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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Friday, April 23, 2010

Reports of Our Economic Recovery Are Greatly Exaggerated / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: John_Browne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFrom all outward appearances, it seems that a grim chapter in U.S. economic history has come to an end. Newsweek magazine declares that "America is Back," government statistics indicate revival, and our stock market has put in a rally for the record books (by rate of ascent, not highs - we are still more than 25% below the 2007 peak).

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Economics

Thursday, April 22, 2010

No China Asset Bubble, Healthy Economic Growth to Continue / Economics / China Economy

By: Dian_L_Chu

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOlivier Blanchard, chief economist at the International Monetary Fund (IMF), talks with Bloomberg this morning about the prospects for an asset bubble in China.  Blanchard, speaking from Washington, also discusses the impact of sovereign debt on global economic growth.

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Economics

Thursday, April 22, 2010

Teaching Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: MISES

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHunt Tooley writes: I had a great teaching experience early last school year. I taught the history of inflation, and I have never timed a course better. I have taught in colleges and universities since 1985, and I have often thought about doing a course on the history of inflation. But this time, current events pushed me to go ahead.

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Economics

Thursday, April 22, 2010

Real U.K. Unemployment is 5.5 million, the Jobless Economic Recovery? / Economics / UK Economy

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe latest U.K. Unemployment and claimant count data released Wednesday show a confusing mixed picture which allowed both Labour and the Conservatives to broadcast election propaganda in their own favour.

  • U.K. Unemployment ROSE to 2.502 million for January 2010, which elevated the Jobless rate to 8%
  • U.K. Benefits Claimant Count (seasonally adjusted) FELL by 33,000 to 1.54 million for Feb 2010.
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Economics

Wednesday, April 21, 2010

Money Supply Metrics, the Austrian Take / Economics / Money Supply

By: Michael_Pollaro

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAll economists, whether they are of an Austrian, a Keynesian or a Monetarist bent, as well as nearly every investor, would agree that money plays a vitally important role in the economy.  And a correct measure of its supply is an indispensable input into every economic and financial forecast.  How could it not, for money is one half of every economic transaction.

Yet, despite its importance, the money supply metrics used by the majority of today’s economists and investors are seriously flawed, for they are founded on a faulty definition of money.

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Economics

Wednesday, April 21, 2010

Economics Is Crucial for Ethics / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Art_Carden

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI assume that we all want to use the lives we've been given to make the world a better place. This isn't as straightforward as it seems at first. It is insufficient merely to think globally; and depressingly many kinds of acting locally are positively destructive. I have been asked to consider a handful of questions: I'm supposed to discuss the most pressing issue in the world, whether it is getting better or worse, and what we can do about it. I have also been asked what we can do to reduce infant mortality in Memphis. Finally, I've been asked what "thinking globally and acting locally" means to me. I will discuss each in turn.

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Economics

Wednesday, April 21, 2010

Global Economic Recovery Fuelled by World’s Factories Manufacturing at Record Rates / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDon Miller writes: The world's factories are churning out products at record rates, fueling the global economic recovery at a faster pace than thought possible just a few months ago.

The latest figures show factory output is growing at a record rate from the United States to China to Europe and beyond. And as manufacturing expands, economists expect the world's economies to continue to expand, creating jobs and putting money in consumer pocketbooks.

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Economics

Wednesday, April 21, 2010

How to Profit From China’s Economic Role Model: Singapore / Economics / Asian Economies

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: China's economic model has been extraordinarily successful. But the Asian giant didn't create it out of thin air.

It had a role model.

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Economics

Wednesday, April 21, 2010

Deeper Double Dip Recession as Keynesian Fails / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe case for a secondary recession rests on several factors: a double-dip decline in the residential real estate market, the accelerating decline in the commercial real estate market, the unresolved losses in bank balance sheets, the narrow focus of the profitability (earnings), which has been limited to bailed-out banks, and the threat of rising long-term interest rates, i.e., a decline in the bond market.

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Economics

Tuesday, April 20, 2010

Russia’s Economic Recovery Priorities Focus on Modernization and Innovation / Economics / Russia

By: Pravda

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRussia’s Finance Minister Aleksei Kudrin delivered his traditional annual speech at the Higher School of Economics in Moscow last week, in which he highlighted his vision of the pressing needs for Russia’s economy. We make a synthesis of these and add the opinion of another economic expert.

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Economics

Tuesday, April 20, 2010

Decline in Bank Lending: Business Investment in America is almost at a Standstill / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne of the reasons for less bank lending is the almost non-existent market for securitized bonds. Investors have so many bad loans on their books that they refuse to commit to further risky investments. This means banks are forced to hold this toxic paper on their books and that inhibits them from lending at higher levels. If the Fed had not purchased $1.7 trillion of this toxic junk many banks would currently be in bankruptcy. Thus, there still are trillions in these bad loans on the books of many financial institutions and they cannot be sold and they are clogging up the system, and there is no end in sight for the problem.

