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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Monday, August 30, 2010

Partial Equilibrium Economic Analysis, Part I / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne of the many tools available to economists and analysts in determining the suitability of fiscal or economic policy is partial equilibrium (PE) analysis. However, many scoff at the notion of using partial equilibrium simply because many of its assumptions are deemed to be too unrealistic. However, for taking a look at the potential benefits (or costs) of a policy such as a tax on a single good, PE is a very valid construct. One of the biggest hot button topics these days in nearly every state is how to raise revenue (rather than cutting costs). One of the traditional cash cows for states is in the form of gasoline taxes. The same goes for the Federal government in this regard. However, as we all know, simply arbitrarily and capriciously taxing a product is not necessarily efficient. In fact it usually isn’t.

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Economics

Sunday, August 29, 2010

Strong GDP Growth For German Economy, Weak for U.S. Economy / Economics / Global Economy

By: EconGrapher

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week we take a look at GDP stats from the robust German economy, and the less than robust US economy. Then we look closer at the US situation; reviewing the existing home sales data, and consumer sentiment data. We then wrap up with a review of the July trade figures from Japan.

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Economics

Sunday, August 29, 2010

U.S. Grim Economic Realities, GDP Report Confirms Worst Economic Crisis since the Great Depression / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Barry_Grey

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Commerce Department on Friday sharply cut its estimate of US economic growth in the second quarter of 2010. The department revised downward its initial estimate, issued July 30, of a 2.4 percent increase in the gross domestic product (GDP) to the even more anemic figure of 1.6 percent.

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Economics

Sunday, August 29, 2010

Rumours of the Death of the U.S. Economy are Premature, Sovereign Debt Exchange For Equity / Economics / US Debt

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleConventional wisdom states that levels of Public Debt – in particular in the USA – are too high and there are only three possible outcomes:

  1. Helicopter Ben’s so-called Quantitative Easing leading to hyperinflation in the USA
  2. Debt default leading to Depression
  3. A sideways moving economy for 10-15 years accompanied by churning markets as income is used to repay debt. (A side-effect of this approach will be that tax rates will likely rise significantly even as standards of living decline).
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Economics

Saturday, August 28, 2010

South Africa Wants to Join BRICs Club / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: Global_Research

Boris Volkhonsky writes: [I]f and when South Africa joins BRIC (and there is no reason to believe the prospect is unreal), the new grouping (whether it will be called BRICSA or SABRIC) will acquire a really global character representing all major continents.

On Tuesday South African President Jacob Zuma, while on a state visit to China, expressed the desire and willingness of his country to join the informal club of four developing nations, namely Brazil, Russia, India and China, known as BRIC.

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Economics

Saturday, August 28, 2010

Depression Next Down Leg Unfolding, The Financial and Economic Crisis No Spin Zone / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Ty_Andros

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs the next leg down in the unfolding depression and global, financial crisis intensifies we all sit on a keg of dynamite known as the developed world's economies and financial systems and wait for some fool in government to light a match. In April I spoke about black swans taking flight, now they are about to land. An explosive event is unfolding as we speak. What you are about to read is the embodiment of the Cloward-Piven strategy -- economic collapse written into law, on purpose, by radical Marxist Socialist progressives inside the Capital of the United States: Washington DC.

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Economics

Saturday, August 28, 2010

Peter Schiff on Academic and Press Economic Forecasters Flying Blind / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWatching economists and media analysts react to breaking economic news is a bit like looking at a flock of pigeons flying over the New York skyline. A true wonder of the urban landscape, the flocks can include hundreds of individuals who show an uncanny ability to stay in tight formation as the group quickly zig-zags between buildings. What may be even more remarkable than their ability to randomly fly while maintaining cohesion is the flock's refusal to stick to any particular direction for very long, and their determination to fly feverishly without actually going anywhere. Sound familiar?

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Economics

Friday, August 27, 2010

Why We May Already Be In Recession! / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Sy_Harding

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFirst let’s look at the trend.
After an unusual four straight quarters of negative growth in the severe 2008-2009 recession, the recession ended in the September quarter of last year when GDP managed fragile growth of 1.6% for the quarter, and then improved to 5.0% growth in the December quarter.

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Economics

Friday, August 27, 2010

Two Ways to Tell if the U.S. Economy is Ready to Rebound / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShah Gilani writes: The U.S. economy has been crippled by the financial crisis. And regardless of what policymakers try to do to spur growth, it will hobble along lamely until two major economic pillars are rectified.

Simply put, there's no chance that stock investors will see a healthy, long-term bull market until credit again begins to flow freely and home prices start rising.

