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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Tuesday, June 09, 2015

A Six-Point Plan to Restore Economic Growth and Prosperity / Economics / Economic Theory

By: John_Mauldin

Three weeks ago I co-authored an op-ed for the Investor’s Business Daily with Stephen Moore, founder of the Club for Growth and former Wall Street Journal editorial board member, currently working with the Heritage Foundation. Our goal was to present a simple outline of the policies we need to pursue as a country in order to get us back to 3–4% annual GDP growth. As we note in the op-ed, Stephen and I have been engaging with a number of presidential candidates and with other economists around the topic of growth.

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Economics

Monday, June 08, 2015

Technology Needs Capital To Produce Economic Growth / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Frank_Shostak

In his article “The Big Meh” Paul Krugman complains that despite all the information technology advances the effect so far has been negligible as far as economic growth is concerned.

Krugman writes “That the whole digital era, spanning more than four decades, is looking like a disappointment. New technologies have yielded great headlines but modest economic results. Why? ... The answer is that I don’t know — but neither does anyone else.”

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Economics

Friday, June 05, 2015

US Jobs Table 9 BLS Data Dump / Economics / Employment

By: James_Quinn

It seems the mainstream media is giddy with excitement over the 280,000 jobs supposedly created in May. The markets aren’t so happy, as good news is actually bad news. What excuse will Yellen and her fellow Wall Street puppets at the Federal Reserve use to not increase interest rates from emergency levels of 0.25%? The ten year Treasury rate immediately skyrocketed to 2.43% in seconds. It was at 1.64% in February. That’s a 46% decline in price in four months. Do you still think bonds are a safe investment? Guess what is tied to the 10 Year Treasury rate? Mortgage rates. There goes the fake housing recovery. Artificially high prices, higher mortgage rates, and young people unable to buy sounds like a perfect recipe for collapse.

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Economics

Thursday, June 04, 2015

Uptown Slowdown: The Rich Are Slowing Their Spending Now, Too! / Economics / US Economy

By: Harry_Dent

Recent statistics show that the affluent are rapidly slowing in their spending. Economists are surprised, as usual. We’re not. The beauty of demographic trends is that they allow us to see changes in spending well ahead. It’s the single best indicator we have for the economy.

This is even more important in a time when many leading indicators no longer work, thanks to an economy artificially manipulated by quantitative easing. What we know from our research is that the demographic blows have already started to hit us since 2007, but that they’ll get markedly worse through 2020 and 2022.

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Economics

Wednesday, June 03, 2015

Even The Good Economic Numbers Are Bad / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Rubino

US factory orders tanked again this morning, and were generally reported that way at first. To take just a few of the low-lights:

  • Factory orders have declined in eight of the last nine months.
  • Orders for transportation equipment fell 2.4 percent while orders for computers and consumer goods-related equipment also fell by varying amounts.
  • Last month’s durable goods orders were revised to -0.3% from the original +1%.
  • Business inventories remain at near-record high levels.
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Economics

Monday, June 01, 2015

The Meaning of Financial Repression / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mark_Thornton

Mark Thornton writes: We live in a world of massive monetary inflation and extremely low interest rates. Mortgage rates are near historic lows and yet it seems that people cannot get loans. Home sales are up, but with a near record percentage of sales made with cash, rather than a mortgage. The unemployment rate is nearing “full employment” and yet a record number of people do not have jobs.

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Economics

Thursday, May 28, 2015

US Economy – Semi b2b Amps Up its Trend / Economics / US Economy

By: Gary_Tanashian

A quick review for newer subscribers:  In Q1 2013 we noted that the Semiconductor Equipment industry was in “ramp up” mode per a personal source in the industry.  After that pivotal period, we have relied on the Semi Equipment ‘book-to-bill’ ratio as a monthly checkup on what is often an important economic leading indicator.  The Canary chirped in 2013 and it is still singing a sweet song today.

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Economics

Thursday, May 28, 2015

Austerity, Economics and Religion / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Raul_I_Meijer

There are many things going on in the Greece vs Institutions+Germany negotiations, and many more on the fringe of the talks, with opinions being vented left and right, not least of all in the media, often driven more by a particular agenda than by facts or know-how.

What most fail to acknowledge is to what extent the position of the creditor institutions is powered by economic religion, and that is a shame, because it makes it very difficult for the average reader and viewer to understand what happens, and why.

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Economics

Wednesday, May 27, 2015

Bad News For China: Bernanke Says It’s Okay / Economics / China Economy

By: John_Rubino

Former Fed chairman Ben Bernanke will be remembered by future generations as the guy who didn’t see a housing bubble while he was creating it.

That is, unless he says something even dumber, like this:

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Economics

Wednesday, May 27, 2015

Don't Drown in the Sea of Global Debt / Economics / Global Debt Crisis 2015

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Peter Krauth writes: Debt is the proverbial double-edged sword, offering access to costly assets, but sometimes driving overleveraged borrowers into bankruptcy.

