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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Tuesday, June 22, 2010

UK Budget 2010 Analysis, Consumers, Public Sector and Benefit Claimers to Carry the Weight / Economics / UK Tax & Budget

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGeorge Osbourne delivered his first budget flanked by Liberal Democrats Nick Clegg and Danny Alexander on either side, and clearing the uncertainty of the past 6 months which allows business's and individuals to make long-term decisions. The primary objective of the emergency budget is to address the unsustainable £156 billion annual budget deficit that risks bankrupting Britain, in this respect the budget appears to have succeeded in projecting that over the term of the parliament this deficit will be reduced to £20 billion per year.

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Economics

Tuesday, June 22, 2010

What's the Point of Macro Events Research in Forecasting? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI am back in Tuscany and will head to Milan tomorrow early, give a speech at the Bloomberg offices and then back home. But it is Monday and that means it is time for another Outside the Box. And I have found a most excellent offering. Dylan Grice from Societe Generale in London wrote on value for an OTB a few weeks ago, and he follows that up with more thoughts on the use of macro trends versus value investing. This is a real think piece, and worthy of more than one read.

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Economics

Monday, June 21, 2010

UK Emergency Budget 2010: George Osbourne's Wage Inflation Price Spiral VAT Increase / Economics / UK Tax & Budget

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGeorge Osbourne, the Coalition governments chancellor looks set to announce deep spending cuts and significant tax rises in tomorrows budget. However what will be the lasting impact of the budget will be the changes to the rate and scope of VAT with the aim of raising at least £15 billion extra revenue per year, that will come to be seen as the budget that sparked the wage price spiral.

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Economics

Monday, June 21, 2010

101 Scary Thoughts about the U.S. Economy / Economics / US Economy

By: Gary_North

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article1. The crucial objective factor promoting economic growth in a private property social order is per capita investment.

2. Americans save less than 5% of household income.

3. The Federal Reserve System runs the show economically; Congress doesn't.

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Economics

Monday, June 21, 2010

Systemic Crisis of the World Economy, Global Geopolitical Dislocation / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Global_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGEAB write: Each day the news confirm the extent to which the global systemic crisis has now entered into the phase of global geopolitical dislocation, even if the media only timidly begin to interpret the historic upheavals which unfold before our own eyes. For LEAP/E2020, the second half of 2010 will thus correspond to a new step in the global geopolitical dislocation, characterized by an acceleration in the process of strategic, financial, economic and social convulsions centered on four single points of failure (1) of the international system analyzed in this GEAB issue.

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Economics

Monday, June 21, 2010

Consumer Deleveraging: the New “wall of worry” / Economics / US Economy

By: Clif_Droke

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEverywhere one turns it seems that fear lurks just behind the corner, just waiting to pounce. Every day we’re bombarded by fear in the news headlines, be it from a financial, economic or geopolitical perspective. Nowhere is this more apparent than the current fear campaign over the U.S. debt situation, specifically, consumer deleveraging.

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Economics

Saturday, June 19, 2010

Following the Worst Crisis Since the Great Depression / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Bryan_Rich

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt’s easy to lose perspective on where the global economy stands … to be confused by the daily deluge of information.

So today, in the first of a two-part series, I want to give you some perspective on the big-picture and where we are today, because as an investor the “big-picture” is critical for you. It can mean the difference between making and losing a lot of money.

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Economics

Saturday, June 19, 2010

Deficits and Economic Growth, GDP = C + I + G + (X-M) / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"Everyone" is upset with the level of fiscal deficits being run by nearly every developed country. And with much justification. The levels of fiscal deficits are unsustainable and threaten to bring many countries to the desperate situation that Greece now finds itself in. We must balance the budget is the cry of fiscal conservatives. But there are unseen consequences in moving both too fast or too slow in the effort to get the deficits under control. Today we look at them as we explore what a fine mess we have gotten ourselves into. (I am working without internet today so the letter will be shorter with fewer references than normal.)

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Economics

Saturday, June 19, 2010

Economic Depression Solutions, Krugman vs. Greenspan / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCourtesy of Calculated Risk here are a pair of articles, one from Krugman and another from Greenspan on the limits of debt.

That ’30s Feeling

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Economics

Friday, June 18, 2010

Talk of Double-Dip Recession No Longer Crazy? / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Sy_Harding

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJust a month or two ago opinions that the serious recession that ended in the last quarter of last year, will return in a double-dip later this year were blown off as crazy.

