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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Thursday, November 19, 2009

United States at Recession or Inflation Crossroads / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Browne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe U.S. economy is in uncertain times. Analysts are split between those seeing recovery and those fearing a second downturn. This confusion is being echoed in the highest levels of government as President Obama simultaneously speaks about the need for more federal spending and warns of the dangers of increased debt. As the volatile markets indicate, investors are not only confused - they are seriously concerned.

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Economics

Wednesday, November 18, 2009

Will Consumer Spending Really be Different This Time? / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Hans_Wagner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMost analysts believe the American consumer has changed their free spending ways. Every article on the state of the consumer indicates they have cut their spending, are saving more, and paying off their enormous debt. Everywhere you go, they expect this pattern will continue as the consumer had fundamentally changed their ways. But have they really?

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Economics

Wednesday, November 18, 2009

Our Steroidally Challenged Economy / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Vitaliy_Katsenelson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBirds are singing, the sun is shining and life is beautiful again. On the surface, the vital signs of our economy are improving with every economic report. In some areas, like unemployment, the rate of decline is decelerating; in others, like GDP, decline is turning into growth.

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Economics

Wednesday, November 18, 2009

Deflationists Are WRONG, Prepare for the INFLATION Mega-Trend / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe jist of the deflationists argument is that debt deleveraging MUST trigger huge consumer and asset price deflation. Whilst we have all witnessed huge asset price deflation and some consumer price deflation during 2008 and into 2009. However we have also witnessed unprecedented government and central bank actions of this year, which have ignited asset price inflation with more to come that is now starting to feed into consumer price inflation.

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Economics

Tuesday, November 17, 2009

The Investment Game Plan, How to Combat Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInflation is an easily understood phenomenon.  Although it takes a myriad of think tanks to find the root of the problem, the issue is quite simple, and investors can easily prepare their portfolios against the ravages of inflation. 

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Economics

Tuesday, November 17, 2009

Three Reasons Why Inflation Will Not Be Stopped / Economics / Inflation

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInflationary practices are the primary driver of growth in the value of precious metals, and they are already in play to combat the credit crunch.  Although the Federal Reserve is planning its exit strategy, there is little chance one will actually be enacted – which means that inflation will continue to bulldoze the value of the US dollar. 

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Economics

Tuesday, November 17, 2009

U.S. Economy Will Dodge Double Dip Recession / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDon Miller writes: Historically, the U.S. stock market has been one of the key leading indicators of a U.S. economic rebound.

With the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index up more than 60% from its March lows – and the Dow Jones Industrial Average up nearly 40% – prognosticators are finally confident that the U.S. economy will dodge the “double-dip” recession that has been the focus of much fear since the Bush and Obama administrations launched their financial counterattacks on the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression.

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Economics

Tuesday, November 17, 2009

UK Markets Look to Release of CPI Inflation Data / Economics / UK Economy

By: Lloyds_TSB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the UK, the October consumer price indices are released and the first rise in the headline annual rate of CPI inflation for eight months is expected (to 1.6% from 1.1% in September). The range of the market consensus for today’s CPI reading is unusually large at 1% to 1.7%, underscoring the point that the near-term picture for UK inflation is particularly uncertain in the midst of a high volatility period. We expect this feature to persist during the early part of 2010, when we expect the standard rate of VAT to be restored to 17½% and the effects of the exchange rate and other energy base effects to cause prices to fluctuate markedly.

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Economics

Tuesday, November 17, 2009

United States Economy At Zero Hour To Service Debt Mountain / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleToday's Outside the Box comes to us from England. My European partner Niels Jensen from time to time sends me some of the best letters he reads from the hedge fund world. He is an excellent filter for me, and this week's Outside the Box offering is no exception. Below is the November commentary from Eclectica fund manager Hugh Hendry. He challenges the current preoccupation with the falling dollar and China, and posits what would happen if that thinking is wrong? It offers some very thought-provoking ideas. You can contact them for more information at info@eclectica-am.com or visit their website: http://www.eclectica-am.com

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Economics

Monday, November 16, 2009

What Bernanke's Economic Recovery Means for U.S. Jobs / Economics / Employment

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEarlier today, At the Economic Club of New York, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke gave his Outlook for the Economy and Policy.