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Economics

Tuesday, April 20, 2010

UK Inflation Soars CPI 3.4%, RPI 4.4%, Bank of England Forecast Wrong as Usual / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUK Inflation CPI surged higher for March from 3% to 3.4% taking the academic economists that populate the mainstream press by surprise against consensus views of inflation rising to 3.1%.

The Bank of England's forecasts for inflation to fall have yet again been shown to be an abysmal failure when it comes to inflation forecasting and targeting where the mantra of UK inflation being at 2% in 2 years time only having been achieved approx 4% of the time, i.e. there is a 96% probability that inflation in 2 years time will NOT be at 2%.

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Economics

Tuesday, April 20, 2010

Rebalanced UK Economy and Economic Growth To Fix Britain's Finances / Economics / UK Economy

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLong time readers know that I am a huge fan of Martin Wolf, economist and columnist for the Financial Times. His writing is the reason to get the Pink Lady (as the Financial Times is known) as far as I am concerned.

This week's Outside the Box has two columns back to back from last week from Wolf, talking about the problems in Britain which look like the same problem all over the developed world. Wolf argues (rather cogently) that the answer is to increase exports and for a further weakening of the pound. Quoting:

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Economics

Tuesday, April 20, 2010

America’s Economic Recovery Is a Rotten Sham / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Justice_Litle

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMore evidence has arisen that the "strategic default" consumer spending thesis is correct - and that the economic recovery on the whole is based on a rotten sham.

The economic "recovery" we are now witnessing is based on theft, greed and deceit. It's a giant rip-off, a rotten sham. In this sleazy imitation of a free market economy, liars, cheats and deadbeats are the ones getting rewarded.

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Economics

Monday, April 19, 2010

California Unemployment Soars, Underemployment at 24% / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Global_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDr Housing Bubble writes: California has reached another unfortunate record.  The headline unemployment rate pushed up to a record breaking 12.6 percent.  This translates to 2.3 million Californians completely out of work.  We also have a large number that are working part-time but would like full-time employment.  When we look at the California budget and economy we cannot separate out jobs from the condition of the housing market. 

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Economics

Monday, April 19, 2010

Europe Sovereign Debt Crisis, British Pound Sterling Collapse? / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Global_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJust as LEAP/E2020 anticipated many months ago, and in contrast to the reports coming out of the media and the « experts » during these past few weeks, Greece really has the Eurozone behind it to give support and credibility (especially concerning good management in the future, the only guarantee of an escape from a damnable cycle of growing public deficits (1)). There will not be, then, any Greek default of payment even if the commotion over the Greek situation really is an indication of a growing awareness that money to finance the huge Western public debt is becoming increasingly difficult to find: a situation now « untenable » as a recent report of the Bank of International Settlements underlined.

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Economics

Monday, April 19, 2010

Economic Booms and Busts, the Punditry's Terrible Grasp of Economics / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Gerard_Jackson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat makes manufacturing an important part of the boom-bust phenomenon is the crucial role that time plays in production. Unfortunately, not only is this fact ignored by our economic commentariat they also adamantly refuse to even recognise its existence, just as they refuse to recognise that there exists a capital structure. (What makes this attitude peculiar is that some of these people claim to have studied von Hayek. The content of their articles strongly suggests otherwise.)

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Economics

Sunday, April 18, 2010

China and the Emerging Markets Investing Mega-Trend / Economics / China Economy

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe following is an excerpt form the Inflation Mega-Trend Ebook Page 54-57 (FREE Download) on investing in the emerging markets mega-trend. The ebook includes additional analysis of other emerging markets including, Brazil, India and Russia.

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Economics

Saturday, April 17, 2010

U.S. Economy and Interest Rate Forecasts Update / Economics / US Economy

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt has been a while since we last wrote an economic and interest rate update - February 22, to be exact. There are two reasons for the absence of a March update - heavy travel schedule and not much new to say on the subject. In the broad scheme of things, the only significant change to the forecast is with respect to inflation. Back in February, we were expecting the CPI to increase by 2.5% in 2010 on a Q4/Q4 basis. Now we are forecasting an increase of only 1.7%.

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Economics

Saturday, April 17, 2010

How Greece Debt Crisis Can Impact YOU! / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Bryan_Rich

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe economic problems in Greece have made front page news for the better part of the past three months. And I’ve written several columns here in Money and Markets on the ongoing drama and its influence on the global currency markets.

But with all of this incessant talk about Greece, what does it have to do with you?

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