’s look at the trend.
After an unusual four straight quarters of negative growth in the severe 2008-2009 recession, the recession ended in the September quarter of last year when GDP managed fragile growth of 1.6% for the quarter, and then improved to 5.0% growth in the December quarter.

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Economics

Friday, August 27, 2010

Two Ways to Tell if the U.S. Economy is Ready to Rebound / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShah Gilani writes: The U.S. economy has been crippled by the financial crisis. And regardless of what policymakers try to do to spur growth, it will hobble along lamely until two major economic pillars are rectified.

Simply put, there's no chance that stock investors will see a healthy, long-term bull market until credit again begins to flow freely and home prices start rising.

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Economics

Thursday, August 26, 2010

The Great Debt Deleveraging Lie / Economics / US Debt

By: James_Quinn

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYou can't open a newspaper or watch a business news network without seeing or hearing that consumers and businesses have been de-leveraging. The storyline as portrayed by the mainstream media is that consumers and corporations have seen the light and are paying off debts and living within their means. Austerity has broken out across the land. Bloomberg peddled this line of bull last week:

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Economics

Thursday, August 26, 2010

China Gerts Worlds Largest Traffic Jam, Just a Brief Bottleneck on the Road to Growth / Economics / China Economy

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDon Miller writes: Besides recently being crowned the world's second-largest economy, China now has the dubious distinction of spawning the world's longest traffic jam. And it's all directly attributable to China's voracious appetite for energy and automobiles.

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