His speech contains much self-serving claptrap about how Federal Reserve policy save the day. Nowhere has the Fed admitted its role in creating the mess.

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Economics

Monday, November 16, 2009

GDP Forecasts Revised Higher and Gold Boosted by Negative Returns in All Currencies / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI travel for business purposes a lot these days. Moreover, the battery life on my laptop is limited. As a result, at least these are the excuses I am offering, I do not have as much time to write as I used to. Hence the dearth of Econtrarians. Once a month we must update our economic and interest rate forecasts. Given that I have little new to say about the forecast this month, as was the case last month, I am again using the update as an opportunity to communicate some thoughts I have had over the past month but have not had the opportunity until now to jot them down.

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Economics

Monday, November 16, 2009

Second U.S. Economic Stimulus Package Headed Our Way? / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJon D. Markman writes: Is the recent market softness something to be worried about?

Not if U.S. President Barack Obama & Co. comes through with a second stimulus package – as I’m expecting.

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Economics

Monday, November 16, 2009

Which is the Strongest BRIC Country for Investing? / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: Martin_D_Weiss

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI have a trick question for you, especially if you’re interested in emerging markets:

Among the four BRIC countries — Brazil, Russia, India and China — which offers the best stock market performance for American investors?

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Economics

Monday, November 16, 2009

Five Reasons China Is Not a Bubble / Economics / China Economy

By: Frank_Holmes

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRomeo Dator writes: A year ago, nobody thought China could manage 8 percent GDP growth in 2009. With year-to-date growth coming in at 7.7 percent through the first three quarters and getting stronger, China is poised to break that 8 percent mark rather easily.

The success of the stimulus and the lofty economic numbers China has managed to produce amidst a global crisis has led many to claim China is the next great bubble.

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Economics

Monday, November 16, 2009

Only a New Credit Bubble (that isn’t coming) Staves Off Deflation / Economics / Liquidity Bubble

By: Chris_Galakoutis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe next issue I wanted to write about in this post is this whole notion of ballooning reserves at the Fed, and how we get to hyperinflation if this money were to ever be lent out and multiplied across the economy.  Reserves might have gone from 10 Billion in August 2008, to about 1 Trillion today, but in fact, this money is not being lent out – it is simply sitting there at the Fed, earning interest.

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Economics

Monday, November 16, 2009

U.S. Unemployment Projected Scenarios For the Next 10 Years / Economics / UK Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week in Mish Unemployment Projections Through 2020 I posted a chart and tables of what unemployment might look like in what is best described as an optimistic "muddle through" scenario with no recessions for another decade.

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Economics

Sunday, November 15, 2009

Deficit Doubles for Government's Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp / Economics / US Debt

By: Trader_Mark

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSo many future bailouts to look forward to, so little time.  So many cans do kick down the road via accounting adjustments, so few feet do keep doing the kicking.  While I read this piece I was struck by my own reaction... not even $30 billion in deficit?  This is peanuts!  We've become so numb to bailouts that anything less than hundreds of billions seems like a normal part of Bailout Nation.  Yet just over a decade ago the world was in a panic over hedge fund Long Term Capital and its gaping hole of $3.6 billion. 

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Economics

Sunday, November 15, 2009

Not so fast Australia! / Economics / Austrailia

By: Kevin_George

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe “lucky country” managed to live up to its name in becoming the only industrialized country to escape recession.

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Economics

Sunday, November 15, 2009

What Is At Stake With Free Trade / Economics / Global Economy

By: Shamus_Cooke

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the ten years since the World Trade Organization (WTO) protests in Seattle, global opposition to free trade and “globalization” has exploded. The general public now has a basic understanding of how the world economy works … against them: companies scour the globe searching for slave wages, which help push down wages in “developed” countries; any regulation that reduces profits — environmental, financial, labor, etc. — is destroyed or ignored.

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Economics

Sunday, November 15, 2009

The New Command Economy Impact on Stocks and Crude Oil / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Christopher_Wood

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne week on and sentiment, judging by meetings with US investors over the past week, has again shifted to the “melt up” into year end. If the failure of the stock market to respond more positively to the last two monthly ISM data points is a cautionary signal, the break out of the oil price in recent weeks after four months of sideways consolidation around the US$70/bbl level is the sort of market action likely to be associated with a “melt up” (see Figure 1). This is because oil is for now a proxy for risk.

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