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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Saturday, July 24, 2010

Elements of Deflation and the Super-Trend Puzzle / Economics / Deflation

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSome Thoughts on Deflation
The Super-Trend Puzzle
The Elements of Deflation

The debate over whether we are in for inflation or deflation was alive and well at the Agora Symposium in Vancouver this this week. It seems that not everyone is ready to join the deflation-first, then-inflation camp I am currently resident in. So in this week's letter we look at some of the causes of deflation, the elements of deflation, if you will, and see if they are in ascendancy. For equity investors, this is an important question because, historically, periods of deflation have not been kind to stock markets. Let's come at this week's letter from the side, and see if we can sneak up on some answers.

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Economics

Saturday, July 24, 2010

Making Sense of the Economic Puzzle / Economics / US Economy

By: Clif_Droke

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYou can tell a lot about the state of the economy by simply looking at the covers of national news magazines. Or perhaps a better way of saying it is that you can get a good sense of how most Americans perceive the state of the economy by perusing the mainstream magazines.

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Economics

Saturday, July 24, 2010

U.S. Jobless Claims and Housing Market Data Point to Worsening Economy / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Barry_Grey

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleReports issued Thursday on initial claims for unemployment benefits and sales of previously owned homes confirm that the US economy is slowing dramatically.

The Labor Department reported that initial jobless claims for the week ended July 17 rose by 37,000 to 464,000. The number was far higher than the consensus forecast of economists. It underscored the bleak prospects for any significant reduction in the unemployment rate, now officially at 9.5 percent.

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Economics

Saturday, July 24, 2010

U.S. Jobs Situation Worse Than Broadcast / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Hans_Wagner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe unemployment numbers for June 2010 were worse than articulated. The headline number said 83,000 private sector jobs were created and the unemployment rate slipped to 9.5% from 9.7%. Sounds like things are looking up. But, as you might expect, the devil is in the details and the details tell a different story.

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Economics

Friday, July 23, 2010

Europe Is Jumping the Gun By Removing Stimulus! / Economics / Economic Austerity

By: Sy_Harding

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast winter, global central banks were in agreement, assuring markets that stimulative policies would remain in place until a durable global economic recovery is secured, that “pre-mature withdrawal of stimulus would be avoided, and when the time arrived the withdrawal will be globally co-operative and undertaken in a coordinated way.”

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Economics

Friday, July 23, 2010

UK Stealth Economic Boom, GDP 1.1% Growth Catches Press and Academic Economists By Surprise / Economics / UK Economy

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe UK registered strong GDP growth during the second quarter of 2010 of 1.1%, annualised to 4.4%, which caught the mainstream press, academic economists and even the City by surprise who had typically penciled in growth expectations of between 0.3% and 0.5% from just the day before let alone longer term actionable forecasts, much of the recent mainstream press commentary has been focused on the risks of a double dip recession as illustrated below:

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Economics

Friday, July 23, 2010

Hungary Could Trigger Next Sovereign Debt and Credit Crisis Event / Economics / Credit Crisis 2010

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJack Barnes writes: The biggest financial news story out of the Europe this summer is getting very little play in the U.S. mainstream press. However, it has the potential to torpedo the European Union (EU), and has disastrous implications for borrowing costs worldwide.

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Economics

Friday, July 23, 2010

Plan For America To Control Federal Deficit Spending / Economics / Government Spending

By: James_Quinn

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI’m sorry to be the bearer of bad news. There are no easy solutions. There are only painful, more painful, and really, really painful solutions. Both mainstream corrupted political parties have had the chance to put the country back on a prudent fiscal path. They have both failed miserably. One party will spend the country into oblivion and the other country will try to democratize the world with their military machine. There are no fresh ideas from either party. There are the same old stale ideas and rhetoric.

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Economics

Thursday, July 22, 2010

Quadrillion Dollar Debt: Deflation 'Day of Reckoning' Looms / Economics / US Debt

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat Will Happen as $1,000,000,000,000,000 in Global Debt Winds Down?

The biggest balloon in the world is deflating.

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Economics

Thursday, July 22, 2010

The Double-Dip Recession, Four Reasons Why Its Not Going to Happen / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Investment_U

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLouis Basenese writes: The dreaded double-dip recession chatter is getting louder by the minute. And it’s clearly scaring the dickens out of most Americans.

How else do you interpret the five-fold increase in the number of Google searches for “double-dip recession” since May?

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Economics

Thursday, July 22, 2010

Job Creation versus Job Destruction / Economics / Employment

By: Paul_Mladjenovic

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe all want to see more jobs. As soon as possible and for everyone that wants a job. And even though I have touched on this subject before, it is an important topic that needs further attention.

At both the public and private levels, the talk is about “jobs” and doing “everything we can to create jobs” but the great tragedy is that federal economic policy makers (and many state level economic policy makers) simply don’t understand how to create jobs and are in fact enacting policies that destroy jobs. The reason why these policy makers are harming job creation and spurring on job destruction is really quite simple:

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Economics

Thursday, July 22, 2010

Bernanke is "Unusually Uncertain" - Is that an Improvement? / Economics / US Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

In response to Bernanke Says Economic Outlook is "Unusually Uncertain", Fed Prepared for "Actions as Needed" I received this comment from "Economics Teacher".

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Economics

Thursday, July 22, 2010

Unusually Uncertain Outlook Shows The Fed is Killing the Economy / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Washingtons_Blog

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFed Chairman Ben Bernanke yesterday that the outlook for the economy is "unusually uncertain".

That's not surprising.

Nothing has changed since I made the following points last December.

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Economics

Wednesday, July 21, 2010

China Has a Painful Debt Bubble Surprise for the Global Economy / Economics / China Economy

By: Claus_Vogt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleChina implemented one of the world’s most aggressive economic stimulus programs to fight the recession of 2008. And the country went on something akin to a debt binge.

Credit growth surged as much 50 percent — an unprecedented peak. Such a policy can jump start an economy. But it lays the groundwork for imbalances and major bubbles.

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Economics

Wednesday, July 21, 2010

Raising Taxes to Combat Recession, The Ultimate Fiscal Folly / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Richard_Daughty

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen I saw that Illinois cleverly solved its budget crisis by just not paying its bills, I knew that the end is near, or would be, if we still had a dollar that was not a stupid fiat currency, because nowadays it would be child's play for the Federal Reserve to just create as money as any state wanted! And they can do it in less time than it takes to tell you about it, too!

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