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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Wednesday, April 06, 2011

Deflationists Blind to the Inflation Storm / Economics / Inflation

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMy forecast has been for a powerful Inflationary Recession to occur, a consistently laid out analysis, delivered during the last year or more in clear terms. That has been my call, and continues to be my call. The Deflationist camp is making more noises. They do not know their limitations, which are obstructed by a blind eye toward the monetary inflation. They do not understand it, so they ignore it, and attempt to encapsulate it into a convenient bottle set aside on the margin. Gonzalo Lira will be proved wrong about price inflation showing on the official Consumer Price Inflation index. So what? The prevailing price inflation will ramp past 12% easily as he also predicts. His style is wonderful, even if a mirror is a fixture at his desk. His details in argument are strong and cogent. An anger meter is a fixture at my desk.

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Economics

Wednesday, April 06, 2011

When Iceland Totally Froze / Economics / Credit Crisis 2008

By: David_Howden

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFollowing the bankruptcy of the American investment bank Lehman Brothers in late 2008, credit markets all over the world seized up in a striking manifestation of the interconnectivity of the global economy. When the dust had settled, the crisis had wiped out trillions of dollars of investments, and the previously well-functioning credit markets had stalled. The most spectacular bankruptcy of the 2008 financial crisis was the collapse of Iceland's financial system. This collapse is especially intriguing as Iceland is not an underdeveloped country (it ranked third in the United Nations' 2009 Human Development Index).

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Economics

Tuesday, April 05, 2011

Does a Weak U.S. Dollar Cause Inflation? / Economics / Inflation

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShould investors be concerned that a weaker U.S. dollar causes inflation? The price at the gas pump should be a stark reminder that a weaker dollar may contribute to higher prices. Yet, economists tell us that food and energy inflation does not count. Why do economists have such a baffling sense of logic? Are economists really aliens in disguise, locked up in ivory towers? Let’s shed some light on the logic and why it may not merely be strange, but wrong.

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Economics

Monday, April 04, 2011

Fed Core Inflation Incompetence / Economics / Inflation

By: Michael_Pento

For years the Federal Reserve has told us that in order to detect inflation in the economy it is important to separate "signal from noise" by focusing on "core" inflation statistics, which exclude changes in food and energy prices. Because food and energy figure so prominently into consumer spending, this maneuver is not without controversy. But the Fed counters the criticism by pointing to the apparent volatility of the broader "headline" inflation figure, which includes food and energy. The Fed tells us that the danger lies in making a monetary policy mistake based on unreliable statistics. Being more stable (they tell us), the core is their preferred guide. Sounds reasonable...but it isn't.

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Economics

Monday, April 04, 2011

Is Inflation Harmless or Even Good? / Economics / Inflation

By: Robert_Murphy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs Ron Paul's "End the Fed" movement grows, more and more Fed economists are speaking up on behalf of the central bank. In a recent post, David Andolfatto of the St. Louis Fed argues that the systematic debasement of the currency has had a negligible effect on the average American. As we'll see, Andolfatto's evidence is completely irrelevant to the question. The Fed and commercial banks have been ripping off everyone who uses dollars.

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Economics

Saturday, April 02, 2011

Jobless Economic Recovery, Drowning in Debt, Austerity Suffering Working Class / Economics / Economic Austerity

By: John_Mauldin

  • Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCan You Say Jobless Recovery?
  • Drowning in Debt but Getting No Growth
  • The Cancer of Debt

Clowns to the left of me, Jokers to the right,
Here I am, stuck in the Muddle Through Middle with you!
–With thanks to Stealers Wheel

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Economics

Saturday, April 02, 2011

U.S. March Employment Situation, Fed Remains on Track to Complete QE2 / Economics / Employment

By: Asha_Bangalore

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMarch Employment Situation – Although Private Sector Payroll Growth is Impressive, Fed is on Track to Complete QE
Civilian Unemployment Rate: 8.8% in March vs. 8.9% in February. Cycle high for recession is 10.1% in October 2009.

Payroll Employment: +216,000 in March vs. +194,000 in February. Private sector jobs increased 230,000 after a gain of 240,000 in February. Revisions for January and Februay resulted in a net gain of 7,000 jobs in the economy.

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Economics

Saturday, April 02, 2011

How The Foreign Laundromat Trashed the U.S. Economy / Economics / US Economy

By: Andrew_Butter

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI was looking at Vietnam recently. Apparently the streets are paved with gold and so I’m going over next week to check that out, but I’m getting more confused by the minute.

On one hand (supposedly) FDI is pouring into Vietnam, on the other hand, you read in the Financial Times that the Vietnamese are sending their gold jewellery to Switzerland to be melted down and turned into ingots to be stored in a vault (outside Vietnam). Or converted into a “hard” currency…although there again, there is a bit of a debate going on these days about where you might find one of those?

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Economics

Friday, April 01, 2011

What's a Job Good For? / Economics / Employment

By: Jeffrey_A_Tucker

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMost people say that a job is good for making money. So, if you don't need money, what's the point? The fabled English aristocratic class of the late 19th and early 20th century apparently thought that way, if the caricatures painted by Jeeves and Wooster, Brideshead, and the like have any truth to them. Their main job was getting dressed and undressed. It seems like young Americans are thinking the same way.

