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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Monday, December 14, 2009

Economic Recovery Mission Not Accomplished / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAlthough Barack Obama has refrained, at least for now, from delivering triumphant speeches in a naval flight suit, there is nevertheless a strong tone of accomplishment emanating from the President and his deputies. Over the weekend, top White House economic adviser Lawrence Summers even pronounced that the recession is now over.

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Economics

Monday, December 14, 2009

Stephen Roach Vs Mike Shedlock on Fed's Easy Money Exit Strategy / Economics / Quantitative Easing

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFormer Fed economist and current Morgan Stanley Asia Chairman Stephen Roach Sees ‘Great Risk’ in Fed Exit Strategy.

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Economics

Monday, December 14, 2009

U.S. Economy Forecast 2010, The Year of Severe Economic Contraction / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUpbeat reports in the financial media, belie the effects of the ongoing credit contraction. Massive injections of central bank liquidity have prevented the collapse of financial markets, but have done nothing to ease the deleveraging of households or stimulate activity the broader economy.

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Economics

Monday, December 14, 2009

U.S. Economy Looking Very Sick Indeed / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Gerard_Jackson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNo matter how the administration's friends and media lapdogs try to paint it the US economy is still in rotten shape. In fact, the situation is far worse than most people realise. Manufacturing surveys suggest a slow though steady recovery. I don't buy it, at least not yet. These surveys also report that the situation for unfilled orders is deteriorating, which means that orders for capital goods in the form of machinery is falling. Industrial production for October to October was down  7.1 per cent. Although it's true that industrial production from May to October is up by 2.5 per cent it is still below its 2002 level.

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Economics

Monday, December 14, 2009

It’s “Money in Circulation” Stupid / Economics / Money Supply

By: Joseph_Toronto

During the 1991 recession (if you can call it that) Bill Clinton made a campaign issue of “It’s the economy stupid.” It’s true, it is all about the economy. But it’s also a little more fundamental than that. It’s something that people have known intuitively for centuries. In a good economy, there was always “plenty of money” and in hard times it was “money is scarce”. Things haven’t changed, except that now those responsible for money creation are intentionally clouding the picture with all kinds of economic jawboning (dutifully reported daily by the media) to create a paranoia of both hyperinflation and deflation.

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Economics

Sunday, December 13, 2009

Average Russian is 8 Times Poorer Than Average European / Economics / Russia

By: Pravda

The latest research indicated that the size of the average European’s savings account is seven times greater than that of the average Russian. It would seem that the reasons are obvious – Russians are seven times poorer than residents of the European Union. However, it’s only a part of the picture. Sociologists say that 70% of Russians do not have bank deposits and 50% of them have no savings at all. Therefore, the average Russian is 8 times poorer than the average European.

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Economics

Saturday, December 12, 2009

Obama Calls for More Leverage and More Debt On Path Towards Financial Ruin / Economics / US Debt

By: Bob_Chapman

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCongressional appropriators agreed Tuesday night to give civilian federal employees a 2 percent pay increase -- which includes a locality pay increase President Obama didn't want.

Government workers will get a 1.5 percent nationwide increase in base pay and a 0.5 percent average increase in locality pay. The final agreement goes against the wishes of Obama, who called for a flat 2 percent jump and no locality increase.

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Economics

Saturday, December 12, 2009

Bernanke's Faux Economic Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"Economic recovery" is a term that has no fixed meaning. But it's worth mulling-over to determine whether aggregate demand is strong enough to keep the economy from tipping back into recession. In normal times, the Fed slashes interest rates to increase the flow of capital to the markets and to consumers via lending at the banks. That's the traditional method of "jump starting" the economy. The Fed has never initiated policies which provide unlimited guarantees for underwater financial institutions. Nor has it ever poured more than a trillion dollars directly into the financial system by creating excess reserves at the banks and direct purchases of long-term assets. (Quantitative Easing) All of this is new.

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Economics

Saturday, December 12, 2009

The Statistical Economic Recovery and Double Dip Recession / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThoughts on the Statistical Recovery
Lies, Damn Lies, and Government Statistics
The Problem of Seasonal Adjustments
The Job Creation Engine
A Double-Dip Recession?
Dad Gets a Lively Lesson

We are clearly starting to get some better data points here and there. But as I pointed out this summer, it is going to be a recovery in the statistics and not in the things that count, such as income and employment. This week we look at the nascent recovery (which could be at 3% this quarter) and try to peer out into the future to see what it means. We look at how recoveries come about, and why I am concerned that we will see a double-dip recession. Plus, I learned some new tricks courtesy of my new granddaughter, to whom Tiffani gave birth this week1 There is a lot to cover, but it should be interesting.

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Economics

Friday, December 11, 2009

Barack Obama Ensures a Long Economic Depression / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Benjamin_Weingarten

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePolitical success, as reflected in the recent gubernatorial races appears ever-more staked on the state of the economy. Official unemployment recently measured 10 percent, though the more-honest gauge (U-6) shows the nation running unemployment at a Depression-like 17.2 percent.

