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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Tuesday, August 10, 2010

U.S. Economic Outlook Update, Is the Downturn Finally Over, if not, When it will end? / Economics / US Economy

By: Matthew_Ehrlich

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLiving in Asia for most of the past ten years and having spent another twenty traveling between Wall Street and Asia, I am constantly being asked if the US economic downturn is finally over and if not, when it will end. Not an easy question and if you are going to even attempt to understand my answer, you have to look at some of the MECHANICS of how it started, how it grew, how we got to where we are now and the possible paths to bring about an end.

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Economics

Tuesday, August 10, 2010

The Deflation Bogey / Economics / Economic Theory

By: William_Anderson

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Paul Reveres of the economics profession are riding their horses, warning Americans, "Deflation is coming! Deflation is coming!" From Paul Krugman to Joseph Gagnon to the various mainstream news publications, the message is the same — the government needs to induce inflation now, or else the economy will sink further into the Slew of Despond and unemployment will increase.

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Economics

Tuesday, August 10, 2010

In Defense of Deflation / Economics / Deflation

By: Douglas_French

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Obama stimulus and bailouts haven't decreased unemployment rates or bankruptcy filings while home prices and home sales have fallen and can't get up. PIMCO's Bill Gross told Bloomberg this can all be fixed with nearly zero interest rates and additional debt to stimulate the animal spirits of investors and entrepreneurs. The federal-funds rate has been pegged at 0 to .25% since December 16, 2008, and Uncle Sam's debt is $13.3 trillion and counting. If this hasn't goosed the animal spirits, what will?

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Economics

Monday, August 09, 2010

The Form of Saving Matters For Free-market Fractional Reserve Banking / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Robert_Murphy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAlthough Austrian economists agree on most of the "big picture" issues, even so there are some internal controversies. One of the most heated debates within the Austrian camp centers on the economic benefits (or lack thereof) of the practice of fractional-reserve banking. Just about every Austrian today thinks that our current financial system — cartelized and propped up by the government — is prone to excessive inflation and the boom-bust cycle.

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Economics

Monday, August 09, 2010

Cutting Government Spending Is So Hard to Do / Economics / Government Spending

By: MISES

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGrant M. Nülle writes: In recent months, fiscal austerity among governments on all levels has come to the political fore, albeit for different reasons.

In some cases, such as Greece, belt-tightening measures were essential to avert a sovereign-debt crisis. The Greek government enacted significant deficit-reduction solutions in order to receive monetary aid from the International Monetary Fund and European Union. In so doing, it continued the de facto monetization of Greek debt by the European Central Bank.

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Economics

Monday, August 09, 2010

Why All the Double Dip Recession Talk Is Pure B.S. … / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Larry_Edelson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf the recent slew of bad economic news coming out of the U.S. hasn’t convinced you that the economy stinks, then it’s time to wake up and smell the coffee. Because …

All the recent talk about a double-dip recession is nothing more than pure B.S.

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Economics

Monday, August 09, 2010

Fooled by Economic Stimulus, U.S. Economy Structural Problems Still Intact / Economics / US Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBill Watkins, a California Lutheran University professor, provides a nice summary on New Geography of the failure of various stimulus efforts to do anything meaningful in the wake of a collapse by Lehman, a collapse he says is a "regime shift".

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Economics

Monday, August 09, 2010

U.S. Economy Between a Rock and a Hard Place Facing Dire Options / Economics / US Economy

By: Lorimer_Wilson

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“The U.S. is in an untenable position - between a rock and a hard place - in an inescapable debt trap - where the options are, at best, dire – either hyperinflation or a deflationary depression! It would seem that all we can do is ride out the storm in a boat laden with gold” said Jeff Nielson (BullionBullsCanada.com) in a recent speech* going on to say:

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Economics

Monday, August 09, 2010

UK Economy GDP Growth Forecast 2010 to 2015 / Economics / UK Economy

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis analysis is a continuation of the UK Debt Forecast article (UK ConLib Government to Use INFLATION Stealth Tax to Erode Value of Public Debt ) on the impact of the new coalition government having effectively hit the reset button on the UK economy to now primarily target a reduction in the £156 billion annual budget deficit which aims to suck £113 billion a year out of the economy by 2015-16 by means of swinging public sector spending cuts and tax rises. The government has now clearly reversed the Labour governments policy of continuous fiscal expansion and set the country on a course for severe fiscal contraction for at least the next 3 years.

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Economics

Monday, August 09, 2010

Hyperinflation Warning / Economics / HyperInflation

By: Howard_Katz

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne hears much discussion of hyperinflation on the gold web sites.  It is a worst case scenario and used to alarm and excite.  It is used to designate a period when prices are rising very rapidly, the favorite example being Germany of 1914-23, and during this time prices rose by very close to one trillion times.  That is, a piece of bread which started off costing 1 mark ended costing one trillion marks.  So it is not merely in today’s world that we are using numbers above 1 trillion.  But it is an instructive period of history, and we must always keep in mind that those who do not learn from history are doomed to repeat it.

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Economics

Monday, August 09, 2010

Straddling 3D Super Bus for a Greener China / Economics / China Economy

By: Dian_L_Chu

With its rapidly growing rural-to-urban population, China is in the midst of a massive transportation infrastructure upgrade in order to maintain the country's economic growth and development.

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Economics

Sunday, August 08, 2010

Do You Believe We're In Economic Recovery? / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Justice_Litle

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTreasury Secretary Tim Geithner has a message for the American public: "Welcome to the Recovery." As a joke it might be funny – but it isn't...

I read something this week that made me laugh out loud – though it wasn't supposed to be funny. Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner, aka Turbo Timmy, has an opinion piece in The New York Times titled "Welcome to the Recovery."

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Economics

Sunday, August 08, 2010

Is the U.S. Economy Toast? / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMarc Faber thinks the US economy is toast. Richard Russell’s interpretation of the technical behaviour of the US market is that we might just be entering a new Primary Bull phase. (Although he remains wary because of the generous P/E ratios that still prevail).

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Economics

Saturday, August 07, 2010

Pensions Liabilities Problem and China Instability / Economics / Pensions & Retirement

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAugust Surprise from Obama?
The Problem with Pensions
Whither China?

Sadly, I find myself with more than enough time to compose yet another Thoughts from the Frontline in an airport, as a flight booking error has me at JFK for six hours instead of fishing in Maine. Details for those interested or amused at the end. But it does allow me to offer you a peek into a very sobering report on how badly underfunded public pension are. The situation is worse than you think. Then we will close with a eye-opening report on China from the gracious Simon Hunt, who is allowing me to reprint his latest missive in toto. You really want to read this one. And we start with this rumor from Reuters, just in. Read this and weep. It comes from James Pethokoukis.

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Economics

Saturday, August 07, 2010

IMF Predicts 4.25% Growth for Russian Economy in 2010 / Economics / Russia

By: Pravda

In 2010, the Russian economy will grow by 4.25%, after falling 7.9% last year. This forecast was made yesterday by the International Monetary Fund.

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