Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, August 03, 2009
Defending Capitalism / Economics / Economic Theory
By: Anthony_Ebin
I recently got into an argument with a marketing executive of India's biggest mutual fund, Unit Trust of India. We were discussing the recent media coverage of the 'public' outrage over a new Indian TV show called 'Sach ka Samna', it is the Indian counterpart to the American show 'Moment of Truth'. I haven't seen the show but I did see the public condemnation hailed on Indian media. It didn't bother me that people were speaking out against the show, but it did bother me when I saw members of Government condemning the show as if whole families were being murdered. It is surprising that the one thing that offends the government happens to be the revelation of truth.1 Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 03, 2009
Golden Umbrellas in an Economic Downpour / Economics / Gold & Silver 2009
By: LewRockwell
Richard Daughty writes: I gotta admit that I am very jealous of Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, who is the international business editor of The Daily Telegraph, and who is famous and smart and probably makes a lot of money that he spends having fun with his many friends, while I am “none of the above” and pretty bitter about it, too.
Monday, August 03, 2009
Balkan-Style Inflation Is Coming to Us, Thanks to Our Masters / Economics / Inflation
By: LewRockwell
Michael S. Rozeff writes: In 1963, Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz wrote "Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon." The thrust of this statement is that inflation is caused by unsound monetary arrangements – not by those who are raising prices or asking for higher wages, and not by oil speculators or by dealers in foreign exchange. This statement was made at a time when blame was being placed for inflation on groups in society.
Monday, August 03, 2009
Developing Economies Lead the Way Out of Global Recession / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Lloyds_TSB
Following the onset of the global credit crisis two years ago, it was generally believed that developing economies, particularly in Asia, would be better placed to weather the storm than some of the more advanced economies, such as the US and UK. It was reasoned that the export-orientated, savings-rich countries, with the support of China, faced little prospect of an external payments crisis and were one step removed from the bursting of the debt bubble created in western economies. De-coupling was the buzzword at that time. Yet, over the subsequent twelve to eighteen months, expectations that the developing world could distance itself from the global credit crisis faded amid a collapse in world trade.
Sunday, August 02, 2009
Ben Bernanke Economic Forecasts Proven to be Incredibly, Uncannily Wrong / Economics / Central Banks
By: MISES
We now have the diametrical opposite of the famous "Peter Schiff Was Right" video (a compilation of 2006 and 2007 clips in which Schiff, a financial expert who subscribes to Austrian economics, predicted the deep recession that would follow the bursting of the housing bubble).
Saturday, August 01, 2009
U.S. Economy Q2 GDP Contraction, Awaiting the Revision for Real Data / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Paul_L_Kasriel
The Commerce Department's first guess at second-quarter real GDP has the U.S. economy contracting at only 1.0% annual rate compared to the first quarter's downwardly revised annualized contraction of 6.4% (previously reported as a 5.5% rate of contraction). On a year-over-year basis, real GDP was down 3.9% in the second quarter, the most severe year-over-year decline in the post-WWII era (see Chart 1).
Saturday, August 01, 2009
Europe Hit by Deflation as Prices Fall Most in 13 Years / Economics / Deflation
By: Mike_Shedlock
Troubles in Europe continue to mount even as stock markets everywhere are pricing in a strong recovery. Please consider European Prices Fall 0.6%; Jobless at Decade High.
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Saturday, August 01, 2009
Weekly Unemployment Claims Portend Disaster / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
The Department of Labor Weekly Unemployment Report is now so skewed by abnormalities, it is difficult to get a clear picture. First, let's take a look at the data.
Saturday, August 01, 2009
The Debt Super Cycle and the Great Reflation Experiment of 2009 / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: John_Mauldin
The Great Reflation Experiment
The Debt Super Cycle
Some Background on US Inflation
Implications for Investors
The question we have been focused on for some time now is whether we end up with inflation, or deflation, and what that endgame looks like. It is one of the most important questions an investor must ask today, and getting the answer right is critical. This week, we have a guest writer who takes on the topic of the great experiment the Fed is now waging, which he calls The Great Reflation Experiment.