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Economics

Thursday, August 26, 2010

The Great Debt Deleveraging Lie / Economics / US Debt

By: James_Quinn

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYou can't open a newspaper or watch a business news network without seeing or hearing that consumers and businesses have been de-leveraging. The storyline as portrayed by the mainstream media is that consumers and corporations have seen the light and are paying off debts and living within their means. Austerity has broken out across the land. Bloomberg peddled this line of bull last week:

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Economics

Thursday, August 26, 2010

China Gerts Worlds Largest Traffic Jam, Just a Brief Bottleneck on the Road to Growth / Economics / China Economy

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDon Miller writes: Besides recently being crowned the world's second-largest economy, China now has the dubious distinction of spawning the world's longest traffic jam. And it's all directly attributable to China's voracious appetite for energy and automobiles.

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Economics

Thursday, August 26, 2010

U.S. Durable Goods Orders Downside Surprise / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSpending on durable goods rose slightly in July but only on the back of an unsustainable spike in aircraft orders. The rest of the data ranged from weak to abysmal.

As has been the case recently, economists missed the mark by a mile. Economists expected a 3% rise, what they got was a .3% rise.

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Economics

Thursday, August 26, 2010

Deflation Delusion Continues as Economies Trend Towards High Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDelusional deflationists right from the Bank of England MPC, through to the mainstream press for well over a year have pushed the mantra of ongoing debt deleveraging deflation everywhere, everywhere that is than appears in where it counts i.e. the actual INFLATION indices, where inflation is on the rise right across the world as illustrated in the UK by the persistent failure of the Bank of England to control UK inflation that remains above the banks CPI 3% upper limit. Even Greece that really is in an depression is experiencing inflation at above 3%, whilst the US CPI continues to inflate at a more modest 1.2% as summarised below for key world economies.

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Economics

Wednesday, August 25, 2010

Economic Science and Theory: The Special, the Sublime, the Climax / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Pravda

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe existence of the universe is something extraordinary!

The countless conjectures (mainly scientific) on the intrinsic characteristics of the universe and also the attempts to understand it have followed the history of mankind. This direction has been the role of Physical Science (prominently, but also chemistry) the "lady" of understanding the laws and forces that comprise the cosmos.

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Economics

Wednesday, August 25, 2010

U.S. Unable to Remain World Stronghold on Consumer Demand / Economics / US Economy

By: Pravda

American consumers are not in a hurry to spend, production remains weak, and conversations about the risk of deflation become more acute. It is likely that the U.S. government will prepare new incentive programs that will inflate national debt. However, the experts believe it will not affect the dollar in a negative way.

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Economics

Wednesday, August 25, 2010

Inflation versus Deflation Debate Part2 / Economics / Deflation

By: Fred_Sheehan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInflation versus deflation discussions are the rule for columnists, economists and BubbleTV. This false distinction is potentially harmful for investors and shoppers who think they must decide between the two, then act. Inflation and deflation act contemporaneously. The relative movement of what is inflating and what is deflating (e.g., common stocks vs. gas, bonds vs. bread) influences, and possibly changes, the way we live.

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Economics

Wednesday, August 25, 2010

Bloggers $300 License Tax, Headlines Sound the Alarm about Deeper Economic Problems / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Paul_Mladjenovic

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe following three headlines are alarming symptoms of the economic insanity unfolding before our eyes:

  1. "Philly requiring bloggers to pay $300 for a business license"
  2. "LA unveils $578-Million school, costliest in the nation"
  3. "Record Number Of Americans Using Retirement Funds As Source Of Immediate Cash"
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Economics

Wednesday, August 25, 2010

Inflation Follows the Economic Stimulus Boom / Economics / Inflation

By: Richard_Daughty

Peter Schiff of Euro Pacific Capital notes that the Federal Reserve, and the idiots like Paul Krugman who genuflect at the altar of Keynes, is not done with destroying the economy, but that “Bernanke and his supporters have said that their stimulus will be withdrawn as soon as the recovery takes hold in earnest.” Hahaha!

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Economics

Tuesday, August 24, 2010

The Importance of Business Start-ups and When Did Thrift Become Bad? / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis weekend I wrote about the problems of being an entrepreneur in our Muddle Through Economy. I would like to follow that up with two brief (but somewhat controversial) essays on two aspects of starting up small businesses. The first, by Vivek Wadhwa, points out that start-ups account for all of the net new jobs, and is a summary of a paper from the Kaufman Foundation. (You can read the 12 page paper at www.kauffman.org/..)

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Economics

Monday, August 23, 2010

Why Hasn't the U.S. Economic Stimulus Been More Stimulative? / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTalk of the economy slipping back into a recession is rampant. The American Recovery and Reconstruction Act (ARRA) of 2009, aka the stimulus package of approximately $790 billion, was, as its title suggests, supposed to put the economy firmly into a recovery trajectory. But as Obama administration economic guru has said, the economy is having trouble reaching recession-escape velocity. Why hasn't the 2009 stimulus package been more stimulative?

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