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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Sunday, February 22, 2009

World Economies Face Perfect Storm of Deepening Recession and Banking Crisis / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA perfect storm of a deepening global recession and banking woes last week battered equities and supported the safe havens of the US dollar, government bonds and gold bullion.

A dismal corporate earnings outlook, fears about bank nationalizations, especially Bank of America (BAC) and Citigroup (C), and a warning by Moody's Investors Service of possible downgrades of European banks exposed to the slumping economies of Central and Eastern Europe, stoked investors' fears.

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Economics

Saturday, February 21, 2009

UK Unemployment Time Bomb to Explode July 2009 / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOfficial UK unemployment data for November 08 stands at 1.97million, with unemployment as of the end of January estimated at 2.1 million as a consequences of the rise in claimant count for December 08 and January 09 of 226,000. However whilst the pace of unemployment increases is bad as it is, which is approaching 100,000 a month, unfortunately there also exists the unemployment time bomb of the estimated 600,000 graduates that are expected to join the labour market in July 2009, which could result in a surge of unemployment of as many as 250,000 in a single, with also extra high unemployed numbers for subsequent months.

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Economics

Saturday, February 21, 2009

ECB Dithers as Eastern Europe Bad Debts to Bankrupt European Banks / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009

By: John_Mauldin

  • Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Risk in Europe
  • While Rome Burns
  • The Euro Back to Parity? Really?
  • Back to the Basics
  • Living in Paradise
  • The 20-Year Horizon
  • If I Had a Hammer

When I sit down each week to write, I essentially do what I did nine years ago when I started writing this letter. I write to you, as an individual. I don't think of a large group of people, just a simple letter to a friend. It is only half a joke that this letter is written to my one million closest friends. That is the way I think of it.

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Economics

Friday, February 20, 2009

U.S. CPI Reverts from Deflation Back to Inflation Mode / Economics / Inflation

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor the better part of the second half of 2008, the decision was an easy one. For the first 30 or so days of 2009, the decision remained easy. Then something changed. Something subtle, but at the same time worthy of our utmost attention. Producer and consumer prices began to climb off the mat and beginning in January 2009, there has been a rather remarkable turnaround. Granted, one month does not a trend make, but in this environment, big moves, which have become commonplace bear even more study when they reverse themselves on a dime.

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Economics

Friday, February 20, 2009

UK Public Sector Contraction to Trigger Double Dip Recession / Economics / UK Economy

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMy recent indepth analysis and forecast of the UK economy for the period 2009 to 2010 concluded that the UK is heading for GDP contraction of 6.3%, and will start to bounce from a 4th quarter 2009 low of -4.75% GDP into the end of 2010. This recovery is expected to be followed by further weakness due to the scale of government borrowing generated in advance of the 2010 general election. On further analysis of the prospects post 2010 suggesting that 2011 and 2012 economic weakness may be as a consequence of a Public Sector Recession.

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Economics

Friday, February 20, 2009

U.S. Government Borrowing Trillions of Dollars to Artificially Inflate Deflating Bubble Economy / Economics / US Debt

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePredatory Legislators - With millions of homeowners now struggling to repay money they clearly never should have borrowed, our leaders have been righteously wagging fingers at predatory lenders who allegedly enticed innocent borrowers, and the country, into a financial snake pit. While the mortgage industry clearly deserves a good share of the blame, unindicted co-conspirators abound. The ringleaders are still at-large and are, in fact, busy hatching a plan to dwarf the earlier mistakes.

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Economics

Friday, February 20, 2009

Bankrupt Eastern European Banks Require Mega Bailouts to Survive / Economics / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: We all know about the mess the United States, Britain, Spain and some other countries have gotten themselves into thanks to overenthusiastic housing bubbles.

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Economics

Thursday, February 19, 2009

"The Last Bastion Against Deflation: The Federal Government / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis article is part of a syndicated series about deflation from market analyst Robert Prechter, the world's foremost expert on and proponent of the deflationary scenario. For more on deflation and how you can survive it, download Prechter's FREE 60-page Deflation Survival eBook , part of Prechter's NEW Deflation Survival Guide.

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Economics

Thursday, February 19, 2009

The Perfect Storm: Financial Crisis of Epic Proportions / Economics / Financial Crash

By: James_Quinn

The Perfect Storm: Financial Crisis of Epic Proportions

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article THE BURNING PLATFORM - "The US government is on a “burning platform” of unsustainable policies and practices with fiscal deficits, chronic healthcare underfunding, immigration and overseas military commitments threatening a crisis if action is not taken soon." David M. Walker

David Walker served as Comptroller General of the United States from 1998 through 2008. He is now the CEO of the Peter G. Peterson Foundation and leader of the Fiscal Wake Up Tour. He has been a lone voice in the wilderness for the last decade regarding our looming fiscal disaster.