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Economics

Friday, April 01, 2011

China's Highway System Growth Paves the Way to a Stronger Economy / Economics / China Economy

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKerri Shannon writes: What some have called "the worst traffic jam in human history" happened on the Beijing-Tibet Highway in August 2010. It trapped some drivers for more than 20 days and stretched more than 60 miles (97 kilometers).

The mess was so severe that local residents turned into vendors and profited from selling water, noodles and nuts to stalled travelers.

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Economics

Thursday, March 31, 2011

Government Spending Is Bad Economics / Economics / Government Spending

By: J_M_Finegold_Catalan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe debate about whether or not government spending is a useful countercyclical tool has been revived by the continuing economic crisis. Today, the discussion has been politicized and deals almost exclusively with the size of government debt, focusing on the tax burden this debt represents for future generations and whether or not further debt will help stimulate the economy. Politically, the result has been a middle-of-the-road fiscal policy that has left no economist satisfied. Academically, the debate is generally split between free-market and Keynesian schools of thought, with each side arguing for a policy very different from those already implemented.

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Economics

Thursday, March 31, 2011

What is the U.S. Employment Picture in Really Saying? / Economics / Employment

By: Mike_Stathis

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJobs Data - As in previous months, the private sector accounted for all the job gains in February, with an addition of 222,000 positions, up from a mere 68,000 job additions in January. This represented the largest gain since April 2010. Does this represent a sign of recovery?

Once you examine these job additions, you will see that the trend of low-wage, low/no-benefit, dead-end jobs remains firmly intact. [1]

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Economics

Wednesday, March 30, 2011

There Will be a Double Dip Economic Recession, the Tipping Point / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Richard_Hartley

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe first part of this sorry tale was caused by greed and inflated money markets. This gave near full employment and unprecedented growth around the world.

The last two years has been caused by the markets realization that you cannot carry on and keep re-inflating the money markets as really there was no-one else left to lend to. People max'd out on credit cards, took equity withdrawals. A stupid scheme was enacted to allow people with no money to own homes backed by large mortgages giving to anyone that asked and to a lot that didn't but just signed on the dotted line. .

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Economics

Tuesday, March 29, 2011

The Inflation Knuckleball / Economics / Inflation

By: Michael_Pento

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBy its very definition, fiat money is something created out of thin air: the word "fiat" is Latin for "let it be done" (as in, by decree). But the convenience that such a currency system offers central bankers is paid at the expense of savers.

With nothing of real or lasting value on which to anchor, the value of fiat currencies can always blow away like ashes on a windy day.

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Economics

Tuesday, March 29, 2011

Economists Are Hopelessly Naive About International Trade / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Ian_Fletcher

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe economics profession, or well over 90 percent of it according to polls, continues to support free trade. Above all, most economists remain stuck in a cheery “win-win” fantasy of how trade works and are unable to see the brutally adversarial dynamics of trade in the real world.

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Economics

Monday, March 28, 2011

UK Interest Rate Forecast 2011, Paralysed Bank of England Still Fears Financial Armageddon / Economics / UK Interest Rates

By: NewsLetter

The Market Oracle Newsletter
Mar 8th, 2011 Issue #4 Vol. 5

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Economics

Monday, March 28, 2011

U.S. Economy In the Greater Economic Depression Confirmed by GDP Data / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Jas_Jain

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn all forums and blogs I have always posted under my name, Jas Jain, but in early days of my comments in 1990s I would sign as Rabbi Jazzman (rabbi of morality of financial practices and their impact on the real economy and asset classes, e.g., the stock market and the housing market; with moral tone obvious in my use of language). Here is a quote from the period, July 1998:

"May be you are on to something here... What will happen...? The Greater Depression? ...The glory days of the US stock market may be over for good and in few decades the Chinese might assume the place of the supreme economic power in the world. Shalom, shalom. Rabbi Jazzman"

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Economics

Sunday, March 27, 2011

Economic Recovery Statistics / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Pravda

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMichael Snyder writes: Today there are two very different Americas. In one America, the stock market is soaring, huge bonuses are taken for granted, the good times are rolling and people are spending money as if they will be able to "live the dream" for the rest of their lives. In the other America, the one where most of the rest of us live, unemployment is rampant, a million families were kicked out of their homes last year and hordes of American families are drowning in debt. The gap between the rich and the poor is bigger today than it ever has been before. In fact, this article is not so much about "rich vs poor" as it is about "the rich vs the rest of us". Barack Obama and Ben Bernanke keep touting an "economic recovery", but the truth is that the only ones that seem to be benefiting from this recovery are those at the very top of the economic food chain.

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Economics

Saturday, March 26, 2011

First they inflate, then there is a Boom, Then Price Inflation / Economics / Central Banks

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYou are on the back of a tiger. You had no say in the matter. You are part of the international economy, and central bankers run it.

First they inflate. Then there is a boom. Then there is price inflation. Then they stop inflating. Then there is a recession. To keep it from becoming a depression, they inflate. Year after year, decade after decade, generation after generation, this is what central bankers do.

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Economics

Saturday, March 26, 2011

U.S. Fourth Quarter Real GDP Economic Growth Upward Revision / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleReal GDP of the economy grew at an annual rate of 3.1% in the fourth quarter of 2010, revised up from the prior estimate of a 2.8% increase. The U.S economy grew 2.9% in 2010 after a 2.6% decline in 2009. The outlook for 2011 is for a slightly stronger performance, with most of the growth representing self-sustained economic growth compared with artificial support that has maintained economic momentum in 2010 to a large extent.

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