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Economics

Friday, December 11, 2009

Are We Heading for a Gigantic Economic Monetary Deflationary Collapse? / Economics / Market Manipulation

By: Robert_Bradshaw

When a top French Bank warns the French people that a gigantic economic/monetary/deflationary collapse could be very close, thinking people must wake up and take notice.  This happened on or about Nov 19th in an article by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard from the London Telegraph.  I read this prediction with interest from the Society Generale Bank in France.  But the importance of this assertion is not only because this bank is near the top in thinking in the European Union, it is most assuredly a leading Rothschild controlled bank with much insider knowledge of what is coming down the pike. 

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Economics

Friday, December 11, 2009

Auto and Gasoline Sales Help Boost November Retail Growth / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: LiveCharts

Despite initial reports from many retailers that the start to the holiday season has been relatively sluggish, the Commerce Department reported Friday (December 11) morning that retail sales climbed by 1.3 per cent in November. This follows a 1.1 per cent boost in retail performance during October.

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Economics

Friday, December 11, 2009

Debt and the Blowout Federal Deficit, Economic Review of 2009 / Economics / US Debt

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn an effort to get out ahead of the rush of year-end summaries, commentaries, and reviews, we’re going to try something a little bit different this year and leave 20 days of 2009 on the table. The themes discussed at the outset of 2009 were all longer-term in nature anyway, and it is unlikely that anything major will happen to unsettle those themes during the last few days of the year. Incidentally, a buffalo nickel goes to the first person to email in if I happen to be wrong on that last assertion. So without further delay..

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Economics

Friday, December 11, 2009

Sovereign Debt Defaults the Next Shoe to Drop? / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGovernments the world over have spent the past year bailing out, backstopping, insuring, and stimulating their financial sectors and economies. Trillions of dollars, euros, yen, and pounds have been thrown around like Halloween candy. Officials have assured us there’s little risk to that strategy.

But we have warned consistently that the opposite is true. Our stance: If you borrow and spend too much, all you’re going to do is transform a Wall Street debt crisis into a Washington debt crisis.

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Economics

Friday, December 11, 2009

Thanks to the Fed We Live in a Crystal Meth Economy / Economics / Fiat Currency

By: David_Calderwood

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs I see it, booms and busts are a natural part of human social behavior. Cycles appear throughout history and are part of the dynamism of humanity of which Butler Shaffer so eloquently writes. If this is so, then what role do central banks play in the modern world?

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Economics

Thursday, December 10, 2009

Bernanke Blamed, U.S. Economy Lost Revenues and Inflation /Deflation Fears / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the words of one of my favorite singer-song writers, Willie Nelson (another one of my favorites is Marisa Kasriel), I am on the road again. Forthwith are some thoughts that came to me as I listened to Willie on recent flights.

Did Bernanke Get Grilled for the Sins of Others?

Before hitting the "send" button on the hate email, let me tell you that Ben Bernanke is not an indispensable Fed chairman. I have no doubt that there are many people who could do a better job than he (but no one has called). Having said that, I was amused by some of the haranguing he was subjected to at his Senate confirmation hearing last week. Okay, now you can hit the "send" button.

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Economics

Thursday, December 10, 2009

The Power of The Theory of Money and Credit / Economics / Elliott Wave Theory

By: Douglas_French

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWith the great bursting of the real-estate bubble in 2008, the federal government is reforming and expanding its regulatory oversight in hopes of legislating away booms and busts. Recent decades have featured a series of speculative manias followed by harrowing financial busts, with central banks applying the same tonic — a flood of monetary stimulus — to salve the nation's financial wounds.

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Economics

Thursday, December 10, 2009

European Monetary System Crisis, Debt Show Down in Athens / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGreek Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou has the European Central Bank over a barrel and doesn't even know it. If he had a handle on the situation, he'd thumb his nose at the ECB's austerity measures, and demand a no-strings-attached loan package to help his country get through the current rough patch. Instead, he's carrying on like a faint-hearted schoolboy. 

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Economics

Thursday, December 10, 2009

Leave Free Markets to Themselves, Nothing Else Will Work / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Don_Cooper

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA market is the voluntary coming together of two groups of people: those that have something to sell and those that want to buy what is being sold at the price it is being offered. The former group is called producers and the latter consumers.

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Economics

Wednesday, December 09, 2009

Larry Summers is Steering U.S. Economy Towards Structural Adjustment / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere's no fixed number of greenbacks in a vault at the Treasury which limit how much the federal government can spend. Since the US pays its debts in its own currency--it can print as many dollars as it pleases. Of course, if boosting the money supply triggers inflation, the Fed has to withdraw liquidity and raise interest rates. But that's not the problem at present. The problem is how to zap the economy back to life.

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