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Economics

Thursday, February 19, 2009

Russia's Post U.S. New World Order Blueprint / Economics / New World Order

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePROLOGUE & AFTERMATH - The World Economic Forum took place in Davos Switzerland last week. The global picture enabled a nice snapshot of sentiment, fault for the crisis, blame doled out, the vacuum of leadership, the perks for blunderers in a country club setting (instead of prison), and warnings on a potential situation that could spiral out of control. Amidst all the finger pointing, surprisingly little blame was given to themselves, the corporate chieftains in attendance. Let's be clear! The Davos Forum was a funeral wake, and Putin rode in on a white horse to announce there is a new sheriff in town!!

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Economics

Thursday, February 19, 2009

Fiat World Money Printing Mathematical Model / Economics / Fiat Currency

By: Mike_Shedlock

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn a fiat world, money is printed into existence by the central bank - in the United States the Fed. Given there is nothing backing up this money, it is inherently worthless. However, one can think of as real. It was printed (even if only electronically), therefore it exists.

In addition to the previously mentioned money supply, fractional reserve lending allows credit to be extended by banks and financial institutions on top of that inherently worthless money. Indeed, banks and financial institutions have leveraged credit to base money at ratios of 30-1, 50-1 or even higher.

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Economics

Thursday, February 19, 2009

The Great Depression II Survival Strategies / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Submissions

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDr. Raju M. Mathew wrotes: This is the Great Depression II - The crisis that we are now facing can rightly be called The Great Depression II of 2009 . And it is several times severe than the Great Depression I of 1929. It is not mere a financial meltdown; not mere a credit crisis. It is not a recession to disappear within two years. The dimensions and intensities of the Great Depression II are quite different from the early one. Who had brought out the present crisis and where had gone all the money or credits that were available before a few months back, are the two questions that the general public is asking?

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Economics

Thursday, February 19, 2009

Jaguar Inflation - A Layman's Explanation of Government Intervention / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis article is part of a syndicated series about deflation from market analyst Robert Prechter, the world's foremost expert on and proponent of the deflationary scenario. For more on deflation and how you can survive it, download Prechter's FREE 60-page Deflation Survival eBook , part of Prechter's NEW Deflation Survival Guide.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Economics

Thursday, February 19, 2009

Will Keynesian Tax Cuts Deepen The Recession? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn one of the more ridiculous Keynesian theories to date, Gauti B. Eggertsson at the New York Fed comes to the conclusion Tax Cuts Will Deepen The Recession . Simple logic would dictate that letting people and businesses keep more of their money would be a good thing but amazingly Eggertsson comes to the opposite conclusion.

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Economics

Thursday, February 19, 2009

The Great Depression has Arrived- Collapsing American Dreams / Economics / Great Depression II

By: David_Vaughn

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt almost seems amusing that we are still discussing the “coming” depression because of the fact that it is already arrived and settling in. Really, what this entire new “era” is all about is watching our dreams deteriorate right before our eyes.

Want to hear what the real world is like today? Country star John Rich dramatizes this well in his new song, “They're Shutting Detroit Down.”

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Economics

Wednesday, February 18, 2009

Next Wave of Banking Crisis to Come from Eastern Europe / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009

By: F_William_Engdahl

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEuropean banks face an entirely new wave of losses in coming months not yet calculated in any government bank rescue aid to date. Unlike the losses of US banks which derive initially from their exposures to low-quality sub-prime real estate and other securitized lending, the problems of western European banks, most especially in Austria, Sweden and perhaps Switzerland arise from the massive volumes of loans they made during the 2002-2007 period of extreme low international interest rates to clients in eastern European countries.

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Economics

Wednesday, February 18, 2009

Gold Climbs as Global Economic Catastrophe Looms / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009

By: John_Browne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week, when Congress passed its $787 billion stimulus package, the size of the plan caused many observers to forget the water that has already passed under the bridge. Fewer still are wondering what havoc will erupt when all this liquidity eventually washes ashore.

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Economics

Wednesday, February 18, 2009

Inflation, Deflation and Gold / Economics / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"Inflation and deflation are both a crisis in money. Which leaves gold as a secure store of wealth against both monetary panics..."

THE 1970s DIDN'T JUST curse the world with cheap German wine and the Bay City Rollers.

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Economics

Wednesday, February 18, 2009

Understanding the Difference Between Deflation and Hyperinflation: Deflationists Rebuttal / Economics / Deflation

By: Eric_deCarbonnel

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article1) The euro is going to crash against the dollar because European bank losses dwarf those in the US

This bit of logic proves that deflationists (those predicting deflation in the US) don't understand deflation. Whether or not European bank losses dwarf those in the US, it is the euro that will rally against the dollar. Why? Because the euro zone, unlike the US, is about to experience real, honest-to-god deflation. Ironically, Deflation is staring deflationists in the face, and they are too blind to see it.

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Economics

Wednesday, February 18, 2009

European Banks $25 Trillion Financial Black Hole Hitting Euro-zone Economy / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Oxbury_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHappy that Oxbury now allows for immediate online feedback on its revamped website; I rather enjoy the opportunity to deal with the lesser lights among my readers. With respect to those who offered suggestions and reasonable criticisms, I'll suffice here with a nod of thanks. It's more to the fools that I address the following.

There's a lot of confusion about markets and their relationship to the economy. It's a confusion that arises directly from one's sense of self. What do I mean by that? Let me explain.

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