Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, January 07, 2010
The Nine Chinese Men Who Control the Fate of America / Economics / US Bonds
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Nine politicians in China control the fate of the United States of America.
I'm not kidding. The implications are scary. Let me explain...
Thursday, January 07, 2010
How Long Will the Economic Recovery Continue? / Economics / Economic Recovery
There's no denying that the economy is getting better, but will it last? Many economists don't think so, including experts at opposite ends of the ideological spectrum, like Paul Krugman and Martin Feldstein. They think the economy will begin to fizzle sometime in the latter part of 2010 when Obama's $787 billion fiscal stimulus runs out and consumers are forced to pick up the slack in demand. That's a safe bet, too, considering that unemployment will still be somewhere in the neighborhood of 9 percent and households will still be digging out from the $13 trillion they lost during the crisis. And the fact that the Fed is planning to end its quantitative easing (QE) program in early April, doesn't help either.
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Thursday, January 07, 2010
U.S. Jobs May Rebound In 2010, But Unemployment ? / Economics / Employment
The USA Today says Jobs May Rebound In 2010.
The article has some very nice interactive graphs showing state by state forecasts. The charts below that I copied are not interactive.
Thursday, January 07, 2010
Do Technological Innovations Cause Business Cycles? / Economics / Economic Theory
Malte Tobias Kähler writes: Agora — "market" — was the name for the public place in the center of ancient Hellenic cities. Spanish film director Alejandro Amenábar recently gave his new movie the same dignified title. It tells the story of Hypatia of Alexandria, a wise and proud woman, a teacher of philosophy and astronomy at the library of that old metropolis. During those times, the dominant model of the solar system was the Ptolemaic view, in which the earth is located in the centre, and the sun and all the planets surround it in circles.
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Thursday, January 07, 2010
U.S. Economy 2010 From Scandalous Past to Uncertain Future / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
“Homes rose markedly in value, especially in hot markets like Florida and New York City. Borrowers believed that home purchases were no-risk ventures certain to escalade, and they went out on a limb to buy. Lenders who had once required large down payments now permitted home purchasers to combine two and three loans to buy a home. People took out what were called “buffet” loans, which were interest-only loans that buyers were told they should refinance in three years or five years. Lenders told home buyers not to worry; homes were rising so fast in value that it would always be easy to refinance into another loan.
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Thursday, January 07, 2010
Keynes and Bernanke on Bubbles and Manias: Blame the Free Market / Economics / Economic Theory
In 1936, John Maynard Keynes' book appeared: The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money. It changed the world. It justified in the name of economic theory what governments had been doing since 1932: running deficits and creating fiat money. Keynes' ideas took over. Today, they are dominant. The 30-year break, 1978–2008 – Chicago School, rational expectations, efficient market theory – is over. Academic economists, like Dorothy in Kansas, ran for the Keynesian storm cellar. Unlike Dorothy, they made it. No trip to Oz for them!
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Tuesday, January 05, 2010
Keynesianism Delivers a Decade of Zero Economic Growth / Economics / Great Depression II
This past week we celebrated the end of what most people agree was a decade best forgotten. New York Times columnist and leading Keynesian economist Paul Krugman called it the Big Zero in a recent column. He wrote that "there was a whole lot of nothing going on in measures of economic progress or success" which is true. However, Krugman continues to misleadingly blame the free market and supposed lack of regulation for the economic chaos.
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Monday, January 04, 2010
Signs of Economic Depression / Economics / Great Depression II
I wanted to remind you not to lose sight of the big picture. It’s advisable to try to make money during an illusion only if you know the reality.
Remember, consumer confidence and investor sentiment can and often creates illusions that can lead to big gains in stock market. But at some point, reality sets in.
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Monday, January 04, 2010
Mature Capitalist Economies Trend Towards Stagnation Triggering Financial Innovations / Economics / Economic Theory
British economist John Maynard Keynes, believed in capitalism, but he was also sharply critical of its structural flaws. He summed it up succinctly like this: "Our analysis shows... that long-run development is not inherent in the capitalist economy. Thus, specific 'development factors' are required to sustain a long-run upward movement."