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Saturday, August 01, 2009
Why Deflation … Not Inflation … Remains the Problem / Economics / Deflation
By: Money_and_Markets
Bryan Rich writes: Currency values are highly influenced by interest rates … a key driver in determining the flow of global capital.
For example, if you lived in Japan for the past decade, you would have experienced a decade of near-zero interest rates. Therefore, you might have shopped outside your home country for a better return on your money.
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Friday, July 31, 2009
How Paul Krugman Has Misconceived Austrian Business Cycle Theory / Economics / Economic Theory
By: MISES
David Gordon writes: Paul Krugman is an eminent economist, but he here reveals a woefully inadequate understanding of Austrian business-cycle theory. The rudiments of the theory are easy; one might have thought that even a Keynesian could grasp them.
Friday, July 31, 2009
Economic Recovery, Pass out the 3D Glasses / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Andy_Sutton
It doesn’t take long these days to find an economic bull that’s for sure. Whether you turn on the television, radio, or pick up a newspaper, they’re everywhere. The most popular phrase to date has obviously been Bernanke’s ‘Green Shoots’ comment made several months ago now. Boy have we gotten some mileage out of that one.
Friday, July 31, 2009
Economic Recovery, Happy Days Aren’t Here Again? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Peter_Schiff
Have you heard the great news? The recession is over! It’s true; I saw it on TV. Why fret about growing unemployment lines when banks are paying big-time bonuses again?
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Friday, July 31, 2009
China Change to One Child Policy Population Boom Could Make You Rich / Economics / China Economy
By: Uncommon_Wisdom
Tony Sagami writes: They say the only thing constant in this world is change. That’s certainly true in Asia where some big changes are brewing.
1.4 billion — the population of China — is a lot of people. And for the last 30 years, Chinese couples have been limited to just one child.
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Friday, July 31, 2009
Beware of the Obama Inflationary Economic Stimulus Trap / Economics / Economic Stimulus
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes: Upbeat headlines have been everywhere in recent weeks, and they all seem to point to a single conclusion: The U.S. economy is in the early stages of a very rapid recovery.
Thursday, July 30, 2009
Economic Arguments Against the Re-nomination of Bernanke as Fed Chairman / Economics / Central Banks
By: Paul_L_Kasriel
I Come Neither to Praise Nor to Bury Bernanke - No one is indispensable. There are plenty of well-qualified candidates to replace Ben Bernanke as chairman of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. So, the Republic will survive whether or not Ben Bernanke is re-nominated as Fed chairman. But let us be objective in assessing the job he has done as chairman. In my opinion, Anna Schwartz was not objective in her July 26 NYT op-ed piece arguing for the dumping of Bernanke.
Thursday, July 30, 2009
Banks Branch Network Over Expansion Points to Negative Returns / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
Banks have finally come to a realization there does not need to be a branch on every corner. If this story sounds familiar it is because the same discussions took place in 2000.
Thursday, July 30, 2009
Blowing Stock and Property Market Bubbles in China / Economics / China Economy
By: MISES
Tim Swanson writes: Despite all of the shimmering skyscrapers and industrial output, unless market forces are allowed to truly dictate economic exchanges, today's Chinese megacities and their residents will merely be facades and actors within a 21st-century Potemkin village, and growth will remain stagnant for years to come. This is due in large part to continual state intervention through centrally planned investment.
Thursday, July 30, 2009
Economic Crisis Hits Men Harder than Women / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Pravda
The economic crisis that struck 27 EU member states affected men at a much greater extent than women. According to the Eurostat report, staff reduction mostly affected such sectors as industry and financial sphere where predominantly men were employed. The unemployment rate among young people has been rising much faster as compared to other adults. 4.9 million youngsters across the EU became unemployed in the first quarter of this year.
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Wednesday, July 29, 2009
China Debt Bubble Looming / Economics / China Economy
By: Hans_Wagner
According to the latest reports from China, the country’s GDP is growing at 8% a year. This is an amazing achievement and helps to bolster the argument that China will help lead the global economy out of its recession. Since it looks like exports will be the major driver of growth for the U.S., selling goods and services to many emerging economies like China it pays to dig a little deeper to understand this growth phenomenon.