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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Sunday, June 13, 2010

Deflation? Try a Tale of Two Inflations / Economics / Inflation

By: Dian_L_Chu

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe crisis in Europe is causing concerns about deflation in the U.S. and other developed economies after weeks of financial-market turmoil. The fears are most pronounced in Europe, where a combination of spending cuts and tax increases could weigh on economic growth and feed into deflation.

Financial markets are reflecting a diverging expectation. Gold prices have been soaring—a potential indicator of inflation fears—while many other inflation indicators are going the other way.

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Economics

Sunday, June 13, 2010

Is Deflation in the United States Possible? / Economics / Deflation

By: Frank_Shostak

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAccording to some analysts, a sharp decline in major commodity-price indexes has raised the specter of deflation. The Journal of Commerce's index (JCOM) fell by 8.5% in May from April while the Commodity Research Bureau's index (CRB) fell by 8.2% during that period. Also the growth momentum of these indexes plunged in May. The yearly rate of growth of the JCOM index fell to 47.9% from 77% in April, while the yearly rate of growth of the CRB index plunged to 0.7% from 24.9%.

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Economics

Saturday, June 12, 2010

Investors Face Long-term Structural Changes of Lower Growth, Higher Volatility and Unemployment / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

The Frog in the Frying Pan
Three Structural Changes
The Economy Won't Produce Enough Jobs
The End Game
Like an Army But with No Discipline

Tonight I am in Venice, but I have arranged for a special edition of Thoughts from the Frontline, written by Jonathan Tepper of Variant Perception, a research firm in London. I have been corresponding with Jonathan for some time, and we have had some solid, and lately quite frequent, conversations. I am very impressed with this young man, whose perceptions and insights I find quite thoughtful.

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Economics

Friday, June 11, 2010

World Spotlight on South Africa / Economics / Africa

By: Frank_Holmes

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSouth Africa takes to the world stage today as it hosts the first World Cup to be played on the African continent. For the next 30 days, the eyes of the globe will be watching Rooney, Cristiano Ronaldo, Maicon and Messi battle it out for world soccer supremacy.

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Economics

Friday, June 11, 2010

Why Won't the Global Debt Crisis Die, and With it Gold? / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: David_Galland

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Galland, Managing Director, Casey Research writes: Back when I had more time, I would occasionally play Oblivion, a video game. A game so addictive, it's been known to contribute to flunking out of colleges and the failure of marriages.

When persevering in a sword fight, your computerized opponents were prone to angrily muttering the phrase "Why won't you die, damn it!"

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Economics

Friday, June 11, 2010

The Monetary or Circulation-Credit Theory of the Trade Cycle / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe theory of the cyclical fluctuations of business as elaborated by the British Currency School was in two respects unsatisfactory.

First, it failed to recognize that circulation credit can be granted not only by the issue of banknotes in excess of the banks' holding of cash reserves, but also by creating bank deposits subject to check in excess of such reserves (checkbook money, deposit currency). Consequently it did not realize that deposits payable on demand can also be used as a device of credit expansion. This error is of little weight, as it can be easily amended. It is enough to stress the point that all that refers to credit expansion is valid for all varieties of credit expansion no matter whether the additional fiduciary media are banknotes or deposits.

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Economics

Friday, June 11, 2010

How to Survive Deflation, Important Warnings From Robert Prechter / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTelegraph.go.uk, May 26: "US money supply plunges at 1930s pace... The M3 money supply in the U.S. is contracting at an accelerating rate that now matches the average decline seen from 1929 to 1933, despite near zero interest rates and the biggest fiscal blitz in history."

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Economics

Friday, June 11, 2010

After Government Economic Stimulus / Economics / US Economy

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere is perhaps no better example of the destructive nature of government intervention than the current housing and retail goods markets. For the past three years a spend-happy Congress lavished these areas with stimulus spending, tax credits, and other palliatives all aimed at papering over the structural defects in these markets. In the case of housing, the problem was years of easy money, sky-high prices, and zero-standards lending.

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Economics

Friday, June 11, 2010

Brazil BRIC Economic Growth and China Retail Sales Analysis / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: Dhaval_Shah

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week we examine the GDP results from last "BRIC" economy to report, Brazil, then we look at another one; China and see how international trade and retail sales are tracking. Then we analyze the recent US consumer credit data, and finish up with a review of four of the monetary policy decisions this week.