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Monday, January 04, 2010
How Deflation Is Inflation / Economics / Inflation
Let's squash the debate between deflationalists and hyper-inflationalists. Here follows the math that shows how we get the equivalent effect of price inflation (and skyrocketing gold price) when there is deflation on a debt money standard.
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Sunday, January 03, 2010
Economic Aspects Of The Pension Problem, Deflation Threat and Ponzi Pensions / Economics / Pensions & Retirement
As It Appears Sixty Years Later
In Two Parts. Part One: Euthanasia of the Pension Funds. On February 23, 1950, The Commercial and Financial Chronicle published an article from Ludwig von Mises with the above title. In it the author concentrated on the threat of inflation as the greatest danger to pension rights. Sixty years later another danger is looming large on the horizon: the threat of deflation, and a new examination of the pension problem is timely.
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Sunday, January 03, 2010
Can America Produce Genuine Long-Term Economic Growth? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
Genuine means authentic which means "conforming to fact and therefore worthy of belief and trust" (as the thesaurus says), and the antonym is counterfeit, false, and a sham.
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Sunday, January 03, 2010
United States a Ponzi Scheme that Works! / Economics / US Economy
Sunday, January 03, 2010
Fiscal Policy Cannot Stimulate the Economy, Redux / Economics / Economic Theory
Sterling T. Terrell writes: Fiscal policy, the attempt to use government outlays and revenue to better the economy, simply does not work either a priori or in practice.
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Friday, January 01, 2010
Vietnam Halts Gold Trading; Global Imbalances Mount / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
Citing speculation and excessive leverage Vietnam to put an end to gold trading.
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Vietnam has ordered all gold trading floors to close by the end of March, putting an end to a business which turns over $1bn a day but which the government feared was spinning out of control.
Thursday, December 31, 2009
Global Financial Crisis, Globalization and the Economy in 2010 / Economics / Credit Crisis 2010
Human Behavior and the Broad Social Trends Driving the Global Financial Crisis, Globalization and the Economy in 2010 - PART II
THE TAKEOVER OF THE AMERIKAN HEALTHCARE SYSTEM PROCEEDED ON CHRISTMAS EVE AS THE GANG OF 535, ALSO KNOWN AS CAPITOL HILL, ONCE AGAIN VOTED AGAINST THE INTERESTS AND SENTIMENTS OF THE AMERICAN PEOPLE.
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Thursday, December 31, 2009
Inflationary Pause Before the Deflationary Collapse / Economics / Great Depression II
Washington's Bipartisan Betrayal: The 2015 Global Financial Crisis - The time has come for new year's resolutions. The House passed the Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2009 (H.R. 4173) on December 11, 2009. It gives $4 trillion in "emergency funding" to our largest banks during the next financial crisis. Instead of reform, Congress offers even bigger bailouts. Unless we change direction, we will have another crisis by 2015. Congress has made all the wrong moves to guarantee it.
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Thursday, December 31, 2009
UK Economy GDP Growth Forecast 2010 and 2011, The Stealth Election Boom / Economics / Economic Recovery
The British Economy as with other developed economies entered 2009 in recession and on the brink of Depression, after unlimited bailouts , hitting the Quantitative Easing panic button and running a huge 15% of GDP budget deficit, the UK economy has managed to claw its way back out of recession as the Q4 data will show when released during late January 2010.
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Wednesday, December 30, 2009
United States Debt Ridden Road to Perdition / Economics / US Debt
Christmas is a time when kids tell Santa what they want and adults pay for it. Deficits are when adults tell the government what they want - and their kids pay for it. - Richard Lamm
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Wednesday, December 30, 2009
New Year’s Economic Resolutions / Economics / Financial Markets 2010
Heading into the new decade, it appears as though some big changes could be in store for the economy, stocks and several other major financial sectors and investments. The dollar appears primed for a major upward move, which would effect the trend in many speculative investments including currencies, oil, gold, and more.
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