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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Saturday, August 01, 2009

U.S. Economy Q2 GDP Contraction, Awaiting the Revision for Real Data / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Commerce Department's first guess at second-quarter real GDP has the U.S. economy contracting at only 1.0% annual rate compared to the first quarter's downwardly revised annualized contraction of 6.4% (previously reported as a 5.5% rate of contraction). On a year-over-year basis, real GDP was down 3.9% in the second quarter, the most severe year-over-year decline in the post-WWII era (see Chart 1).

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Economics

Saturday, August 01, 2009

Europe Hit by Deflation as Prices Fall Most in 13 Years / Economics / Deflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

Troubles in Europe continue to mount even as stock markets everywhere are pricing in a strong recovery. Please consider European Prices Fall 0.6%; Jobless at Decade High.

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Economics

Saturday, August 01, 2009

Weekly Unemployment Claims Portend Disaster / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Department of Labor Weekly Unemployment Report is now so skewed by abnormalities, it is difficult to get a clear picture. First, let's take a look at the data.

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Economics

Saturday, August 01, 2009

The Debt Super Cycle and the Great Reflation Experiment of 2009 / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Great Reflation Experiment
The Debt Super Cycle
Some Background on US Inflation
Implications for Investors

The question we have been focused on for some time now is whether we end up with inflation, or deflation, and what that endgame looks like. It is one of the most important questions an investor must ask today, and getting the answer right is critical. This week, we have a guest writer who takes on the topic of the great experiment the Fed is now waging, which he calls The Great Reflation Experiment.

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Economics

Saturday, August 01, 2009

Why Deflation … Not Inflation … Remains the Problem / Economics / Deflation

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBryan Rich writes: Currency values are highly influenced by interest rates … a key driver in determining the flow of global capital.

For example, if you lived in Japan for the past decade, you would have experienced a decade of near-zero interest rates. Therefore, you might have shopped outside your home country for a better return on your money.

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Economics

Friday, July 31, 2009

How Paul Krugman Has Misconceived Austrian Business Cycle Theory / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Gordon writes: Paul Krugman is an eminent economist, but he here reveals a woefully inadequate understanding of Austrian business-cycle theory. The rudiments of the theory are easy; one might have thought that even a Keynesian could grasp them.

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Economics

Friday, July 31, 2009

Economic Recovery, Pass out the 3D Glasses / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt doesn’t take long these days to find an economic bull that’s for sure. Whether you turn on the television, radio, or pick up a newspaper, they’re everywhere. The most popular phrase to date has obviously been Bernanke’s ‘Green Shoots’ comment made several months ago now. Boy have we gotten some mileage out of that one.

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Economics

Friday, July 31, 2009

Economic Recovery, Happy Days Aren’t Here Again? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Peter_Schiff

Have you heard the great news? The recession is over! It’s true; I saw it on TV. Why fret about growing unemployment lines when banks are paying big-time bonuses again?

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Economics

Friday, July 31, 2009

China Change to One Child Policy Population Boom Could Make You Rich / Economics / China Economy

By: Uncommon_Wisdom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTony Sagami writes: They say the only thing constant in this world is change. That’s certainly true in Asia where some big changes are brewing.

1.4 billion — the population of China — is a lot of people. And for the last 30 years, Chinese couples have been limited to just one child.

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Economics

Friday, July 31, 2009

Beware of the Obama Inflationary Economic Stimulus Trap / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: Upbeat headlines have been everywhere in recent weeks, and they all seem to point to a single conclusion: The U.S. economy is in the early stages of a very rapid recovery.

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Economics

Thursday, July 30, 2009

Economic Arguments Against the Re-nomination of Bernanke as Fed Chairman / Economics / Central Banks

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI Come Neither to Praise Nor to Bury Bernanke - No one is indispensable. There are plenty of well-qualified candidates to replace Ben Bernanke as chairman of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. So, the Republic will survive whether or not Ben Bernanke is re-nominated as Fed chairman. But let us be objective in assessing the job he has done as chairman. In my opinion, Anna Schwartz was not objective in her July 26 NYT op-ed piece arguing for the dumping of Bernanke.

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Economics

Thursday, July 30, 2009

Banks Branch Network Over Expansion Points to Negative Returns / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBanks have finally come to a realization there does not need to be a branch on every corner. If this story sounds familiar it is because the same discussions took place in 2000.

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Economics

Thursday, July 30, 2009

Blowing Stock and Property Market Bubbles in China / Economics / China Economy

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTim Swanson writes: Despite all of the shimmering skyscrapers and industrial output, unless market forces are allowed to truly dictate economic exchanges, today's Chinese megacities and their residents will merely be facades and actors within a 21st-century Potemkin village, and growth will remain stagnant for years to come. This is due in large part to continual state intervention through centrally planned investment.

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Economics

Thursday, July 30, 2009

Economic Crisis Hits Men Harder than Women / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Pravda

The economic crisis that struck 27 EU member states affected men at a much greater extent than women. According to the Eurostat report, staff reduction mostly affected such sectors as industry and financial sphere where predominantly men were employed. The unemployment rate among young people has been rising much faster as compared to other adults. 4.9 million youngsters across the EU became unemployed in the first quarter of this year.

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Economics

Wednesday, July 29, 2009

China Debt Bubble Looming / Economics / China Economy

By: Hans_Wagner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAccording to the latest reports from China, the country’s GDP is growing at 8% a year. This is an amazing achievement and helps to bolster the argument that China will help lead the global economy out of its recession. Since it looks like exports will be the major driver of growth for the U.S., selling goods and services to many emerging economies like China it pays to dig a little deeper to understand this growth phenomenon.

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Economics

Wednesday, July 29, 2009

European Economic Outlook 2009 / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: RGE_Monitor

Deleted.

 


Economics

Tuesday, July 28, 2009

Keynesians Can't Predict, Forecasts of Postwar Deflation Turned Out to be Entirely Wrong / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleL. Albert Hahn writes: If you take the trouble to interrogate a large number of economists about the economic future of the country you will find that an overwhelming majority argues in the following way: In about two years at the latest, rearmament will be completed and the amounts spent for this purpose will be negligible. At about the same time the pent-up demand for investments will be largely satisfied. The productive apparatus will be sufficiently enlarged, improved, and modernized to meet the needs of an increased population and all other reasonable requirements. A depression — or at least a serious recession from the present high level of production and employment — must follow.

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Economics

Tuesday, July 28, 2009

U.S. Consumer Confidence Falls More than Expected / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAfter rebounding from the depths of hell in February, the Consumer Confidence Survey shows Consumer Confidence Numbers Retreat Again.

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Economics

Tuesday, July 28, 2009

The Great Global Economic Stimulus Gap / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Weiss writes: Some exciting new changes are now unfolding, and later this week, I will tell you more about them via video from my home. (Look for my email announcement with the subject “Important Fireside Chat.”)

For now, here’s a heads-up on one of the most important developments:

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Economics

Monday, July 27, 2009

Economic Recovery Without the Feel Good Factor / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWilliam Patalon III writes: When the initial estimates for the just-concluded second quarter are released next week, they’re expected to show that gross domestic-product (GDP) declined for the fourth quarter in a row.

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