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Economics

Friday, June 11, 2010

PONZI Finance Recipe for Economic Catastrophe, Gold Not a Bubble / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Ty_Andros

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe “When hope turns to Fear” moment (See 2010 Outlook “When hope turns to Fear” in Tedbits archives) is unfolding as we speak, as the tides of insolvency sweep over the social welfare states and financial systems of the developed world.  It is the next leg down in the global financial crisis and what will come to be known as the greatest depression ever is commencing -- we are fascinated and astonished at what the main stream media is reporting and failing to report.  

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Economics

Wednesday, June 09, 2010

Holding The Tiger Economies / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: John_Browne

In the arc of history, all great powers have their day. Even confining our glance to the modern era, countries such as Spain, France, and Great Britain all had periods of unrivalled power across the world stage. Today, the United States reigns as the world's sole superpower - but the wheel of fortune is turning. The US is being credibly challenged by rising powers in the developing world, like India and China. It is a process that will have huge implications for investors over the coming years.

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Economics

Wednesday, June 09, 2010

Defending the Speculator / Economics / Elliott Wave Theory

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWalter Block writes: "Kill the speculators!" is a cry made during every famine that has ever existed. Uttered by demagogues, who think that the speculator causes death through starvation by raising food prices, this cry is fervently supported by the masses of economic illiterates. This kind of thinking, or rather nonthinking, has allowed dictators to impose even the death penalty for traders in food who charge high prices during famines. And this is done without the feeblest of protests from those usually concerned with civil rights and liberties.

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Economics

Tuesday, June 08, 2010

Europe Chooses Economic DepressionĀ  / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleForget about a smooth recovery. Finance ministers and central bank governors of the G-20, met this weekend in Busan, South Korea and decided to abandon "tried and true" expansionary fiscal policies for their own strange brew of belt-tightening policies and austerity measures. 

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Economics

Tuesday, June 08, 2010

Paul Krugman's Magic Keynesian Mirror Sees Non Exsistant Economic Recovery / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePaul Krugman is quite upset with the deficit hawks at the G-20, so much so that he says Lost Decade, Here We Come

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Economics

Monday, June 07, 2010

The Phantom Economic Recovery / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn recent months, GDP numbers have rebounded - primarily as a result of record low interest rates reliquifying the credit market and government stimulus jolting consumer spending. Although the "positive growth" has delighted Obama's economic brain trust, it has done little to boost the fortunes of Main Street. As I have said many times, GDP largely measures spending, and spending is not growth.

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Economics

Monday, June 07, 2010

India, Australia, Canda GDP Trends and Monetary Policy Update / Economics / Global Economy

By: EconGrapher

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week we look at the surging growth in the Indian economy, continued improvement in the GDP results from Australia, a strengthening recovery in the Canadian economy, and monetary policy decisions by Australia and Canada, and finish up with a look at the US nonfarm payroll figures which showed strong census hiring and not much else.

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Economics

Monday, June 07, 2010

Athens Hosts the Olympiad of Debt / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Gary_North

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn my previous report, "There Is No Money," I surveyed Europe's sovereign debt markets. I argued that the outgoing Chief Secretary to the Treasury of Great Britain, Liam Byrne, hit the nail on the head when he placed a note on his desk for the incoming Chief Secretary to read: "There is no money." He did this as a joke, as he later explained to the media, but the joke was on the incoming government: there really is no money. But there are expenses – lots and lots of expenses. These expenses will increase. Tax revenues will not cover them

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Economics

Monday, June 07, 2010

Modern Monetary System, Banks, Money Supply, Recessions and Depressions / Economics / Elliott Wave Theory

By: Mansoor_H_Khan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleModern monetary theory seems almost too good be true.  It seems as if "one is getting something for nothing".  Too many people who understand and write about modern monetary systems are very professor-ish and don't really answer the basic question:  How can one get something for nothing?

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Economics

Sunday, June 06, 2010

U.S. Federal Debt Hits $13 Trillion Record, As Congress Passes Emergency Spending Bills / Economics / US Debt

By: Videos

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe federal government is now $13 trillion in the red, the Treasury Department announced Wednesday. This is the first time the government has fallen so far into debt. Lawmakers and staffers on Capitol Hill have been awaiting the milestone with fascination for more than a week, and its arrival is likely to complicate efforts for Democrats as they try to pass several emergency spending bills this month.

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Economics

Saturday, June 05, 2010

Europe is Headed For a Mini Economic Depression / Economics / Euro-Zone

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDespite a nearly-$1 trillion rescue operation, financial conditions in the eurozone continue to deteriorate.  All the gauges of market stress are edging upwards and credit default swaps (CDS) spreads have widened to levels not seen since the weekend of the emergency euro-summit.

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