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Economics

Friday, June 18, 2010

The Next Catastrophic Bubble to Pop Will Be Private Sector Debt / Economics / US Debt

By: Andrew_Butter

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMuch is said about the propensity of USA to pile on public debt to try and right the wrongs of the moronic lenders of yester-year ….and the risks that entails, but private sector debt is a much bigger “Elephant” in the Jacuzzi than public sector debt.

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Economics

Friday, June 18, 2010

Sovereign Crisis from Economic Stimulus to Debt Austerity Snowball Effect / Economics / Economic Austerity

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA blockbuster draft report from the European Commission saw the light of day recently, thanks to some reporting from Bloomberg. It highlights an incredibly dangerous Catch-22 facing many sovereign nations — the “Snowball Scenario.”

Let me give you an example how this works …

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Economics

Friday, June 18, 2010

Trade Cycle Impact on the Market Economy / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe popularity of inflation and credit expansion, the ultimate source of the repeated attempts to render people prosperous by credit expansion, and thus the cause of the cyclical fluctuations of business, manifests itself clearly in the customary terminology. The boom is called good business, prosperity, and upswing. Its unavoidable aftermath, the readjustment of conditions to the real data of the market, is called crisis, slump, bad business, depression. People rebel against the insight that the disturbing element is to be seen in the malinvestment and the overconsumption of the boom period and that such an artificially induced boom is doomed. They are looking for the philosophers' stone to make it last.

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Economics

Thursday, June 17, 2010

Chinese Workers Force the Issue / Economics / Global Economy

By: John_Browne

Neeraj Chaudhary writes: It's starting to look like Chinese labor has had enough. Led by workers at the Honda Motors plant in Zhangshan, and perhaps spurred by the suicides of ten workers this year at Foxconn Technology (a supplier to high technology companies such as Apple, Dell, and Hewlett-Packard), Chinese factory workers and other laborers across the country are going on strike. In so doing, these workers are defying the orders of their government-run unions and risking dismissal by their employers. I believe that this monumental step in the development of China's economy will result in a positive outcome. From an international perspective, these strikes may do more than improve working conditions in Chinese factories; they may, in fact, force a currency reform (long-delayed by the Chinese Communist Party) that will have serious implications for the global economy.

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Economics

Wednesday, June 16, 2010

United States Construction Industry in Death Spiral / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: JD_Rosendahl

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHow bad are things in the construction industry? Worse than many really know as Housing Starts in U.S. Fell to a 593,000 Pace in May

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Economics

Wednesday, June 16, 2010

As the Stimulus Fades U.S. Economy and Stock Market Loses Steam / Economics / US Economy

By: Claus_Vogt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOver the past two years, we’ve seen the largest stimulus policies the world has ever produced.

As a result, sovereign debt and central banks’ balance sheet holdings have gone through the roof!

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Economics

Wednesday, June 16, 2010

The U.S. Economic Recovery is on Cruise Control / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJon D. Markman writes: Assessing the U.S. economic recovery right now is a bit like buying a used car: Although it sure looks good, you can't help but wonder what's really going on under the hood.

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Economics

Wednesday, June 16, 2010

The Inflation Mega-Trend Continues With UK CPI 3.4%, RPI 5.1% / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAnother month and another release of UK inflation data at far above the Bank of England's target of 2% and above the upper limit of the Banks 1% to 3% range by reporting CPI of +3.4% for May. Thus the BoE Governor, Mervyn King will write another letter to repeat that the high rate of inflation is just "temporary", though when does "temporary" high inflation stop being temporary? 6 months? a year? 2 years? as the country sleep walks into stagflation with all of the consequences for wage earners and savers.

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Economics

Tuesday, June 15, 2010

The U.S. Federal Government Debt and Deficit - Congressman, Heal Thyself! / Economics / US Debt

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn one of this past Sunday's morning political talk shows, I heard a congressman say that the runaway federal government spending had to stop. Congressman, sir, although the spending continues to increase, the rate of growth in that spending has slowed enormously. In the 12 months ended May 2010, the accumulated spending by the federal government totaled $3.437 trillion, enough to keep the late Senator Dirksen spinning in his grave for near eternity. Although an admittedly high level, this 12-month accumulated total federal spending was only 2.6% higher than the 12-month accumulated total federal spending for May 2009 (see Chart 1).

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Economics

Tuesday, June 15, 2010

High UK Inflation Continues to Punish Savers With Negtive Real Interest Rates / Economics / Inflation

By: MoneyFacts

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInflation figures released today show that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) has fallen marginally to 3.40%, still way above the Government’s 2% target.

But a possible VAT increase in next week’s emergency Budget could stunt any longer term reductions.

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