Only politicians and some Keynesian economists could convince themselves – along with a good portion of the masses – that more debt is the solution to the world's already crushing levels.

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Economics

Wednesday, May 27, 2015

Why Economic Growth Is Impossible / Economics / Economic Theory

By: BATR

The quandary of the economic dilemma continues. A globe suffering from a deflationary financial impact, while consumer prices rise well above the reported cost of living increases, does not bode well that prospects of commercial growth can rescue the world economy. What changes can overcome this predicament? Well, some academic scholar’s offers serious concern that a long term rebound towards prosperity is no longer possible.

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Economics

Tuesday, May 26, 2015

GDP, Inflation, Employment Economic Statistics: It’s All a Lie / Economics / Economic Statistics

By: Harry_Dent

Rodney Johnson writes: I’m not much for glossing over the true state of affairs just to make things look better, which is why I take issue with many government reports.

When it comes to providing clear information on the economy, the U.S. government is more late-night pitchman than serious news anchor. And to make matters worse, many of the numbers they peddle have been “adjusted” so that reports show better results.

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Economics

Monday, May 25, 2015

Into the Breach / Economics / Global Economy

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Recently, I thought it would be fun to upgrade the turbo charger on my old car. No real good reason, other than it would be free (it was given to me) and interesting. It’s a very light car that feels like a little rocket (when it works)--a guilty pleasure.

One thing I hadn’t anticipated was the need for higher quality intake hoses to manage the extra air flow and exhaust heat. Over and over, I keep blowing hose connections. While the car still drives during periods, there is barely any power at all.

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Economics

Saturday, May 23, 2015

Venezuela: No Rule of Law, Bad Money / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: Steve_H_Hanke

The rule of law subjects the State to a fixed set of rules that limits the scope of its coercive powers. Individuals and their property are protected from the arbitrary, ad hoc actions of the State and other individuals. In consequence, individuals can plan their activities within the confines of known, fixed “rules of the game.” This allows people to pursue their personal ends, as long as their actions do not infringe on the broadly-defined property rights of their fellow citizens.

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Economics

Wednesday, May 20, 2015

Government Regulation and Economic Stagnation / Economics / Market Regulation

By: MISES

Peter St. Onge writes: One of the more interesting economic debates in the past couple of decades is why the economy is slowing down.

Since 2000, per capita GDP growth in the US has been 0.9 percent per year, compared to 2.3 percent per year in the previous fifty years. This is a big difference: at 2.3 percent growth we double in wealth every generation. At 0.9 percent it takes us close to a century to double. So why the slowdown?

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Economics

Wednesday, May 20, 2015

UK Deflation Warning - Bank of England Economic Propaganda to Print and Inflate Debt / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

DEFLATION! The mainstream broadcast press appears to have swallowed the Bank of England's deflation economic propaganda hook line and sinker as they regurgitate the dangers of deflation following release of UK CPI inflation for April of -0.1% prompting headline grabbing warnings of the dangers of falling prices, the dangers of debt not being eroded by inflation, the dangers of people not spending as they wait for prices to fall, the dangers of ... you get the picture as the Bank of England sets the scene for their very own 007 Mark Carney to come to Britain's rescue with his magic PPK INFLATION gun, by promising that the Bank of England will keep price stability by aiming to bring the official CPI inflation rate back to 2%, and thus 007 Mark Carney saves Britain from the Spectre of Deflation.

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Economics

Saturday, May 16, 2015

No Money, No Growth / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Rubino

Last August, the US Fed stopped creating new currency out of thin air and dumping it into the banking system. Which is another way of saying the US money supply stopped growing. Here’s the adjusted monetary base — a proxy for the amount of new currency the Fed is creating — over the past eight months:

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Economics

Friday, May 15, 2015

How GDP Metrics Distort Our View of the Economy / Economics / Economic Statistics

By: MISES

Chris Casey writes: GDP purports to measure economic activity while largely divorcing itself from the quality, profitability, depth, breadth, improvement, advancement, and rationalization of goods and services provided.

For example, even if a ship — built at great expense — cruised without passengers, fished without success, or ferried without cargo; it nevertheless contributed to GDP. Profitable for investors or stranded in the sand; it added to GDP. Plying the seas or rusting into an orange honeycomb shell; the nation’s GDP grew.1

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Economics

Friday, May 15, 2015

Hyper-Deflationary Death Race 2000 / Economics / Deflation

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

It is quite fascinating that the ultimate case for continued equity and bond price growth comes from the unspoken assumption that we will get another round or rounds of QE.

This open assumption is that things are so good that we are about to move into perpetual growth mode as the recovery breaks away into the growth.

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Economics

Thursday, May 14, 2015

Is the Keynesian Output Multiplier a Real Thing? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Frank_Shostak

It is accepted by most economists that initial increases in consumer spending or other outlays tend to set in motion a reinforcing process which supposedly strengthens the economic growth by a multiple of initial spending.

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